scholarly journals AB0140 A HIGH-CONFIDENCE DEFINITION OF THERAPEUTIC RESPONSE IN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS USING A MONTE CARLO SIMULATION APPROACH

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1097.2-1098
Author(s):  
V. Strand ◽  
S. Cohen ◽  
L. Zhang ◽  
T. Mellors ◽  
A. Jones ◽  
...  

Background:Therapy choice and therapy change depend on the ability to accurately assess patients’ disease activity. The clinical assessments used to evaluate treatment response in rheumatoid arthritis have inherent variability, normally considered as measurement error, intra-observer variability or within subject variability. Each contribute to variability in deriving response status as defined by composite measures such as the ACR or EULAR criteria, particularly when a one-time observed measurement lies near the boundary defining response or non-response. To select an optimal therapeutic strategy in the burgeoning age of precision medicine in rheumatology, achieve the lowest disease activity and maximize long-term health outcomes for each patient, improved treatment response definitions are needed.Objectives:Develop a high-confidence definition of treatment response and non-response in rheumatoid arthritis that exceeds the expected variability of subcomponents in the composite response criteria.Methods:A Monte Carlo simulation approach was used to assess ACR50 and EULAR response outcomes in 100 rheumatoid arthritis patients who had been treated for 6 months with a TNF inhibitor therapy. Monte Carlo simulations were run with 2000 iterations implemented with measurement variability derived for each clinical assessment: tender joint count, swollen joint count, Health Assessment Questionnaire disability index (HAQ-DI), patient pain assessment, patient global assessment, physician global assessment, serum C-reactive protein level (CRP) and disease activity score 28-joint count with CRP.1-3 Each iteration of the Monte Carlo simulation generated one outcome with a value of 0 or 1 indicating non-responder or responder, respectively.Results:A fidelity score, calculated separately for ACR50 and EULAR response, was defined as an aggregated score from 2000 iterations reported as a fraction that ranges from 0 to 1. The fidelity score depicted a spectrum of response covering strong non-responders, inconclusive statuses and strong responders. A fidelity score around 0.5 typified a response status with extreme variability and inconclusive clinical response to treatment. High-fidelity scores were defined as >0.7 or <0.3 for responders and non-responders, respectively, meaning that the simulated clinical response status label among all simulations agreed at least 70% of the time. High-confidence true responders were considered as those patients with high-fidelity outcomes in both ACR50 and EULAR outcomes.Conclusion:A definition of response to treatment should exceed the expected variability of the clinical assessments used in the composite measure of therapeutic response. By defining high-confidence responders and non-responders, the true impact of therapeutic efficacy can be determined, thus forging a path to development of better treatment options and advanced precision medicine tools in rheumatoid arthritis.References:[1]Cheung, P. P., Gossec, L., Mak, A. & March, L. Reliability of joint count assessment in rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic literature review. Semin Arthritis Rheum43, 721-729, doi:10.1016/j.semarthrit.2013.11.003 (2014).[2]Uhlig, T., Kvien, T. K. & Pincus, T. Test-retest reliability of disease activity core set measures and indices in rheumatoid arthritis. Ann Rheum Dis68, 972-975, doi:10.1136/ard.2008.097345 (2009).[3]Maska, L., Anderson, J. & Michaud, K. Measures of functional status and quality of life in rheumatoid arthritis: Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ), Modified Health Assessment Questionnaire (MHAQ), Multidimensional Health Assessment Questionnaire (MDHAQ), Health Assessment Questionnaire II (HAQ-II), Improved Health Assessment Questionnaire (Improved HAQ), and Rheumatoid Arthritis Quality of Life (RAQoL). Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) 63 Suppl 11, S4-13, doi:10.1002/acr.20620 (2011).Disclosure of Interests:Vibeke Strand Consultant of: Abbvie, Amgen, Arena, BMS, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celltrion, Galapagos, Genentech/Roche, Gilead, GSK, Ichnos, Inmedix, Janssen, Kiniksa, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Regeneron, Samsung, Sandoz, Sanofi, Setpoint, UCB, Stanley Cohen: None declared, Lixia Zhang Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Ted Mellors Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Alex Jones Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Johanna Withers Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Viatcheslav Akmaev Shareholder of: Scipher Medicine Corporation, Employee of: Scipher Medicine Corporation

2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 267.1-267
Author(s):  
K. W. Moon

