scholarly journals SAT0071 ANALYSIS OF CHRONOLOGICAL CHANGES IN JAPANESE VERSION OF HEALTH ASSESSMENT QUESTIONNAIRE SCORE AND FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH J-HAQ REMISSION AT 5 YEARS AFTER DISEASE ONSET IN PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS USING THE IORRA COHORT

Author(s):  
Mai Abe ◽  
Eiichi Tanaka ◽  
Eisuke Inoue ◽  
Mika Kawano ◽  
Eri Sugano ◽  
...  
2008 ◽  
Vol 68 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
S L Hider ◽  
A J Silman ◽  
W Thomson ◽  
M Lunt ◽  
D Bunn ◽  
...  

Purpose:Methotrexate (MTX) is the first choice conventional disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) for rheumatoid arthritis. It is not universally effective, however; although to date it is not possible to predict with any accuracy which patients will respond to treatment. The aim of this analysis was to examine whether clinical and genetic variables could be used to predict response to MTX.Methods:Patients recruited to the Norfolk Arthritis Register (NOAR), a primary care based inception cohort of patients with inflammatory polyarthritis, were eligible for this analysis if they were commenced on MTX as their first DMARD within 3 months of their baseline visit and had at least 2 years of follow-up data. Outcome on MTX was defined as: (1) stopped for adverse events; (2) stopped for inefficacy or second DMARD added; (3) stopped for other reasons; or (4) remained on MTX monotherapy. Multiple logistic regression was used to establish which variables (including demographics, disease activity and Health Assessment Questionnaire score) predicted stopping monotherapy for inefficacy or adverse event (with those remaining on treatment taken as the referent category). The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curves (AUC ROC), were used to determine how accurate the model was at predicting outcome.Results:309 patients were included in this analysis. At 1 year (2 years), 34 (46) patients had stopped for adverse events and 25 (49) had either stopped monotherapy for inefficacy or had a second DMARD added. 231 (188) patients remained on MTX monotherapy. The strongest predictor of inefficacy at both time points was shared epitope positivity: odds ratios (OR) 5.8 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.3 to 25.6) at 1 year, OR 3.0 (95% CI 1.3 to 7.3) at 2 years. High Health Assessment Questionnaire score (OR 1.84 95% CI 1.12 to 3.01) and female gender (OR 2.2, 95% CI 0.92 to 5.28) were associated with adverse events on MTX at 1 year. However, even the most optimal combinations of the factors analysed were only weakly predictive of treatment outcome: AUC ROC for adverse events 0.68 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.78) and for inefficacy AUC ROC 0.71 (95% CI 0.6 to 0.81).Conclusions:Within this cohort, routine clinical and laboratory factors were poor at predicting outcome of treatment with MTX. Given the major therapeutic advantage to be derived from accurate prediction of treatment outcome, further studies will need to investigate novel biological and other markers.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1097.2-1098
Author(s):  
V. Strand ◽  
S. Cohen ◽  
L. Zhang ◽  
T. Mellors ◽  
A. Jones ◽  
...  

