The Public Sentiment analysis within Big data Distributed system for Stock market prediction– A case study on Colombo Stock Exchange

Author(s):  
M.V.D.H.P Malawana ◽  
R. M. K. T Rathnayaka
Author(s):  
Shruti Rajkumar Choudhary

<p>Opinion mining is extract subjective information from text data using tools such as NLP, text analysis etc. Automated opinion mining often uses machine learning, a type of artificial intelligence (AI), to mine text for sentiment. Opinion mining, which is also called sentiment analysis, involves building a system to collect and categorize opinions about a product.In this project the problem of sentiment analysis in twitter; that is classifying tweets according to the sentiment expressed in terms of positive, negative or neutral. Twitter is an online micro-blogging and social-networking platform which allows users to write short status updates of maximum length 140 characters. It is a rapidly expanding service with over 200 million registered users out of which 100 million are active users and half of them log on twitter on a daily basis - generating nearly 250 million tweets per day. Due to this large amount of usage we hope to achieve a reflection of public sentiment by analysing the sentiments expressed in the tweets. Analysing the public sentiment is important for many applications such as firms trying to find out the response of their products in the market, predicting political elections and predicting socioeconomic phenomena like stock exchange.</p>


Author(s):  
Dilip Singh Sisodia ◽  
Ritvika Reddy

The opinion of others significantly influences our decision-making process about any product or service. The positive or negative opinions of prospective clients or customers may promote or demote the profit margin of any business activities. Therefore, analyzing the public sentiment is important for many applications such as firms trying to find out the response of their products in the market, predicting political elections, and predicting socioeconomic phenomena such as stock exchange, sale of products, etc. With the emergence of Web 2.0 services, a wide range of online platforms including micro-blogging, social networking, and many other review platforms are available. The automated process for public sentiment analysis from a large amount of social data present on the web helps to improve customer satisfaction. This chapter discusses the process of sentiment analysis of prospective buyers of mega online sales using their posted tweets about the big billions day sale.


Author(s):  
Sneha Naik ◽  
Mona Mulchandani

Opinion mining consists of many different fields like natural language processing, text mining, decision making and linguistics. Opinion mining is a type of natural language processing for tracking the mood of the public about a particular product. Opinion mining, which is also called sentiment analysis, involves building a system to collect and categorize opinions about a product. Automated opinion mining often uses machine learning, a type of artificial intelligence (AI), to mine text for sentiment. This project addresses the problem of sentiment analysis in twitter; that is classifying tweets according to the sentiment expressed in them: positive, negative or neutral. Twitter is an online micro-blogging and social-networking platform which allows users to write short status updates of maximum length 140 characters. It is a rapidly expanding service with over 200 million registered users out of which 100 million are active users and half of them log on twitter on a daily basis - generating nearly 250 million tweets per day. Due to this large amount of usage we hope to achieve a reflection of public sentiment by analysing the sentiments expressed in the tweets. Analysing the public sentiment is important for many applications such as firms trying to find out the response of their products in the market, predicting political elections and predicting socioeconomic phenomena like stock exchange.


Author(s):  
Prof. N.P. Kadale ◽  
Gavali Prajwal ◽  
Pratik Jadhav ◽  
Sachin Landge ◽  
Pratiksha Bhoite

Predicting stock market movements is a well-known problem of interest. Now-a- days social media is perfectly representing the public sentiment and opinion about current events. Especially, Twitter has attracted a lot of attention from researchers for studying the public sentiments. Stock market prediction on the basis of public sentiments expressed on Twitter has been an intriguing field of research. The approach through sentimental analysis is to observe how well the changes in stock prices i.e. the rise and fall are correlated to the opinion of people that are expressed by them on Twitter. Sentimental analysis helps in analyzing the public sentiments on Twitter, this approach is our approach through using make of sentimental analysis. Another approach in the same topic of our project is using technical analysis. We model the stock price movement as a function of these input features and solve it as a regression problem in a multiple kernel learning regression framework. The machine learning coupled with fundamental and/ or technical analysis also yields satisfactory results for stock market prediction. We also evaluated the model for taking buy-sell decision at the end of day which is also known as intraday trading.


Symmetry ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaocheng Zhang ◽  
Wei Ren ◽  
Tianqing Zhu ◽  
Ehoche Faith

The development of mobile internet has led to a massive amount of data being generated from mobile devices daily, which has become a source for analyzing human behavior and trends in public sentiment. In this paper, we build a system called MoSa (Mobile Sentiment analysis) to analyze this data. In this system, sentiment analysis is used to analyze news comments on the THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) event from Toutiao by employing algorithms to calculate the sentiment value of the comment. This paper is based on HowNet; after the comparison of different sentiment dictionaries, we discover that the method proposed in this paper, which use a mixed sentiment dictionary, has a higher accuracy rate in its analysis of comment sentiment tendency. We then statistically analyze the relevant attributes of the comments and their sentiment values and discover that the standard deviation of the comments’ sentiment value can quickly reflect sentiment changes among the public. Besides that, we also derive some special models from the data that can reflect some specific characteristics. We find that the intrinsic characteristics of situational awareness have implicit symmetry. By using our system, people can obtain some practical results to guide interaction design in applications including mobile Internet, social networks, and blockchain based crowdsourcing.


