Part II of: Considerations for Adapting IEEE 1584–2002 ARC Flash Study Results to A Post IEEE 1584–2018 Risk Assessment; Applying the Method

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo E. Valdes
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Arc Flash

scholarly journals Risk assessment of ice dams for water diversion projects based on fuzzy fault trees

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengkai Liu ◽  
Xiaoxia Dong ◽  
Hui Guo
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Fault Tree ◽  
Fault Tree Analysis ◽  
Northern China ◽  
Indicator System ◽  
Water Diversion ◽  
Risk Indicators ◽  
Scoring Method ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Dam Risk

AbstractIce dams are among the important risks affecting the operational safety and water conveyance efficiency of water diversion projects in northern China. However, no evaluation indicator system for ice dam risk assessment of water diversion projects has been proposed. Therefore, in this paper, based on the formation mechanism of ice dams, the risk assessment indicator system and the possibility calculation model of ice dams were both proposed for water diversion projects based on the fuzzy fault tree analysis method. The ice dam risk fault tree constructed in this study mainly includes three aspects: ice production, ice transport, and ice submergence conditions. Eighteen basic risk indicators were identified, and 72 minimum cut sets were obtained by using the mountain climb method. Eight risk indicators were determined as the key risk indicators for ice dams, including meteorological conditions, narrowed cross section, sluice incident, erroneous scheduling judgment, ice cover influence, flat bed slope, control structures, and ice flow resistance of piers. Then, the canal from the Fenzhuanghe sluice to the Beijumahe sluice of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project was taken as the research object. Combined with the expert scoring method, the ice dam risk probability of the canal was determined to be 0.2029 × 10−2, which was defined as a level III risk, which is an occasionally occurring risk. The study results can support ice dam risk prevention and canal system operation in winter for water diversion projects.

scholarly journals Flood Risk Assessment and Quantification at the Community and Property Level in the State of Iowa

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enes Yildirim ◽  
Ibrahim Demir
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Flood Risk ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
The United States ◽  
Flood Risk Assessment ◽  
Study Region ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Flood Maps

Flood risk assessment contributes to identifying at-risk communities and supports mitigation decisions to maximize benefits from the investments. Large-scale risk assessments generate invaluable inputs for prioritizing regions for the distribution of limited resources. High-resolution flood maps and accurate parcel information are critical for flood risk analysis to generate reliable outcomes for planning, preparedness, and decision-making applications. Large-scale damage assessment studies in the United States often utilize the National Structure Inventory (NSI) or HAZUS default dataset, which results in inaccurate risk estimates due to the low geospatial accuracy of these datasets. On the other hand, some studies utilize higher resolution datasets, however they are limited to focus on small scales, for example, a city or a Hydrological United Code (HUC)-12 watershed. In this study, we collected extensive detailed flood maps and parcel datasets for many communities in Iowa to carry out a large-scale flood risk assessment. High-resolution flood maps and the most recent parcel information are collected to ensure the accuracy of risk products. The results indicate that the Eastern Iowa communities are prone to a higher risk of direct flood losses. Our model estimates nearly $10 million in average annualized losses, particularly in large communities in the study region. The study highlights that existing risk products based on FEMA's flood risk output underestimate the flood loss, specifically in highly populated urban communities such as Bettendorf, Cedar Falls, Davenport, Dubuque, and Waterloo. Additionally, we propose a flood risk score methodology for two spatial scales (e.g., HUC-12 watershed, property) to prioritize regions and properties for mitigation purposes. Lastly, the watershed-scale study results are shared through a web-based platform to inform the decision-makers and the public.

Arc flash: a risk assessment and mitigation strategy

2011 ◽  
Vol 51 (2) ◽  
pp. 737
Author(s):  
Danny Norton ◽  
Dale Wright
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Cumulative Effect ◽  
Mitigation Strategy ◽  
Assessment Process ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Safe Work ◽  
Arc Flash

Oil and gas facility managers are well aware that attention to detail saves lives and supports business continuity and reputation. Those tasked with stewardship of electrical assets will be aware of the need to protect their employees from the hazard of electrical arc flash and that it should be at the forefront of safety thinking. Complacency and lack of duty of care with this real and possibly un-quantified hazard can lead to fatalities. The primary solution to arc flash consequences in older installations has been the implementation of safe work procedures and personal protective equipment. While still valid, these solutions are the least effective options in the hierarchy of controls. SKM have developed a practical risk mitigation strategy that considers the hazards of prospective arc flash energy together with the cumulative effect of switchboard age, design, capability and condition. The strategy also considers the range of potential mitigation controls available through the mechanism of substitution and engineering design that focuses on reducing: The likelihood of an arc flash incident occurring; The likelihood of personnel exposure; and, The energy released should an incident occur. A structured arc flash risk assessment process can provide the asset owner the opportunity to rank individual switchboards for likelihood, consequence and risk, and thus provide direction for engineered remediation and capital expenditure. SKM proposes the way in which arc flash risk can be assessed, how appropriate layered mitigation measures might be selected, and how an asset owner may approach the issue of arc flash hazard mitigation to economically and reliably protect its employees.

scholarly journals Case-Based Study of Metrics Derived from Instrumented Fall Risk Assessment Tests

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anabela Martins ◽  
Joana Silva ◽  
António Santos ◽  
João Madureira ◽  
Carlos Alcobia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Fall Risk ◽  
Inertial Sensors ◽  
Risk Of Falling ◽  
Fall Risk Assessment ◽  
Subjective Analysis ◽  
Additional Information ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Case Based

Purpose: National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) has recently published quality standards for assessment of fall risk and preventing further falls. According to the standards, multifactorial fall risk assessments should include: identification of falls history; analysis of gait, balance, mobility and muscle strength, among other factors. Despite being based on subjective analysis or simple timing and not being multifactorial, physiotherapists and physicians quite often use these tests as reference scales to differentiate between lower and higher risk of falling. Instrumented TUG has been recently reported to provide important additional information to the overall score. Objective: To explore a case-based approach of fall risk assessment to identify the most relevant and informative risk factors that in combination could better define a person risk profile. Materials and Methods: A multifactorial assessment of fall risk through questionnaires, standard functional tests, tests instrumented with inertial sensors, and force platforms has been studied within a group aged 55-80 years old. Different fall risk factors and fall risk assessment methods were analyzed in a case-based descriptive study. Results & Discussion: Subjects at higher risk of falling were identified based on their detailed profiles. A set of features were obtained from the instrumented standard tests differing significantly between subjects presenting higher or lower fall risk. Therefore, instrumenting conventional tests with wearables containing inertial sensors and force platforms gives more detailed and quantitative insights. This information can be used to better define and tailor fall prevention exercises and to improve the follow-up of the evolution of the subject.

scholarly journals Risk-Assessment Model In Lukoil

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 77-90
Author(s):  
A. Anilov ◽  
M. Alexandvov ◽  
D. Grafov ◽  
A. Lukyanov
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Research Method ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Gasoline Prices ◽  
Risk Assessment Model ◽  
Operational Risks ◽  
Market Risks ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The One

The article presents empirical study results of Lukoil company risk-assessment model development. The study is based on a cash flow at risk method (CFaR). The assessment of Lukoil company risks is made on the end of 2013. The research method includes assessment of market, credit and operational risks. The obtained results demonstrate that oil prices don't affect the company's CFaR too much but the most severe market risk is the one connected with gasoline prices. To reduce CFaR some hedging procedures may be applied, especially for market risks: for example, options and futures can be used to hedge against changes in oil and gasoline prices fluctuations.

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