Abstract 47: Using Ultrasound and Inflammation to Improve Prediction of Ischemic Stroke: A Secondary Analysis of MESA

Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam H de Havenon ◽  
Ka-Ho Wong ◽  
J Scott McNally ◽  
Jennifer Majersik

Background: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) is a large prospective epidemiologic study of the clinical factors that can predict transition from asymptomatic to symptomatic cardiovascular disease. Although prior studies have looked at ischemic stroke, they have not systematically examined the relationship between baseline ultrasound and inflammation measurements and subsequent primary stroke risk. Methods: The primary outcome is incident ischemic stroke during follow-up. The predictors are 9 ultrasound-derived measurements and 5 serum measurements related to inflammation. We fit Cox models to ischemic stroke and adjusted for patient age, hypertension, diabetes, total cholesterol, and smoking. Using DeLong’s method, we compared the AUC of the baseline adjusted model to the AUC of the model with predictor variables that were significant in the Cox models, to determine if they improved stroke prediction. Results: We included 6,095 patients with an average age of 61.9 years. The primary outcome of ischemic stroke was seen in 107 patients (1.8%) and the mean follow-up time was 7.7 years. In the Cox models, we found that small artery elasticity (SAE), carotid distensibility (CD), carotid stenosis (CS), and interleukin-6 (IL6) were associated with incident stroke. The AUC of the baseline model to predict stroke, which included patient age, hypertension, diabetes, total cholesterol, and smoking, was 0.745. When we added tertiles of SAE, CD, IL6 and categories of CS, the AUC improved to 0.765 (p=0.021 for difference). Conclusions: In a multiethnic cohort of patients without CVD at baseline, we found several ultrasound measurements and a serum marker of inflammation which predicted the occurrence of a primary ischemic stroke. Adding these basic ultrasound and serum measurements significantly improved the prediction of stroke, which could have implications for primary prevention efforts.

2021 ◽  
pp. 37-43
Author(s):  
Hediyeh Baradaran ◽  
Alen Delic ◽  
Ka-Ho Wong ◽  
Nazanin Sheibani ◽  
Matthew Alexander ◽  
...  

Introduction: Current ischemic stroke risk prediction is primarily based on clinical factors, rather than imaging or laboratory markers. We examined the relationship between baseline ultrasound and inflammation measurements and subsequent primary ischemic stroke risk. Methods: In this secondary analysis of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), the primary outcome is the incident ischemic stroke during follow-up. The predictor variables are 9 carotid ultrasound-derived measurements and 6 serum inflammation measurements from the baseline study visit. We fit Cox regression models to the outcome of ischemic stroke. The baseline model included patient age, hypertension, diabetes, total cholesterol, smoking, and systolic blood pressure. Goodness-of-fit statistics were assessed to compare the baseline model to a model with ultrasound and inflammation predictor variables that remained significant when added to the baseline model. Results: We included 5,918 participants. The primary outcome of ischemic stroke was seen in 105 patients with a mean follow-up time of 7.7 years. In the Cox models, we found that carotid distensibility (CD), carotid stenosis (CS), and serum interleukin-6 (IL-6) were associated with incident stroke. Adding tertiles of CD, IL-6, and categories of CS to a baseline model that included traditional clinical vascular risk factors resulted in a better model fit than traditional risk factors alone as indicated by goodness-of-fit statistics. Conclusions: In a multiethnic cohort of patients without cerebrovascular disease at baseline, we found that CD, CS, and IL-6 helped predict the occurrence of primary ischemic stroke. Future research could evaluate if these basic ultrasound and serum measurements have implications for primary prevention efforts or clinical trial inclusion criteria.


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ka-ho Wong ◽  
Cecilia Peterson ◽  
Rock Theodore ◽  
Kinga aitken ◽  
Michael Dela Cruz ◽  
...  

Background: Diabetic retinopathy is a common microvascular complication of diabetes. Previous research has shown that the macrovascular complications of diabetes, including stroke, are often comorbid with shared and, possibly, synergistic pathology. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of the subgroup of patients who enrolled in the ACCORD Eye study of ACCORD. The primary outcome is stroke during follow-up. The primary predictor was presence of diabetic retinopathy on the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study Severity Scale as assessed from seven-field stereoscopic fundus photographs at study baseline. We fit adjusted Cox models to the primary outcome to provide hazard ratios for stroke and included interaction terms with the ACCORD randomization arms. Results: We included 2,828 patients with a mean (SD) age of 62.1 years and 61.8% were male. The primary outcome of stroke was met by 117 patients during a mean (SD) of 5.4 (1.8) years of follow-up. Diabetic retinopathy was present in 874/2,828 (30.9%) of patients at baseline, and was more common in patients with stroke versus without stroke (41.0 vs 30.5%, p=0.016). In the Cox model, adjusted for baseline patient age, gender, race, total cholesterol, Hgb A1c, smoking, and randomization arm, we found that diabetic retinopathy remained associated with incident stroke (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.32, p=0.015) (Figure 1). This association was not affected by randomization to the ACCORD glucose intervention (p=0.305), lipid intervention (p=0.546), or blood pressure intervention (p=0.422). Conclusion: Diabetic retinopathy is associated with an increased risk of stroke, which suggests that the microvascular pathology inherent to diabetic retinopathy has larger cardiovascular implications.