Kybernetes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilpa B L ◽  
Shambhavi B R

PurposeStock market forecasters are focusing to create a positive approach for predicting the stock price. The fundamental principle of an effective stock market prediction is not only to produce the maximum outcomes but also to reduce the unreliable stock price estimate. In the stock market, sentiment analysis enables people for making educated decisions regarding the investment in a business. Moreover, the stock analysis identifies the business of an organization or a company. In fact, the prediction of stock prices is more complex due to high volatile nature that varies a large range of investor sentiment, economic and political factors, changes in leadership and other factors. This prediction often becomes ineffective, while considering only the historical data or textural information. Attempts are made to make the prediction more precise with the news sentiment along with the stock price information.Design/methodology/approachThis paper introduces a prediction framework via sentiment analysis. Thereby, the stock data and news sentiment data are also considered. From the stock data, technical indicator-based features like moving average convergence divergence (MACD), relative strength index (RSI) and moving average (MA) are extracted. At the same time, the news data are processed to determine the sentiments by certain processes like (1) pre-processing, where keyword extraction and sentiment categorization process takes place; (2) keyword extraction, where WordNet and sentiment categorization process is done; (3) feature extraction, where Proposed holoentropy based features is extracted. (4) Classification, deep neural network is used that returns the sentiment output. To make the system more accurate on predicting the sentiment, the training of NN is carried out by self-improved whale optimization algorithm (SIWOA). Finally, optimized deep belief network (DBN) is used to predict the stock that considers the features of stock data and sentiment results from news data. Here, the weights of DBN are tuned by the new SIWOA.FindingsThe performance of the adopted scheme is computed over the existing models in terms of certain measures. The stock dataset includes two companies such as Reliance Communications and Relaxo Footwear. In addition, each company consists of three datasets (a) in daily option, set start day 1-1-2019 and end day 1-12-2020, (b) in monthly option, set start Jan 2000 and end Dec 2020 and (c) in yearly option, set year 2000. Moreover, the adopted NN + DBN + SIWOA model was computed over the traditional classifiers like LSTM, NN + RF, NN + MLP and NN + SVM; also, it was compared over the existing optimization algorithms like NN + DBN + MFO, NN + DBN + CSA, NN + DBN + WOA and NN + DBN + PSO, correspondingly. Further, the performance was calculated based on the learning percentage that ranges from 60, 70, 80 and 90 in terms of certain measures like MAE, MSE and RMSE for six datasets. On observing the graph, the MAE of the adopted NN + DBN + SIWOA model was 91.67, 80, 91.11 and 93.33% superior to the existing classifiers like LSTM, NN + RF, NN + MLP and NN + SVM, respectively for dataset 1. The proposed NN + DBN + SIWOA method holds minimum MAE value of (∼0.21) at learning percentage 80 for dataset 1; whereas, the traditional models holds the value for NN + DBN + CSA (∼1.20), NN + DBN + MFO (∼1.21), NN + DBN + PSO (∼0.23) and NN + DBN + WOA (∼0.25), respectively. From the table, it was clear that the RMSRE of the proposed NN + DBN + SIWOA model was 3.14, 1.08, 1.38 and 15.28% better than the existing classifiers like LSTM, NN + RF, NN + MLP and NN + SVM, respectively, for dataset 6. In addition, he MSE of the adopted NN + DBN + SIWOA method attain lower values (∼54944.41) for dataset 2 than other existing schemes like NN + DBN + CSA(∼9.43), NN + DBN + MFO (∼56728.68), NN + DBN + PSO (∼2.95) and NN + DBN + WOA (∼56767.88), respectively.Originality/valueThis paper has introduced a prediction framework via sentiment analysis. Thereby, along with the stock data and news sentiment data were also considered. From the stock data, technical indicator based features like MACD, RSI and MA are extracted. Therefore, the proposed work was said to be much appropriate for stock market prediction.


2018 ◽  
Vol 37 (10-11) ◽  
pp. 1111-1128 ◽  
Author(s):  
Orlando Troisi ◽  
Mara Grimaldi ◽  
Francesca Loia ◽  
Gennaro Maione

2013 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 187-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fábio Marques da Cruz ◽  
Maria Yêda Falcão Soares de Filgueiras Gomes

This paper analyzes the influence of rumors on price fluctuations in the Stock Exchange of São Paulo between 2007 and 2011, through a case study with Petrobras, a company whose stock had the largest trading volume within the period. For this purpose we used the historical prices of cash market provided by the stock exchange. The communications in which Petrobras provides clarifications regarding unofficial information disclosed in the press were also collected from the stock exchange website. The analysis of these documents helped to create a diagram to represent the information about the rumors and categorize them by subject. This diagram was applied to a database to store the information collected from the company’s communications. Then this information was retrieved to analyze the influence of rumors on price movements. The results confirm that the company’s responses to rumors influence price fluctuations of its stock. At eagerness for information to dilute uncertainty, investors make decisions based on rumors betting on the credibility of the media that disclose them, even though knowing that the information is not always reliable.


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