Background:Low disease activity (LDA) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are usually recognized as stable state. In according to most guidelines for RA, monotherapy of disease modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DAMRD) was recommended for RA patents with LDA. But some of patients with LDA suffer from flare in their disease course. Until now, we don’t have enough data on factors that can predict flare in RA patients with LDA.Objectives:The aim of this study is to evaluate predictor of flare in RA patient with LDA from long-term (3 year) cohort data.Methods:Korean observational study network for arthritis (KORONA) registry is a nationwide Korean RA specific cohort registry that collecting data annually from 5,376 RA patients in 23 centers across South Korea. We include the data from 1, 801 RA patients with LDA (28 –joint disease activity score (DAS 28) < 3.2 at enrollment) who had consecutive data of DAS28 for 3 years. Flare was defined as an increase in DAS28 compared with baseline of >1.2 or >0.6 if concurrent DAS28 ≥3.2. Cox regression analysis was used to identify baseline predictors of flare.Results:Among 1,801 RA patients, 673 patients (37.4%) experienced flare in 3 years. When we compare the baseline characteristics of both flare and non-flare group, more women and more non-adherent patients for medication were observed in flare group. Flare group had longer disease duration, lower EuroQol 5D score, higher health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) score, and higher erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) than non-flare group at baseline. In multivariate analysis, physician’s VAS, HAQ score, ESR, and poor adherence for medication were significant predictors of flare (Table 1).Table 1.Multivariate analysis of prediction of flare with baseline variablesMeasureHazard ratio95% Confidence IntervalP-valueFemale1.1300.906-1.4090.280Age0.9960.988-1.0050.414Physician’s VAS1.0081.002-1.013<0.01Pain VAS1.0020.998-1.0060.34EQ5D0.9520.534-1.6960.87HAQ1.4071.109-1.786<0.01ESR1.0081.002-1.014<0.01Poor adherence1.2721.047-1.545<0.05VAS: Visual Analogue Scale; EQ5D: EuroQol 5D; HAQ: Health Assessment Questionnaire; ESR: Erythrocyte Sedimentation RateConclusion:RA patient who have risk factors for flare, even though their disease activity was low, require more proactive treatment.References:[1]Bechman K, Tweehuysen L, Garrood T, Scott DL, Cope AP, Galloway JB, et al. Flares in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients with Low Disease Activity: Predictability and Association with Worse Clinical Outcomes. J Rheumatol. 2018;45(11):1515-21.[2]Singh JA, Saag KG, Bridges SL, Jr., Akl EA, Bannuru RR, Sullivan MC, et al. 2015 American College of Rheumatology Guideline for the Treatment of Rheumatoid Arthritis. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2016;68(1):1-26.[3]Sung YK, Cho SK, Choi CB, Park SY, Shim J, Ahn JK, et al. Korean Observational Study Network for Arthritis (KORONA): establishment of a prospective multicenter cohort for rheumatoid arthritis in South Korea. Semin Arthritis Rheum. 2012;41(6):745-51.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1434.1-1434
Author(s):  
I. Yoshii

