IMPROVED RAINFALL/RUNOFF ESTIMATES USING REMOTELY SENSED SOIL MOISTURE

Author(s):  
Jennifer M. Jacobs ◽  
David A. Myers ◽  
Brent M. Whitfield
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Domenico De Santis ◽  
Christian Massari ◽  
Stefania Camici ◽  
Sara Modanesi ◽  
Luca Brocca ◽  
...  

<p>The increasing availability of remotely sensed soil moisture (SM) observations has brought great interest in their use in data assimilation (DA) frameworks in order to improve streamflow simulations. However, the added-value of assimilating satellite SM into rainfall-runoff models is still difficult to be quantified, and much more research is needed to fully understand benefits and limitations.</p><p>Here, an extensive evaluation of remotely sensed SM assimilation on hydrological model performances was carried out, involving 775 catchments across Europe. Satellite observations for over a decade from the three ESA CCI SM products (ACTIVE, PASSIVE and COMBINED) were assimilated in a lumped rainfall-runoff model which includes a thin surface layer in its soil schematization, by using the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). Observations were mapped into the space of modelled surface layer SM through a monthly CDF-matching prior to DA, while the observation error variance was calibrated in every catchment in order to maximize the assimilation efficiency.</p><p>The implemented DA procedure, aimed at reducing only random errors in SM variables, generally resulted in limited runoff improvements, although with some variability within the study domain. Factors emerging as relevant for the assessment of assimilation impact were: i) the open-loop (OL) model performance; ii) the remotely sensed SM accuracy for hydrological purposes; iii) the sensitivity of the catchment response to soil moisture dynamics; and also iv) issues in DA implementation (e.g., violations in theoretical assumptions).</p><p>The open-loop model results contributed significantly to explain differences in assimilation performances observed within the study area as well as at the seasonal scale; overall, the high OL efficiency is the main cause of the slight improvements here observed after DA. The integration of satellite SM information, showing greater skills in correspondence of poorer streamflow simulations, confirmed a potential in reducing the effects of rainfall inaccuracies.</p><p>The variability in satellite SM accuracy for hydrological purposes was also found to be relevant in DA assessment. The ACTIVE product assimilation generally provided the best streamflow results within the study catchments, followed by COMBINED and PASSIVE ones, while factors affecting the SM retrieval such as vegetation density and topographic complexity were not found to have a decisive effect on DA results.</p><p>Low assimilation performances were obtained when runoff was dominated by snow dynamics (e.g., in the northern areas of the study domain, or in winter season at medium latitudes), due to the SM conditions having a negligible effect on the hydrological response.</p><p>Finally, in basins where SM was persistently near the saturation value, deteriorations in hydrological simulations were observed, mainly attributable to violation of error normality hypothesis in EnKF due to the bounded nature of soil moisture.</p><p>In conclusion, the added-value of assimilating remotely sensed SM into rainfall-runoff models was confirmed to be linked to multiple factors: understanding their contribution and interactions deserves further research and is fundamental to take full advantage of the potential of satellite SM retrievals, in parallel with their progress in terms of accuracy and resolutions.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 1305-1320 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashley J. Wright ◽  
Jeffrey P. Walker ◽  
Valentijn R. N. Pauwels

Abstract An increased understanding of the uncertainties present in rainfall time series can lead to improved confidence in both short- and long-term streamflow forecasts. This study presents an analysis that considers errors arising from model input data, model structure, model parameters, and model states with the objective of finding a self-consistent set that includes hydrological models, model parameters, streamflow, remotely sensed (RS) soil moisture (SM), and rainfall. This methodology can be used by hydrologists to aid model and satellite selection. Taking advantage of model input data reduction and model inversion techniques, this study uses a previously developed methodology to estimate areal rainfall time series for the study catchment of Warwick, Australia, for multiple rainfall–runoff models. RS SM observations from the Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) satellites were assimilated into three different rainfall–runoff models using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). Innovations resulting from the observed and predicted SM were analyzed for Gaussianity. The findings demonstrate that consistency between hydrological models, model parameters, streamflow, RS SM, and rainfall can be found. Joint estimation of rainfall time series and model parameters consistently improved streamflow simulations. For all models rainfall estimates are less than the observed rainfall, and rainfall estimates obtained using the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting (SAC-SMA) model are the most consistent with gauge-based observations. The SAC-SMA model simulates streamflow that is most consistent with observations. EnKF innovations obtained when SMOS RS SM observations were assimilated into the SAC-SMA model demonstrate consistency between SM products.


