scholarly journals Mapping the Main Characteristics of Permafrost on the Basis of a Permafrost-Landscape Map of Yakutia Using GIS

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 462
Author(s):  
Alyona A. Shestakova ◽  
Alexander N. Fedorov ◽  
Yaroslav I. Torgovkin ◽  
Pavel Y. Konstantinov ◽  
Nikolay F. Vasyliev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Distribution Maps ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Cryogenic Process ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Ice Content ◽  
Landscape Map

The purpose of this article was to compile four separate digital thematic maps of temperature and ice content of permafrost, the active layer thickness, and cryogenic processes in Yakutia as a basis for assessing changes to modern climate changes and anthropogenic disturbances. In this work, materials on permafrost were used, serving as the basis for compiling a permafrost landscape map of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). The maps were compiled using ArcGIS software, which supports attribute table mapping. The ground temperature and active layer thickness maps reflected landscape zonality and regional differences. Peculiarities of genetic types of Quaternary deposits and climatic conditions reflected the ice content of surface sediments and cryogenic process distribution maps. One of the most common is ground temperatures from −2.1 to −4.0 °C, which were found to occupy about 37.4% of the territory of Yakutia. More than half of the region was found to be occupied by permafrost landscapes with a limited thickness of the active layer up to 1.1 m. Ice-rich permafrost (more than 0.4 in ice content) was found to be typical for about 40% of the territory. Thermokarst is the most hazardous process that occurs in half of Yakutia.

Mapping patterns of distribution and modern conditions of permafrost landscapes in Yakutia

2020 ◽  
pp. 52-62
Author(s):  
A.A. Shestakova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Anthropogenic Impacts ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Thematic Maps ◽  
Digital Maps ◽  
Soil Temperatures ◽  
Ice Content ◽  
Cryogenic Processes ◽  
Modern Condition

Digital thematic maps of the modern condition of permafrost landscapes of Yakutia on a scale of 1:1 500 000 have been compiled. A quantitative analysis of the patterns of their spatial distribution was carried out, the differentiation of permafrost landscapes by geocryological characteristics was made, and the areas that are most vulnerable to modern climate change and anthropogenic impacts were identified. The analysis of a series of digital thematic maps of the modern condition of permafrost landscapes in Yakutia showed that 34% of the total territory is occupied by landscapes with soil temperatures from −2 to −4 °C, the least common high-temperature permafrost landscapes (from 0 to −2 °C) – about 4% of the territory. Landscapes with active layer thickness values of about 1 m are spread over 36% of the territory, which is the highest indicator. Insignificant territories (up to 3%) are occupied by landscapes with active layer thickness of up to 3 and 3,5 m. The most widespread landscapes are those with low-ice deposits (less than 0,2) – 38,7%, and landscapes with heavy-ice deposits (more than 0,4) occupy 31%. The most dangerous process is thermokarst, which occurs in the interalassic and slightly drained types of terrain. Key words: permafrost landscape, temperature of soils, ice content of deposits, cryogenic processes, digital maps, GIS model.

scholarly journals Permafrost thaw and ground settlement considering long-term climate impact in northern Alaska

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaohui Joey Yang ◽  
Kannon C. Lee ◽  
Haibo Liu
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Ground Surface ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Conditions ◽  
Ice Content ◽  
Northern Alaska

AbstractAlaska’s North Slope is predicted to experience twice the warming expected globally. When summers are longer and winters are shortened, ground surface conditions in the Arctic are expected to change considerably. This is significant for Arctic Alaska, a region that supports surface infrastructure such as energy extraction and transport assets (pipelines), buildings, roadways, and bridges. Climatic change at the ground surface has been shown to impact soil layers beneath through the harmonic fluctuation of the active layer, and warmer air temperature can result in progressive permafrost thaw, leading to a deeper active layer. This study attempts to assess climate change based on the climate model data from the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project and its impact on a permafrost environment in Northern Alaska. The predicted air temperature data are analyzed to evaluate how the freezing and thawing indices will change due to climate warming. A thermal model was developed that incorporated a ground surface condition defined by either undisturbed intact tundra or a gravel fill surface and applied climate model predicted air temperatures. Results indicate similar fluctuation in active layer thickness and values that fall within the range of minimum and maximum readings for the last quarter-century. It is found that the active layer thickness increases, with the amount depending on climate model predictions and ground surface conditions. These variations in active layer thickness are then analyzed by considering the near-surface frozen soil ice content. Analysis of results indicates that thaw strain is most significant in the near-surface layers, indicating that settlement would be concurrent with annual thaw penetration. Moreover, ice content is a major factor in the settlement prediction. This assessment methodology, after improvement, and the results can help enhance the resilience of the existing and future new infrastructure in a changing Arctic environment.

