Climate warming and active layer thaw in the boreal and tundra environments of the Mackenzie Valley

2007 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 733-743 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-ko Woo ◽  
Michael Mollinga ◽  
Sharon L Smith
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Climate Warming ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Organic Layer ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Thaw Depth ◽  
Mineral Soils

The variability of maximum active layer thickness in boreal and tundra environments has important implications for hydrological processes, terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, and the integrity of northern infrastructure. For most planning and management purposes, the long-term probability distribution of active layer thickness is of primary interest. A robust method is presented to calculate maximum active layer thickness, employing the Stefan equation to compute phase change of moisture in soils and using air temperature as the sole climatic forcing variable. Near-surface ground temperatures (boundary condition for the Stefan equation) were estimated based on empirical relationships established for several sites in the Mackenzie valley. Simulations were performed for typically saturated mineral soils, overlain with varying thickness of peat in boreal and tundra environments. The probability distributions of simulated maximum active layer thickness encompass the range of measured thaw depths provided by field data. The effects of climate warming under A2 and B2 scenarios for 2050 and 2100 were investigated. Under the A2 scenario in 2100, the simulated median thaw depth under a thin organic cover may increase by 0.3 m, to reach 1 m depth for a tundra site and 1.6 m depth for a boreal site. The median thaw depth in 2100 is dampened by about 50% under a 1 m thick organic layer. Without an insulating organic cover, thaw penetration can increase to reach 1.7 m at the tundra site. The simulations provide quantitative support that future thaw penetration in permafrost terrain will deepen differentially depending on location and soil.

The first 20 years (1978-1979 to 1998-1999) of active-layer development, Illisarvik experimental drained lake site, western Arctic coast, Canada1

2002 ◽  
Vol 39 (11) ◽  
pp. 1657-1674 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Ross Mackay ◽  
C R Burn
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Ground Ice ◽  
Vertical Movements ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Lake Bottom

Active-layer thickness, snow depth, minimum soil temperatures, near-surface ground ice, soil heave, and permafrost temperatures have been measured for over 20 years following the 1978 artificial drainage of Lake Illisarvik. Measurements of active-layer thickness and other variables have been made at 25-m intervals along the major and minor axes of the oval-shaped drained-lake bed. Permafrost aggradation commenced in the lake bottom during the first winter following drainage. Before the establishment of vegetation, there was little snow cover, minimum ground temperatures were low, and the active layer was relatively thin. However, both snow depth and minimum ground temperatures have risen where vegetation has grown, the active layer has thickened, and in response, the temperature in permafrost has gradually increased. In the lake bottom, the change in snow depth associated with vegetation growth has been the dominant control on variation in active-layer thickness and not summer weather conditions, which are well correlated with thaw depths along an active-layer course established in the adjacent tundra. Changes in elevation of the surface of the lake bed have been measured with respect to some 40 bench marks anchored in permafrost, and indicate vertical movements of the surface associated with frost heave, thaw subsidence, and the growth of aggradational ice. The ground ice content of near-surface permafrost determined by drilling is in close agreement with the measured uplift of the lake bed. The rate of growth of aggradational ice has been ~0.5 cm a–1 over 20 years.

Permafrost and active layer research on James Ross Island: An overview

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Filip Hrbáček ◽  
Daniel Nývlt ◽  
Kamil Láska ◽  
Michaela Kňažková ◽  
Barbora Kampová ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Thermal Conductivity ◽  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Thermal Regime ◽  
Ground Temperature ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
James Ross Island ◽  
The Mean

This study summarizes the current state of the active layer and permafrost research on James Ross Island. The analysis of climate parameters covers the reference period 2011–2017. The mean annual air temperature at the AWS-JGM site was -6.9°C (ranged from -3.9°C to -8.2°C). The mean annual ground temperature at the depth of 5 cm was -5.5°C (ranged from -3.3°C to -6.7°C) and it also reached -5.6°C (ranged from -4.0 to -6.8°C) at the depth of 50 cm. The mean daily ground temperature at the depth of 5 cm correlated moderately up to strongly with the air temperature depending on the season of the year. Analysis of the snow effect on the ground thermal regime confirmed a low insulating effect of snow cover when snow thickness reached up to 50 cm. A thicker snow accumulation, reaching at least 70 cm, can develop around the hyaloclastite breccia boulders where a well pronounced insulation effect on the near-surface ground thermal regime was observed. The effect of lithology on the ground physical properties and the active layer thickness was also investigated. Laboratory analysis of ground thermal properties showed variation in thermal conductivity (0.3 to 0.9 W m-1 K-1). The thickest active layer (89 cm) was observed on the Berry Hill slopes site, where the lowest thawing degree days index (321 to 382°C·day) and the highest value of thermal conductivity (0.9 W m-1 K-1) was observed. The clearest influence of lithological conditions on active layer thickness was observed on the CALM-S grid. The site comprises a sandy Holocene marine terrace and muddy sand of the Whisky Bay Formation. Surveying using a manual probe, ground penetrating radar, and an electromagnetic conductivity meter clearly showed the effect of the lithological boundary on local variability of the active layer thickness.

