SOFTWARE RELIABILITY PREDICTION USING INTELLIGENT TECHNIQUES: APPLICATION TO OPERATIONAL RISK PREDICTION IN FIRMS

Author(s):  
V. Ravi ◽  
NIKUNJ J. CHAUHAN ◽  
N. RAJ KIRAN

In this paper, operational risk arising from the technological dimension is effectively modeled by efficiently forecasting software reliability. We propose the use of wavelet neural networks (WNN) to predict software reliability. Two kinds of wavelets were employed in WNN as transfer functions, viz. Morlet wavelet and Gaussian wavelet, thus giving rise to two variants of WNN. The effectiveness of WNN is demonstrated on a data set taken from literature. Its performance is compared with that of multiple linear regression, multivariate adaptive regression splines, back propagation trained neural network, threshold-accepting trained neural network, threshold accepting trained wavelet neural network, pi-sigma network, general regression neural network, dynamic evolving neuro-fuzzy inference system and TreeNet in terms of normalized root mean square error obtained on test data. Based on the experiments performed, it is observed that the WNN-based models outperformed all the other techniques.

Author(s):  
Peter Wagstaff ◽  
Pablo Minguez Gabina ◽  
Ricardo Mínguez ◽  
John C Roeske

Abstract A shallow neural network was trained to accurately calculate the microdosimetric parameters, <z1> and <z1 2> (the first and second moments of the single-event specific energy spectra, respectively) for use in alpha-particle microdosimetry calculations. The regression network of four inputs and two outputs was created in MATLAB and trained on a data set consisting of both previously published microdosimetric data and recent Monte Carlo simulations. The input data consisted of the alpha-particle energies (3.97–8.78 MeV), cell nuclei radii (2–10 µm), cell radii (2.5–20 µm), and eight different source-target configurations. These configurations included both single cells in suspension and cells in geometric clusters. The mean square error (MSE) was used to measure the performance of the network. The sizes of the hidden layers were chosen to minimize MSE without overfitting. The final neural network consisted of two hidden layers with 13 and 20 nodes, respectively, each with tangential sigmoid transfer functions, and was trained on 1932 data points. The overall training/validation resulted in a MSE = 3.71×10-7. A separate testing data set included input values that were not seen by the trained network. The final test on 892 separate data points resulted in a MSE = 2.80×10-7. The 95th percentile testing data errors were within ±1.4% for <z1> outputs and ±2.8% for <z1 2> outputs, respectively. Cell survival was also predicted using actual vs. neural network generated microdosimetric moments and showed overall agreement within ±3.5%. In summary, this trained neural network can accurately produce microdosimetric parameters used for the study of alpha-particle emitters. The network can be exported and shared for tests on independent data sets and new calculations.


Author(s):  
Ramakanta Mohanty ◽  
V. Ravi ◽  
M. R. Patra

In this paper, the authors employed machine learning techniques, specifically, Back propagation trained neural network (BPNN), Group method of data handling (GMDH), Counter propagation neural network (CPNN), Dynamic evolving neuro–fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), Genetic Programming (GP), TreeNet, statistical multiple linear regression (MLR), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), to accurately forecast software reliability. Their effectiveness is demonstrated on three datasets taken from literature, where performance is compared in terms of normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) obtained in the test set. From rigorous experiments conducted, it was observed that GP outperformed all techniques in all datasets, with GMDH coming a close second.


2010 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 70-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramakanta Mohanty ◽  
V. Ravi ◽  
M. R. Patra

In this paper, the authors employed machine learning techniques, specifically, Back propagation trained neural network (BPNN), Group method of data handling (GMDH), Counter propagation neural network (CPNN), Dynamic evolving neuro–fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), Genetic Programming (GP), TreeNet, statistical multiple linear regression (MLR), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), to accurately forecast software reliability. Their effectiveness is demonstrated on three datasets taken from literature, where performance is compared in terms of normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) obtained in the test set. From rigorous experiments conducted, it was observed that GP outperformed all techniques in all datasets, with GMDH coming a close second.


2012 ◽  
pp. 354-370
Author(s):  
Ramakanta Mohanty ◽  
V. Ravi ◽  
M. R. Patra

In this paper, the authors employed machine learning techniques, specifically, Back propagation trained neural network (BPNN), Group method of data handling (GMDH), Counter propagation neural network (CPNN), Dynamic evolving neuro–fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), Genetic Programming (GP), TreeNet, statistical multiple linear regression (MLR), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), to accurately forecast software reliability. Their effectiveness is demonstrated on three datasets taken from literature, where performance is compared in terms of normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) obtained in the test set. From rigorous experiments conducted, it was observed that GP outperformed all techniques in all datasets, with GMDH coming a close second.


