scholarly journals Adaptive Correction Forecasting Approach for Urban Traffic Flow Based on Fuzzyc-Mean Clustering and Advanced Neural Network

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
He Huang ◽  
Qifeng Tang ◽  
Zhen Liu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Intelligent Transportation System ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Adaptive Correction

Forecasting of urban traffic flow is important to intelligent transportation system (ITS) developments and implementations. The precise forecasting of traffic flow will be pretty helpful to relax road traffic congestion. The accuracy of traditional single model without correction mechanism is poor. Summarizing the existing prediction models and considering the characteristics of the traffic itself, a traffic flow prediction model based on fuzzyc-mean clustering method (FCM) and advanced neural network (NN) was proposed. FCM can improve the prediction accuracy and robustness of the model, while advanced NN can optimize the generalization ability of the model. Besides these, the output value of the model is calibrated by the correction mechanism. The experimental results show that the proposed method has better prediction accuracy and robustness than the other models.

scholarly journals Multidimensional Scaling-Based Data Dimension Reduction Method for Application in Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction for Urban Road Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Zhao ◽  
Satish V. Ukkusuri ◽  
Jian Lu
Keyword(s):  
Dimension Reduction ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Reduction Method ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Dimension Reduction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Urban Road ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

This study develops a multidimensional scaling- (MDS-) based data dimension reduction method. The method is applied to short-term traffic flow prediction in urban road networks. The data dimension reduction method can be divided into three steps. The first is data selection based on qualitative analysis, the second is data grouping using the MDS method, and the last is data dimension reduction based on a correlation coefficient. Backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models are employed in four kinds of urban traffic environments to test whether the proposed method improves the prediction accuracy of traffic flow. The results show that prediction models using traffic data after dimension reduction outperform the same prediction models using other datasets. The proposed method provides an alternative to existing models for urban traffic prediction.

scholarly journals Urban Wasteful Transport and Its Estimation Methods

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4562 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangyang Cao ◽  
Bingzhong Zhou ◽  
Qiang Tang ◽  
Jiaqi Li ◽  
Donghui Shi
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Transport Theory ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Flow Density ◽  
Urban Road ◽  
Road Capacity ◽  
Density Relationship

The paper studies urban road traffic problems from the perspective of resource science. The resource composition of urban road traffic system is analysed, and the road network is proved as a scarce resource in the system resource combination. According to the role of scarce resources, the decisive role of road capacity in urban traffic is inferred. Then the new academic viewpoint of “wasteful transport” was proposed. Through in-depth research, the paper defines the definition of wasteful transport and expounds its connotation. Through the flow-density relationship analysis of urban road traffic survey data, it is found that there is a clear boundary between normal and wasteful transport in urban traffic flow. On the basis of constructing the flow-density relationship model of road traffic, combined with investigation and analysis, the quantitative estimation method of wasteful transport is established. An empirical study on the traffic conditions of the Guoding section of Shanghai shows that there is wasteful transport and confirms the correctness of the wasteful transport theory and method. The research of urban wasteful transport also reveals that: (1) urban road traffic is not always effective; (2) traffic flow exceeding road capacity is wasteful transport, and traffic demand beyond the capacity of road capacity is an unreasonable demand for customers; (3) the explanation that the traffic congestion should apply the comprehensive theory of traffic engineering and resource economics; and (4) the wasteful transport theory and method may be one of the methods that can be applied to alleviate traffic congestion.

scholarly journals Improved Spatio-Temporal Residual Networks for Bus Traffic Flow Prediction

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 615 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panbiao Liu ◽  
Yong Zhang ◽  
Dehui Kong ◽  
Baocai Yin
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Transportation Network ◽  
Temporal Correlation ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Temporal Correlations ◽  
Building Models ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Specific Scenario

