Towards Disentangling Lockdown-Driven Air Quality Changes in the Northeastern U.S.

2021 ◽  
pp. 2150017
Author(s):  
Christian Braneon ◽  
Robert Field ◽  
Edmund Seto ◽  
Kai Chen ◽  
Kathryn McConnell ◽  
...  

In the absence of preventive therapies or effective treatment for most cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), governments worldwide have sought to minimize person-to-person severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission through a variety of lock-down measures and social distancing policies. Extreme events like the COVID-19 pandemic present a tremendous opportunity to make quantitative connections between changes in anthropogenic forcing, social and economic activity, and the related Earth system response. In this paper, we examine the air quality impacts associated with the pandemic response measures in the Northeastern United States.

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alison C. Dibble ◽  
James W. Hinds ◽  
Ralph Perron ◽  
Natalie Cleavitt ◽  
Richard L. Poirot ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 46 (7) ◽  
pp. 945-960 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ho-Chun Huang ◽  
Xin-Zhong Liang ◽  
Kenneth E. Kunkel ◽  
Michael Caughey ◽  
Allen Williams

Abstract The impacts of air pollution on the environment and human health could increase as a result of potential climate change. To assess such possible changes, model simulations of pollutant concentrations need to be performed at climatic (seasonal) rather than episodic (days) time scales, using future climate projections from a general circulation model. Such a modeling system was employed here, consisting of a regional climate model (RCM), an emissions model, and an air quality model. To assess overall model performance with one-way coupling, this system was used to simulate tropospheric ozone concentrations in the midwestern and northeastern United States for summer seasons between 1995 and 2000. The RCM meteorological conditions were driven by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Department of Energy global reanalysis (R-2) using the same procedure that integrates future climate model projections. Based on analyses for several urban and rural areas and regional domains, fairly good agreement with observations was found for the diurnal cycle and for several multiday periods of high ozone episodes. Even better agreement occurred between monthly and seasonal mean quantities of observed and model-simulated values. This is consistent with an RCM designed primarily to produce good simulations of monthly and seasonal mean statistics of weather systems.


2008 ◽  
Vol 58 (7) ◽  
pp. 902-912 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Carreras-Sospedra ◽  
Donald Dabdub ◽  
Jacob Brouwer ◽  
Eladio Knipping ◽  
Naresh Kumar ◽  
...  

1999 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 131-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sushil S Dixit ◽  
John P Smol ◽  
Donald F Charles ◽  
Robert M Hughes ◽  
Steven G Paulsen ◽  
...  

Diatom assemblages were selected as indicators of lake condition and to assess historical lake water quality changes in 257 lakes in the northeastern United States. The "top" (surface sediments, present-day) and "bottom" (generally from >30 cm deep, representing historical conditions) samples from sediment cores collected from lakes and reservoirs were analyzed for diatom assemblages. The distribution of diatom species was closely related to several environmental variables, primarily lake water pH, total phosphorus, and chloride. Using weighted-averaging calibration and regression approaches, we constructed predictive models to infer these variables from the diatom assemblages. The diatom-based inference models were then used to assess the current status of lake water quality and to assess historical changes in lake water conditions in natural lakes over the past 150 years. Changes were also assessed in reservoirs. Population estimates of historical changes in limnological variables were made for all lakes of the northeast United States and also for lakes in the Adirondacks, New England Uplands, and Coastal Lowlands/Plateau ecoregions. The extent of cultural impact has been quite variable among the ecoregions, with marked water quality deterioration occurring in hundreds of lakes. Chloride and phosphorus levels have increased, especially in lakes that currently have high concentrations. Low-pH lakes have become more common in all three ecoregions. The maximum abundance of low-pH lakes was recorded in the Adirondacks, an area receiving the highest acidic precipitation in the northeast. In the Coastal Lowlands/Plateau, there has been a clear increase in eutrophic lakes, as inferred by total phosphorus. This was accompanied by a marked increase in the number of lakes with high chloride levels.


2006 ◽  
Vol 45 (11) ◽  
pp. 1525-1541 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven C. Smyth ◽  
Dazhong Yin ◽  
Helmut Roth ◽  
Weimin Jiang ◽  
Michael D. Moran ◽  
...  

Abstract The fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5) is currently the meteorological model most widely used as input into the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system. In this study, meteorological fields produced by the Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) meteorological model were compared with those from MM5, and the impact of using the two different modeled datasets as inputs to CMAQ was investigated. Two CMAQ model runs, differing only in meteorological inputs and meteorologically influenced emissions, were conducted for a domain covering eastern Canada and the northeastern United States for a 9-day period in July 1999. Comparison of the two modeled meteorological datasets with surface measurements revealed that GEM and MM5 gave comparable results. For a direct comparison of the two meteorological datasets the differences were small for pressure and temperature but larger for wind speed and relative humidity (RH). The variations in meteorological fields affect emissions and air quality results in differing ways and to differing degrees. The most influential meteorological field on emissions was temperature, which had a minor impact on on-road mobile emissions and a larger impact on biogenic emissions. Performance statistics for O3 and for particulate matter less than 10 μm and less than 2.5 μm (PM10, and PM2.5, respectively) show that GEM-based and MM5-based CMAQ results compare similarly to hourly measurement data, with minor statistical differences. A direct comparison of O3, PM10, PM2.5, and speciated PM2.5 showed that the results correlate to varying degrees and that the differences in RH affect total particulate matter (PM) mass and aerosol species concentrations significantly. Relative humidity affects total particle mass and particle diameters, which in turn affect PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations.


2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 443-461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pius Lee ◽  
Daiwen Kang ◽  
Jeff McQueen ◽  
Marina Tsidulko ◽  
Mary Hart ◽  
...  

Abstract This study investigates the impact of model domain extent and the specification of lateral boundary conditions on the forecast quality of air pollution constituents in a specific region of interest. A developmental version of the national Air Quality Forecast System (AQFS) has been used in this study. The AQFS is based on the NWS/NCEP Eta Model (recently renamed the North American Mesoscale Model) coupled with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. This coupled Eta–CMAQ modeling system provided experimental air quality forecasts for the northeastern region of the United States during the summers of 2003 and 2004. The initial forecast over the northeastern United States was approved for operational deployment in September 2004. The AQFS will provide forecast coverage for the entire United States in the near future. In a continuing program of phased development to extend the geographical coverage of the forecast, the developmental version of AQFS has undergone two domain expansions. Hereinafter, this “developmental” domain-expanded forecast system AQFS will be dubbed AQFS-β. The current study evaluates the performance of AQFS-β for the northeastern United States using three domain sizes. Quantitative comparisons of forecast results with compiled observation data from the U.S. Aerometric Information Retrieval Now (AIRNOW) network were performed for each model domain, and interdomain comparisons were made for the regions of overlap. Several forecast skill score measures have been employed. Based on the categorical statistical metric of the critical success index, the largest domain achieved the highest skill score. This conclusion should catapult the implementation of the largest domain to attain the best forecast performance whenever the operational resource and criteria permit.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document