Does intellectual capital have any influence on stock price crash risk?

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Agung Nur Probohudono ◽  
Adelia Dyaning Pratiwi ◽  
Mahameru Rosy Rochmatullah
Keyword(s):  
Intellectual Capital ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Company Performance ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis paper explores the influence between intellectual capital (IC) and the risk of stock price crashes by using company performance as an intervening variable.Design/methodology/approachThis study empirically analyzes the impact of the efficiency of IC on stock price crash risk using a sample size of 152 companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during 2018. To test the research hypotheses, regression analysis and path analysis were applied. In addition, the researchers added exploration to several studies to strengthen the results of this study.FindingsThis study’s findings indicate that investors' optimistic (pessimistic) sentiment regarding stock price volatility has obscured aspects of the financial performance of listed companies. This finding implies that investor sentiment has dominated influence on stock price crash risk so that the aspects of IC are obscured.Originality/valueThis research provides new information that IC disclosure in the stock market needs to include knowledge of the volatility of stock prices in order to reveal stock price crash risk.

scholarly journals Investor Sentiment and Stock Price Crash Risk in the Chinese Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Binghui Wu ◽  
Yuanman Cai ◽  
Mengjiao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Research Approach ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
The Impact ◽  
A Share

This paper uses the partial least squares method to construct the investor sentiment index in Chinese stock market. The Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Index and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 100 Index are used as samples. From the perspectives of holistic sentiment and heterogeneous sentiment, this paper studies the impact of investor sentiment on stock price crash risk. The results show that investor sentiment can significantly affect stock price crash risk in Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets, especially in the Shenzhen A-share market no matter from which perspective. And investor pessimism has a greater impact on stock price crash risk in the Shenzhen A-share market from the perspective of heterogeneous sentiment. Compared with the available researches, this paper makes two contributions: (i) the comparative analysis is adopted to discuss the differences between Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets, abandoning the research approach that takes the two markets as a whole in existing literature, and (ii) this paper not only studies the impact of investor holistic sentiment on stock price crash risk from a macro perspective, but also adds a more micro heterogeneous sentiment and conducts a comparative analysis.

Managerial ownership and stock price crash risk: a case of Iranian firms

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-55
Author(s):  
Ali Haghighi ◽  
Mehdi Safari Gerayli
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Threshold Level ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Managerial Ownership ◽  
Alternative Measure ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Research Hypothesis ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Increasing managerial ownership gives rise to the managerial opportunistic behaviors, among which bad news hoarding has attracted a lot of attention. Nevertheless, there always exists a threshold level at which the accumulated bad news releases abruptly, thereby resulting in corporate stock price crash risk. On the above arguments, this study aims to investigate the impact of managerial ownership on stock price crash risk of the firms listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). Design/methodology/approach Sample includes the 485 firm-year observations from companies listed on the TSE during the years 2012-2016 and the research hypothesis was tested using multivariate regression model based on panel data. Findings The results reveal that managerial ownership increases the corporate stock price crash risk. These findings are robust to an alternative measure of stock price crash risk, individual analysis of the research hypothesis for each year and endogeneity concern. Originality/value The current study is almost the first study, which has been conducted in emerging capital markets, so the findings of the study not only extend the extant theoretical literature concerning the stock price crash risk in developing countries including emerging capital market of Iran but also help policymakers, regulators, investors and users of financial reports to make informed decisions.