Climate warming and active layer thaw in the boreal and tundra environments of the Mackenzie Valley

2007 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 733-743 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-ko Woo ◽  
Michael Mollinga ◽  
Sharon L Smith
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Climate Warming ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Organic Layer ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Thaw Depth ◽  
Mineral Soils

The variability of maximum active layer thickness in boreal and tundra environments has important implications for hydrological processes, terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, and the integrity of northern infrastructure. For most planning and management purposes, the long-term probability distribution of active layer thickness is of primary interest. A robust method is presented to calculate maximum active layer thickness, employing the Stefan equation to compute phase change of moisture in soils and using air temperature as the sole climatic forcing variable. Near-surface ground temperatures (boundary condition for the Stefan equation) were estimated based on empirical relationships established for several sites in the Mackenzie valley. Simulations were performed for typically saturated mineral soils, overlain with varying thickness of peat in boreal and tundra environments. The probability distributions of simulated maximum active layer thickness encompass the range of measured thaw depths provided by field data. The effects of climate warming under A2 and B2 scenarios for 2050 and 2100 were investigated. Under the A2 scenario in 2100, the simulated median thaw depth under a thin organic cover may increase by 0.3 m, to reach 1 m depth for a tundra site and 1.6 m depth for a boreal site. The median thaw depth in 2100 is dampened by about 50% under a 1 m thick organic layer. Without an insulating organic cover, thaw penetration can increase to reach 1.7 m at the tundra site. The simulations provide quantitative support that future thaw penetration in permafrost terrain will deepen differentially depending on location and soil.

scholarly journals Modelling borehole temperatures in Southern Norway – insights into permafrost dynamics during the 20th and 21st century

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 553-571 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Hipp ◽  
B. Etzelmüller ◽  
H. Farbrot ◽  
T. V. Schuler ◽  
S. Westermann
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Southern Norway

Abstract. This study aims at quantifying the thermal response of mountain permafrost in southern Norway to changes in climate since 1860 and until 2100. A transient one-dimensional heat flow model was used to simulate ground temperatures and associated active layer thicknesses for nine borehole locations, which are located at different elevations and in substrates with different thermal properties. The model was forced by reconstructed air temperatures starting from 1860, which approximately coincides with the end of the Little Ice Age in the region. The impact of climate warming on mountain permafrost to 2100 is assessed by using downscaled air temperatures from a multi-model ensemble for the A1B scenario. Borehole records over three consecutive years of ground temperatures, air temperatures and snow cover data served for model calibration and validation. With an increase of air temperature of ~1.5 °C over 1860–2010 and an additional warming of ~2.8 °C until 2100, we simulate the evolution of ground temperatures for each borehole location. In 1860 the lower limit of permafrost was estimated to be ca. 200 m lower than observed today. According to the model, since the approximate end of the Little Ice Age, the active-layer thickness has increased by 0.5–5 m and >10 m for the sites Juvvasshøe and Tron, respectively. The most pronounced increases in active layer thickness were modelled for the last two decades since 1990 with increase rates of +2 cm yr−1 to +87 cm yr−1 (20–430%). According to the A1B climate scenario, degradation of mountain permafrost is suggested to occur throughout the 21st century at most of the sites below ca. 1800 m a.s.l. At the highest locations at 1900 m a.s.l., permafrost degradation is likely to occur with a probability of 55–75% by 2100. This implies that mountain permafrost in southern Norway is likely to be confined to the highest peaks in the western part of the country.