2011 ◽  
Vol 110-116 ◽  
pp. 2976-2982 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sina Eskandari ◽  
Behrooz Arezoo ◽  
Amir Abdullah

Thermal errors of CNC machines have significant effects on precision of a workpiece. One of the approaches to reduce these errors is modeling and on-line compensating them. In this study, thermal errors of an axis of the machine are modeled by means of artificial neural networks along with fuzzy logic. Models are created using experimental data. In neural networks modeling, MLP type which has 2 hidden layers is chosen and it is trained by backpropagation algorithm. Finally, the model is validated with the aid of calculating mean squared error and correlation coefficients between outputs of the model and a checking data set. On the other hand, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is utilized in fuzzy modeling which uses neural network to develop membership functions as fuzzifiers and defuzzifiers. This network is trained by hybrid algorithm. At the end, model validation is done by mean squared error like previous method. The results show that the errors of both modeling techniques are acceptable and models can predict thermal errors reliably.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-117
Author(s):  
Amir Hossein Danesh ◽  
Hossein Shirgahi

Although research on social networks is progressing rapidly, the positive and negative effects of this area should be evaluated. One of the problems is that social networks are very broad and anyone can have influence on them. This matter can cause the issue of people with different beliefs. Therefore, determining the amount of trust to various resources on social networks, and especially resources for which there is no previous history on the web, is one of the main challenges in this field. In this paper, we present a method for predicting trust in a social network by structural similarities through the neural network. In this method, the web of trust data set is converted to a structural similarity data set based on the similarity of the trustors and trustees first. Then, on the created data set, a part of the data set is considered as the training data and it is trained based on the multilayer perceptron neural network and then the trained neural network is tested based on the test data. In the proposed method, the MSE value is less than 0.01, which has improved more than 0.02 compared to previous methods. Based on the obtained results, the proposed method has provided acceptable accuracy. ABSTRAK: Walaupun kajian tentang rangkaian sosial adalah sangat pesat, kesan positif dan negatif dalam ruang lingkup ini perlu dinilai. Masalah rangkaian sosial adalah sangat luas dan sesiapa sahaja boleh terpengaruh. Perkara ini akan menyebabkan manusia dengan pelbagai isu kepercayaan. Oleh itu, menentukan nilai kepercayaan melalui pelbagai sumber dalam rangkaian sosial, terutama sumber-sumber yang tidak mempunyai sejarah lepas dalam web, adalah salah satu cabaran dalam bidang ini. Kajian ini membentangkan jangkaan kepercayaan dalam rangkaian sosial melalui persamaan struktur dengan menggunakan rangkaian neural. Kaedah ini ditentukan dengan menukar set data web kepercayaan kepada struktur set data hampir sama berdasarkan kesamaan pemegang dan pemberi amanah. Kemudian, sebilangan set data yang telah dibina ini dipertimbangkan sebagai data latihan dan ia dilatih berdasarkan rangkaian neural perseptron berbagai lapisan dan kemudian rangkaian neural yang terlatih ini diuji berdasarkan data ujian. Dalam kaedah yang dicadangkan ini, nilai MSE adalah kurang daripada 0.01, di mana telah diperbaiki kepada 0.02 lebih daripada kaedah-kaedah sebelum ini. Berdasarkan dapatan kajian, didapati kaedah yang dicadangkan ini menunjukkan ketepatan yang boleh diterima.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 205-214
Author(s):  
Roman Semko

The rise of robo-advisor wealth management services, which constitute a key element of fintech revolution, unveils the question whether they can dominate human-based advice, namely how to address the client’s behavioral biases in an automated way. One approach to it would be the application of machine learning tools during client profiling. However, trained neural network is often considered as a black box, which may raise concerns from the customers and regulators in terms of model validity, transparency, and related risks. In order to address these issues and shed more light on how neurons work, especially to figure out how they perform computation at intermediate layers, this paper visualizes and estimates the neurons’ sensitivity to different input parameters. Before it, the comprehensive review of the most popular optimization algorithms is presented and based on them respective data set is generated to train convolutional neural network. It was found that selected hidden units to some extent are not only specializing in the reaction to such features as, for example, risk, return or risk-aversion level but also they are learning more complex concepts like Sharpe ratio. These findings should help to understand robo-advisor mechanics deeper, which finally will provide more room to improve and significantly innovate the automated wealth management process and make it more transparent.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sneha Patil ◽  
Mahesh Goudar ◽  
Ravindra Kharadkar

