Forecasting Monthly Rainfall using Bio-Inspired Artificial Algae Deep Learning Network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kala ◽  
S. Ganesh Vaidyanathan
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Monthly Rainfall ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Rainfall Forecasting ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Learning Network ◽  
Deep Learning Network

Rainfall forecasting is the most critical and challenging task because of its dependence on different climatic and weather parameters. Hence, robust and accurate rainfall forecasting models need to be created by applying various machine learning and deep learning approaches. Several automatic systems were created to predict the weather, but it depends on the type of weather pattern, season and location, which leads in maximizing the processing time. Therefore, in this work, significant artificial algae long short-term memory (LSTM) deep learning network is introduced to forecast the monthly rainfall. During this process, Homogeneous Indian Monthly Rainfall Data Set (1871–2016) is utilized to collect the rainfall information. The gathered information is computed with the help of an LSTM approach, which is able to process the time series data and predict the dependency between the data effectively. The most challenging phase of LSTM training process is finding optimal network parameters such as weight and bias. For obtaining the optimal parameters, one of the Meta heuristic bio-inspired algorithms called Artificial Algae Algorithm (AAA) is used. The forecasted rainfall for the testing dataset is compared with the existing models. The forecasted results exhibit superiority of our model over the state-of-the-art models for forecasting Indian Monsoon rainfall. The LSTM model combined with AAA predicts the monsoon from June–September accurately.

Condition Monitoring of Equipment in Oil Wells using Deep Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 2050001
Author(s):  
Yadigar N. Imamverdiyev ◽  
Fargana J. Abdullayeva
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Single Layer ◽  
Oil Wells ◽  
Fault Prediction ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Oil Well ◽  
Data Set

In this paper, a fault prediction method for oil well equipment based on the analysis of time series data obtained from multiple sensors is proposed. The proposed method is based on deep learning (DL). For this purpose, comparative analysis of single-layer long short-term memory (LSTM) with the convolutional neural network (CNN) and stacked LSTM methods is provided. To demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method, some experiments are conducted on the real data set obtained from eight sensors installed in oil wells. In this paper, compared to the single-layer LSTM model, the CNN and stacked LSTM predicted the faulty time series with a minimal loss.

Ionospheric TEC prediction using Long Short-Term Memory deep learning network

2021 ◽  
Vol 366 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhichao Wen ◽  
Shuhui Li ◽  
Lihua Li ◽  
Bowen Wu ◽  
Jianqiang Fu
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Learning Network ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Deep Learning Network

scholarly journals Tourism Demand Forecasting Based on an LSTM Network and Its Variants

Algorithms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 243
Author(s):  
Shun-Chieh Hsieh
Keyword(s):  
Adaptive Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Lstm Network ◽  
Gated Recurrent Unit

The need for accurate tourism demand forecasting is widely recognized. The unreliability of traditional methods makes tourism demand forecasting still challenging. Using deep learning approaches, this study aims to adapt Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit networks (GRU), which are straightforward and efficient, to improve Taiwan’s tourism demand forecasting. The networks are able to seize the dependence of visitor arrival time series data. The Adam optimization algorithm with adaptive learning rate is used to optimize the basic setup of the models. The results show that the proposed models outperform previous studies undertaken during the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) events of 2002–2003. This article also examines the effects of the current COVID-19 outbreak to tourist arrivals to Taiwan. The results show that the use of the LSTM network and its variants can perform satisfactorily for tourism demand forecasting.

scholarly journals Studying monthly rainfall over Dibrugarh, Assam: Use of SARIMA approach

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 349-356
Author(s):  
J. HAZARIKA ◽  
B. PATHAK ◽  
A. N. PATOWARY
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Monthly Rainfall ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
Moving Average Model

