A shortcut to seasonal design rainfall estimates in the UK

2006 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 282-286 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. R. Kjeldsen ◽  
C. Prudhomme ◽  
C. Svensson ◽  
E. J. Stewart
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oluwatobi Aiyelokun ◽  
Quoc Bao Pham ◽  
Oluwafunbi Aiyelokun ◽  
Anurag Malik ◽  
S. Adarsh ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. D. J. Keller ◽  
M. Tanguy ◽  
I. Prosdocimi ◽  
J. A. Terry ◽  
O. Hitt ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Centre for Ecology & Hydrology – Gridded Estimates of Areal Rainfall (CEH-GEAR) dataset was developed to provide reliable 1 km gridded estimates of daily and monthly rainfall for Great Britain (GB) and Northern Ireland (NI) (together with approximately 3500 km2 of catchment in the Republic of Ireland) from 1890 onwards. The dataset was primarily required to support hydrological modelling. The rainfall estimates are derived from the Met Office collated historical weather observations for the UK which include a national database of raingauge observations. The natural neighbour interpolation methodology, including a normalisation step based on average annual rainfall, was used to generate the daily and monthly rainfall grids. To derive the monthly estimates, rainfall totals from monthly and daily (when complete month available) read raingauges were used in order to obtain maximum information from the raingauge network. The daily grids were adjusted so that the monthly grids are fully consistent with the daily grids. The CEH-GEAR dataset was developed according to the guidance provided by the British Standards Institution. The CEH-GEAR dataset contains 1 km grids of daily and monthly rainfall estimates for GB and NI for the period 1890–2012. For each day and month, CEH-GEAR includes a secondary grid of distance to the nearest operational raingauge. This may be used as an indicator of the quality of the estimates. When this distance is greater than 100 km, the estimates are not calculated due to high uncertainty. CEH-GEAR is available free of charge for commercial and non-commercial use subject to licensing terms and conditions. doi:10.5285/5dc179dc-f692-49ba-9326-a6893a503f6e


2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 445-460 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. P. Mittermaier

Abstract. A simple measure of the uncertainty associated with using radar-derived rainfall estimates as "truth" has been introduced to the Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) verification process to assess the effect on forecast skill and errors. Deterministic precipitation forecasts from the mesoscale version of the UK Met Office Unified Model for a two-day high-impact event and for a month were verified at the daily and six-hourly time scale using a spatially-based intensity-scale method and various traditional skill scores such as the Equitable Threat Score (ETS) and log-odds ratio. Radar-rainfall accumulations from the UK Nimrod radar-composite were used. The results show that the inclusion of uncertainty has some effect, shifting the forecast errors and skill. The study also allowed for the comparison of results from the intensity-scale method and traditional skill scores. It showed that the two methods complement each other, one detailing the scale and rainfall accumulation thresholds where the errors occur, the other showing how skillful the forecast is. It was also found that for the six-hourly forecasts the error distributions remain similar with forecast lead time but skill decreases. This highlights the difference between forecast error and forecast skill, and that they are not necessarily the same.


Atmósfera ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 411-427
Author(s):  
HOSSEIN MALEKINEZHAD ◽  
ARASH ZARE-GARIZI

Daily extreme precipitation values are among environmental events with the most disastrous consequences for human society. Information on the magnitudes and frequencies of extreme precipitations is essential for sustainable water resources management, planning for weather-related emergencies, and design of hydraulic structures. In the present study, regional frequency analysis of maximum daily rainfalls was investigated for Golestan province located in the northeastern Iran. This study aimed to find appropriate regional frequency distributions for maximum daily rainfalls and predict the return values of extreme rainfall events (design rainfall depths) for the future. L-moment regionalization procedures coupled with an index rainfall methodwere applied to maximum rainfall records of 47 stations across the study area. Due to complex geographicand hydro-climatological characteristics of the region, an important research issue focused on breaking downthe large area into homogeneous and coherent sub-regions. The study area was divided into five homogeneousregions, based on the cluster analysis of site characteristics and tests for the regional homogeneity.The goodness-of-fit results indicated that the best fitting distribution is different for individual homogeneousregions. The difference may be a result of the distinctive climatic and geographic conditions. The estimatedregional quantiles and their accuracy measures produced by Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that theestimation uncertainty as measured by the RMSE values and 90% error bounds is relatively low when returnperiods are less than 100 years. But, for higher return periods, rainfall estimates should be treated withcaution. More station years, either from longer records or more stations in the regions, would be required forrainfall estimates above T=100 years. It was found from the analyses that, the index rainfall (at-site averagemaximum rainfall) can be estimated reasonably well as a function of mean annual precipitation in Golestanprovince. Index rainfalls combined with the regional growth curves, can be used to estimate design rainfallsat ungauged sites. Overall, it was found that cluster analysis together with the L-moments based regional frequencyanalysis technique could be applied successfully in deriving design rainfall estimates for northeasternIran. The approach utilized in this study and the findings are of great scientific and practical merit, particularlyfor the purpose of planning for weather-related emergencies and design of hydraulic engineering structures


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 143-155 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. D. J. Keller ◽  
M. Tanguy ◽  
I. Prosdocimi ◽  
J. A. Terry ◽  
O. Hitt ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Centre for Ecology & Hydrology – Gridded Estimates of Areal Rainfall (CEH-GEAR) data set was developed to provide reliable 1 km gridded estimates of daily and monthly rainfall for Great Britain (GB) and Northern Ireland (NI) (together with approximately 3500 km2 of catchment in the Republic of Ireland) from 1890 onwards. The data set was primarily required to support hydrological modelling. The rainfall estimates are derived from the Met Office collated historical weather observations for the UK which include a national database of rain gauge observations. The natural neighbour interpolation methodology, including a normalisation step based on average annual rainfall (AAR), was used to generate the daily and monthly rainfall grids. To derive the monthly estimates, rainfall totals from monthly and daily (when complete month available) rain gauges were used in order to obtain maximum information from the rain gauge network. The daily grids were adjusted so that the monthly grids are fully consistent with the daily grids. The CEH-GEAR data set was developed according to the guidance provided by the British Standards Institution. The CEH-GEAR data set contains 1 km grids of daily and monthly rainfall estimates for GB and NI for the period 1890–2012. For each day and month, CEH-GEAR includes a secondary grid of distance to the nearest operational rain gauge. This may be used as an indicator of the quality of the estimates. When this distance is greater than 100 km, the estimates are not calculated due to high uncertainty. CEH-GEAR is available from doi:10.5285/5dc179dc-f692-49ba-9326-a6893a503f6e and is free of charge for commercial and non-commercial use subject to licensing terms and conditions.


2000 ◽  
Vol 111 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. R. M. Hay ◽  
T. P. Baglin ◽  
P. W. Collins ◽  
F. G. H. Hill ◽  
D. M. Keeling

2006 ◽  
Vol 175 (4S) ◽  
pp. 476-477
Author(s):  
Freddie C. Hamdy ◽  
Joanne Howson ◽  
Athene Lane ◽  
Jenny L. Donovan ◽  
David E. Neal

2006 ◽  
Vol 175 (4S) ◽  
pp. 210-210
Author(s):  
◽  
Freddie C. Hamdy ◽  
Athene Lane ◽  
David E. Neal ◽  
Malcolm Mason ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

2003 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 131
Author(s):  
A ZAPHIRIOU ◽  
S ROBB ◽  
G MENDEZ ◽  
T MURRAYTHOMAS ◽  
S HARDMAN ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document