Abstract P238: Long-Term Survival Trends in Hospitalized Heart Failure Patients
Background: Long-term survival data on patients with heart failure (HF) in community-based populations are limited. Preserved ejection fraction (PEF) is present in 50-60% of HF patients. We examined whether trends in long-term survival differed between HF patients with preserved (ejection fraction >/= 45) and reduced ejection fraction (REF) in the context of modern treatment. Methods: The Minnesota Heart Survey, a community-based population study conducted in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area, abstracted a random sample of hospital records for patients aged 35-84 with a discharge diagnosis of HF in 1995 and 2000. In the absence of a gold standard diagnosis of HF, hospitalization records that met at least four of six published classification algorithm definitions were considered HF related. Mortality was ascertained from medical records and by linkage to death certificates from the Department of Health. Kaplan-Meier was used for unadjusted survival and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HR). Results: In 1995 1269 HF patients (PEF, n = 423; REF, n = 846) and in 2000 1103 HF patients (PEF, n = 413; REF, n = 690) were identified. The prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidemia were significantly higher in 2000; the utilization of ACE-Inhibitors, beta-blockers and revascularization were also significantly greater in 2000. In 1995, the unadjusted 9-year survival was 21% in REF and 28% in PEF; in 2000 these numbers were 28% in REF and 29% in PEF (Figure). After adjustment for sex and age the HR for 9-year mortality in 1995 was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.68 - 0.89) for HF patients with PEF compared to REF, p = 0.0003; in 2000 the adjusted HR for 9-year mortality in patients with PEF compared to REF was 0.95 (95%CI: 0.82 - 1.10), p = 0.48. Conclusion: Survival after a HF related hospitalization is low with less than 30% of patients surviving nine years. The increased utilization of ACE-Inhibitors and beta-blockers may partially explain the improved survival among HF patients with REF.