Nigeria’s ruling APC faces fierce succession battle

Significance This has intensified political wrangling among potential aspirants in the south-west, the southern geopolitical zone with the largest voting bloc. The former Lagos State governor and APC national leader, Bola Tinubu, is frontrunner, but Ekiti State Governor Kayode Fayemi, chairman of the influential Nigeria Governors' Forum, reportedly harbours presidential ambitions. Impacts The APC is likely to weather recent party turmoil in Ekiti but attempts to sideline Tinubu will probably intensify as primaries approach. Competition for control of state APC structures will intensify; legal and extra-legal skirmishes are likely in APC battleground states. Buhari is unlikely to anoint a successor, given his largely hands-off approach, spurring further wrangling before the APC’s 2022 primaries. Fayemi's popularity among some APC governors and his politically more favourable religious affiliation may give him an edge over Tinubu.

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ailsa Cameron ◽  
Eleanor K. Johnson ◽  
Paul B. Willis ◽  
Liz Lloyd ◽  
Randall Smith

Purpose This paper aims to report the findings of a study that explores the contribution volunteers make to social care for older adults, identifying lessons for the social care sector and policymakers. Design/methodology/approach An exploratory multiple case study design was used to capture the perspectives and experiences of managers of services, volunteer co-ordinators, volunteers, paid care staff and older people. Seven diverse social care organisations took part in the study drawn from three locations in the South West of England. Findings This study identified three distinct models of volunteer contribution to social care services for older people. Although the contributions made by volunteers to services are valued, the study drew attention to some of the challenges related to their involvement. Research limitations/implications The organisations taking part in this small-scale study were all based in the South West of England, and the findings are therefore not generalisable but contribute to the growing evidence base related to this important field. Practical implications This study demonstrates the importance of the volunteer co-ordinator role and suggests that it is properly funded and resourced. It also confirms the importance of volunteers receiving appropriate training and support. Originality/value Given the increasing involvement of volunteers in the provision of social care, this paper provides lessons to ensure the role of volunteers in social care enhances rather than diminishes the quality of care provided.


Subject Nigerian opposition prospects. Significance Former President Olusegun Obasanjo on January 23 issued a scathing rebuke of President Muhammadu Buhari's performance and implored him not to run for re-election in 2019. Although yet to confirm his intentions, Buhari is expected to be the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) standard-bearer once more. Meanwhile, after four years of national opposition, the former ruling People’s Democratic Party (PDP, in office 1999-2015) has overcome debilitating internal divisions and could become a serious electoral prospect once more. While this may lead to a competitive election, it could also potentially exacerbate the country’s manifold security challenges. Impacts The PDP could benefit from a proposed alteration to the electoral timetable to hold gubernatorial ahead of presidential elections. Fuel shortages and food inflation, combined with persistent underemployment and unemployment, will undermine Buhari's economic credentials. Violent election flashpoints are likely to include the central states, parts of the south-west (including Lagos) and the Niger Delta.


2014 ◽  
Vol 64 (Pt_8) ◽  
pp. 2920-2925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Ren ◽  
Limin Zhang ◽  
Lei Song ◽  
Shiyao Xu ◽  
Lijun Xi ◽  
...  

An aerobic, Mn(II)-oxidizing, Gram-negative bacterium, strain 8047T, was isolated from a deep-sea hydrothermal vent plume in the south-west Indian Ocean. The strain was rod-shaped and motile with a terminal flagellum, and formed yellowish colonies. It produced catalase and oxidase, hydrolysed gelatin and reduced nitrate. 16S rRNA gene sequence analysis showed that strain 8047T belonged to the order Rhizobiales of the class Alphaproteobacteria , and was phylogenetically most closely related to the genus Fulvimarina , sharing 94.4 % sequence identity with the type strain of the type species. The taxonomic affiliation of strain 8047T was supported by phylogenetic analysis of four additional housekeeping genes, gyrB, recA, rpoC and rpoB. The predominant respiratory lipoquinone of strain 8047T was Q-10, the major fatty acid was C18 : 1ω7c and the DNA G+C content was 61.7 mol%. On the basis of the phenotypic and genotypic characteristics determined in this study, strain 8047T represents a novel species within the genus Fulvimarina , for which the name Fulvimarina manganoxydans sp. nov. is proposed. The type strain is strain 8047T ( = CGMCC1.10972T = JCM 18890T).