Purpose For decades, continuous research work is going on to maximize the power harvested from the sun; however, there is only a limited analysis on exploiting the microwatt output power from indoor lightings. Microelectronic system has power demand in the µW range, and therefore, indoor photovoltaics would be appropriate for micro-energy harvesting appliances. “Energy harvesting is defined as the transfer process by which energy source is acquired from the ambient energy, stored in energy storage element and powered to the target systems”. The theory of energy harvesting is: gathering energy from surroundings and offering technological solutions such as solar energy harvesting, wind energy collection and vibration energy harvesting. “The solar cell or photovoltaic cell (PV), is a device that converts light into electric current using the photoelectric effect”. Factors such as light source, temperature, circuit connection, light intensity, angle and height can manipulate the functions of PV cells. Among these, the most noticeable factor is the light intensity that has a major impact on the operations of solar panels. Design/methodology/approach This paper aims to design an enhanced prediction model on illuminance or irradiance by an optimized artificial neural network (ANN). The input attributes or the features considered here are temperatures, maxim, TSL, VI, short circuit current, open-circuit voltage, maximum power point (MPP) voltage, MPP current and MPP power, respectively. To enhance the performance of the prediction model, the weights of ANN are optimally tuned by a new self-improved brain storm optimization (SI-BSO) model. Findings The superiority of the implemented work is compared and proved over the conventional models in terms of error analysis and prediction analysis. Accordingly, the presented approach was analysed and its superiority was proved over other conventional schemes such as ANN, ANN-Levenberg–Marquardt (LM), adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and brainstorm optimization (BSO). In addition, analysis was held with respect to error measures such as mean absolute relative error (MARE), mean square root error (MSRE), mean absolute error and mean absolute percentage error. Moreover, prediction analysis was also performed that revealed the betterment of the presented model. More particularly, the proposed ANN + SI-BSO model has attained minimal error for all measures when compared to the existing schemes. More particularly, on considering the MARE, the adopted model for data set 1 was 23.61%, 48.12%, 79.39% and 90.86% better than ANN, ANN-LM, ANFIS and BSO models, respectively. Similarly, on considering data set 2, the MSRE of the implemented model was 99.87%, 70.69%, 99.57% and 94.74% better than ANN, ANN-LM, ANFIS and BSO models, respectively. Thus, the enhancement of the presented ANN + SI-BSO scheme has been validated effectively. Originality/value This work has established an improved illuminance/irradiance prediction model using the optimization concept. Here, the attributes, namely, temperature, maxim, TSL, VI, Isc, Voc, Vmpp, Impp and Pmpp were given as input to ANN, in which the weights were chosen optimally. For the optimal selection of weights, a novel ANN + SI-BSO model was established, which was an improved version of the BSO model.


Author(s):  
Manmath Kumar Bhuyan ◽  
Durga Prasad Mohapatra ◽  
Srinivas Sethi

Fuzzy Logic (FL) together with Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is used to predict the software reliability. Fuzzy Min-Max algorithm is used to optimize the number of the kgaussian nodes in the hidden layer and delayed input neurons. The optimized recurrent<br />neural network is used to dynamically reconfigure in real-time as actual software failure. In this work, an enhanced fuzzy min-max algorithm together with recurrent neural network based machine learning technique is explored and a comparative analysis is performed for the modeling of reliability prediction in software systems. The model has been applied on data sets collected across several standard software projects during system testing phase with fault removal. The performance of our proposed approach has been tested using distributed system application failure data set.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1785
Author(s):  
Liu Shuai ◽  
Liu Yuanning ◽  
Zhu Xiaodong ◽  
Huo Guang ◽  
Wu Zukang ◽  
...  

Due to the unsteady morphology of heterogeneous irises generated by a variety of different devices and environments, the traditional processing methods of statistical learning or cognitive learning for a single iris source are not effective. Traditional iris recognition divides the whole process into several statistically guided steps, which cannot solve the problem of correlation between various links. The existing iris data set size and situational classification constraints make it difficult to meet the requirements of learning methods under a single deep learning framework. Therefore, aiming at a one-to-one iris certification scenario, this paper proposes a heterogeneous iris one-to-one certification method with universal sensors based on quality fuzzy inference and a multi-feature entropy fusion lightweight neural network. The method is divided into an evaluation module and a certification module. The evaluation module can be used by different devices to design a quality fuzzy concept inference system and an iris quality knowledge concept construction mechanism, transform human logical cognition concepts into digital concepts, and select appropriate concepts to determine iris quality according to different iris quality requirements and get a recognizable iris. The certification module is a lightweight neural network based on statistical learning ideas and a multi-source feature fusion mechanism. The information entropy of the iris feature label was used to set the iris entropy feature category label and design certification module functions according to the category label to obtain the certification module result. As the requirements for the number and quality of irises changes, the category labels in the certification module function were dynamically adjusted using a feedback learning mechanism. This paper uses iris data collected from three different sensors in the JLU (Jilin University) iris library. The experimental results prove that for the lightweight multi-state irises, the abovementioned problems are ameliorated to a certain extent by this method.


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