scholarly journals COVID-19 screening: use of an artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
pp. bmjspcare-2021-003391
Author(s):  
Narges Roustaei ◽  
Elahe Allahyari

ObjectivesCOVID-19 is the biggest pandemic of the 21st century. The disease can be influenced by various sociodemographic factors and can manifest as clinical, pulmonary and gastrointestinal symptoms. This study used an artificial neural network (ANN) model with important sociodemographic factors as well as clinical, pulmonary and gastrointestinal symptoms to screen patients for COVID-19. Patients themselves can screen for these symptoms at home.MethodsData on all registered patients were extracted in autumn. The best ANN model was selected from different combinations of connections, some hidden layers and some neurons in each hidden layer. In this study, 70% of the data were used in the network training process and the remaining 30% were used to evaluate the function of the multilayer, feed-forward, back-propagation algorithm.ResultsThe sensitivity and specificity of the ANN model in diagnosing patients with COVID-19 were 94.5% and 17.4%. In order of priority, clinical symptoms, sociodemographic factors, pulmonary symptoms and gastrointestinal symptoms were important predictive factors for COVID-19 using the ANN model. Screening patients for COVID-19 using clinical symptoms and sociodemographic factors (80% importance) remains essential.ConclusionsHome monitoring of oxygen saturation and body temperature as well as old age and drug addiction can be helpful in self-screening symptoms of COVID-19 at home, thereby preventing unnecessary visits to medical centres and reducing burden on medical services.

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-260
Author(s):  
James Abiodun Adeyanju ◽  
John Oluranti Olajide ◽  
Emmanuel Olusola Oke ◽  
Jelili Babatunde Hussein ◽  
Chiamaka Jane Ude

Abstract This study uses artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the thermo-physical properties of deep-fat frying plantain chips (ipekere). The frying was conducted with temperature and time ranged of 150 to 190 °C and 2 to 4 minutes using factorial design. The result revealed that specific heat was most influenced by temperature and time with the value 2.002 kJ/kg°C at 150 °C and 2.5 minutes. The density ranged from 0.997 – 1.005 kg/m3 while thermal diffusivity and conductivity were least affected with 0.192 x 10−6 m2/s and 0.332 W/m°C respectively at 190 °C and 4 minutes. The ANN architecture was developed using Levenberg–Marquardt (TRAINLM) and Feed-forward back propagation algorithm. The experimentation based on the ANN model produced a desirable prediction of the thermo-physical properties through the application of diverse amount of neutrons in the hidden layer. The predictive experimentation of the computational model with R2 ≥ 0.7901 and MSE ≤ 0.1125 does not only show the validity in anticipating the thermo-physical properties, it also indicates the capability of the model to identify a relevant association between frying time, frying temperatures and thermo-physical properties. Hence, to avoid a time consuming and expensive experimental tests, the developed model in this study is efficient in prediction of the thermo-physical properties of deep-fat frying plantain chips.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 78-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ajaykumar Bhagubhai Patel ◽  
Geeta S. Joshi

The use of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is becoming common due to its ability to analyse complex nonlinear events. An ANN has a flexible, convenient and easy mathematical structure to identify the nonlinear relationships between input and output data sets. This capability could efficiently be employed for the different hydrological models such as rainfall-runoff models, which are inherently nonlinear in nature. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) can be used in cases where the available data is limited. The present work involves the development of an ANN model using Feed-Forward Back Propagation algorithm for establishing monthly and annual rainfall runoff correlations. The hydrologic variables used were monthly and annual rainfall and runoff for monthly and annual time period of monsoon season. The ANN model developed in this study is applied to Dharoi reservoir watersheds of Sabarmati river basin of India. The hydrologic data were available for twenty-nine years at Dharoi station at Dharoi dam project. The model results yielding into the least error is recommended for simulating the rainfall-runoff characteristics of the watersheds. The obtained results can help the water resource managers to operate the reservoir properly in the case of extreme events such as flooding and drought.


