A visual index for estimating cone production for individual white spruce trees

2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (12) ◽  
pp. 3020-3026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jalene M LaMontagne ◽  
Susan Peters ◽  
Stan Boutin

The number of cones produced by coniferous trees is commonly estimated by visual counts from the ground of a portion of the tree multiplied by a simple conversion factor. Linear conversion factors have been used to estimate total cone production by white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss). However, these conversion factors originate from other coniferous species and were often based on assumptions of cone visibility within the crown and not on empirical data. We propose a simple method for estimating the total number of cones produced by individual white spruce. We counted visible cones (an index of cone production, or cone index) on a total of 60 trees located in Alberta and Yukon, Canada, that were then felled and all cones were counted. We found that log(actual total cones) = 0.073 + 1.189 × log(cone index) is more accurate for estimating total cone numbers for white spruce than are other conversion factors (ranging from total cones = 1.5 × cone index to total cones = 3.35 × cone index), as determined using Akaike's information criterion with small sample bias adjustment and a validation data set. The relationship between the index of cone production and actual total cones produced is nonlinear, which is contrary to that proposed for various Pinus species.

2004 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 1119-1127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark R Lesser ◽  
Marilyn Cherry ◽  
William H Parker

Previous laboratory and field studies have presented evidence for the existence of limestone ecotypes in white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss). Remeasurements of the range-wide 410 series of provenance trials were used for further evaluation of the existence of these ecotypes. In 2001, heights were measured of 23 provenances grown at four test sites in Ontario, all located south of 46°N. Bedrock classification for test sites and provenances by limestone or non-limestone parent material was done using a 1993 data set of the Ontario Geological Survey. Analysis of variance revealed significant differences among test sites and provenances only. No significant interactions consistent with the existence of limestone ecotypes were detected. This finding is in contrast to that of an earlier field study that detected a strong interaction between test site and provenance bedrock type (p < 0.001). Examination of the relative performance of individual provenances from limestone and non-limestone bedrock types revealed differences in performance at the four different test sites but few instances supporting the existence of limestone ecotypes. Although these more recent results generally support a pattern of between-stand variation in southern Ontario, they do not disprove the existence of limestone ecotypes, owing to the nature of the 410-series test design and the classification of provenances according to bedrock type instead of actual soil analyses.


1981 ◽  
Vol 113 (10) ◽  
pp. 949-951 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. H. Fogal ◽  
D. A. Winston ◽  
S. M. Lopushanski ◽  
D. A. MacLeod ◽  
A. J. Willcocks

White spruce, Picea glauca (Moench) Voss, is a major commercial tree species used in reforestation programs throughout Canada, and seed requirements cannot be met in some years because of insect damage and the periodic nature of cone crops. The spruce budworm, Choristoneura fumiferana (Clem.), feeds on buds and cones of its hosts, causing a pronounced decrease in cone production (Schooley 1978). A current outbreak in northeastern Ontario poses a serious threat to white spruce seed supply from high value, managed seed production areas. Therefore, in 1979, we began an experiment to determine whether carbofuran, a systemic insecticide, could be used to protect buds and cones when applied to soil. We chose carbofuran because it has proved successful for control of some insects in seed orchards in the southeastern United States (DeBarr 1978)


2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (5) ◽  
pp. 519-522
Author(s):  
Michael T. Bronson

The onset of lifetime reproduction is central to processes of plant adaptation and population changes. The relative contributions of size and age to the onset of reproduction are important to predicting that key event in individuals. To estimate respective size and age effects on first reproduction in a conifer, I observed white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) trees in forest stands in Alaska, United States, over ranges of cumulative growth rates. Age was estimated by counting annular growth rings, size was indicated by tree height, and reproductive status was indicated by seed cones. Multiple logistic regression showed the relative contributions of tree height and age, adjusted for each other, to statistical predictions of reproductive maturity. Trees selected for having little competition for light first produced cones at heights between 1 and 5 m with little additional effect of age. Tree height contributed approximately 50% to regression predictions of reproductive maturity. In contrast, tree age contributed ≤1.5% and bore little relation to reproductive maturity other than as a component of growth rate. This is among the first reports to partial the effect sizes of tree size and age on the commencement of lifetime reproduction in a conifer.


2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
C.J. Krebs ◽  
M. O’Donoghue ◽  
Shawn Taylor ◽  
A.J. Kenney ◽  
E.J. Hofer ◽  
...  

White spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) cone crops were measured at five regional centers in southern and central Yukon for 30 years at one site from 1986 to 2015 and at four other sites during 9 to 11 years to select the best climatic model that uses cues from growing season temperature and rainfall to predict the size of cone crops. We evaluated six climatic models that use summer temperature and rainfall of years t – 1 and t – 2 to predict cone crops in year t. July temperatures provided the best predictors of white spruce cone crops, and no rainfall variable was related to the size of cone crops. We explored three variants of July temperatures: mean temperature, degree-days > 5 °C, and maximum temperatures. For each of these, we used the ΔT model that uses the difference in the July temperature measures of years t – 1 and t – 2. We compared the resulting six models with corrected Akaike’s information criterion (AICc) to determine their relative predictive performance. The best model combined ΔT measures of degree-days > 5 °C and the four highest daily maximum July temperatures with R2 = 0.65. By comparison, the ΔT model involving only mean July temperatures was less successful (R2 = 0.49). There was good regional synchrony (rp = 0.7 to 0.8) in high cone crops over southern and central Yukon during 1986 to 2015.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 167-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trevor C. Lantz ◽  
Nina D. Moffat ◽  
Robert H. Fraser ◽  
Xanthe Walker

