Abstract MP29: Combined Impact Of Chronic Kidney Disease And Hypertension On Lifetime Risk Of Cardiovascular Disease Death: A Pooled Analysis Of Data From The Evidence For Cardiovascular Prevention From Observational Cohorts In Japan Study

Introduction: Those who are considered to be low risk in short term such as 10 year risk actually have high risk of cardiovascular disease for the remaining lifespan at younger age. Absolute risk of Lifetime risk (LTR) is more useful and understandable for lay audience compared with short term risk or relative risk. CKD (Chronic Kidney Disease) is global burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and hypertension is damaging complication of CKD for CVD. To date, there have been no reports of LTR with the outcome of CVD death based on CKD in Asian population. Hypothesis: We sought to estimate LTR of CVD death stratified by the status of CKD and hypertension. Methods: We used data from EPOCH-JAPAN (Evidence for Cardiovascular Prevention From Observational Cohorts in Japan) which is designed to pool data from nationwide and regional cohort studies in Japan. Modified Kaplan-Meier approach was used to estimate the remaining lifetime risk of cardiovascular death at each index age starting from 40 years according to CKD stratified by Hypertension. Participants were classified into four groups, which were those without CKD and hypertension (CKD-/HT-), those with CKD but without hypertension (CKD+/HT-), those without CKD but with hypertension (CKD-/HT+), and those with both CKD and hypertension (CKD+/HT+). Results: A total of 44,582 participants from 8 cohorts was included in the analysis. Mean follow-up period was 14.9 years with 662,488 person years and total CVD death was 1,035 in men and 1,160 in women. The LTRs at the index age of 40 years increased in groups with CKD and/or HT as follows: 12.6% (95% confidence interval: 9.4 - 14.5%) in CKD-/HT- group, 20.6% (11.4 - 25.9%) in CKD+/HT- group, 23.2% (19.9 - 25.2%) in CKD-/HT+ group, and 27.9% (21.7 - 32.9%) in CKD+/HT+ group for men; 11.3%(8.9 - 13.2%), 17.4%(13.2 - 20.4%) , 17.8%(15.3 - 19.8%) , and 22.7%(19.5 - 25.2%) for women. Conclusions: We observed that complication of CKD and hypertension are collectively responsible for lifetime risk due to CVD death. Management of blood pressure from an early age is important to reduce CVD mortality in CKD patients.