scholarly journals Experts’ Judgment-Based Mamdani-Type Decision System for Risk Assessment

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Fatin Amirah Ahmad Shukri ◽  
Zaidi Isa

Mamdani fuzzy inference system has been widely used for potential risk modelling and management. The decision-making is usually provided by multiple experts in the field. The conflicting information in sources from different experts become an open issue and has attracted some researchers to investigate further. Various risk factors in a project caused difficulties for decision makers to make reliable decisions on the whole project since it involves ambiguities, vagueness, and fuzziness. The introduction of the fuzzy inference system to the evaluation of construction risk is capable in explaining its reasoning process and, hence, overcoming such problems. Risk factors under the project management risk were identified through literature sources and from the opinion of experts. It is found that the likelihood and severity of risk is somehow interlinked with the concept of fuzzy theory. For model input and output linguistics variables, the triangular membership function was selected. The methodology employs a fuzzy aggregation system in which an appropriate control action can be determined by the acquisition of expert judgment. A total of 23 rules with logical OR operator, truncation implication, and Mean of Maxima (MoM) method for defuzzification were used to create an effective fuzzy model intended for making decisions. The framework determines the relationship between input and output parameters in if-then rules or mathematical functions using an effective fuzzy arithmetic operator. The study addresses the principle issues of multiexpert opinions based on Mamdani-type decision system and the illustrative example taken from one of medium-sized project held in Malaysia’s construction industry. By comparing with other experimental results, we verify the rationality and reliability of the proposed method.

2011 ◽  
Vol 268-270 ◽  
pp. 336-339
Author(s):  
Guo Lin Jing ◽  
Wen Ting Du ◽  
Quan Zhou ◽  
Song Tao Li

Fuzzy system is known to predict model in the electrodialysis process. This paper aimed to study fitting effect by ANFIS in a laboratory scale ED cell. Separation percent of NaCl solution is mainly as a function of concentration, temperature, flow rate and voltage. Besides, ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) based on Sugeno fuzzy model, its structure was similar to neural network and could generate fuzzy rules automatically, using the error back propagation algorithm and least square method to adjust the parameters of fuzzy inference system. We obtained fitted values of separation percent by ANFIS. Separation percent from experiments compared with the fitted values of separation percent. The result is shown that the correlation coefficient is 0.988. Therefore, it is verified as a good performance in the electrodialysis process.


Author(s):  
PNL Pavani ◽  
CLVRSV Prasad ◽  
K Ramji ◽  
SV Ramana

In order to improve the performance of the cutting tool, third-generation tools with multi-layered nanocoatings on the rake face are used. During machining, the chip–tool interactions depict that although the tool wear on the rake face is located in the close proximity of the cutting edge, that is, within 800 µm, all the commercially available cutting tools have the coatings on the entire rake face. Taking into account the tribological properties required by the rake face close to the cutting edge, that is, high wear resistance and low friction, this study makes an attempt to identify, characterize and locate the actual wear zones/regions in terms of hard and soft zones in the chip contact area of tungsten carbide (WC) inserts close to the cutting edge in turning. Mamdani fuzzy inference system model was developed, trained with the sample experimental data and tested with the test data. The simulated results showed that the average error values of edge chipping (in X- and Y-directions), nose damage and crater wear (in X- and Y-directions) are about 2.37%, 3.01%, 2.86%, 2.66% and 1.89%, respectively. The fuzzy model developed in this study showed remarkable prediction of the wear zone locations and is also helpful for the researchers to decide the type of coating (hard and soft) along the specified zones for reducing the cost of production.


Author(s):  
O F Lutfy ◽  
Mohd S B Noor ◽  
M H Marhaban ◽  
K A Abbas

This paper presents a genetically trained PID (proportional-integral-derivative)-like ANFIS (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system) acting as a feedback controller to control non-linear systems. Three important issues are addressed in this paper, which are, first, the evaluation of the ANFIS as a PID-like controller; second, the utilization of the GA (genetic algorithm) alone to train the ANFIS controller, instead of the hybrid learning methods that are widely used in the literature; and, third, the determination of the input and output scaling factors for this controller by the GA. The GA, with real-coding operators, is used to adjust all of the ANFIS parameters, which include the input and output scaling factors, the centres and widths of the input membership functions (MFs), and the consequent parameters. To show the effectiveness of this controller and its learning method, several non-linear plants, including the CSTR (continuous stirred tank reactor), have been selected to be controlled by this controller through simulation. Moreover, this controller's robustness to output disturbances has also been tested and the results clearly indicated the remarkable performance of this controller and its learning algorithm. In addition, the result of comparing the performance of this controller with a genetically tuned classical PID controller has shown the superiority of the PID-like ANFIS controller.


