Long-run causal nexus between share price and dividend

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 136-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
P.S. Nirmala ◽  
P.S. Sanju ◽  
M. Ramachandran
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Indian Market ◽  
Causal Relations ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Long Run

Purpose – The purpose of this paper was to examine the long-run causal relations between share price and dividend in the Indian market. Design/methodology/approach – Panel vector error correction model is estimated to examine the long-run causal relations between share price and dividend. Prior to this, panel unit root tests and panel cointegration tests are carried out to test the unit root properties of the data and test for the existence of long-run cointegrating relationship between the variables, respectively. Findings – The results of empirical investigation reveal that there exists bi-directional long-run causality between share price and dividends. Research limitations/implications – For the chosen sample, data on share price are available only for limited years. This limits the time dimension of the sample. Hence, in the future, the analysis can be extended to cover longer time series. Practical implications – The interplay between share prices and dividends needs to be given due consideration by firms while framing their policies. A change in dividend policy would have an effect on the market value of the firm; hence, firms need to frame dividend policy in such a way that it would enhance their market value. Similarly, investors need to take into consideration the influence of share prices and dividends on each other. While making investment decisions, they need to consider the dividend history of shares, as better dividends would lead to better share prices. Originality/value – To the best of the authors' knowledge, this study is the first attempt in the Indian market to examine the long-run causal relations between share price and dividend. The results of this study would be helpful to the investors in taking wise investment decisions. It would also enable firms in formulating appropriate dividend policies.

On business short-termism: the case of CVS’s discontinuing tobacco sales

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-165
Author(s):  
Chase Gooding ◽  
E. Frank Stephenson
Keyword(s):  
Share Price ◽  
Corporate Management ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Tobacco Sales ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
One Year ◽  
The One ◽  
Short Termism

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of CVS’s decision to stop tobacco sales on the company’s share price.Design/methodology/approachThe paper uses event study methodology to examine the same day effect of CVS’s announcement and the one-year later effect of CVS’s announcement. Competing pharmacy retail chains’ stock performance is included for comparison purposes.FindingsCVS’s shares fell by about one percentage point on the day of the company’s announcement while competitors’ share prices increased. A year later, however, CVS’s share price had increased by about twice as much as competitors’ share prices.Originality/valueThe finding that a company can make a decision that harms its short-run share price in exchange for a long-run share appreciation suggests that short-termism may not be as significant a concern as some critics of corporate management suggest.

Web-based impression management? Salient features for CSR disclosure prominence

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabrina Chong ◽  
Asheq Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Impression Management ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Web Based ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Bid Ask Spread ◽  
Csr Disclosure ◽  
The Web

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to identify the web-based features of corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure that play a role in making CSR information prominent to investors and give the information better recognition for investment decisions. Design/methodology/approach The authors posit a positive association between the company’s capital market performance and the web-based features used for CSR disclosure by the company. The authors argue that the more effective the feature is in enhancing the prominence of CSR information, the higher is the share turnover and market value of shares of a company, and the lower is its share prices’ bid-ask spread. Five specific web-based features, namely, the location, accessibility, medium, variety and extent of disclosure are identified as features used for web-based CSR disclosure. The research framework is drawn from Brennan and Merkl–Davies’ (2013) impression management strategies and Merton’s (1987) “investor recognition hypothesis”. Findings The findings show that visual and structural emphases of CSR information via specific web-based features enhance information prominence and could favourably influence investors’ impression towards the company. Investors are likely to make investment decisions in favour of the company, resulting in a higher share turnover along with increased market value of the shares of the company and lower bid-ask spread of its share prices. Research limitations/implications The paper highlights the significance of utilisation of web-based features in enhancing CSR information prominence for impression management purposes. Practical implications The findings have the potential to benefit preparers, users and policymakers by enhancing their knowledge and understanding of the utilisation of web-based CSR disclosure features. Specifically, preparers will be more aware of web-based feature(s) that could be useful in projecting CSR-related information to their stakeholders. Social implications The study will help enhance the dissemination of web-based CSR information. Originality/value The study adds to the literature on web-based CSR disclosure, by developing a structured approach to examine the effectiveness of web-based features for investors’ impression management.

scholarly journals Key Fundamental Factors and Long-run Price Changes in an Emerging Market—A Case Study of Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)

