scholarly journals Potential New Approaches in Predicting Adverse Cardiac Events One Month after Major Vascular Surgery

2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-69
Author(s):  
Mladjan Golubovic ◽  
Velimir Peric ◽  
Dragana Stanojevic ◽  
Milan Lazarevic ◽  
Nenad  Jovanovic ◽  
...  

Objective: The aim of our study was to find the best model with sufficient power to improve the risk stratification in major vascular surgery patients during the first 30 days after this procedure. The discriminatory power of 4 biomarkers (troponin I [TnI], N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP], creatine kinase-MB isoenzyme [CK-MB], high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hs-CRP]) was tested as well as 2 risk assessment models and 13 different combinations of them. Subjects and Methods: The study included 122 patients (77% men, 23% women) with an average age of 67.03 ± 4.5 years. An aortobifemoral bypass was performed in 6.56% of the patients, a femoropopliteal bypass in 18.85%, and 49.18% received open surgical reconstruction of the carotid arteries. A total of 25.41% of the patients were given an aortobi-iliac bypass. Results: During the first 30 days, 13 patients (10.7%) had 17 cardiac complications. The most common complication was the new onset of atrial fibrillation (35.3%). During the first 10 days, 10 patients had 1 complication and 2 patients had 2 cardiac events, while 1 patient had 3 complications. By comparing combinations of scores and markers, it was shown that revised cardiac risk index (RCRI) + Vascular Portsmouth Physiological and Operative Severity Score (V-POSSUM) + hsTnI and RCRI + V-POSSUM + hsTnI + NT-proBNP with 100% sensitivity, > 80% specificity had the best discriminatory ability (AUC 0.924 and 0.933, respectively; p < 0.001 for both models) for cardiac complications during the 30 days after surgery. Conclusion: Combinations of traditional preoperative risk factors and scores can enhance the assessment of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients preparing for large vascular surgery. Using only one risk score in these patients seems to be underperforming in preoperative risk assessment.

VASA ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wunderlich ◽  
Gossrau ◽  
Wunderlich ◽  
Altmann

Introduction: Cardiovascular complications remain the principal cause of both morbidity and mortality after major vascular surgery. The well-known coincidence between vascular disease and coronary artery disease provided the rationale for a detailed analysis of major perioperative cardiovascular complications in their relation to preoperative and intraoperative parameter. Methods and Patients: 90 patients scheduled to undergo either femoral-popliteal bypass (n = 74) or repair of an infrarenal aortic aneurysm (n = 16) were prospectively included in the study. All patients had no signs of unstable cardiac disease and required no cardiac testing. Both preoperative and intraoperative parameter were correlated to adverse cardiac events (cardiac death and myocardial infarction -MI). Results: Univariate analysis identified the following parameter to be significantly related to cardiac complications: prior MI and intraoperative hypertension (systolic blood pressure above 200 mmHg). In contrast perioperative betablocker therapy was revealed to be protective. In multivariate analysis the history of MI and intraoperative hypertension correlated with poor cardiac outcome. Conclusions: Our results underline the importance of the individual history in predicting perioperative risk and corroborate the beneficial effects of long-standing beta-blocker therapy. Additionally the significance of stable intraoperative hemodynamic parameter is demonstrated.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Colin P. Dunn ◽  
Emmanuel U. Emeasoba ◽  
Ari J. Holtzman ◽  
Michael Hung ◽  
Joshua Kaminetsky ◽  
...  

Background. Patients undergoing kidney transplantation have increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events due to histories of hypertension, end-stage renal disease, and dialysis. As such, they are especially in need of accurate preoperative risk assessment. Methods. We compared three different risk assessment models for their ability to predict major adverse cardiac events at 30 days and 1 year after transplant. These were the PORT model, the RCRI model, and the Gupta model. We used a method based on generalized U-statistics to determine statistically significant improvements in the area under the receiver operator curve (AUC), based on a common major adverse cardiac event (MACE) definition. For the top-performing model, we added new covariates into multivariable logistic regression in an attempt to create further improvement in the AUC. Results. The AUCs for MACE at 30 days and 1 year were 0.645 and 0.650 (PORT), 0.633 and 0.661 (RCRI), and finally 0.489 and 0.557 (Gupta), respectively. The PORT model performed significantly better than the Gupta model at 1 year (p=0.039). When the sensitivity was set to 95%, PORT had a significantly higher specificity of 0.227 compared to RCRI’s 0.071 (p=0.009) and Gupta’s 0.08 (p=0.017). Our additional covariates increased the receiver operator curve from 0.664 to 0.703, but this did not reach statistical significance (p=0.278). Conclusions. Of the three calculators, PORT performed best when the sensitivity was set at a clinically relevant level. This is likely due to the unique variables the PORT model uses, which are specific to transplant patients.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0310057X2110246
Author(s):  
Yao Yao ◽  
Ashok Dharmalingam ◽  
Cyril Tang ◽  
Harrison Bell ◽  
Andrew DJ McKeown ◽  
...  

