scholarly journals Predictive Study of Tuberculosis Incidence by ARMA Model Combined with Air Pollution Variables

Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Yanling Zheng
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Prevention And Control ◽  
Principal Component Regression ◽  
Arma Model ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Capital City ◽  
Cross Correlation Analysis ◽  
And Control ◽  
Predictive Study

China has the second largest number of tuberculosis (TB) cases in the world, and the Xinjiang province has the highest TB incidence in China. Urumqi is the capital city of Xinjiang; good TB prevention and control in Urumqi can provide an example for other parts of Xinjiang, considering that predicting the TB incidence is the prerequisite of prevention and control; therefore, it is necessary to do a prediction study on TB incidence in Urumqi. In this paper, based on the data of TB incidence and air pollution variables (PM2.5, PM10, SO2, CO, NO2, O3) in Urumqi, the ARMA (1, (1, 3)) + model was established by time series ARMA model method, cross-correlation analysis, and principal component regression method, and its predictive performance was superior to that of the ARMA (1, (1, 3)) model based on TB historical data. The research idea of this paper was good, which can provide a reference for other researchers. The prediction of the ARMA (1, (1, 3)) + model can provide scientific help for TB prevention and control in Urumqi, China. During the analysis, it was found that the higher the concentration of O3, the higher the incidence of TB. This study suggests that people in Urumqi should pay more attention to the hazards of O3 and do a good job of personal protection.

scholarly journals Challenges to Infection Control Team during COVID-19 Pandemic in a Quaternary Medical Center in Saudi Arabia

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Hala A Amer ◽  
Ibrahim A Alowidah ◽  
Chasteffi Bugtai ◽  
Barbara M. Soule ◽  
Ziad A Memish
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Infection Control ◽  
Prevention And Control ◽  
Infection Prevention ◽  
Task Force ◽  
Care Center ◽  
Capital City ◽  
Infection Prevention And Control ◽  
Team Approach ◽  
And Control

Abstract Background: King Saud Medical City (KSMC) is a quaternary care center based in the center of the capital city, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and is one of the key Ministry of Health (MoH) facilities dedicated to the care of COVID-19 patients in the central region. Methods: A comprehensive surge plan was promptly launched in mid-March 2020 to address the pandemic and then expanded in a phase-wise approach. Supporting the capacity of the infection prevention and control department (IPCD) was one of the main pillars of KSMC surge plan. Task force Infection Control teams have been formulated to tackle the different aspects of pandemic containment processes. The challenges and measures undertaken by the IPC team have been described. Conclusion: Realizing the more prominent role of infection prevention and control staff as frontline responders to public health emergencies like COVID-19, a solid infection prevention and control system at the healthcare setting supported by qualified and sufficient manpower, a well-developed multidisciplinary team approach, electronic infrastructure and efficient supply utilization is required for effective crisis management.

The Message of “APEC Blue” for the Prevention and Control of Urban Air Pollution in China

2016 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
pp. 1650027
Author(s):  
Rong ZHU
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Emergency Response ◽  
Prevention And Control ◽  
Urban Air Pollution ◽  
Pollution Prevention ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Atmospheric Pollutant ◽  
And Control

Analysis of the meteorological conditions for atmospheric pollutant dispersion before and after the 2014 APEC meeting shows very significant effects of air pollution prevention and control measures on the meeting. It proves that the proper measures to control air pollution in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region are: establishing a regional emergency response mechanism to reduce emissions in the case of heavy air pollution, strengthening the local emergency response measures for emission reduction, and enhancing the early warning system for weather conditions conducive to heavy air pollution.

scholarly journals Long-term trends and drivers of aerosol pH in eastern China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Min Zhou ◽  
Guangjie Zheng ◽  
Hongli Wang ◽  
Liping Qiao ◽  
Shuhui Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Prevention And Control ◽  
Action Plan ◽  
Health Effect ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Pollution Prevention ◽  
Control Action ◽  
Haze Pollution ◽  
Pollution Prevention And Control ◽  
And Control

Abstract. Aerosol acidity plays a key role in regulating the chemistry and toxicity of atmospheric aerosol particles. The trend of aerosol pH and its drivers are crucial in understanding the multiphase formation pathways of aerosols. Here, we reported the first trend analysis of aerosol pH from 2011 to 2019 in eastern China. The implementation of the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan leads to −35.8 %, −37.6 %, −9.6 %, −81.0 % and 1.2 % changes of PM2.5, SO42−, NHx, NVCs and NO3− in YRD during this period. Different from the fast changes of aerosol compositions due to the implementation of the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan, aerosol pH shows a moderate change of −0.24 unit over the 9 years. Besides the multiphase buffer effect, the opposite effects of SO42− and non-volatile cations changes play key roles in determining the moderate pH trend, contributing to a change of +0.38 and −0.35 unit, respectively. Seasonal variations in aerosol pH were mainly driven by the temperature, while the diurnal variations were driven by both temperature and relative humidity. In the future, SO2, NOx and NH3 emissions are expected to be further reduced by 86.9 %, 74.9 % and 41.7 % in 2050 according to the best health effect pollution control scenario (SSP1-26-BHE). The corresponding aerosol pH in eastern China is estimated to increase by ~0.9, resulting in 8 % more NO3− and 35 % less NH4+ partitioning/formation in the aerosol phase, which suggests a largely reduced benefit of NH3 and NOx emission control in mitigating haze pollution in eastern China.

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