Corporate CAPEX and market capitalization of firms on Malawi stock exchange: an empirical study

2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byson Beracah Majanga
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Historical Study ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Market capitalization of firms reflects the current value of a firm and provides a reasonable basis on mergers and acquisition bargains. Determinants of a firm’s increasing or decreasing market capitalization are multi-faceted, hence the study. The paper is about a historical study of the responsiveness of common share prices of some listed industrial companies to the firms’ investments in capital expenditure. This study aims to discuss the impact of capital expenditure on a firm’s market capitalization, with a focus on companies listed on the Malawi stock exchange (MSE). Design/methodology/approach The study reviews data collected from published annual reports for the years from 2007 to 2015. The variations in capital expenditure (CAPEX) which are termed “increase” or “decrease” were studied to establish their association with variations in stock prices before the increase or decrease, and after the increase or decrease. As stock price changes are caused by other determinants, the variables of return on capital employed (ROCE), net profit margin (NPM), asset turnover (ATO) and earnings retention ratio (ERT) were analyzed, and a respective correlation test was done against CAPEX movement over the years through panel data analysis and regression analysis to establish the correlation between the variables using XLSTAT. Findings At 95 per cent confidence level, CAPEX correlates with ROCE and NPM at 0.373 and 0.249 coefficients, respectively, and negatively with ERT at 6.45e-2. With tests favoring a positive relationship between elements of profitability and stock price, the study finds that there is a positive relationship between a firm’s CAPEXs and its future stock prices. Research limitations/implications The firm’s commitment to CAPEX has a positive impact on its stock price on the stock exchange. These findings, however, need to be interpreted with caution as the data reviewed excluded that from financial institutions, the inclusion of which may affect the outcome, and that the data are derived from a small and young stock market which may be lacking in its efficiency compared to the old and big ones the world over. Originality/value The study was undertaken based on the study of listed companies on the Malawi Stock Exchange, and the results may or may not reflect the reality on the ground in other stock exchanges.

Does corporate tax aggressiveness explain future stock price crash? Empirical evidence from France

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Taher Hamza ◽  
Elhem ZAATIR
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Corporate Tax ◽  
Price Informativeness ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Tax Aggressiveness ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This study aims to examine the impact of corporate tax aggressiveness on future stock price crash. It also tests the corporate tax aggressiveness prediction power of the stock price crash via a long forecast window (two years). Design/methodology/approach The study sample consisted of 1,169 firm-years observations. The multivariate analysis uses three measures of stock price crash risk, as a dependent variable. The key variable is tax aggressiveness lagged by one period (one year) as all independent variables. As a robustness check, this paper uses alternate measures of earning management and a longer forecast window (two years) to predict stock price crash risk. Findings Tax aggressiveness activity is positively related to a firm-specific future stock price crash. Corporate tax aggressiveness predicts stock price crash risk for a long forecast window (two years). The findings are robust to a number of checks and have several policy implications. Practical implications Investors should be cautious about the different risks of corporate tax aggressiveness: stock price crash risk. The important role of firm disclosure which leads to more relevant stock price informativeness. Adopt accounting conservatism behavior. The market perceives a socially irresponsible behavior and may harm the firm reputation. Social implications Incentives for French regulators to reduce the feeling of injustice by SMEs vis-à-vis large international companies that have the possibility of transferring part of their profits to a country different from that where it should be taxed to reduce their tax bases. Originality/value French companies are among the heavily taxed in Europe which makes France a particularly suitable context for studying tax aggressiveness issues. The first in the French context, that document a significant and positive relation between tax aggressiveness and future crash risk. It focuses on the important role of corporate tax planning as a means of withholding bad news and its consequences in inflating stock prices.

scholarly journals SENSITIVITAS FAKTOR EKONOMI MAKRO DAN MIKRO DALAM MEMPREDIKSI VOLATILITAS HARGA SAHAM PERUSAHAAN SEKTOR INDUSTRI FOOD & BEVERAGES

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-100
Author(s):  
Abdul Kohar ◽  
Nurmala Ahmar ◽  
Suratno Suratno
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Price Volatility ◽  
The Impact