2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (11) ◽  
pp. 1533-1549
Author(s):  
Nurun Naher Moni ◽  
Mohammed Ziaul Haider ◽  
Md Mahedi Al Masud

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide a better understanding of the dynamics of institutional practices, socio-economic status and vulnerability of shrimp fry catchers in the south-west region of Bangladesh. Design/methodology/approach This study draws on primary research conducted through face-to-face interviews with women fry collectors in the south-west region of Bangladesh. This study attempts to identify the nature and extent of the impact of institutional practices on the women engaged in catching fry regarding their positioning within the institutional framework. Findings In the coastal region of Bangladesh, the shrimp sector has opened up economic opportunities for women in terms of access to income and employment. However, women have to make a trade-off between employment gain in terms of wage and health hazards caused due to poor working conditions. The findings of the study indicate that shrimp fry catching, complemented by other sources of income, can only help women to survive. The study also finds that the vulnerability of the fry collectors is the end result of mutually interacting institutional practices under different institutional domains. Accordingly, recommendations are made with a view to effectively utilizing social capital at the community level, which will be particularly helpful in raising fry catchers’ voice in the local political arena and strengthening their position in the marketplace. Due to the higher preferences of buyers towards wild fry and the participation of a huge number of people in fry collecting, this study suggests rethinking government intervention in this regard. Originality/value This is original research focusing on the underlying structural and institutional factors behind the marginalization and vulnerability of women and devising policies that will enable modification of the factors that restrain women.


Significance President Mohammed Abdullahi ‘Farmajo’ appears emboldened after facing down a series of domestic political crises, including allegations of interference in the South-west state election and a proposed impeachment motion, which was shelved on December 20 following backroom discussions with parliamentary speaker Mohamed Mursal. Impacts Farmajo will feel emboldened against future impeachment efforts, but victory may prove hollow as centre-periphery relations deteriorate. After a rocky period, Farmajo’s relations with Mursal should improve, and Farmajo may hope this will help blunt parliamentary criticism. Mursal will face a challenge in maintaining discipline among his deputies and colleagues, who are prone to abusing legislative protocol.


Subject Nigeria's opposition. Significance The main opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) is emboldened after scores of recent defections from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). Yet the PDP’s chances of winning the 2019 elections may rest on whether it can remain united, with multiple high-profile aspirants, including Senate President Bukola Saraki, vying for its presidential nomination. Impacts Buhari’s delays in passing an amended electoral act will exacerbate fears that he is attempting to undermine scrutiny of next year's vote. Should the wealthy Abubakar fail to garner the PDP nomination, this could hurt the party’s financing and campaign strategy. Defections to the APC in the south-south and south-east are unlikely to bolster support sufficiently to overtake the PDP there. The Buhari administration's poor economic management record may undermine his support in the economically vital south-west.


Significance Buhari’s victory largely replicated the scope of his 2015 win, with high margins in northern states and victories across most of the south-west and parts of the north-central ‘Middle Belt’. However, the margins in the north are lopsided enough to raise serious questions about tampering by the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), suggesting that Buhari’s mandate could be much weaker than at first glance. Impacts Buhari’s re-election could reduce the chances of widespread post-election clashes, although some gubernatorial contests could turn violent. Despite likely renewed public pressure for Buhari to address northern security crises, fundamental strategic changes may prove elusive. New divisions may appear in the APC, with south-western politicians pushing for a presidential pick from their zone for the 2023 polls.


Significance The notice comes amid rising violence between pastoralists and settled non-Fulani, predominantly Christian farming communities in the south-west. As southern politicians grow increasingly vocal about President Muhammadu Buhari’s alleged favouritism towards Fulani pastoralists, the space for compromise is shrinking further. Impacts As climatic pressures and northern insecurity drive herding further south, tensions across southern geopolitical zones will climb further. The shifting southern frontier of pastoralist conflicts will put south-western APC officials in a difficult political bind. The new service chiefs will face political pressure to unveil new strategies in the fight against insecurity in the north-west. As new actors get involved, Abuja’s efforts to mediate pastoralist conflicts will become more visible but also politically complicated.


Subject Nigeria's presidential elections. Significance Nigeria will hold presidential and legislative elections on February 16, with incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari facing former Vice President Atiku Abubakar. Buhari has a slight edge based on a mass bloc of popular support in the north and a network of elite backers who can deliver voting blocs in the south-west. However, Abubakar is a formidable opponent and there is a significant chance of close, contested and even violent outcomes in multiple battleground states. Impacts The presidential elections will set the tone for the almost equally consequential gubernatorial and state assembly elections to follow. Disputed presidential elections could see violence in hotspots such as Kaduna, Kano, Plateau or Rivers, including in gubernatorial polls. Widespread perceptions of bias in key institutions will further erode trust in the state, even if Buhari wins a popular mandate fairly. A weak showing by the PDP could suggest it is now primarily a sectional party representing the south-east and south-south. If Buhari wins despite faring poorly in the south-east and south-south, this could reinforce a sense of marginalisation in those regions.


Significance Tinubu is a founder of the APC and a key power-broker in the party and the south-west more broadly. Although Tinubu is one of Nigeria's most influential political figures, his long-suspected presidential ambitions have led to sharp divisions within the APC. Impacts Tinubu’s standing with the public may increasingly be tied to the popularity, or lack thereof, of Buhari’s administration. Various corruption allegations against Tinubu, most centred on his governorship, will likely resurface in the run up to the 2023 poll. Tinubu is rumoured to have deployed his influence and resources to support candidates in various elections across West Africa.


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