Buses, as the most commonly used public transport, play a significant role in cities. Predicting bus traffic flow cannot only build an efficient and safe transportation network but also improve the current situation of road traffic congestion, which is very important for urban development. However, bus traffic flow has complex spatial and temporal correlations, as well as specific scenario patterns compared with other modes of transportation, which is one of the biggest challenges when building models to predict bus traffic flow. In this study, we explore bus traffic flow and its specific scenario patterns, then we build improved spatio-temporal residual networks to predict bus traffic flow, which uses fully connected neural networks to capture the bus scenario patterns and improved residual networks to capture the bus traffic flow spatio-temporal correlation. Experiments on Beijing transportation smart card data demonstrate that our method achieves better results than the four baseline methods.

scholarly journals Gap, techniques and evaluation: traffic flow prediction using machine learning and deep learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Noor Afiza Mat Razali ◽  
Nuraini Shamsaimon ◽  
Khairul Khalil Ishak ◽  
Suzaimah Ramli ◽  
Mohd Fahmi Mohamad Amran ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Intelligent Transportation System ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Smart Cities ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

AbstractThe development of the Internet of Things (IoT) has produced new innovative solutions, such as smart cities, which enable humans to have a more efficient, convenient and smarter way of life. The Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is part of several smart city applications where it enhances the processes of transportation and commutation. ITS aims to solve traffic problems, mainly traffic congestion. In recent years, new models and frameworks for predicting traffic flow have been rapidly developed to enhance the performance of traffic flow prediction, alongside the implementation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods such as machine learning (ML). To better understand how ML implementations can enhance traffic flow prediction, it is important to inclusively know the current research that has been conducted. The objective of this paper is to present a comprehensive and systematic review of the literature involving 39 articles published from 2016 onwards and extracted from four main databases: Scopus, ScienceDirect, SpringerLink and Taylor & Francis. The extracted information includes the gaps, approaches, evaluation methods, variables, datasets and results of each reviewed study based on the methodology and algorithms used for the purpose of predicting traffic flow. Based on our findings, the common and frequent machine learning techniques that have been applied for traffic flow prediction are Convolutional Neural Network and Long-Short Term Memory. The performance of their proposed techniques was compared with existing baseline models to determine their effectiveness. This paper is limited to certain literature pertaining to common databases. Through this limitation, the discussion is more focused on (and limited to) the techniques found on the list of reviewed articles. The aim of this paper is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the application of ML and DL techniques for improving traffic flow prediction, contributing to the betterment of ITS in smart cities. For future endeavours, experimental studies that apply the most used techniques in the articles reviewed in this study (such as CNN, LSTM or a combination of both techniques) can be accomplished to enhance traffic flow prediction. The results can be compared with baseline studies to determine the accuracy of these techniques.

scholarly journals Short-term traffic flow prediction based on cuckoo search-wavelet neural network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haibo Lv ◽  
Yuheng Kang ◽  
Zhou Shen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Cuckoo Search ◽  
Wavelet Neural Network ◽  
Urban Traffic ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Step Size ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

Abstract The nonlinear fluctuation and uncertainty that characterize urban traffic flow are well-known. An Improved Cuckoo Search-Wavelet Neural Network (ICS-WNN) prediction model for urban traffic flow is suggested in order to increase the accuracy of traffic flow predictions. After the original traffic flow data have been cleaned up and normalized, the traffic flow prediction network model is built by optimizing the wavelet neural network weights and wavelet shrinkage and translation factors based on the adaptive step size and discovery probability of the cuckoo algorithm, and then adding the neural network momentum factor. The traffic flow prediction network model is built in two stages. The results of the experimental simulations demonstrate that the ICS-WNN prediction algorithm has a better fit and accuracy than numerous common optimization prediction techniques, which is encouraging.

scholarly journals Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Genetic Artificial Neural Network and Exponential Smoothing

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (6) ◽  
pp. 747-760
Author(s):  
Changxi Ma ◽  
Limin Tan ◽  
Xuecai Xu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Feedforward Neural Network ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Combined Model ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Artificial Neural

