Statistical Analyses of Incidents on Oil and Gas Pipelines Based on Comparing Different Pipeline Incident Databases

Author(s):  
Ke Shan ◽  
Jian Shuai

Pipelines are regarded as one of the most practical and economical modes for transporting dangerous and combustible substances, such as oil and gas. However, the use of historical failure data in qualitative risk assessment of oil and gas pipelines is unusual due to lack of data or incomplete information. The pipeline incident database (PID) provides valuable information for researchers to identify potential threats of oil and gas pipeline systems, and catty out effective risk assessment. In this study, pipeline failure statistics such as pipeline classifications, incident definitions, failure causes and failure frequencies from the United States, Canada, Europe and United Kingdom are compared. Failure frequency of oil and gas pipelines for different kinds of primary failure causes are estimated from the statistical analysis of the mileage, pipe-related incident, and failure cause data collected by each PID. Although above-mentioned databases are established by pipeline operators in developed countries, the statistical analyses of incidents on oil and gas pipelines based on comparing different pipeline incident databases can benefit the quantitative risk assessment of pipeline systems also in some developing countries where pipeline incident database haven’t been established.

Author(s):  
W. E. Amend ◽  
G. T. Quickel ◽  
W. A. Bruce ◽  
J. A. Beavers

There are more than 2.5 million miles of oil and gas pipelines in the United States, totaling over 330 million girth welds below ground. During construction, girth welds are susceptible to the formation of various defects, one of which is hydrogen-assisted cracks. The synergistic impact of tensile stress, a susceptible microstructure, and atomic hydrogen can lead to hydrogen embrittlement and the formation of hydrogen cracks. This paper reviews hydrogen cracking of girth welds in carbon steel pipelines made during new construction and provides examples involving hydrogen cracking in which failure analysis techniques were used to establish the metallurgical cause of failure.


Author(s):  
Hua Zhang ◽  
Jinheng Luo ◽  
Juanli Chen ◽  
Xinwei Zhao ◽  
Guangli Zhang

Risk assessment is basis to put pipeline integrity management in practice and the acceptable risk level is important criteria to execute risk assessment and constitute maintenance safeguard. So it is very important to establish a rational and practicable acceptable criterion and present a specific acceptable risk level. It is just for this need that the present paper gave a review of all the available research around the acceptable risk level and analyzed various domestic and overseas standards and documentation concerning how to define the acceptable risk criteria. As a result, a criterion suitable for oil and gas pipeline was presented and recommended acceptable risk level was gave.


2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 175
Author(s):  
Amin Zargari Kolaei ◽  
Mahnaz Nasrabadi ◽  
Saeid Givehchi

Due to the sensitivity and vital and undeniable role of gas energy in the energy basket of the country, especially in economy, evaluation of risk assessment studies on the designing and exploiting of this massive and extensive industry including oil and gas pipelines seems to be very necessary. Generally, risk assessment is process of the determining the risk quantity and quality by analyzing potential risks in the project which will be done by taking into account the sensitivity or vulnerability of the surrounding environment. kent Muhlbauer’s method based on relative scoring of parameters that are involved in risks creation deals with the risk assessment. In order to establishment this system for risk assessment of statistical data collection, due to the failure of Iranian oil and gas pipelines, experts and scholars’ experiences as a field project (South Pars gas condensate export pipeline) were collected. According to the existing conditions and availability of information sources in the Iranian oil and gas industry, finally, these data as safety risk assessment criteria of pipelines were processed in a graph and scoring was conducted based on the relative weighting of risk starter elements in the pipeline. according to the obtained scores and the relative risk of different areas of pipeline by considering km scale of areas, it was identified that 16% of the total pipeline had very high risk level, 34% of the total pipeline had high risk level, 34% of the total pipeline had medium risk level and 16% of the pipeline had low risk level.


2013 ◽  
Vol 634-638 ◽  
pp. 3603-3608
Author(s):  
Bing Chao Zhao ◽  
Xue Yi Yu ◽  
Jin Dong Wang

Aim at gob in loess gully region is the only ways of West—East oil and gas pipeline, the risk assessment on oil and gas pipeline through gob is solve operation of pipelines, and prevent the occurrence of major disasters and urgently need to study and solve major problems. It combines with integral method to further risk assessment on oil and gas pipelines across god based on the results mining subsidence hazard study in loess gully region. The method has proved that has some guidance on risk assessment of oil and gas pipelines through the loess gully region, and it is for further study on overlying gob pipeline movement and deformation to lay the theoretical basis.


Author(s):  
Laya Parvizsedghy ◽  
Tarek Zayed

According to the 2013 Report Card, oil and gas pipelines of the United States of America are in poor condition. Pipelines are proved to be safer and more efficient than the other means of transportation of petroleum products. However, they have failed during their operation and sometimes their failures have caused catastrophic losses and serious injuries. Most of the pipelines are laid underground, thus their condition is very difficult to be evaluated. On the other hand, a comprehensive study of the previous works proves the lack of an integrated model on the failures of these pipelines. This paper aims to model the probability of failures based on the historical data on the incidents of oil and gas pipelines. After identification of the main sources of pipelines’ failures, historical data is used to build a Probabilistic Failures’ Bow-Tie Model for Oil and Gas Pipelines. The model will be able to recognize the potential failure sources of each pipeline and predict the probability of occurrence of the major hazards.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junnan Xiong ◽  
Ming Sun ◽  
Hao Zhang ◽  
Weiming Cheng ◽  
Yinghui Yang ◽  
...  

Abstract. Landslide disaster is one of the main risks involved with the operation of long-distance oil and gas pipelines. Because previously established disaster risk models are too subjective, this paper presents a quantitative model for regional risk assessment through an analysis of the laws of historical landslide disasters along oil and gas pipelines. Using the Guangyuan section of the Lanzhou–Chengdu–Chongqing (LCC) Long-Distance Products Oil Pipeline (82 km) in China as a case study, we successively carried out two independent assessments: a hazard assessment and a vulnerability assessment. We used an entropy weight method to establish a system for the vulnerability assessment, whereas a Levenberg Marquardt-Back Propagation (LM-BP) neural network model was used to conduct the hazard assessment. The risk assessment was carried out on the basis of two assessments. The first, the system of the vulnerability assessment, considered the pipeline position and the angle between the pipe and the landslide (pipeline laying environmental factors). We also used an interpolation theory to generate the standard sample matrix of the LM-BP neural network. Accordingly, a landslide hazard risk zoning map was obtained based on hazard and vulnerability assessment. The results showed that about 70 % of the slopes were in high-hazard areas with a comparatively high landslide possibility and that the southern section of the oil pipeline in the study area was in danger. These results can be used as a guide for preventing and reducing regional hazards, establishing safe routes for both existing and new pipelines and safely operating pipelines in the Guangyuan section and other segments of the LCC oil pipeline.


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