Machine Learning Model of COVID-19 Forecasting in Ukraine Based on the Linear Regression

Author(s):  
Alireza Mohammadi ◽  
Dmytro Chumachenko ◽  
Tetyana Chumachenko
2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-30
Author(s):  
Hon Fung Chow

This paper proposes and discusses the viability of a short-term grid maximum demand forecasting model combining autoregressive integrated moving average with regressors (ARIMAX) and support vector regression (SVR). Grid demand forecasting is essential to generation unit scheduling, maintenance planning and system security. Traditionally, grid demand is forecasted using multivariate linear regression models with parameters adjusted to past data. A disadvantage of the linear regression model is that the parameters require regular adjustment, otherwise the prediction accuracy will deteriorate over time. With recent advances in the field of machine learning and lower computational costs, the usage of machine learning in the power industry becomes increasingly practicable. The proposed model is a machine learning model that combines ARIMAX and SVR to exploit their respective effectiveness in predicting linear and non-linear data. In contrast to linear regression models, the machine learning model automatically updates itself when new data is included. The hybrid model is benchmarked against other forecasting models and demonstrated a marked improvement in accuracy, achieving RMSE of 67.7MW and MAPE of 1.32% in a seven-day forecast.


The datacenter is the core infrastructure of today's world. Every data center should have many resources and applications that are running for several decades or even more. Many failures happen in the physical datacenter in on-premises environments. In this research paper evaluating the datacenter by having the dataset provided by Premier Systems (Pvt.) Ltd. This dataset is having all the failures and datacenter related issues from Jan-2016 to Dec-2019 in Karachi, Pakistan. This research performed the Linear Regression via the Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio for the machine learning model. It would allow us to know which fault will more and which is not for the concern requirement. This experiment would have the Feature Engineering feature in Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio, which will automatically apply the filters required. After knowing which the central issue are related to any physical data center in Karachi. This research allows to handle the required precaution in datacenters of Karachi, Pakistan.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steen Lysgaard ◽  
Paul C. Jennings ◽  
Jens Strabo Hummelshøj ◽  
Thomas Bligaard ◽  
Tejs Vegge

A machine learning model is used as a surrogate fitness evaluator in a genetic algorithm (GA) optimization of the atomic distribution of Pt-Au nanoparticles. The machine learning accelerated genetic algorithm (MLaGA) yields a 50-fold reduction of required energy calculations compared to a traditional GA.


Author(s):  
Dhilsath Fathima.M ◽  
S. Justin Samuel ◽  
R. Hari Haran

Aim: This proposed work is used to develop an improved and robust machine learning model for predicting Myocardial Infarction (MI) could have substantial clinical impact. Objectives: This paper explains how to build machine learning based computer-aided analysis system for an early and accurate prediction of Myocardial Infarction (MI) which utilizes framingham heart study dataset for validation and evaluation. This proposed computer-aided analysis model will support medical professionals to predict myocardial infarction proficiently. Methods: The proposed model utilize the mean imputation to remove the missing values from the data set, then applied principal component analysis to extract the optimal features from the data set to enhance the performance of the classifiers. After PCA, the reduced features are partitioned into training dataset and testing dataset where 70% of the training dataset are given as an input to the four well-liked classifiers as support vector machine, k-nearest neighbor, logistic regression and decision tree to train the classifiers and 30% of test dataset is used to evaluate an output of machine learning model using performance metrics as confusion matrix, classifier accuracy, precision, sensitivity, F1-score, AUC-ROC curve. Results: Output of the classifiers are evaluated using performance measures and we observed that logistic regression provides high accuracy than K-NN, SVM, decision tree classifiers and PCA performs sound as a good feature extraction method to enhance the performance of proposed model. From these analyses, we conclude that logistic regression having good mean accuracy level and standard deviation accuracy compared with the other three algorithms. AUC-ROC curve of the proposed classifiers is analyzed from the output figure.4, figure.5 that logistic regression exhibits good AUC-ROC score, i.e. around 70% compared to k-NN and decision tree algorithm. Conclusion: From the result analysis, we infer that this proposed machine learning model will act as an optimal decision making system to predict the acute myocardial infarction at an early stage than an existing machine learning based prediction models and it is capable to predict the presence of an acute myocardial Infarction with human using the heart disease risk factors, in order to decide when to start lifestyle modification and medical treatment to prevent the heart disease.


Author(s):  
Dhaval Patel ◽  
Shrey Shrivastava ◽  
Wesley Gifford ◽  
Stuart Siegel ◽  
Jayant Kalagnanam ◽  
...  

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