In order to improve the accuracy of short-term traffic flow prediction, a combined model composed of artificial neural network optimized by using Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Exponential Smoothing (ES) has been proposed. By using the metaheuristic optimal search ability of GA, the connection weight and threshold of the feedforward neural network trained by a backpropagation algorithm are optimized to avoid the feedforward neural network falling into local optimum, and the prediction model of Genetic Artificial Neural Network (GANN) is established. An ES prediction model is presented then. In order to take the advantages of the two models, the combined model is composed of a weighted average, while the weight of the combined model is determined according to the prediction mean square error of the single model. The road traffic flow data of Xuancheng, Anhui Province with an observation interval of 5 min are used for experimental verification. Additionally, the feedforward neural network model, GANN model, ES model and combined model are compared and analysed, respectively. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the optimized feedforward neural network is much higher than that before the optimization. The prediction accuracy of the combined model is higher than that of the two single models, which verifies the feasibility and effectiveness of the combined model.

scholarly journals Dynamic Traffic Congestion Simulation and Dissipation Control Based on Traffic Flow Theory Model and Neural Network Data Calibration Algorithm

Complexity ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Wang ◽  
Shimin Lin ◽  
Jingfeng Yang ◽  
Nanfeng Zhang ◽  
Ji Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Control Strategy ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Rbf Neural Network ◽  
Calibration Method ◽  
Theory Model ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Urban Traffic

Traffic congestion is a common problem in many countries, especially in big cities. At present, China’s urban road traffic accidents occur frequently, the occurrence frequency is high, the accident causes traffic congestion, and accidents cause traffic congestion and vice versa. The occurrence of traffic accidents usually leads to the reduction of road traffic capacity and the formation of traffic bottlenecks, causing the traffic congestion. In this paper, the formation and propagation of traffic congestion are simulated by using the improved medium traffic model, and the control strategy of congestion dissipation is studied. From the point of view of quantitative traffic congestion, the paper provides the fact that the simulation platform of urban traffic integration is constructed, and a feasible data analysis, learning, and parameter calibration method based on RBF neural network is proposed, which is used to determine the corresponding decision support system. The simulation results prove that the control strategy proposed in this paper is effective and feasible. According to the temporal and spatial evolution of the paper, we can see that the network has been improved on the whole.

scholarly journals FR-MTL: Traffic Flow Prediction Using Fused Ridge Denoising and Multi-Task Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (7) ◽  
pp. 829-836
Author(s):  
Di Yang ◽  
◽  
Ningjia Qiu ◽  
Peng Wang ◽  
Huamin Yang
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Natural Order ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Task Learning ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Highly Correlated

Traffic flow prediction is one of the fundamental components in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Many traffic flow prediction models have been developed, but with limitation of noise sensitivity, which will result in poor generalization. Fused Lasso, also known as total variation denoising, penalizes L1-norm on the model coefficients and pairwise differences between neighboring coefficients, has been widely used to analyze highly correlated features with a natural order, as is the case with traffic flow. It denoises data by encouraging both sparsity of coefficients and their differences, and estimates the coefficients of highly correlated variables to be equal to each other. However, for traffic data, the same coefficients will lead to overexpression of features, and losing the trend of time series of traffic flow. In this work, we propose a Fused Ridge multi-task learning (FR-MTL) model for multi-road traffic flow prediction. It introduces Fused Ridge for traffic data denoising, imposes penalty on L2-norm of the coefficients and their differences. The penalty of L2-norm proportionally shrinks coefficients, and generates smooth coefficient vectors with non-sparsity. It has both capability of trend preservation and denoising. In addition, we jointly consider multi-task learning (MTL) for training shared spatiotemporal information among traffic roads. The experiments on real traffic data show the advantages of the proposed model over other four regularized baseline models, and on traffic data with Gaussian noise and missing data, the FR-MTL model demonstrates potential and promising capability with satisfying accuracy and effectiveness.

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