Shifts in the extent of the boreal forest during past warm intervals and correlations between climate and the position of the forest–tundra ecotone suggest that recent temperature increases will facilitate forest expansion into tundra ecosystems. In this study, we used a unique set of high-resolution repeat photographs to characterize white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) populations in 1980 and 2015 at 52 sites across the forest–tundra transition in the Northwest Territories, Canada. We also conducted field inventories at eight sites to examine mapping accuracy, construct age distributions, and assess cone production and seed viability. Our analysis shows that stand density in the forest–tundra has increased significantly since 1980 but that the density of spruce at sites in the tundra has not changed. Age distributions constructed from field sampling also indicate that recent recruitment has occurred in the forest–tundra but not at tundra sites. The nonlinear relationship between summer temperature and seed viability suggests that recent warming has facilitated recruitment in the northern Subarctic but that cold temperatures still limit recruitment at higher latitude tundra sites. Additional research to determine the extent of changes in forest density across the northern Subarctic should be conducted to determine if similar changes are occurring across this ecotone.


2002 ◽  
Vol 80 (4) ◽  
pp. 370-377 ◽  
Author(s):  
David F Greene ◽  
Christian Messier ◽  
Hugo Asselin ◽  
Marie-Josée Fortin

Mean annual seed production is assumed to be proportional to basal area for canopy trees, but it is not known if subcanopy trees produce fewer seeds than expected (given their size) because of low light availability. Ovulate cone production was examined for balsam fir (Abies balsamea (L.) Mill.) and white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) in 1998 and for balsam fir in 2000 in western Quebec using subcanopy stems, near or far from forest edges, or (at one site) planted white spruce trees in fully open conditions. A very simple light model for transmission through mature trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) crowns and through boles near forest edges was developed to account for the effect of light receipt on cone production. The enhanced light near forest edges (e.g., recent clearcuts) leads to about a doubling of cone production for subcanopy stems. The minimum subcanopy height for cone production far from an edge is about 10 m for balsam fir and 14 m for white spruce, with these minima decreasing near edges. By contrast, the minimum height for white spruce in a plantation (full light) is about 3 m. Accounting for light receipt leads to an increase in the explained variance.Key words: balsam fir, cone production, light model, regressions, subcanopy stems, white spruce.


1982 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. A. McPherson ◽  
E. K. Morgenstern ◽  
B. S. P. Wang

One seed orchard each of black spruce (Picea mariana) [Mill.] B.S.P.) and white spruce (Picea glauca) [Moench] Voss) was established in northern Ontario gradually during the 1958-78 period. Each species was represented by approximately 45 clones and 450 ramets. During the whole period, records were kept of cone production by individual ramets and of seed production by clones expressed as average number of seeds per cone extracted and germinated. Substantial cone production began 8 years after grafting in black spruce and after 10 years in white spruce. The figures indicated that a clonal orchard of black spruce planted at 5 × 5 m spacing (400 ramets) produces approximately 1 million sound seeds per ha per year; the white spruce equivalent is 900 000. Conditions of cone development and cone storage and damage by insects and fungi can reduce germination of the sound seed harvested by about 20%.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
David F. Hill ◽  
Elizabeth A. Burakowski ◽  
Ryan L. Crumley ◽  
Julia Keon ◽  
J. Michelle Hu ◽  
...  

Abstract. We present a simple method that allows snow depth measurements to be converted to snow water equivalent (SWE) estimates. These estimates are useful to individuals interested in water resources, ecological function, and avalanche forecasting. They can also be assimilated into models to help improve predictions of total water volumes over large regions. The conversion of depth to SWE is particularly valuable since snow depth measurements are far more numerous than costlier and more complex SWE measurements. Our model regresses SWE against snow depth and climatological (30-year normal) values for mean annual precipitation (MAP) and mean February temperature, producing a power-law relationship. Relying on climatological normals rather than weather data for a given year allows our model to be applied at measurement sites lacking a weather station. Separate equations are obtained for the accumulation and the ablation phases of the snowpack, which introduces day of water year (DOY) as an additional variable. The model is validated against a large database of snow pillow measurements and yields a bias in SWE of less than 0.5 mm and a root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) in SWE of approximately 65 mm. When the errors are investigated on a station-by-station basis, the average RMSE is about 5 % of the MAP at each station. The model is additionally validated against a completely independent set of data from the northeast United States. Finally, the results are compared with other models for bulk density that have varying degrees of complexity and that were built in multiple geographic regions. The results show that the model described in this paper has the best performance for the validation data set.


Botany ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 90 (2) ◽  
pp. 113-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
C.J. Krebs ◽  
J.M. LaMontagne ◽  
A.J. Kenney ◽  
S. Boutin

White spruce ( Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) cone crops were measured from 1986 to 2011 in the Kluane region of southwestern Yukon to test the hypothesis that the size of cone crops could be predicted from spring and summer temperature and rainfall of years t, t – 1, and t – 2. We counted cones in the top 3 m of an average of 700 white spruce trees each year spread over 3–14 sites along 210 km of the Alaska Highway and the Haines Highway. We tested the conventional explanation for white spruce cone crops that implicates summer temperatures and rainfall in years t and t – 1 and rejected it, since it explained very little of the variation in our 26 years of data. We used exploratory data analysis with robust multiple regressions coupled with Akaike’s information criterion corrected (AICc) analysis to determine the best statistical model to predict the size of cone crops. We could statistically explain 54% of the variation in cone crops from July and August temperatures of years t – 1 and t – 2 and May precipitation of year t – 2. There was no indication of a periodicity in cone crops, and years of large cone crops were synchronous over the Kluane region with few exceptions. This is the first quantitative model developed for the prediction of white spruce cone crops in the Canadian boreal forest and has the surprising result that weather conditions 2 years prior to the cone crop are the most significant predictors.


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