Ground-penetrating radar-derived measurements of active-layer thickness on the landscape scale with sparse calibration at Toolik and Happy Valley, Alaska

Geophysics ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 81 (2) ◽  
pp. H9-H19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Albert Chen ◽  
Andrew D. Parsekian ◽  
Kevin Schaefer ◽  
Elchin Jafarov ◽  
Santosh Panda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Ground Penetrating Radar ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Monitoring Network ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Antenna Coupling ◽  
Thaw Depth ◽  
Ground Penetrating ◽  
Happy Valley

Active-layer thickness (ALT) is an important parameter for studying surface energy balance, ecosystems, and hydrologic processes in cold regions. We measured ALT along 10 routes with lengths ranging from 0.7 to 6.9 km located on the Alaska North Slope near Toolik Lake and the Happy Valley airstrip (between 68.475° and 69.150°N, and [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]). Using a ground-penetrating radar (GPR) system in a common-offset configuration, we measured the two-way traveltimes from the surface to the bottom of the active layer at the end of summer, when the thaw depth was greatest. We used 500 and 800 MHz antennas; the 500 MHz antenna provided suitable vertical resolution, while producing more unambiguous active-layer reflections in the presence of nonideal antenna coupling and active layer inhomogeneity. We derived ALT measurements and their uncertainties from GPR two-way traveltimes, with mechanical probing for velocity calibration. Using an empirical relationship between the wave velocity and soil volumetric water content (VWC), we found that the velocities were consistent with soil VWCs ranging from 0.46 to 0.63. In 31% of traces, the permafrost table horizon was identifiable, resulting in ALT measurements with uncertainties of generally less than 25%. The average ALT was 48.1 cm, with a standard deviation of 16.1 cm. We found distinct patterns of ALT spatial variability at different sites and different length scales. At some sites, the ALT at one point was effectively uncorrelated with ALT at other points separated by lag distances as small as tens of meters; for other sites, there was correlation at lag distances up to approximately 400 m. The ALT statistics were similar to nearby long-term in situ ALT measurements from the Circumpolar Active Layer Monitoring Network, through which yearly ALT measurements have been made since 1990.

scholarly journals Permafrost thaw and ground settlement considering long-term climate impact in northern Alaska

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaohui Joey Yang ◽  
Kannon C. Lee ◽  
Haibo Liu
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Ground Surface ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Conditions ◽  
Ice Content ◽  
Northern Alaska

AbstractAlaska’s North Slope is predicted to experience twice the warming expected globally. When summers are longer and winters are shortened, ground surface conditions in the Arctic are expected to change considerably. This is significant for Arctic Alaska, a region that supports surface infrastructure such as energy extraction and transport assets (pipelines), buildings, roadways, and bridges. Climatic change at the ground surface has been shown to impact soil layers beneath through the harmonic fluctuation of the active layer, and warmer air temperature can result in progressive permafrost thaw, leading to a deeper active layer. This study attempts to assess climate change based on the climate model data from the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project and its impact on a permafrost environment in Northern Alaska. The predicted air temperature data are analyzed to evaluate how the freezing and thawing indices will change due to climate warming. A thermal model was developed that incorporated a ground surface condition defined by either undisturbed intact tundra or a gravel fill surface and applied climate model predicted air temperatures. Results indicate similar fluctuation in active layer thickness and values that fall within the range of minimum and maximum readings for the last quarter-century. It is found that the active layer thickness increases, with the amount depending on climate model predictions and ground surface conditions. These variations in active layer thickness are then analyzed by considering the near-surface frozen soil ice content. Analysis of results indicates that thaw strain is most significant in the near-surface layers, indicating that settlement would be concurrent with annual thaw penetration. Moreover, ice content is a major factor in the settlement prediction. This assessment methodology, after improvement, and the results can help enhance the resilience of the existing and future new infrastructure in a changing Arctic environment.