2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 4113-4144 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Brocca ◽  
F. Melone ◽  
T. Moramarco ◽  
W. Wagner ◽  
V. Naeimi ◽  
...  

Abstract. The role and the importance of soil moisture for meteorological, agricultural and hydrological applications is widely known. Remote sensing offers the unique capability to monitor soil moisture over large areas (catchment scale) with, nowadays, a temporal resolution suitable for hydrological purposes. However, the accuracy of the remotely sensed soil moisture estimates has to be carefully checked. The validation of these estimates with in-situ measurements is not straightforward due the well-known problems related to the spatial mismatch and the measurement accuracy. The analysis of the effects deriving from assimilating remotely sensed soil moisture data into hydrological or meteorological models could represent a more valuable method to test their reliability. In particular, the assimilation of satellite-derived soil moisture estimates into rainfall-runoff models at different scales and over different regions represents an important scientific and operational issue. In this study, the soil wetness index (SWI) product derived from the Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) sensor onboard of the Metop satellite was tested. The SWI was firstly compared with the soil moisture temporal pattern derived from a continuous rainfall-runoff model (MISDc) to assess its relationship with modeled data. Then, by using a simple data assimilation technique, the linearly rescaled SWI that matches the range of variability of modelled data (denoted as SWI*) was assimilated into MISDc and the model performance on flood estimation was analyzed. Moreover, three synthetic experiments considering errors on rainfall, model parameters and initial soil wetness conditions were carried out. These experiments allowed to further investigate the SWI potential when uncertain conditions take place. The most significant flood events, which occurred in the period 2000–2009 on five subcatchments of the Upper Tiber River in Central Italy, ranging in extension between 100 and 650 km2, were used as case studies. Results reveal that the SWI derived from the ASCAT sensor can be conveniently adopted to improve runoff prediction in the study area, mainly if the initial soil wetness conditions are unknown.


2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 1881-1893 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Brocca ◽  
F. Melone ◽  
T. Moramarco ◽  
W. Wagner ◽  
V. Naeimi ◽  
...  

Abstract. The role and the importance of soil moisture for meteorological, agricultural and hydrological applications is widely known. Remote sensing offers the unique capability to monitor soil moisture over large areas (catchment scale) with, nowadays, a temporal resolution suitable for hydrological purposes. However, the accuracy of the remotely sensed soil moisture estimates has to be carefully checked. The validation of these estimates with in-situ measurements is not straightforward due the well-known problems related to the spatial mismatch and the measurement accuracy. The analysis of the effects deriving from assimilating remotely sensed soil moisture data into hydrological or meteorological models could represent a more valuable method to test their reliability. In particular, the assimilation of satellite-derived soil moisture estimates into rainfall-runoff models at different scales and over different regions represents an important scientific and operational issue. In this study, the soil wetness index (SWI) product derived from the Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) sensor onboard of the Metop satellite was tested. The SWI was firstly compared with the soil moisture temporal pattern derived from a continuous rainfall-runoff model (MISDc) to assess its relationship with modeled data. Then, by using a simple data assimilation technique, the linearly rescaled SWI that matches the range of variability of modelled data (denoted as SWI*) was assimilated into MISDc and the model performance on flood estimation was analyzed. Moreover, three synthetic experiments considering errors on rainfall, model parameters and initial soil wetness conditions were carried out. These experiments allowed to further investigate the SWI potential when uncertain conditions take place. The most significant flood events, which occurred in the period 2000–2009 on five subcatchments of the Upper Tiber River in central Italy, ranging in extension between 100 and 650 km2, were used as case studies. Results reveal that the SWI derived from the ASCAT sensor can be conveniently adopted to improve runoff prediction in the study area, mainly if the initial soil wetness conditions are unknown.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Navid Jadidoleslam ◽  
Ricardo Mantilla ◽  
Witold Krajewski

