A SIMPLE FORECASTING GAME

2006 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 279-286 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. ANDRECUT
Keyword(s):  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Inductive Learning ◽  
Numerical Results ◽  
Future State ◽  
Unexpected Consequence ◽  
The Future ◽  
Correct Forecast

We consider a population of Boolean agents playing a simple forecasting game, in which the goal of each agent is to give a correct forecast of the future state of its neighbors. The numerical results show that by using a simple inductive learning algorithm the agents are able to accurately achive the goal of the game. However, this remarkable performance has an unexpected consequence: by learning to forecast the future, the agents dynamics freezes up at the end of the game; the only way to regain their dynamics is to forget what they have learned.

The Future State of the Investment Profession

CFA Magazine ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 6-7
Author(s):  
Ed McCarthy
Keyword(s):  
Future State ◽  
The Future

Application of a Rough Set-Based Inductive Learning System

1993 ◽  
Vol 18 (2-4) ◽  
pp. 209-220
Author(s):  
Michael Hadjimichael ◽  
Anita Wasilewska
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Rough Set ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Inductive Learning ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Semantic Content ◽  
Learning System ◽  
Voter Preferences

We present here an application of Rough Set formalism to Machine Learning. The resulting Inductive Learning algorithm is described, and its application to a set of real data is examined. The data consists of a survey of voter preferences taken during the 1988 presidential election in the U.S.A. Results include an analysis of the predictive accuracy of the generated rules, and an analysis of the semantic content of the rules.

scholarly journals Forecasting Gold Prices Based on Extreme Learning Machine

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumar Chandar Sivalingam ◽  
Sumathi Mahendran ◽  
Sivanandam Natarajan
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Learning Ability ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Feed Forward Back Propagation ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
The Future ◽  
Good Learning ◽  
Learning Machine

<p>In recent years, the investors pay major attention to invest in gold market ecause of huge profits in the future. Gold is the only commodity which maintains ts value even in the economic and financial crisis. Also, the gold prices are closely elated with other commodities. The future gold price prediction becomes the warning ystem for the investors due to unforeseen risk in the market. Hence, an accurate gold rice forecasting is required to foresee the business trends. This paper concentrates on orecasting the future gold prices from four commodities like historical data’s of gold rices, silver prices, Crude oil prices, Standard and Poor’s 500 stock index (S&amp;P500) ndex and foreign exchange rate. The period used for the study is from 1st January 000 to 31st April 2014. In this paper, a learning algorithm for single hidden layered eed forward neural networks called Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is used which as good learning ability. Also, this study compares the five models namely Feed orward networks without feedback, Feed forward back propagation networks, Radial asis function, ELMAN networks and ELM learning model. The results prove that he ELM learning performs better than the other methods.</p>

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