2008 ◽  
Vol 59 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gozde Pektas ◽  
Erdal Dinc ◽  
Dumitru Baleanu

Simultaneaous spectrophotometric determination of clorsulon (CLO) and invermectin (IVE) in commercial veterinary formulation was performed by using the artificial neural network (ANN) based on the back propagation algorithm. In order to find the optimal ANN model various topogical networks were tested by using different hidden layers. A logsig input layer, a hidden layer of neurons using the logsig transfer function and an output layer of two neurons with purelin transfer function was found suitable for basic configuration for ANN model. A calibration set consisting of CLO and IVE in calibration set was prepared in the concentration range of 1-23 �g/mL and 1-14 �g/mL, repectively. This calibration set contains 36 different synthetic mixtures. A prediction set was prepared in order to evaluate the recovery of the investigated approach ANN chemometric calibration was applied to the simultaneous analysis of CLO and IVE in compounds in a commercial veterinary formulation. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method is appropriate for the routine quality control of the above mentioned active compounds.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 266-274 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adel Ghith ◽  
Thouraya Hamdi ◽  
Faten Fayala

Abstract An artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict the drape coefficient (DC). Hanging weight, Sample diameter and the bending rigidities in warp, weft and skew directions are selected as inputs of the ANN model. The ANN developed is a multilayer perceptron using a back-propagation algorithm with one hidden layer. The drape coefficient is measured by a Cusick drape meter. Bending rigidities in different directions were calculated according to the Cantilever method. The DC obtained results show a good correlation between the experimental and the estimated ANN values. The results prove a significant relationship between the ANN inputs and the drape coefficient. The algorithm developed can easily predict the drape coefficient of fabrics at different diameters.


Aviation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 90-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panarat Srisaeng ◽  
Glenn S. Baxter ◽  
Graham Wild

This study focuses on predicting Australia‘s low cost carrier passenger demand and revenue passenger kilometres performed (RPKs) using traditional econometric and artificial neural network (ANN) modelling methods. For model development, Australia‘s real GDP, real GDP per capita, air fares, Australia‘s population and unemployment, tourism (bed spaces) and 4 dummy variables, utilizing quarterly data obtained between 2002 and 2012, were selected as model parameters. The neural network used multi-layer perceptron (MLP) architecture that compromised a multi-layer feed-forward network and the sigmoid and linear functions were used as activation functions with the feed forward‐back propagation algorithm. The ANN was applied during training, testing and validation and had 11 inputs, 9 neurons in the hidden layers and 1 neuron in the output layer. When comparing the predictive accuracy of the two techniques, the ANNs provided the best prediction and showed that the performance of the ANN model was better than that of the traditional multiple linear regression (MLR) approach. The highest R-value for the enplaned passengers ANN was around 0.996 and for the RPKs ANN was round 0.998, respectively.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Sadighzadeh ◽  
A. Salehizadeh ◽  
M. Mohammadzadeh ◽  
F. Shama ◽  
S. Setayeshi ◽  
...  

Artificial neural network (ANN) is applied to predict the number of produced neutrons from IR-IECF device in wide discharge current and voltage ranges. Experimentally, discharge current from 20 to 100 mA had been tuned by deuterium gas pressure and cathode voltage had been changed from −20 to −82 kV (maximum voltage of the used supply). The maximum neutron production rate (NPR) of 1.46 × 107 n/s had occurred when the voltage was −82 kV and the discharge current was 48 mA. The back-propagation algorithm is used for training of the proposed multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network structure. The obtained results show that the proposed ANN model has achieved good agreement with the experimental data. Results show that NPR of 1.855 × 108 n/s can be achieved in voltage and current of 125 kV and 45 mA, respectively. This prediction shows 52% increment in maximum voltage of power supply. Also, the optimum discharge current can increase 1270% NPR.