<p>Recent observation-based studies have shown that satellite-based antecedent soil moisture can provide useful information on runoff production. The patterns uncovered can be used to benchmark the degree of coupling between antecedent soil moisture, rainfall totals and runoff production, and to determine if hydrologic models can reproduce these patterns for a particular model parameterization of their rainfall-runoff processes. The goal of our study is twofold; First, it derives the relationships between runoff ratio and its major controls, including rainfall total, antecedent soil moisture, and vegetation using remotely sensed data products. Second, it aims to determine if the model is capable to reproduce these relationships and use them to validate model parameters and streamflow predictions. For this purpose, SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive) satellite-based soil moisture, S-band radar rainfall, MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) vegetation index, and USGS (United States Geological Survey) daily streamflow observations are used. The study domain consists of thirty-eight basins less than 1000 km<sup>2</sup> located in an agricultural region in the United States Midwest. For each basin, daily streamflow predictions, before and after adjustments to the hydrologic model are compared with observations. The comparisons are done for four years (2015-2018) using multiple performance metrics. This study could serve as a data-driven approach for parameterization of rainfall-runoff partitioning in hydrologic models using remotely sensed observations. </p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linglin Zeng ◽  
Shun Hu ◽  
Daxiang Xiang ◽  
Xiang Zhang ◽  
Deren Li ◽  
...  

Soil moisture mapping at a regional scale is commonplace since these data are required in many applications, such as hydrological and agricultural analyses. The use of remotely sensed data for the estimation of deep soil moisture at a regional scale has received far less emphasis. The objective of this study was to map the 500-m, 8-day average and daily soil moisture at different soil depths in Oklahoma from remotely sensed and ground-measured data using the random forest (RF) method, which is one of the machine-learning approaches. In order to investigate the estimation accuracy of the RF method at both a spatial and a temporal scale, two independent soil moisture estimation experiments were conducted using data from 2010 to 2014: a year-to-year experiment (with a root mean square error (RMSE) ranging from 0.038 to 0.050 m3/m3) and a station-to-station experiment (with an RMSE ranging from 0.044 to 0.057 m3/m3). Then, the data requirements, importance factors, and spatial and temporal variations in estimation accuracy were discussed based on the results using the training data selected by iterated random sampling. The highly accurate estimations of both the surface and the deep soil moisture for the study area reveal the potential of RF methods when mapping soil moisture at a regional scale, especially when considering the high heterogeneity of land-cover types and topography in the study area.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 872
Author(s):  
Vesna Đukić ◽  
Ranka Erić

Due to the improvement of computation power, in recent decades considerable progress has been made in the development of complex hydrological models. On the other hand, simple conceptual models have also been advanced. Previous studies on rainfall–runoff models have shown that model performance depends very much on the model structure. The purpose of this study is to determine whether the use of a complex hydrological model leads to more accurate results or not and to analyze whether some model structures are more efficient than others. Different configurations of the two models of different complexity, the Système Hydrologique Européen TRANsport (SHETRAN) and Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS), were compared and evaluated in simulating flash flood runoff for the small (75.9 km2) Jičinka River catchment in the Czech Republic. The two models were compared with respect to runoff simulations at the catchment outlet and soil moisture simulations within the catchment. The results indicate that the more complex SHETRAN model outperforms the simpler HEC HMS model in case of runoff, but not for soil moisture. It can be concluded that the models with higher complexity do not necessarily provide better model performance, and that the reliability of hydrological model simulations can vary depending on the hydrological variable under consideration.


Author(s):  
M.P. Schamschula ◽  
W.L. Crosson ◽  
C. Laymon ◽  
R. Inguva ◽  
A. Steward

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