2002 ◽  
Vol 41 (4II) ◽  
pp. 517-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Irfan Chaudhary ◽  
Mohammed Nishat
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Relevant Factor ◽  
Direct Relation ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Long Run

Share prices are the most important indicator readily available to the investors for their decision to invest or not in a particular share. Theories suggest that share price changes are associated with changes in fundamental variables which are relevant for share valuation like payout ratio, dividend yield, capital structure, earnings size of the firm and its growth, [Wilcox (1984); Rappoport (1986); Downs (1991)]. Linter (1956) linked dividend changes to earnings while Shapiro valuation model (1962) showed dividend streams discounted by the difference in discount rate and growth in dividend should be equal to share price. This predicts direct relation between pay out ratio and the price-earning multiple. Conversely it means that there is an inverse relation between pay out ratio and share price changes. Several eventbased studies established direct relation between share price changes and either earnings or dividend changes [Ball and Brown (1968); Baskin (1989)]. Sharpe (1964) and Hamada (1972) suggested direct relation between share price changes and capital structure. Beaver, Kettler and Sholes (1970) showed that firms appear to pay less of their earnings if they have higher earning volatility. This suggests payout ratio as relevant factor for share price changes. Investigations of share price changes appear to yield evidence that changes in fundamental variable(s) should jointly bring about changes in share prices both in developed and emerging markets. However, the actual fundamental factors found to be relevant may vary from market to market. For example, changes in asset growth of firms are significant in the case of Japanese shares while earnings appear to be universally a relevant factor [Ariff, et al. (1994)]. However, it is widely agreed that a set of fundamental variables as suggested by individual theories is no doubt relevant as possible factors affecting share price changes in the short and the long-run [Ariff and Khan (2000)].

scholarly journals Dividend policy and market value of banks in MENA emerging markets: residual income approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-45
Author(s):  
Akram Ramadan Budagaga
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Residual Income ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Firms ◽  
Market Values ◽  
Investment Opportunities ◽  
Income Approach ◽  
Residual Income Approach

PurposeThis study will examine the impact of cash dividends on the market value of banks listed in Middle East and North African (MENA) emerging countries during the period 2000–2015.Design/methodology/approachThe current study adopts residual income approach based on Ohlson's (1995) valuation model. By testing different statistical techniques, fixed effect is applied on panel data for (144) banks listed on 11 MENA stock markets over the period 2000–2015. Furthermore, additional tests are applied to confirm the primary results.FindingsThe analysis reveals that current dividend payouts and dividend yield do not provide information relevant to the establishment of market values in MENA emerging markets; thus, they have no material impact on MENA banks' market values. This lack of current dividend payment effect is consistent with Miller and Modigliani (1961) dividend irrelevance assumption: there is no evidence of either an informational or real cash inflow effect of current dividend payments. The findings of this study can be attributed to the fact that MENA banks may be forced to place more emphasis on allocating money for investment instead of paying dividends given them they are subject to liquidity requirements for investment, expansion, general operations and compliance with regulations. Only after all these financial needs are covered can the remaining surplus be distributed as cash dividends. Therefore, cash dividends represent earnings residual rather than an active decision variable that impacts a firm's market value. This is consistent with the residual dividend hypothesis, which is the crux of Miller and Modigliani (1996) irrelevance theory of dividends.Research limitations/implicationsThe current study is restricted to a sample of one type of financial firms, banks, because of the problem of missing data and limited information related to other financial firms for the same period. Therefore, further research could be additional types of financial firms such as insurance firms that play a vital role in MENA emerging economies.Practical implicationsThe results of this study have some important implications for banks' dividend policymakers. Dividend policymakers in MENA emerging markets seem to follow residual dividend policy, in which they distribute dividends according to what is left over after all acceptable investment opportunities have been undertaken. This makes for inconsistent and unstable dividend policy trends, making it difficult for investors to predict future dividend decisions. Further, this practice may deliver information to shareholders about a lack of positive future investment opportunities, and this may negatively affect the share value of banks.Originality/valueThis study is the first of its kind – up to the author's knowledge – that examines a large cross-country sample of MENA banks (144) to cover a long time period in the recent past, and, more importantly, after the banking sector in the region has experienced major transformations during last two decades. In addition, most of the MENA region countries included in this study, namely, banks, operate in tax-free environments (there are neither taxes on dividends nor on capital gains). This feature adds complexity to the ongoing dividend debate.