scholarly journals Transient modeling of the ground thermal conditions using satellite data in the Lena River Delta, Siberia

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Westermann ◽  
Maria Peter ◽  
Moritz Langer ◽  
Georg Schwamborn ◽  
Lutz Schirrmeister ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Thermal Conditions ◽  
River Delta ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Lena River ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Lena River Delta

Abstract. Permafrost is a sensitive element of the cryosphere, but operational monitoring of the ground thermal conditions on large spatial scales is still lacking. Here, we demonstrate a remote-sensing based scheme that is capable of estimating the transient evolution of ground temperatures and active layer thickness by means of the ground thermal model CryoGrid 2. The scheme is applied to an area of approx. 16 000 km2 in the Lena River Delta in NE Siberia for a period of 14 years. The forcing data sets at 1 km spatial and weekly temporal resolution are synthesized from satellite products (MODIS Land Surface Temperature, MODIS Snow Extent, GlobSnow Snow Water Equivalent) and fields of meteorological variables from the ERA-interim reanalysis. To assign spatially distributed ground thermal properties, a stratigraphic classification based on geomorphological observations and mapping is constructed which accounts for the large-scale patterns of sediment types, ground ice and surface properties in the Lena River Delta. A comparison of the model forcing to in-situ measurements on Samoylov Island in the southern part of the study area yields a satisfactory agreement both for surface temperature, snow depth and timing of the onset and termination of the winter snow cover. The model results are compared to observations of ground temperatures and thaw depths at nine sites in in the Lena River Delta which suggests that thaw depths are in most cases reproduced to within 0.1 m or less and multi-year averages of ground temperatures within 1 to 1.5 °C. The warmest ground temperatures are calculated for grid cells close to the main river channels in the south, as well as areas with sandy sediments and low organic and ice contents in the central delta, where also the largest thaw depths occur. On the other hand, the coldest temperatures are modeled for the eastern part, an area with low surface temperatures and snow depths. The lowest thaw depths are modeled for Yedoma permafrost featuring very high ground ice and soil organic contents in the southern parts of the delta. The comparison to in-situ observations indicates that the satellite-based model scheme is generally capable of estimating the thermal state of permafrost and its time evolution in the Lena River Delta. The approach could hence be a first step towards remote detection of ground thermal conditions and active layer thickness in permafrost areas.

scholarly journals Transient modeling of the ground thermal conditions using satellite data in the Lena River delta, Siberia

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1441-1463 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Westermann ◽  
Maria Peter ◽  
Moritz Langer ◽  
Georg Schwamborn ◽  
Lutz Schirrmeister ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Thermal Conditions ◽  
River Delta ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Lena River ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Lena River Delta

Abstract. Permafrost is a sensitive element of the cryosphere, but operational monitoring of the ground thermal conditions on large spatial scales is still lacking. Here, we demonstrate a remote-sensing-based scheme that is capable of estimating the transient evolution of ground temperatures and active layer thickness by means of the ground thermal model CryoGrid 2. The scheme is applied to an area of approximately 16 000 km2 in the Lena River delta (LRD) in NE Siberia for a period of 14 years. The forcing data sets at 1 km spatial and weekly temporal resolution are synthesized from satellite products and fields of meteorological variables from the ERA-Interim reanalysis. To assign spatially distributed ground thermal properties, a stratigraphic classification based on geomorphological observations and mapping is constructed, which accounts for the large-scale patterns of sediment types, ground ice and surface properties in the Lena River delta. A comparison of the model forcing to in situ measurements on Samoylov Island in the southern part of the study area yields an acceptable agreement for the purpose of ground thermal modeling, for surface temperature, snow depth, and timing of the onset and termination of the winter snow cover. The model results are compared to observations of ground temperatures and thaw depths at nine sites in the Lena River delta, suggesting that thaw depths are in most cases reproduced to within 0.1 m or less and multi-year averages of ground temperatures within 1–2 °C. Comparison of monthly average temperatures at depths of 2–3 m in five boreholes yielded an RMSE of 1.1 °C and a bias of −0.9 °C for the model results. The highest ground temperatures are calculated for grid cells close to the main river channels in the south as well as areas with sandy sediments and low organic and ice contents in the central delta, where also the largest thaw depths occur. On the other hand, the lowest temperatures are modeled for the eastern part, which is an area with low surface temperatures and snow depths. The lowest thaw depths are modeled for Yedoma permafrost featuring very high ground ice and soil organic contents in the southern parts of the delta. The comparison to in situ observations indicates that transient ground temperature modeling forced by remote-sensing data is generally capable of estimating the thermal state of permafrost (TSP) and its time evolution in the Lena River delta. The approach could hence be a first step towards remote detection of ground thermal conditions and active layer thickness in permafrost areas.