Background:Pain control in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patient is an important matter. When pain remains even disease activity is remission, it causes deterioration of activity in daily living (ADL) in past research. In other words, pain affects ADL independently from disease activity, namely the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) score, a most popular index of ADL for patient with RA[1]. Thus, burden of remnant pain despite clinical remission in RA is serious and pending subject.Duloxetine, a potent reuptake inhibitor of serotonin and norepinephrine, is developed for the treatment of major depressive disorder [2]. It’s effectiveness for pain relief with osteoarthritis is also widely accepted. This drug should be effective not only for chronic pain due to osteoarthritis, but also due to RA. However, effectiveness of duloxetine for remnant pain relief in patient with RA in clinical remission is still unclear.Objectives:In this study, effectiveness of duloxetine for the remnant pain despite clinical remission in patient with RA was statistically evaluated.Methods:RA patients whose pain score with visual analog scale (PS-VAS) >30mm despite Clinical Disease Activity Score (CDAI) is <2.8, were picked up for the study. These patients were divided into groups whether duloxetine was administrated (a group without duloxetine: G-C; a group with duloxetine: G-D).PS-VAS, C-reactive protein, CDAI and simplified disease activity index (SDAI), modified Health Assessment Questionnaire (mHAQ), and QOL value which is calculated from Euro-QOL 5-Dimensions (EQ-5D) were measured at the initiation of duloxetine in the G-D and at the first CDAI remission attained in the G-C, and at week 12 thereafter. Change of these indices were compared with One sample T-test for each group. Patient’s global assessment (PGA) at baseline compared to the other components of CDAI was evaluated for each group statistically with One-tailed T-test. Differences between the two groups at each moment were statistically evaluated with Mann-Whitney U-test. Statistical significance was set less than 1%. All statistical analyses were performed using StatPlus:mac®(AnalystSoft Inc., Walnut, CA, USA).Results:A total of three hundred and six patients were recruited. G-D counted sixty-eight with 18 males and 50 females, while G-C counted 238 with 57 males and 181 females. Average age were 71.3 and 71.5 for G-D and G-C, respectively, with 53.6 months for time span from baseline to initiation in the G-D. 80.8% of the patients in G-D sustained to administrate duloxetine. PGA was 0.6 and 0.5 for G-D and G-C respectively, while the other component of CDAI were below 0.3 in average for both groups and these values were significantly lower than the PGA score in both groups. PS-VAS was 46.4 and 44.0, and significantly decreased to 26.1 and 36.0 in average for G-D and G-C respectively at week 12 when compared to baseline. Reversely, the CDAI score was significantly elevated significantly from 1.16 and 1.19 to 3.25 and 4.34 for G-D and G-C respectively. PGA also significantly increased to 1.5 and 2.4 for G-D and G-C respectively. CRP and the SDAI score also demonstrated same trend significantly as the CDAI score for both groups. mHAQ decreased significantly from 0.430 and 0.495 to 0.393 and 0.487 for G-D and G-C respectively. QOL value increased from 0.800 and 0.817 to 0.811 and 0.840 for G-D and G-C respectively, however no statistical significance demonstrated in both groups.Conclusion:Duloxetine has been suggested to have effectiveness for the pain relief, for improvement of ADL, and for the contribution to QOL maintenance, however, no effect of disease activity control is expected.References:[1]Yoshii I, Chijiwa T, Sawada N. Influence of pain score measured by a visual analog scale (PS-VAS) on the Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index and 28-joint Disease Activity Index with C-reactive protein in rheumatoid arthritis patients. Int J Rheum Dis 2018;21:1955-61.[2]Knadler MP, Lobo E, Chappell J, Bergstrom R. Duloxetine. Clin Pharmacokinet 2011;50:281-94.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Behrens ◽  
Michaela Koehm ◽  
Eva C. Schwaneck ◽  
Marc Schmalzing ◽  
Holger Gnann ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) is used to assess functional status in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but the change required for meaningful improvements remains unclear. A minimum clinically important difference (MCID) of 0.22 is frequently used in RA trials. The aim of this study was to determine a statistically defined critical difference for HAQ-DI (HAQ-DI-dcrit) and evaluate its association with therapeutic outcomes. Methods We retrospectively analyzed data from adult German patients with RA enrolled in a multicenter observational trial in which they received adalimumab therapy at the decision of the treating clinician during routine clinical care. The HAQ-DI-dcrit, defined as the minimum change that can be reliably discriminated from random long-term variations in patients on stable therapy, was determined by evaluating intra-individual variation in patient scores. Other outcomes of interest included Disease Activity Score-28 joints and patient-reported pain and fatigue. Results The HAQ-DI-dcrit was calculated as an improvement (decrease) from baseline of 0.68 in a discovery cohort (N = 1645) of RA patients on stable therapy and with moderate disease activity (mean DAS28 [standard deviation] of 4.4 [1.6]). In the full patient cohort (N = 2740), 22.1% of patients achieved a HAQ-DI-dcrit improvement at month 6. Compared with patients with a small improvement in HAQ-DI (decrease of ≥0.22 to < 0.68) or no improvement (< 0.22), patients achieving a HAQ-DI-dcrit at month 6 had better therapeutic outcomes at months 12 and 24, including stable functional improvements. Change in pain was the most important predictor of HAQ-DI improvement during the first 6 months of therapy. Conclusions A HAQ-DI-dcrit of 0.68 is a reliable measure of functional improvement. This measure may be useful in routine clinical care and clinical trials. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01076205. Registered on February 26, 2010 (retrospectively registered).


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 205031212095884
Author(s):  
Ariana González-Meléndez ◽  
Ruth M Fred-Jiménez ◽  
Mariangelí Arroyo-Ávila ◽  
Leyda Díaz-Correa ◽  
Naydi Pérez-Ríos ◽  
...  

Objective: The increased morbidity and mortality associated with cardiovascular events in patients with rheumatoid arthritis has been linked to traditional and nontraditional factors. However, these factors vary among different ethnicities. Few studies have described these features in Hispanic populations. Thus, we determined the clinical correlates of arterial vascular events in Hispanics from Puerto Rico. Methods: A cross-sectional study was performed in a cohort of 405 Puerto Ricans with rheumatoid arthritis. Demographic parameters, health-related behaviors, clinical manifestations, disease activity (per Disease Activity Score 28), functional status (per Health Assessment Questionnaire), comorbidities, and pharmacotherapy were compared in patients with and without incident arterial vascular events. The latter was defined as the occurrence of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, vascular procedures for coronary artery disease, stroke, or peripheral artery disease. Study groups were analyzed using bivariate and multivariate analyses. Results: Of the total study population, 87.2% were woman. The mean age at study visit was 56.1 ± 13.9 years, and the mean disease duration was 15.0 ± 13.2 years. Arterial vascular events occurred in 43 patients (10.6%). In the multivariate analysis adjusted for age and sex, arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia, metabolic syndrome, extra-articular manifestations, higher Health Assessment Questionnaire score, and number of hospitalizations were associated with arterial cardiovascular events. Conclusion: In this cohort of Puerto Ricans with rheumatoid arthritis, traditional and nontraditional factors, particularly extra-articular manifestations and functional disability, were associated with arterial vascular events. Awareness of these associations may help to implement clinical strategies in this group of rheumatoid arthritis patients at risk of arterial vascular events.


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