The movement of macroeconomic factors can be used to predict the movement of the stock price, but different researchers are using different macroeconomic factors because there is still no consensus among them which macroeconomic factors that have an influence on stock prices. This study aimed to analyze and test the impact of macroeconomics factors which consisting of inflation, interest rates, exchange rate, and microeconomy factors, consisting of asset growth, growth earnings and sales growth to the volatility of stock prices on food and beverages companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange between 2011 and 2015 period. The study measure the sensitivity of inflation and interest rates and stock price volatility by regressing each variable with a share price which will produce the sensitivity value of each variable. A total of 66 samples are tested by using the classic assumption as the precondition for regression analysis techniques (multiple regressions). The results showed that inflation is partially affect the stock price volatility, Indonesia Interest Rate (SBI) is partially effect on stock price volatility, and exchange rate and microeconomics are partially no effect on stock price volatility.

scholarly journals Stock Price Natural Disaster: A Case of Pakistan Cement Sector

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-45
Author(s):  
Muhammad Hafeez Ullah ◽  
Shahzad Akhtar ◽  
Haroon Hussain ◽  
Hina Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Natural Disaster ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Extreme Temperature ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Land Sliding ◽  
The Impact

Current The aim of current study is to investigate the impact of natural disaster on stock market in case cement sector of Pakistan. The approach of current study is to explore the effect of natural disaster on change in stock price in a given index. The study has used event study methodology to explore the relationship.  Stock markets react differently from certain natural disaster events. The natural events, flood, earthquake, extreme temperature, land sliding, has significant effect on stock prices and its effect on share price volatility. All evidence provide from Pakistan stock exchange.

Impact of Business Strategy on Stock Price Crash Risk: Role of Overvalued Equity

2018 ◽  
pp. 112-129
Author(s):  
Sana Saleem ◽  
Muhammad Usman ◽  
Muhammad Anwar ul Haq
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Business Strategy ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Business Strategies ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Innovative Strategies ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Impact

The objective of the current study is to investigate the impact of business strategies on the future crash risk of stock prices by considering the role of overvalued equity. This relationship is checked by taking non-financial firms from Pakistan Stock Exchange from 2008-2016. To evaluate the business strategy, composite strategy score is used which considers the firm's development and research costs to look for new products, sales ratio to determine the firm’s capacity to manufacture the product efficiently, standard deviation of employees, sales growth, marketing expense to sales ratio to locate the firms’ emphasis on marketing, and intensity of assets expenditures to capture the firms’ emphasis on production. Market to book decomposition method is used to calculate the equity overvaluation whereas the negative conditional skewness is used as a measure of crash risk. Random and fixed effect panel regression models are used to estimate the results. The results of the present study indicate that firms pursuing innovative strategies have a higher probability to face crash price risk. Outcomes of the study also confirm that such strategies also increase the likelihood of equity overvaluation which increases the risk of stock price crash in the future. The results of the current study are helpful for the investors in allocating the assets cautiously among companies with diverse strategies.

The effect of intangible assets on sustainable growth and firm value – Evidence on intellectual capital investment in companies listed on Bucharest Stock Exchange