The first 20 years (1978-1979 to 1998-1999) of active-layer development, Illisarvik experimental drained lake site, western Arctic coast, Canada1

2002 ◽  
Vol 39 (11) ◽  
pp. 1657-1674 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Ross Mackay ◽  
C R Burn
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Ground Ice ◽  
Vertical Movements ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Lake Bottom

Active-layer thickness, snow depth, minimum soil temperatures, near-surface ground ice, soil heave, and permafrost temperatures have been measured for over 20 years following the 1978 artificial drainage of Lake Illisarvik. Measurements of active-layer thickness and other variables have been made at 25-m intervals along the major and minor axes of the oval-shaped drained-lake bed. Permafrost aggradation commenced in the lake bottom during the first winter following drainage. Before the establishment of vegetation, there was little snow cover, minimum ground temperatures were low, and the active layer was relatively thin. However, both snow depth and minimum ground temperatures have risen where vegetation has grown, the active layer has thickened, and in response, the temperature in permafrost has gradually increased. In the lake bottom, the change in snow depth associated with vegetation growth has been the dominant control on variation in active-layer thickness and not summer weather conditions, which are well correlated with thaw depths along an active-layer course established in the adjacent tundra. Changes in elevation of the surface of the lake bed have been measured with respect to some 40 bench marks anchored in permafrost, and indicate vertical movements of the surface associated with frost heave, thaw subsidence, and the growth of aggradational ice. The ground ice content of near-surface permafrost determined by drilling is in close agreement with the measured uplift of the lake bed. The rate of growth of aggradational ice has been ~0.5 cm a–1 over 20 years.

scholarly journals Modelling borehole temperatures in Southern Norway – insights into permafrost dynamics during the 20th and 21st century

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 341-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Hipp ◽  
B. Etzelmüller ◽  
H. Farbrot ◽  
T. V. Schuler ◽  
S. Westermann
Keyword(s):  
Layer Thickness ◽  
Active Layer ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Active Layer Thickness ◽  
Ground Temperatures ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Mountain Permafrost ◽  
Southern Norway ◽  
The Impact ◽  
A1b Scenario

Abstract. A transient heat flow model was used to simulate both past and future ground temperatures of mountain permafrost and associated active layer thickness in Southern Norway. The model was forced by reconstructed air temperature starting from 1860, approximately coinciding with the Little Ice Age in the region. The impact of climate warming on mountain permafrost until 2100 is assessed by using downscaled air temperatures from a multi-model ensemble for the A1B scenario. For 13 borehole locations, records over three consecutive years of ground temperatures, air temperatures and snow cover data are available for model calibration and validation. The boreholes are located at different elevations and in substrates with different thermal properties. With an increase of air temperature of ~+1.5 °C over 1860–2010 and an additional warming of +2.8 °C until 2100, we simulate the evolution of ground temperatures for the borehole locations. According to model results, the active-layer thickness has increased since 1860 by 0.5–5 m and >10 m for the sites Juvvasshøe and Tron, respectively. The simulations also suggest that at an elevation of about 1900 m a.s.l. permafrost will degrade until the end of this century with a probability of 55–75% given the chosen A1B scenario.

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