Multifractal detrended cross-correlation between the Chinese domestic and international gold markets based on DCCA and DMCA methods

2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (11) ◽  
pp. 1450090 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guangxi Cao ◽  
Yan Han ◽  
Yuemeng Chen ◽  
Chunxia Yang

Based on the daily price data of Shanghai and London gold spot markets, we applied detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA) and detrended moving average cross-correlation analysis (DMCA) methods to quantify power-law cross-correlation between domestic and international gold markets. Results show that the cross-correlations between the Chinese domestic and international gold spot markets are multifractal. Furthermore, forward DMCA and backward DMCA seems to outperform DCCA and centered DMCA for short-range gold series, which confirms the comparison results of short-range artificial data in L. Y. He and S. P. Chen [Physica A 390 (2011) 3806–3814]. Finally, we analyzed the local multifractal characteristics of the cross-correlation between Chinese domestic and international gold markets. We show that multifractal characteristics of the cross-correlation between the Chinese domestic and international gold markets are time-varying and that multifractal characteristics were strengthened by the financial crisis in 2007–2008.

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (03) ◽  
pp. 1950014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingjing Huang ◽  
Danlei Gu

In order to obtain richer information on the cross-correlation properties between two time series, we introduce a method called multiscale multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MM-DCCA). This method is based on the Hurst surface and can be used to study the non-linear relationship between two time series. By sweeping through all the scale ranges of the multifractal structure of the complex system, it can present more information than the multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA). In this paper, we use the MM-DCCA method to study the cross-correlations between two sets of artificial data and two sets of 5[Formula: see text]min high-frequency stock data from home and abroad. They are SZSE and SSEC in the Chinese market, and DJI and NASDAQ in the US market. We use Hurst surface and Hurst exponential distribution histogram to analyze the research objects and find that SSEC, SZSE and DJI, NASDAQ all show multifractal properties and long-range cross-correlations. We find that the fluctuation of the Hurst surface is related to the positive and negative of [Formula: see text], the change of scale range, the difference of national system, and the length of time series. The results show that the MM-DCCA method can give more abundant information and more detailed dynamic processes.


Fractals ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450007 ◽  
Author(s):  
YI YIN ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG

In this paper, we employ the detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA) to investigate the cross-correlations between different stock markets. We report the results of cross-correlated behaviors in US, Chinese and European stock markets in period 1997–2012 by using DCCA method. The DCCA shows the cross-correlated behaviors of intra-regional and inter-regional stock markets in the short and long term which display the similarities and differences of cross-correlated behaviors simply and roughly and the persistence of cross-correlated behaviors of fluctuations. Then, because of the limitation and inapplicability of DCCA method, we propose multiscale detrended cross-correlation analysis (MSDCCA) method to avoid "a priori" selecting the ranges of scales over which two coefficients of the classical DCCA method are identified, and employ MSDCCA to reanalyze these cross-correlations to exhibit some important details such as the existence and position of minimum, maximum and bimodal distribution which are lost if the scale structure is described by two coefficients only and essential differences and similarities in the scale structures of cross-correlation of intra-regional and inter-regional markets. More statistical characteristics of cross-correlation obtained by MSDCCA method help us to understand how two different stock markets influence each other and to analyze the influence from thus two inter-regional markets on the cross-correlation in detail, thus we get a richer and more detailed knowledge of the complex evolutions of dynamics of the cross-correlations between stock markets. The application of MSDCCA is important to promote our understanding of the internal mechanisms and structures of financial markets and helps to forecast the stock indices based on our current results demonstrated the cross-correlations between stock indices. We also discuss the MSDCCA methods of secant rolling window with different sizes and, lastly, provide some relevant implications and issue.


2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (S306) ◽  
pp. 397-399
Author(s):  
Ya-Juan Lei

AbstractWe analyze the cross-correlation function of the soft and hard X-rays of the atoll source 4U 1636-53 with RXTE data. The results show that the cross-correlations evolve along the different branches of the color-color diagram. At the lower left banana states, we have both positive and ambiguous correlations, and positive correlations are dominant for the lower banana and the upper banana states. The anti-correlation is detected at the top of the upper banana states. The cross-correlations of two atoll sources 4U 1735-44 and 4U 1608-52 have been studied in previous work, and the anti-correlations are detected at the lower left banana or the top of the upper banana states. Our results show that, in the 4U 1636-53, the distribution of the cross-correlations in the color-color diagram is similar to those of 4U 1735-44 and 4U 1608-52, and confirm further that the distribution of cross-correlations in color-color diagram could be correlated with the luminosity of the source.


2021 ◽  
pp. 2150052
Author(s):  
Jian Wang ◽  
Wei Shao ◽  
Yan Yan ◽  
Junseok Kim

In this study, we analyzed daily records of newly diagnosed cases in Wuhan, Hubei excluding Wuhan (HEW), and China excluding Hubei (CEH) to investigate the impact of the new coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan on cities around it and throughout China. We used multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DXA) method to investigate the correlations between the daily number of patients in Wuhan and HEW as well as in Wuhan and CEH. We concluded that the cross-correlations between the daily number of patients in Wuhan and HEW were higher than those between the daily number of patients in Wuhan and CEH because the multifractal features of Wuhan and HEW are greater than those of Wuhan and CEH. We also found that the “Wuhan closure” conducted on January 23 resulted in a decrease in cross-correlations between Wuhan and CEH.