2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 94-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duc Van Le

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model along with Back Propagation Algorithm (BPA) has been applied in many fields, especially in hydrology and water resources management to simulate or forecast rainfall runoff process, discharge and water level - time series, and other hydrological variables. Several researches have recently been focusing to compare the applicability of ANN model with other theory-driven and data-driven approaches. The comparison of ANN with M5 model trees for rainfall-runoff forecasting, with ARMAX models for deriving flow series, with AR models and regression models for forecasting and estimating daily river flows have been carried out. The better results that were implemented by ANN model have been concluded. So, this research trend is continued for the comparison of ANN model with Tank, Harmonic, Thomas and Fiering models in simulation of the monthly runoffs at Dong Nai river basin, Viet Nam. The results proved ANN being the best choice among these models, if suitable and enough data sources were available.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 74-79
Author(s):  
Suchi Sharma ◽  
Anjana Goen

To design any type of filters complex calculation is needed. But with the help of window method, it become simple. In this paper a Low pass filter is designed by window method with the help of Artificial Neural Network. Here, Hann window and Blackman window is used to design filter and Feed Forward Back Propagation algorithm has been taken for neural network. In this paper different data sets for cut off frequency are consider for training and testing purpose to get best results.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueping Wang ◽  
Jie Zhong ◽  
Ting Lei ◽  
Deng Chen ◽  
Haijiao Wang ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Posttraumatic epilepsy (PTE) is a common sequela after traumatic brain injury (TBI), and identifying high-risk patients with PTE is necessary for their better treatment. Although artificial neural network (ANN) prediction models have been reported and are superior to traditional models, the ANN prediction model for PTE is lacking. OBJECTIVE We aim to train and validate an ANN model to anticipate the risks of PTE. METHODS The training cohort was TBI patients registered at West China Hospital. We used a 5-fold cross-validation approach to train and test the ANN model to avoid overfitting; 21 independent variables were used as input neurons in the ANN models, using a back-propagation algorithm to minimize the loss function. Finally, we obtained sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of each ANN model from the 5 rounds of cross-validation and compared the accuracy with a nomogram prediction model built in our previous work based on the same population. In addition, we evaluated the performance of the model using patients registered at Chengdu Shang Jin Nan Fu Hospital (testing cohort 1) and Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital (testing cohort 2) between January 1, 2013, and March 1, 2015. RESULTS For the training cohort, we enrolled 1301 TBI patients from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2017. The prevalence of PTE was 12.8% (166/1301, 95% CI 10.9%-14.6%). Of the TBI patients registered in testing cohort 1, PTE prevalence was 10.5% (44/421, 95% CI 7.5%-13.4%). Of the TBI patients registered in testing cohort 2, PTE prevalence was 6.1% (25/413, 95% CI 3.7%-8.4%). The results of the ANN model show that, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the training cohort was 0.907 (95% CI 0.889-0.924), testing cohort 1 was 0.867 (95% CI 0.842-0.893), and testing cohort 2 was 0.859 (95% CI 0.826-0.890). Second, the average accuracy of the training cohort was 0.557 (95% CI 0.510-0.620), with 0.470 (95% CI 0.414-0.526) in testing cohort 1 and 0.344 (95% CI 0.287-0.401) in testing cohort 2. In addition, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values and negative predictors in the training cohort (testing cohort 1 and testing cohort 2) were 0.80 (0.83 and 0.80), 0.86 (0.80 and 0.84), 91% (85% and 78%), and 86% (80% and 83%), respectively. When calibrating this ANN model, Brier scored 0.121 in testing cohort 1 and 0.127 in testing cohort 2. Compared with the nomogram model, the ANN prediction model had a higher accuracy (<i>P</i>=.01). CONCLUSIONS This study shows that the ANN model can predict the risk of PTE and is superior to the risk estimated based on traditional statistical methods. However, the calibration of the model is a bit poor, and we need to calibrate it on a large sample size set and further improve the model.


10.17158/320 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric John G. Emberda ◽  
Den Ryan L. Dumas ◽  
Timothy Pierce M. Rentillo

<p>This study compared the use of Linear Regression and Feed Forward Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in forecasting the coconut yield and copra yield of a selected area in Davao region. Raw data were gathered from the Philippine Coconut Authority, Davao Research Center. An ANN model was created and tested repeatedly to the best combination of nodes. Accuracy of the forecast between the two methods was compared by looking at the mean square error and the standard error for variable x and y. Results showed that the use of Feed Forward Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network gives better accuracy of the forecast data.</p>


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