Background:Therapy choice and therapy change depend on the ability to accurately assess patients’ disease activity. The clinical assessments used to evaluate treatment response in rheumatoid arthritis have inherent variability, normally considered as measurement error, intra-observer variability or within subject variability. Each contribute to variability in deriving response status as defined by composite measures such as the ACR or EULAR criteria, particularly when a one-time observed measurement lies near the boundary defining response or non-response. To select an optimal therapeutic strategy in the burgeoning age of precision medicine in rheumatology, achieve the lowest disease activity and maximize long-term health outcomes for each patient, improved treatment response definitions are needed.Objectives:Develop a high-confidence definition of treatment response and non-response in rheumatoid arthritis that exceeds the expected variability of subcomponents in the composite response criteria.Methods:A Monte Carlo simulation approach was used to assess ACR50 and EULAR response outcomes in 100 rheumatoid arthritis patients who had been treated for 6 months with a TNF inhibitor therapy. Monte Carlo simulations were run with 2000 iterations implemented with measurement variability derived for each clinical assessment: tender joint count, swollen joint count, Health Assessment Questionnaire disability index (HAQ-DI), patient pain assessment, patient global assessment, physician global assessment, serum C-reactive protein level (CRP) and disease activity score 28-joint count with CRP.1-3 Each iteration of the Monte Carlo simulation generated one outcome with a value of 0 or 1 indicating non-responder or responder, respectively.Results:A fidelity score, calculated separately for ACR50 and EULAR response, was defined as an aggregated score from 2000 iterations reported as a fraction that ranges from 0 to 1. The fidelity score depicted a spectrum of response covering strong non-responders, inconclusive statuses and strong responders. A fidelity score around 0.5 typified a response status with extreme variability and inconclusive clinical response to treatment. High-fidelity scores were defined as >0.7 or <0.3 for responders and non-responders, respectively, meaning that the simulated clinical response status label among all simulations agreed at least 70% of the time. High-confidence true responders were considered as those patients with high-fidelity outcomes in both ACR50 and EULAR outcomes.Conclusion:A definition of response to treatment should exceed the expected variability of the clinical assessments used in the composite measure of therapeutic response. By defining high-confidence responders and non-responders, the true impact of therapeutic efficacy can be determined, thus forging a path to development of better treatment options and advanced precision medicine tools in rheumatoid arthritis.References:[1]Cheung, P. P., Gossec, L., Mak, A. & March, L. Reliability of joint count assessment in rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic literature review. Semin Arthritis Rheum43, 721-729, doi:10.1016/j.semarthrit.2013.11.003 (2014).[2]Uhlig, T., Kvien, T. K. & Pincus, T. Test-retest reliability of disease activity core set measures and indices in rheumatoid arthritis. Ann Rheum Dis68, 972-975, doi:10.1136/ard.2008.097345 (2009).[3]Maska, L., Anderson, J. & Michaud, K. Measures of functional status and quality of life in rheumatoid arthritis: Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ), Modified Health Assessment Questionnaire (MHAQ), Multidimensional Health Assessment Questionnaire (MDHAQ), Health Assessment Questionnaire II (HAQ-II), Improved Health Assessment Questionnaire (Improved HAQ), and Rheumatoid Arthritis Quality of Life (RAQoL). Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) 63 Suppl 11, S4-13, doi:10.1002/acr.20620 (2011).Disclosure of Interests:Vibeke Strand Consultant of: Abbvie, Amgen, Arena, BMS, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celltrion, Galapagos, Genentech/Roche, Gilead, GSK, Ichnos, Inmedix, Janssen, Kiniksa, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Regeneron, Samsung, Sandoz, Sanofi, Setpoint, UCB, Stanley Cohen: None declared, Lixia Zhang Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Ted Mellors Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Alex Jones Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Johanna Withers Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Viatcheslav Akmaev Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 267.1-267
Author(s):  
K. W. Moon

Background:Low disease activity (LDA) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are usually recognized as stable state. In according to most guidelines for RA, monotherapy of disease modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DAMRD) was recommended for RA patents with LDA. But some of patients with LDA suffer from flare in their disease course. Until now, we don’t have enough data on factors that can predict flare in RA patients with LDA.Objectives:The aim of this study is to evaluate predictor of flare in RA patient with LDA from long-term (3 year) cohort data.Methods:Korean observational study network for arthritis (KORONA) registry is a nationwide Korean RA specific cohort registry that collecting data annually from 5,376 RA patients in 23 centers across South Korea. We include the data from 1, 801 RA patients with LDA (28 –joint disease activity score (DAS 28) < 3.2 at enrollment) who had consecutive data of DAS28 for 3 years. Flare was defined as an increase in DAS28 compared with baseline of >1.2 or >0.6 if concurrent DAS28 ≥3.2. Cox regression analysis was used to identify baseline predictors of flare.Results:Among 1,801 RA patients, 673 patients (37.4%) experienced flare in 3 years. When we compare the baseline characteristics of both flare and non-flare group, more women and more non-adherent patients for medication were observed in flare group. Flare group had longer disease duration, lower EuroQol 5D score, higher health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) score, and higher erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) than non-flare group at baseline. In multivariate analysis, physician’s VAS, HAQ score, ESR, and poor adherence for medication were significant predictors of flare (Table 1).Table 1.Multivariate analysis of prediction of flare with baseline variablesMeasureHazard ratio95% Confidence IntervalP-valueFemale1.1300.906-1.4090.280Age0.9960.988-1.0050.414Physician’s VAS1.0081.002-1.013<0.01Pain VAS1.0020.998-1.0060.34EQ5D0.9520.534-1.6960.87HAQ1.4071.109-1.786<0.01ESR1.0081.002-1.014<0.01Poor adherence1.2721.047-1.545<0.05VAS: Visual Analogue Scale; EQ5D: EuroQol 5D; HAQ: Health Assessment Questionnaire; ESR: Erythrocyte Sedimentation RateConclusion:RA patient who have risk factors for flare, even though their disease activity was low, require more proactive treatment.References:[1]Bechman K, Tweehuysen L, Garrood T, Scott DL, Cope AP, Galloway JB, et al. Flares in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients with Low Disease Activity: Predictability and Association with Worse Clinical Outcomes. J Rheumatol. 2018;45(11):1515-21.[2]Singh JA, Saag KG, Bridges SL, Jr., Akl EA, Bannuru RR, Sullivan MC, et al. 2015 American College of Rheumatology Guideline for the Treatment of Rheumatoid Arthritis. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2016;68(1):1-26.[3]Sung YK, Cho SK, Choi CB, Park SY, Shim J, Ahn JK, et al. Korean Observational Study Network for Arthritis (KORONA): establishment of a prospective multicenter cohort for rheumatoid arthritis in South Korea. Semin Arthritis Rheum. 2012;41(6):745-51.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


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