Effect of Dividend Policy on Stock Price Volatility in Nigeria Stock Exchange

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 219
Author(s):  
Felix Ebun Araoye ◽  
Akinola Michael Aruwaji ◽  
Emmanuel OlusuyiAjayi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Dividend Payout ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Duration Effect

This paper seeks to determine the effect of dividend policy and dividend payment on share price volatility in Nigeria. Several literatures have showed evidence that dividend policy vary inversely proportional with share price volatility with duration effect. The study used data from the actively trading companies listed in the Nigeria Securities Exchange for a period of ten (10) years from 2005–2014. The estimation is based on panel data analysis between dividend policy measures (dividend payout, dividend per share, earnings after tax, dividend declared and number of share) and Share price volatility. The findings from the random effects regression results showed dividend per share is the major determinants of share price volatility in NSE (β = 0.6870, ρ<0.05). Dividend payout ratio negatively affect share price volatility (β =0.612, ρ>0.05) and earnings after tax negatively affect share price volatility (β =0.038, ρ>0.05).Thus, the higher the payout ratio the less the share price volatility, and the higher the earnings after tax lower the share price volatility. In conclusion, dividend per share has positive effect and inclusive relationship with market share prices. It is recommended that firms should try and improve on their financial performance that will enable consistent increase in the dividend per share for positive impact on market value.

Does institutional ownership affect the value relevance of accounting information?

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 323-342
Author(s):  
Mohamed Omran ◽  
Yasean A. Tahat
Keyword(s):  
Value Relevance ◽  
Accounting Information ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Institutional Ownership ◽  
Financial Leverage ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Listed Firms ◽  
Positive Effects

Purpose Drawing upon agency theory, this study aims to assess the value relevance (VR) of accounting information released by non-financial firms listed on the Kuwait stock exchange for the period of 2015-2018. Also, the influence of institutional ownership level and other explanatory variables, namely, book value per share, earnings per share, growth in assets and changes in financial leverage on share prices is examined. Design/methodology/approach To test the hypotheses, the Ohlson (1995) model is extended. This study uses panel data analysis and applies appropriate statistical techniques to measure empirical relationships. Findings The results show that the VR of accounting information released by the Kuwaiti non-financial listed firms varies over the period of 2015-2018. Book value and earnings have significant and positive effects on share prices. In recent years, the VR of book value information has been growing, while that of earnings information has been declining. Institutional ownership level has a significant and positive influence on the VR of accounting information released by the Kuwaiti non-financial listed firms. The findings confirm a positive power, signalling growth in assets regarding the share prices. However, no significant relationship between changes in financial leverage and share prices is found. Practical implications The findings of the study provide evidence of the linkage between VR and institutional ownership level, which promotes the understanding of the influence of institutional investors on a firm’s market value. Empirical evidence from Kuwait will have international implications and can serve as a guide for accounting researchers studying other emerging markets. Capital market regulators can provide guidelines in the form of information characteristics and elements of financial statements that need improvement. Finally, the findings assist non-financial listed firms to enhance the quality of accounting information by identifying the strengths and weaknesses in their financial reports. Originality/value This study extends the previous literature by investigating a relatively new set of data in more depth than that has been examined by prior research, which focusses on the relationship between accounting information and the firm’s market value.

Dynamic linkages among developed, emerging and frontier capital markets of Asia-Pacific region

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nisha Mary Thomas ◽  
Smita Kashiramka ◽  
Surendra S. Yadav
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
Thin Body ◽  
Pacific Region ◽  
Asia Pacific Region ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Global Investors

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the long-run equilibrium relationship between developed, emerging and frontier markets of the Asia-Pacific region during January 2000 to June 2016. Design/methodology/approach Zivot and Andrews’ unit root test is used to examine the existence of unit root in index series in the presence of a structural break. Gregory and Hansen’s test of cointegration is employed to examine the stable long-run relationship between the indices under study. Findings The results suggest that the emerging markets of China and Thailand and the frontier markets of Sri Lanka and Pakistan are fairly segmented from most of the markets in the Asia-Pacific region. Hence, these markets provide good diversification opportunities to global investors. Bidirectional cointegration analysis indicates that emerging and frontier markets influence developed markets. Hence, it can be inferred that the de facto position that only bigger markets influence small markets no longer holds true in the current environment. Practical implications The findings of this study will provide valuable inputs to global investors for creating an optimal investment portfolio. Originality/value This study does a comprehensive examination of market integration in the Asia-Pacific region. It also contributes to the thin body of work done on frontier markets. Unlike past studies, this paper analyzes the bidirectional cointegration relationship to examine if the notion that only bigger markets influence smaller markets holds true or not. Finally, this study employs advanced techniques of unit root test and cointegration test that consider structural breaks in the models.