Fractals ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 20 (03n04) ◽  
pp. 271-279 ◽  
Author(s):  
JING WANG ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG ◽  
WEIJIE GE

We introduce a new method, multifractal cross-correlation analysis based on statistical moments (MFSMXA), to investigate the long-term cross-correlations and cross-multifractality between time series generated from complex system. Efficiency of this method is shown on multifractal series, comparing with the well-known multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MFXDFA) and multifractal detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis (MFXDMA). We further apply this method on volatility time series of DJIA and NASDAQ indices, and find some interesting results. The MFSMXA has comparative performance with MFXDMA and sometimes perform slightly better than MFXDFA. Multifractal nature exists in volatility series. In addition, we find that the cross-multifractality of volatility series is mainly due to their cross-correlations, via comparing the MFSMXA results for original series with those for shuffled series.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aktham Maghyereh ◽  
hussein abdoh

Abstract In this paper, we exploit multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA) to investigate the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the cross-correlations between oil and US equity market (as represented by the S&P 500 index). First, we examine the detrended moving average cross-correlation coefficient between oil and S&P 500 returns before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The correlation analysis shows that US stock markets became more correlated with oil during the pandemic in the long term. Second, we find that the pandemic has caused an increase in the long range cross correlations over the small fluctuations. Third, the MF-DCCA method shows that the pandemic caused an increase of multifractality in cross-correlations between the two markets. In sum, the pandemic caused a closer correlation between oil and US equity in the long range and a deeper dynamical connection between oil and US equity markets as indicated by the multifractality tests.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Liang Wu ◽  
Manling Wang ◽  
Tongzhou Zhao

The joint multifractal analysis is usually conducted in two different variables for their cross-correlations but rarely used for two records of one variable collected at two different places. It is important for the detection of change in multifractality in space. Besides, the cross-correlations in two analyzed series make the analysis of sources of joint multifractality difficult. There are few studies on the source of joint multifractality. We focus on the two issues for two level records at pairs of adjacent sites along one river and carry out an extension of our previous work which is about the single multifractality of one record with the same data set. The data set is collected from 10 observation stations of a northern China river and contains about two million high-frequency river level records. Results of joint multifractal analysis via multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis show that the change in joint multifractality at pairs of adjacent sites caused by weak cross-correlations can be detected by comparing the single generalized Hurst exponent with the joint scaling exponent function and reveal the effects of human activities on joint multifractality. This analysis provides an approach for detecting the change in multifractality. Following the idea of our previous work, two robust hypothesis tests via a set of pairs of surrogate series are proposed for the source testing of joint multifractality. The analysis of the effects of cross-correlations is carried out via a proposed simultaneously half-shifting technique which can both minimize the cross-correlations between original series and make full use of records. Results of source analysis show not only the effects of autocorrelations in series and probability distribution of river levels but also the effects of cross-correlations between series.


2020 ◽  
pp. 2150031
Author(s):  
You-Shuai Feng ◽  
Hong-Yong Wang

With the rapid development of economic globalization, the stock markets in China and the US are increasingly linked. The fluctuation features and cross-correlations of the two countries’ markets have attracted extensive attention from market investors and researchers. In this paper, the fractal analysis methods including multifractal asymmetric detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-ADCCA) and coupled detrended cross-correlation analysis (CDCCA) are applied to explore the volatilities of CSI300 and SP500 sector stock indexes as well as the cross-correlations and coupling cross-correlations between the two corresponding sector stock indexes. The results show that the auto-correlations, cross-correlations and coupling cross-correlations have multifractal fluctuation characteristics, and that the cross-correlations are asymmetric. Additionally, the coupling cross-correlation strengths are distinct due to the different influence of long-range correlations and fat-tailed distribution. Further, the co-movement between China and the US sector stock markets is susceptible to external market factors such as major economic events and national policies.


Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Pengfei Wang ◽  
Xiao Li ◽  
Dehua Shen

We investigate the cross-correlations of return-volume relationship of the Bitcoin market. In particular, we select eight exchange rates whose trading volume accounts for more than 98% market shares to synthesize Bitcoin indexes. The empirical results based on multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA) reveal that (1) the nonlinear dependencies and power-law cross-correlations in return-volume relationship are found; (2) all cross-correlations are multifractal, and there are antipersistent behaviors of cross-correlation for q=2; (3) the price of small fluctuations is more persistent than that of the volume, while the volume of larger fluctuations is more antipersistent; and (4) the rolling window method shows that the cross-correlations of return-volume are antipersistent in the entire sample period.


Fractals ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (04) ◽  
pp. 443-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
JIE SONG ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG

When probing the dynamical properties of complex systems, such as physical and physiological systems, the output signal may be not the expected one. It is often a linear or nonlinear filter (or a transformation) of the right one represented the properties we want to investigate. Besides, for a multiple-component system, it is necessary to consider the relations between different influence factors. Here, we investigate what effect kinds of linear and nonlinear filters have on the cross-correlation properties of monofractal series and binomial multifractal series relatively. We use the multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MFDCCA) that has been known well for its accurate quantization of cross-correlations between two time series. We study the effect of five filters: (i) linear (yi = axi + b); (ii) polynomial [Formula: see text]; (iii) logarithmic (yi = log (xi + δ)); (iv) exponential (yi = exp (axi + b)); and (v) power-law (yi = (xi + a)b). We find that for both monofractal and multifractal signals, linear filters have no effect on the cross-correlation properties while the influence of polynomial, logarithmic and power-law filters mainly depends on (a) the strength of cross-correlations in the original series; (b) the parameter b of the polynomial filter; (c) the offset δ in the logarithmic filter; and (d) both the parameter a and b of the power-law filter. In addition, the parameter a and b of the exponential filter change the cross-correlation properties of monofractal signal, yet they have little influence on that of multifractal signal.


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