scholarly journals Mapping the Main Characteristics of Permafrost on the Basis of a Permafrost-Landscape Map of Yakutia Using GIS

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 462
Author(s):  
Alyona A. Shestakova ◽  
Alexander N. Fedorov ◽  
Yaroslav I. Torgovkin ◽  
Pavel Y. Konstantinov ◽  
Nikolay F. Vasyliev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Distribution Maps ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Cryogenic Process ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Ice Content ◽  
Landscape Map

The purpose of this article was to compile four separate digital thematic maps of temperature and ice content of permafrost, the active layer thickness, and cryogenic processes in Yakutia as a basis for assessing changes to modern climate changes and anthropogenic disturbances. In this work, materials on permafrost were used, serving as the basis for compiling a permafrost landscape map of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). The maps were compiled using ArcGIS software, which supports attribute table mapping. The ground temperature and active layer thickness maps reflected landscape zonality and regional differences. Peculiarities of genetic types of Quaternary deposits and climatic conditions reflected the ice content of surface sediments and cryogenic process distribution maps. One of the most common is ground temperatures from −2.1 to −4.0 °C, which were found to occupy about 37.4% of the territory of Yakutia. More than half of the region was found to be occupied by permafrost landscapes with a limited thickness of the active layer up to 1.1 m. Ice-rich permafrost (more than 0.4 in ice content) was found to be typical for about 40% of the territory. Thermokarst is the most hazardous process that occurs in half of Yakutia.

scholarly journals A multisite dataset of near-surface soil temperature, active-layer thickness, and soil and vegetation conditions measured in northwestern Canada, 2016-2017

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Zhang ◽  
R Touzi ◽  
W Feng ◽  
G Hong ◽  
T C Lantz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Surface Soil ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Soil Temperatures ◽  
Surface Soil Temperature ◽  
Boreal Landscape

Quantifying and understanding spatial variation in permafrost conditions at the landscape-scale is important for land use planning and assessing the impacts of permafrost thaw. This report documents detailed field data observed at 110 sites in two areas in northwestern Canada from 2016 to 2017. One area is a northern boreal landscape near Inuvik and the other is a tundra landscape near Tuktoyaktuk. The observations include near-surface soil temperatures (Tnss) at 107 sites, and active-layer thickness, soil and vegetation conditions at 110 sites. The data set includes the original Tnss records, the calculated daily, monthly, and annual averages of Tnss, soil and vegetation conditions at these sites, and photographs taken in the field. This data set will be useful for understanding the spatial heterogeneity of permafrost and validating modelling and mapping products.

scholarly journals Modelling borehole temperatures in Southern Norway – insights into permafrost dynamics during the 20th and 21st century

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 553-571 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Hipp ◽  
B. Etzelmüller ◽  
H. Farbrot ◽  
T. V. Schuler ◽  
S. Westermann
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Southern Norway

Abstract. This study aims at quantifying the thermal response of mountain permafrost in southern Norway to changes in climate since 1860 and until 2100. A transient one-dimensional heat flow model was used to simulate ground temperatures and associated active layer thicknesses for nine borehole locations, which are located at different elevations and in substrates with different thermal properties. The model was forced by reconstructed air temperatures starting from 1860, which approximately coincides with the end of the Little Ice Age in the region. The impact of climate warming on mountain permafrost to 2100 is assessed by using downscaled air temperatures from a multi-model ensemble for the A1B scenario. Borehole records over three consecutive years of ground temperatures, air temperatures and snow cover data served for model calibration and validation. With an increase of air temperature of ~1.5 °C over 1860–2010 and an additional warming of ~2.8 °C until 2100, we simulate the evolution of ground temperatures for each borehole location. In 1860 the lower limit of permafrost was estimated to be ca. 200 m lower than observed today. According to the model, since the approximate end of the Little Ice Age, the active-layer thickness has increased by 0.5–5 m and >10 m for the sites Juvvasshøe and Tron, respectively. The most pronounced increases in active layer thickness were modelled for the last two decades since 1990 with increase rates of +2 cm yr−1 to +87 cm yr−1 (20–430%). According to the A1B climate scenario, degradation of mountain permafrost is suggested to occur throughout the 21st century at most of the sites below ca. 1800 m a.s.l. At the highest locations at 1900 m a.s.l., permafrost degradation is likely to occur with a probability of 55–75% by 2100. This implies that mountain permafrost in southern Norway is likely to be confined to the highest peaks in the western part of the country.

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