Kybernetes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Catalin Ionita ◽  
Elena Dinu
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Intellectual Capital ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Intangible Assets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Listed Companies ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Sustainable Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThe present study investigates the connection between company investments in intellectual capital (IC) and how they translate into financial value. The aim is to test the impact of intangible assets on the firm value and its sustainable growth.Design/methodology/approachThe research employs computation models to determine the sustainable growth rate (SGR) and the firm value (FV), and by using the ordinary least squares (OLS) model through a linear regression assesses the relationship between the dependent variables and expenditures on intangibles like R&D, IT programs and patents. A sample of 42 companies has been selected out of the 78 listed at Bucharest Stock Exchange (BSE), based on the appropriateness of the information disclosed in the financial reports for the period 2016–2019.FindingsThe results show that intangibles classified as innovative competences (R&D and Patents) do not have a positive impact on SGR and FV in listed companies from Romania. Moreover, R&D has a negative and significant effect on FV, while IT Programs have a positive and significant impact on FV, but not on the SGR. Variables categorised as economic competencies (Brands, Shares held in associates and jointly controlled entities) and firm structure-specific variables (Leverage, Firm Performance) seem to have a significant effect on SGR and FV. Shares held in associates and jointly controlled entities is the variable that can have the biggest impact when it comes to FV for companies listed at BSE.Research limitations/implicationsDue to non-disclosure of specific information by some companies, or lack of investments in intangibles the sample had to be reduced and does not cover all listed companies.Practical implicationsCompanies listed on the Regulated Market from the Bucharest Stock Exchange should maintain their scale of liabilities at a reasonable level when financing intangible assets in order to ensure corporate long-term and sustainable development. Also, these companies should maintain awareness about the importance of intangible assets and invest more in specific sub-components, in order to sustain competitive advantage. Recognizing the roles of intangibles, managers need to develop strategies to invest in profitable intangibles by reasonably allocating their limited resources, in order to achieve sustainable growth and increase company success.Originality/valueStudies concerning the relation between investments in intangibles and sustainable growth rate and firm value of listed Romanian companies are very scarce. This paper reveals new research, never before undertaken, concerning expenditures on intangibles by Romanian companies and the valuation of such investments on Bucharest Stock Exchange.

Market reactions to the inclusion of people with disabilities

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Araceli Hernández González
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
People With Disabilities ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Research Advance ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis study aims to provide evidence of market reactions to organizations' inclusion of people with disabilities. Cases from financial journals in 1989–2014 were used to analyze the impact of actions taken by organizations to include or discriminate people with disabilities in terms of the companies' stock prices.Design/methodology/approachThis research is conducted as an event study where the disclosure of information on an organization's actions toward people with disabilities is expected to impact the organization's stock price. The window of the event was set as (−1, +1) days. Stock prices were analyzed to detect abnormal returns during this period.FindingsResults support the hypotheses that investors value inclusion and reject discrimination. Furthermore, the impact of negative actions is immediate, whereas the impact of positive actions requires at least an additional day to influence the firm's stock price. Some differences among the categories were found; for instance, employment and customer events were significantly more important to a firm's stock price than philanthropic actions. It was observed that philanthropic events produce negative abnormal returns on average.Originality/valueThe event study methodology provides a different perspective to practices in organizations regarding people with disabilities. Moreover, the findings in this research advance the literature by highlighting that organizations should consider policies and practices that include people with disabilities.

Intellectual capital: a determinant of firms' operational efficiency

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kanishka Gupta ◽  
T.V. Raman
Keyword(s):  
Intellectual Capital ◽  
Stochastic Frontier Analysis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Stochastic Frontier ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Operational Efficiency ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Frontier Analysis ◽  
The Impact

PurposeIntellectual capital (IC) has been recognized in improving the efficiency of businesses and gaining competitive edge in the developed world. The present study offers perspectives into the effect of IC on the efficiency of the Indian financial sector companies.Design/methodology/approachFor the purpose of evaluating efficiency, the research has used stochastic frontier analysis (SFA). All Indian financial sector companies listed in National Stock Exchange (NSE-500) for the timeframe of ten years (2008–2018) have been considered. The paper has employed modified Pulic's Value Added Intellectual Coefficient (VAICTM) as a proxy to measure IC. Correlation and panel data regression have been used in order to examine the relationship.FindingsThe results of the study indicate positive and significant relationship between IC and efficiency of the firm. The results also show that all the components of IC, that is, human capital, relational capital, process capital and capital employed have a significant impact on firms' efficiency. Additionally, it has been seen that sample companies do not invest in research and development leading to no innovation capital.Practical implicationsThe research will assist managers in managing and controlling the IC, investors in matters related to investment and financial experts in improving the company's IC and value creation.Originality/valueThe current research is one of the pioneering studies in the context of Indian financial sector that examines the impact of modified VAIC on operational efficiency calculated using SFA.

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