Perceptive the rainfall pattern is tough for the solution of several regional environmental issues of water resources management, with implications for agriculture, climate change, and natural calamity such as floods and droughts. Statistical computing, modeling and forecasting data are key instruments for studying these patterns. The study of time series analysis and forecasting has become a major tool in different applications in hydrology and environmental fields. Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model introduced by Box and Jenkins. In this study, an attempt has been made to use Box-Jenkins methodology to build ARIMA model for monthly rainfall data taken from Dibrugarh for the period of 1980- 2014 with a total of 420 points.  We investigated and found that ARIMA (0, 0, 0) (0, 1, 1)12 model is suitable for the given data set. As such this model can be used to forecast the pattern of monthly rainfall for the upcoming years, which can help the decision makers to establish priorities in terms of agricultural, flood, water demand management etc.  

scholarly journals Ranking Information Extracted from Uncertainty Quantification of the Prediction of a Deep Learning Model on Medical Time Series Data

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 1078
Author(s):  
Ruxandra Stoean ◽  
Catalin Stoean ◽  
Miguel Atencia ◽  
Roberto Rodríguez-Labrada ◽  
Gonzalo Joya
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Uncertainty Quantification ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Real World Problem ◽  
Uncertainty Estimates

Uncertainty quantification in deep learning models is especially important for the medical applications of this complex and successful type of neural architectures. One popular technique is Monte Carlo dropout that gives a sample output for a record, which can be measured statistically in terms of average probability and variance for each diagnostic class of the problem. The current paper puts forward a convolutional–long short-term memory network model with a Monte Carlo dropout layer for obtaining information regarding the model uncertainty for saccadic records of all patients. These are next used in assessing the uncertainty of the learning model at the higher level of sets of multiple records (i.e., registers) that are gathered for one patient case by the examining physician towards an accurate diagnosis. Means and standard deviations are additionally calculated for the Monte Carlo uncertainty estimates of groups of predictions. These serve as a new collection where a random forest model can perform both classification and ranking of variable importance. The approach is validated on a real-world problem of classifying electrooculography time series for an early detection of spinocerebellar ataxia 2 and reaches an accuracy of 88.59% in distinguishing between the three classes of patients.

A Long Short-Term Memory deep learning network for the prediction of epileptic seizures using EEG signals

2018 ◽  
Vol 99 ◽  
pp. 24-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Κostas Μ. Tsiouris ◽  
Vasileios C. Pezoulas ◽  
Michalis Zervakis ◽  
Spiros Konitsiotis ◽  
Dimitrios D. Koutsouris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Epileptic Seizures ◽  
Eeg Signals ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Learning Network ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Deep Learning Network

scholarly journals Multi-Person Pose Estimation using an Orientation and Occlusion Aware Deep Learning Network

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanlei Gu ◽  
Huiyang Zhang ◽  
Shunsuke Kamijo
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Pose Estimation ◽  
Body Orientation ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
The Public ◽  
Learning Network ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Body Boundary ◽  
Public Dataset ◽  
Deep Learning Network

Image based human behavior and activity understanding has been a hot topic in the field of computer vision and multimedia. As an important part, skeleton estimation, which is also called pose estimation, has attracted lots of interests. For pose estimation, most of the deep learning approaches mainly focus on the joint feature. However, the joint feature is not sufficient, especially when the image includes multi-person and the pose is occluded or not fully visible. This paper proposes a novel multi-task framework for the multi-person pose estimation. The proposed framework is developed based on Mask Region-based Convolutional Neural Networks (R-CNN) and extended to integrate the joint feature, body boundary, body orientation and occlusion condition together. In order to further improve the performance of the multi-person pose estimation, this paper proposes to organize the different information in serial multi-task models instead of the widely used parallel multi-task network. The proposed models are trained on the public dataset Common Objects in Context (COCO), which is further augmented by ground truths of body orientation and mutual-occlusion mask. Experiments demonstrate the performance of the proposed method for multi-person pose estimation and body orientation estimation. The proposed method can detect 84.6% of the Percentage of Correct Keypoints (PCK) and has an 83.7% Correct Detection Rate (CDR). Comparisons further illustrate the proposed model can reduce the over-detection compared with other methods.