2012 ◽  
Vol 229-231 ◽  
pp. 1449-1453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Jun Li ◽  
Xiao Hui Peng ◽  
Yu Qiang Cheng ◽  
Jian Jun Wu

In this paper, the data of faulty sensors reconstruct algorithm of liquid-propellant rocket engine is developed based on adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. First, the input parameters selected for method is according to regularity criterion and the relationships between each parameter; second, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is train by normal test, finally, the fuzzy mode is validated by normal data and the data of faulty sensor is reconstructed. The results indicate that this algorithm can reconstruct the data of faulty sensors accurately and show that the fuzzy model approach has good performance in faulty sensors data reconstruct for LRE.


Processes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 1444
Author(s):  
Saeed Na’amnh ◽  
Muath Bani Salim ◽  
István Husti ◽  
Miklós Daróczi

Nowadays, Busbars have been extensively used in electrical vehicle industry. Therefore, improving the risk assessment for the production could help to screen the associated failure and take necessary actions to minimize the risk. In this research, a fuzzy inference system (FIS) and artificial neural network (ANN) were used to avoid the shortcomings of the classical method by creating new models for risk assessment with higher accuracy. A dataset includes 58 samples are used to create the models. Mamdani fuzzy model and ANN model were developed using MATLAB software. The results showed that the proposed models give a higher level of accuracy compared to the classical method. Furthermore, a fuzzy model reveals that it is more precise and reliable than the ANN and classical models, especially in case of decision making.


Author(s):  
Reza Pourbabaki ◽  
Zahra Beigzadeh ◽  
Behnam Haghshenas ◽  
Ali Karimi ◽  
Zahra Alaei ◽  
...  

Background: Unsafe behavior in industries can be due to different factors. The aim of this study was to predict and model unsafe behavior using a safety atmosphere and cultural attitudes questionnaires. Methods: This study was a descriptive-analytic and cross-sectional examination that analyzed the data and predicted the unsafe behaviors of 90 construction workers using Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) in MATLAB R2016a software. Results: In this study, the model of the safety atmosphere - unsafe behavior and the model of the cultural attitudes - unsafe behavior had the regression coefficients of 0.93373 and 0.9234, respectively. It showed that each of the parameters has a close relationship to the rate of the unsafe behavior. In this regard, a combination of the safety atmosphere and safety attitude parameters for the estimation of the unsafe behaviors achieved the better results with a regression coefficient of 0.9453 which indicates the direct effect of both parameters simultaneously on unsafe behavior. Conclusion: Based on the findings, it can be concluded that the neuro-fuzzy model can be used as an appropriate tool for predicting unsafe behavior in the industries.


2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ravi Kumar Sharma ◽  
Dr. Parul Gandhi

There are many algorithms and techniques for estimating the reliability of Component Based Software Systems (CBSSs). Accurate esti-mation depends on two factors: component reliability and glue code reliability. Still much more research is expected to estimate reliability in a better way. A number of soft computing approaches for estimating CBSS reliability has been proposed. These techniques learnt from the past and capture existing patterns in data. In this paper, we proposed new model for estimating CBSS reliability known as Modified Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (MNFIS). This model is based on four factors Reusability, Operational, Component dependency, Fault Density. We analyze the proposed model for diffent data sets and also compare its performance with that of plain Fuzzy Inference System. Our experimental results show that, the proposed model gives better reliability as compare to FIS.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Zarei

AbstractThis paper presents the development and evaluation of different versions of Neuro-Fuzzy model for prediction of spike discharge patterns. We aim to predict the spike discharge variation using first spike latency and frequency-following interval. In order to study the spike discharge dynamics, we analyzed the Cerebral Cortex data of the cat from [29]. Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS), Wang and Mendel (WM), Dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), Hybrid neural Fuzzy Inference System (HyFIS), genetic for lateral tuning and rule selection of linguistic fuzzy system (GFS.LT.RS) and subtractive clustering and fuzzy c-means (SBC) algorithms are applied for data. Among these algorithms, ANFIS and GFS.LT.RS models have better performance. On the other hand, ANFIS and GFS.LT.RS algorithms can be used to predict the spike discharge dynamics as a function of first spike latency and frequency with a higher accuracy compared to other algorithms.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document