Clinicians assessing cardiac risk as part of a comprehensive consultation before surgery can use an expanding set of tools, including predictive risk calculators, cardiac stress tests and measuring serum natriuretic peptides. The optimal assessment strategy is unclear, with conflicting international guidelines. We investigated the prognostic accuracy of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index for risk stratification and cardiac outcomes in patients undergoing elective non-cardiac surgery in a contemporary Australian cohort. We audited the records for 1465 consecutive patients 45 years and older presenting to the perioperative clinic for elective non-cardiac surgery in our tertiary hospital. We calculated individual Revised Cardiac Risk Index scores and documented any use of preoperative cardiac tests. The primary outcome was any major adverse cardiac events within 30 days of surgery, including myocardial infarction, pulmonary oedema, complete heart block or cardiac death. Myocardial perfusion imaging was the most common preoperative stress test (4.2%, 61/1465). There was no routine investigation of natriuretic peptide levels for cardiac risk assessment before surgery. Major adverse cardiac events occurred in 1.3% (18/1366) of patients who had surgery. The Revised Cardiac Risk Index score had modest prognostic accuracy for major cardiac complications, area under receiver operator curve 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.60 to 0.86. Stratifying major adverse cardiac events by the Revised Cardiac Risk Index scores 0, 1, 2 and 3 or greater corresponded to event rates of 0.6% (4/683), 0.8% (4/488), 4.1% (6/145) and 8.0% (4/50), respectively. The Revised Cardiac Risk Index had only modest predictive value in our single-centre experience. Patients with a revised cardiac risk index score of 2 or more had an elevated risk of early cardiac complications after elective non-cardiac surgery.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mladjan Golubovic ◽  
Dragana Stanojevic ◽  
Milan Lazarevic ◽  
Velimir Peric ◽  
Tomislav Kostic ◽  
...  

Introduction. The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is an extensively used simple risk stratification tool advocated by the European Society of Cardiology and European Society of Anesthesiology (ESC/ESA). Purpose. The aim of this study was to find the best model for predicting 3-month cardiovascular complications in elective major vascular surgical patients using preoperative clinical assessment, calculation of the RCRI and Vascular Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (V-POSSUM) scores, and the preoperative levels of N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide (NT pro-BNP), high-sensitivity troponin I (hs TnI), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs CRP). Materials and Methods. We included 122 participants in a prospective, single-center, observational study. The levels of NT pro-BNP, hs CRP, and hs TnI were measured 48 hours prior to surgery. During the perioperative period and 90 days after surgery the following adverse cardiac events were recorded: myocardial infarction, arrhythmias, pulmonary edema, acute decompensated heart failure, and cardiac arrest. Results. During the first 3 months after surgery 29 participants (23.8%) had 50 cardiac complications. There was a statistically significant difference in the RCRI score between participants with and without cardiac complications. ROC analysis showed that a combination of RCRI with hs TnI has good discriminatory power (AUC 0.909, p<0,001). By adding NT pro-BNP concentrations to the RCRI+hs TnI+V-POSSSUM combination we obtained the model with the best predictive power for 3-month cardiac complications (AUC 0.963, p<0,001). Conclusion. We need to improve preoperative risk assessment in participants scheduled for major vascular surgery by combining their clinical scores with biomarkers. Therefore, it is possible to identify patients at risk of cardiovascular complications who need adequate preoperative diagnosis and treatment.


2011 ◽  
Vol 45 (11) ◽  
pp. 1451-1451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sammy Zakaria ◽  
Kit Yu Lu ◽  
Veronique Nussenblatt ◽  
Ilene Browner

Objective: To report a novel case of atrial flutter associated with carboplatin administration and review chemotherapy-related cardiac toxicities, focusing on platinum-containing compounds. Case Report: A 69-year-old man with extensive small cell lung cancer and asymptomatic cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease was inconsistently adherent to his medication regimen. While undergoing carboplatin infusion, he developed atrial flutter. He had no other immediate arrhythmogenic causes of atrial flutter and the arrhythmia spontaneously reverted to sinus rhythm after 24 hours. His condition remained stable until he died 8 days later. The cause of death was unknown and the family declined postmortem examination. Discussion: Although this patient's cardiac history and nonadherence to his medications may have increased his susceptibility to develop atrial arrhythmias, the Naranjo probability scale reveals a possible relationship between atrial flutter and Infusion of carboplatin. A literature search revealed other adverse cardiac events due to platinum compounds; however, to our knowledge, this case is the first to describe an association with atrial flutter. A definitive causal link cannot be determined, but this may have been the result of a direct arrhythmogenic effect of treatment or to a novel hypersensitivity reaction. Given the potential deleterious impact of drug-induced arrhythmias, we have reported this case to the Food and Drug Administration as a new adverse effect of carboplatin. Conclusions: Providers should consider cardiac monitoring during carboplatin infusion in patients with known cardiac disease or at high risk of cardiac complications.


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