Application of Deep Learning for Characterization of Drivers’ Engagement in Secondary Tasks in In-Vehicle Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (8) ◽  
pp. 429-440
Author(s):  
Osama A. Osman ◽  
Hesham Rakha
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Sensor Technology ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Secondary Tasks ◽  
Driving Assistance

Distracted driving (i.e., engaging in secondary tasks) is an epidemic that threatens the lives of thousands every year. Data collected from vehicular sensor technologies and through connectivity provide comprehensive information that, if used to detect driver engagement in secondary tasks, could save thousands of lives and millions of dollars. This study investigates the possibility of achieving this goal using promising deep learning tools. Specifically, two deep neural network models (a multilayer perceptron neural network model and a long short-term memory networks [LSTMN] model) were developed to identify three secondary tasks: cellphone calling, cellphone texting, and conversation with adjacent passengers. The Second Strategic Highway Research Program Naturalistic Driving Study (SHRP 2 NDS) time series data, collected using vehicle sensor technology, were used to train and test the model. The results show excellent performance for the developed models, with a slight improvement for the LSTMN model, with overall classification accuracies ranging between 95 and 96%. Specifically, the models are able to identify the different types of secondary tasks with high accuracies of 100% for calling, 96%–97% for texting, 90%–91% for conversation, and 95%–96% for the normal driving. Based on this performance, the developed models improve on the results of a previous model developed by the author to classify the same three secondary tasks, which had an accuracy of 82%. The model is promising for use in in-vehicle driving assistance technology to report engagement in unlawful tasks or alert drivers to take over control in level 1 and 2 automated vehicles.

scholarly journals Applying Deep Learning Methods on Time-Series Data for Forecasting COVID-19 in Egypt, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Nahla F. Omran ◽  
Sara F. Abd-el Ghany ◽  
Hager Saleh ◽  
Abdelmgeid A. Ali ◽  
Abdu Gumaei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Disease Outbreaks ◽  
Handling Time ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Death Cases

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is regarded as one of the most imminent disease outbreaks which threaten public health on various levels worldwide. Because of the unpredictable outbreak nature and the virus’s pandemic intensity, people are experiencing depression, anxiety, and other strain reactions. The response to prevent and control the new coronavirus pneumonia has reached a crucial point. Therefore, it is essential—for safety and prevention purposes—to promptly predict and forecast the virus outbreak in the course of this troublesome time to have control over its mortality. Recently, deep learning models are playing essential roles in handling time-series data in different applications. This paper presents a comparative study of two deep learning methods to forecast the confirmed cases and death cases of COVID-19. Long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) have been applied on time-series data in three countries: Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, from 1/5/2020 to 6/12/2020. The results show that LSTM has achieved the best performance in confirmed cases in the three countries, and GRU has achieved the best performance in death cases in Egypt and Kuwait.

scholarly journals Deep Learning Methods In Predicting Indonesia Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG)

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arief Fadhlurrahman Rasyid ◽  
Dewi Agushinta R. ◽  
Dharma Tintri Ediraras
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Stock Price Index

The stock price changes at any time within seconds. The stock price is a time series data. Thus, it is necessary to have the best analysis model in predicting the stock price to make decisions to avoid losses in investing. In this research, the method used two models Deep Learning namely Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) in predicting Indonesia Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG). The dataset used is historical data from the Jakarta Composite Index (^JKSE) stock price in 2013-2020 obtained through Yahoo Finance. The results suggest that Deep learning methods with LSTM and GRU models can predict Indonesia Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG). Based on the test results obtained RMSE value of 71.28959454502723 with an accuracy rate of 92.39% for LSTM models and obtained RMSE value of 70.61870739073838 with an accuracy rate of 96.77% on GRU models.

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