Does financial development improve environmental quality in Turkey? An application of endogenous structural breaks based cointegration approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 368-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Javaid Ahmad Dar ◽  
Mohammad Asif
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Environmental Quality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Endogenous Structural Breaks

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the long-run effect of financial sector development, energy use and economic growth on carbon emissions for Turkey, in presence of possible regime shifts over a period of 1960-2013. Design/methodology/approach Along with the conventional unit root tests, Zivot-Andrews unit root test with structural break has been employed to check the stationarity of variables. The cointegrating relationship between variables is investigated by using the autoregressive distributed lag bounds test and Hatemi-J threshold cointegration test. Findings The results confirm a cointegrating relationship between the variables. The long-run relationship between the variables has gone through two endogenous structural breaks in 1976 and 1986. Development of financial sector improves environmental quality whereas energy use and economic growth degrade it. The results challenge the validity of environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in Turkish economy. Research limitations/implications The study uses domestic credit to private sector as a proxy for development of financial sector. The model can be improved by constructing an index of financial development instead of using a single determinant as a proxy for financial development. Practical implications The study may pave the way for policy makers to capture important environmental pollutants in better way and develop effective and efficient energy and economic policies. This may make significant contribution to curbing CO2 emissions while sustaining economic growth. Originality/value This is the only study to examine long-run impact of financial sector development on carbon emissions, using the threshold cointegration approach. Hence, the study is a gentle request to reduce the possible omitted variable econometric estimation bias and fill the gap in the existing literature.

scholarly journals Relevance Of Devidend Policy As The Mediation On The Relationship Between Financial Performance and Debt On Share Prices

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 180-192
Author(s):  
Irma Tyasari ◽  
Supami Wahyu Setiyowati
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Publicly Traded Companies ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Correlational Research ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
The Relationship

The investors place great importance on the share price of publicly traded companies since it may reflect the company’s value. The research objective is to examine the relationship between financial performance and debt at share prices through dividend policy. The method of the research used is quantitative and correlational research. The data analysis technique is the use of smart PLS. The results of the study explain that financial performance has a positive effect on stock prices in the mediation of dividend policy. Debt negatively affects share price mediated by dividend policy. The implication of the study is that companies should consider the benefits as well as risks of borrowing funds from third parties. Investors and potential investors before investing their money in stocks must pay attention to financial performance, corporate debt and dividend policy so that they do not experience losses in their investment.

scholarly journals Impact of dividend policy on stock price volatility and market value of the firm: evidence from Sri Lankan manufacturing companies

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 219-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
UGVDD Gunarathne ◽  
WAN Priyadarshanie ◽  
SMRK Samarakoon
Keyword(s):  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Dividend Yield ◽  
Dividend Payout ◽  
The Impact

The impact resulted from the dividend policy of a firm on the volatility of the market value of stocks is the major concern of this study, which is an issue bearing an utmost significance, when considering the objectives of a corporate. The focus of an entity should be aligned on the maximization of stock holders’ wealth and this necessitates the selection of an optimum dividend policy. The present study, thus, attempts to shed a light on the above fact within the Sri Lankan context. Data was collected from a sample of companies listed under the manufacturing sector of the Colombo Stock Exchange from year 2006 to 2014. The study occupied panel data regression model for analysis. The outcome revealed that the dividend yield of the current year has a negative impact on the share price volatility, while the dividend payout ratio of both the current and previous years has a positive impact. In addition, the impact of dividend yield is negative on the market value of the firm, where the dividend payout ratio of the current year is also depicts the same impact. The findings of the study reassure the findings of the previous researchers within the Sri Lankan context in case of the market value of the firm while being contrary in case of the share price volatility. Accordingly, the firms’ ability of utilizing the dividend policy as a mechanism of controlling the volatility of share prices is established. However, it will not be effective in altering the market value of the firm.

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