Combining BP with PSO algorithms in weights optimisation and ANNs training for mass appraisal of properties

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 290-314 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Awoamim Yacim ◽  
Douw Gert Brand Boshoff

Purpose The paper aims to investigate the application of particle swarm optimisation and back propagation in weights optimisation and training of artificial neural networks within the mass appraisal industry and to compare the performance with standalone back propagation, genetic algorithm with back propagation and regression models. Design/methodology/approach The study utilised linear regression modelling before the semi-log and log-log models with a sample of 3,242 single-family dwellings. This was followed by the hybrid systems in the selection of optimal attribute weights and training of the artificial neural networks. Also, the standalone back propagation algorithm was used for the network training, and finally, the performance of each model was evaluated using accuracy test statistics. Findings The study found that combining particle swarm optimisation with back propagation in global and local search for attribute weights enhances the predictive accuracy of artificial neural networks. This also enhances transparency of the process, because it shows relative importance of attributes. Research limitations/implications A robust assessment of the models’ predictive accuracy was inhibited by fewer accuracy test statistics found in the software. The research demonstrates the efficacy of combining two models in the assessment of property values. Originality/value This work demonstrated the practicability of combining particle swarm optimisation with back propagation algorithms in finding optimal weights and training of the artificial neural networks within the mass appraisal environment.

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 285-315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Bannor B. ◽  
Alex O. Acheampong

Purpose This paper aims to use artificial neural networks to develop models for forecasting energy demand for Australia, China, France, India and the USA. Design/methodology/approach The study used quarterly data that span over the period of 1980Q1-2015Q4 to develop and validate the models. Eight input parameters were used for modeling the demand for energy. Hyperparameter optimization was performed to determine the ideal parameters for configuring each country’s model. To ensure stable forecasts, a repeated evaluation approach was used. After several iterations, the optimal models for each country were selected based on predefined criteria. A multi-layer perceptron with a back-propagation algorithm was used for building each model. Findings The results suggest that the validated models have developed high generalizing capabilities with insignificant forecasting deviations. The model for Australia, China, France, India and the USA attained high coefficients of determination of 0.981, 0.9837, 0.9425, 0.9137 and 0.9756, respectively. The results from the partial rank correlation coefficient further reveal that economic growth has the highest sensitivity weight on energy demand in Australia, France and the USA while industrialization has the highest sensitivity weight on energy demand in China. Trade openness has the highest sensitivity weight on energy demand in India. Originality/value This study incorporates other variables such as financial development, foreign direct investment, trade openness, industrialization and urbanization, which are found to have an important effect on energy demand in the model to prevent underestimation of the actual energy demand. Sensitivity analysis is conducted to determine the most influential variables. The study further deploys the models for hands-on predictions of energy demand.


2017 ◽  
Vol 89 (2) ◽  
pp. 211-230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ney Rafael Secco ◽  
Bento Silva de Mattos

Purpose Multidisciplinary design frameworks elaborated for aeronautical applications require considerable computational power that grows enormously with the utilization of higher fidelity tools to model aeronautical disciplines like aerodynamics, loads, flight dynamics, performance, structural analysis and others. Surrogate models are a good alternative to address properly and elegantly this issue. With regard to this issue, the purpose of this paper is the design and application of an artificial neural network to predict aerodynamic coefficients of transport airplanes. The neural network must be fed with calculations from computational fluid dynamic codes. The artificial neural network system that was then developed can predict lift and drag coefficients for wing-fuselage configurations with high accuracy. The input parameters for the neural network are the wing planform, airfoil geometry and flight condition. An aerodynamic database consisting of approximately 100,000 cases calculated with a full-potential code with computation of viscous effects was used for the neural network training, which is carried out with the back-propagation algorithm, the scaled gradient algorithm and the Nguyen–Wridow weight initialization. Networks with different numbers of neurons were evaluated to minimize the regression error. The neural network featuring the lowest regression error is able to reduce the computation time of the aerodynamic coefficients 4,000 times when compared with the computing time required by the full potential code. Regarding the drag coefficient, the average error of the neural network is of five drag counts only. The computation of the gradients of the neural network outputs in a scalable manner is possible by an adaptation of back-propagation algorithm. This enabled its use in an adjoint method, elaborated by the authors and used for an airplane optimization task. The results from that optimization were compared with similar tasks performed by calling the full potential code in another optimization application. The resulting geometry obtained with the aerodynamic coefficient predicted by the neural network is practically the same of that designed directly by the call of the full potential code. Design/methodology/approach The aerodynamic database required for the neural network training was generated with a full-potential multiblock-structured code. The training process used the back-propagation algorithm, the scaled-conjugate gradient algorithm and the Nguyen–Wridow weight initialization. Networks with different numbers of neurons were evaluated to minimize the regression error. Findings A suitable and efficient methodology to model aerodynamic coefficients based on artificial neural networks was obtained. This work also suggests appropriate sizes of artificial neural networks for this specific application. We demonstrated that these metamodels for airplane optimization tasks can be used without loss of fidelity and with great accuracy, as their local minima might be relatively close to the minima of the original design space defined by the call of computational fluid dynamics codes. Research limitations/implications The present work demonstrated the ability of a metamodel with artificial neural networks to capture the physics of transonic and subsonic flow over a wing-fuselage combination. The formulation that was used was the full potential equation. However, the present methodology can be extended to model more complex formulations such as the Euler and Navier–Stokes ones. Practical implications Optimum networks reduced the computation time for aerodynamic coefficient calculations by 4,000 times when compared with the full-potential code. The average absolute errors obtained were of 0.004 and 0.0005 for lift and drag coefficient prediction, respectively. Airplane configurations can be evaluated more quickly. Social implications If multidisciplinary optimization tasks for airplane design become more efficient, this means that more efficient airplanes (for instance less polluting airplanes) can be designed. This leads to a more sustainable aviation. Originality/value This research started in 2005 with a master thesis. It was steadily improved with more efficient artificial neural networks able to handle more complex airplane geometries. There is a single work using similar techniques found in a conference paper published in 2007. However, that paper focused on the application, i.e. providing very few details of the methodology to model aerodynamic coefficients.


2013 ◽  
Vol 773-774 ◽  
pp. 268-274
Author(s):  
Amir Ghiami ◽  
Ramin Khamedi

This paper presents an investigation of the capabilities of artificial neural networks (ANN) in predicting some mechanical properties of Ferrite-Martensite dual-phase steels applicable for different industries like auto-making. Using ANNs instead of different destructive and non-destructive tests to determine the material properties, reduces costs and reduces the need for special testing facilities. Networks were trained with use of a back propagation (BP) error algorithm. In order to provide data for training the ANNs, mechanical properties, inter-critical annealing temperature and information about the microstructures of many specimens were examined. After the ANNs were trained, the four parameters of yield stress, ultimate tensile stress, total elongation and the work hardening exponent were simulated. Finally a comparison of the predicted and experimental values indicates that the results obtained from the given input data reveal a good ability of the well-trained ANN to predict the described mechanical properties.


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