2013 ◽  
Vol 118 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
William J. Kemp ◽  
Daniel H. Fulkerson ◽  
Troy D. Payner ◽  
Thomas J. Leipzig ◽  
Terry G. Horner ◽  
...  

Object A small percentage of patients will develop a completely new or de novo aneurysm after discovery of an initial aneurysm. The natural history of these lesions is unknown. The authors undertook this statistical evaluation a large cohort of patients with both ruptured and unruptured de novo aneurysms with the aim of analyzing risk factors for rupture and estimating a risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Methods A review of a prospectively maintained database of all aneurysm patients treated by the vascular neurosurgery service of Goodman Campbell Brain and Spine from 1976–2010 was performed. Of the 4718 patients, 611 (13%) had long-term follow-up imaging. The authors identified 27 patients (4.4%) with a total of 32 unruptured de novo aneurysms from routine surveillance imaging. They identified another 10 patients who presented with a new SAH from a de novo aneurysm after treatment of their original aneurysm. The total study group was thus 37 patients with a total of 42 de novo aneurysms. The authors then compared the 27 patients with incidentally discovered aneurysms with the 10 patients with SAH. A statistical analysis was performed, comparing the 2 groups with respect to patient and aneurysm characteristics and risk factors. Results Thirty-seven patients were identified as having true de novo aneurysms. This group had a female predominance and a high percentage of smokers. These 37 patients had a total of 42 de novo aneurysms. Ten of these 42 aneurysms hemorrhaged. De novo aneurysms in both the SAH and non-SAH group were anatomically small (< 10 mm). The estimated risk of hemorrhage over 5 years was 14.5%, higher than the expected SAH risk of small, unruptured aneurysms reported in the ISUIA (International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms) trial. There was no statistically significant correlation between hemorrhage and any of the following risk factors: hypertension, diabetes, tobacco and alcohol use, polycystic kidney disease, or previous SAH. There was a statistically significant between-groups difference with respect to patient age, with the mean patient age being significantly older in the SAH aneurysm group than in the non-SAH group (p = 0.047). This is likely reflective of longer follow-up and discovery time, as the mean length of time between initial treatment and discovery of the de novo aneurysm was longer in the SAH group (p = 0.011). Conclusions While rare, de novo aneurysms may have a risk for SAH that is comparatively higher than the risk associated with similarly sized, small, initially discovered unruptured saccular aneurysms. The authors therefore recommend long-term follow-up for all patients with aneurysms, and they consider a more aggressive treatment strategy for de novo aneurysms than for incidentally discovered initial aneurysms.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 229-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monica Dallabona ◽  
Silvio Sarubbo ◽  
Stefano Merler ◽  
Francesco Corsini ◽  
Giuseppe Pulcrano ◽  
...  

Abstract Background High-grade gliomas are the most frequently occurring brain tumors and carry unfavorable prognosis. Literature is controversial regarding the effects of surgery on cognitive functions. Methods We analyzed a homogenous population of 30 patients with high-grade glioma who underwent complete resection. Patients underwent extensive neuropsychological analysis before surgery, 7 days after surgery, and approximately 40 days after surgery, before adjuvant treatments. Thirty-four neuropsychological tests were administered in the language, memory, attention, executive functions, and praxis domains. Results The preoperative percentage of patients with impairment in the considered tests ranged from 0% to 53.3% (mean 20.9%). Despite a general worsening at early follow-up, a significant recovery was observed at late follow-up. Preoperative performances in language and verbal memory tasks depended on the joint effect of tumor volume, volume of surrounding edema, and tumor localization, with major deficits in patients with left lateralized tumor, especially insular and temporal. Preoperative performances in attention and constructive abilities tasks depended on the joint effect of tumor volume, volume of surrounding edema, and patient age, with major deficits in patients ≥ 65 years old. Recovery at late follow-up depended on the volume of resected tumor, edema resorption, and patient age. Conclusions Longitudinal neuropsychological performance of patients affected by high-grade glioma depends, among other factors, on the complex interplay of tumor volume, volume of surrounding edema, tumor localization, and patient age. Reported results support the definition of criteria for surgical indication based on the above factors. They may be used to propose more customized surgical, oncological, and rehabilitative strategies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Hua Chen ◽  
Guo Yao Chen ◽  
Hong Zheng ◽  
Quan He Chen ◽  
Fa Yuan Fu ◽  
...  

Objective: The present study aims to investigate the incidence and predictors of atrial high-rate events (AHREs) in patients with permanent pacemaker implants.Methods: A total of 289 patients who were implanted with a dual-chamber pacemaker due to complete atrioventricular block or symptomatic sick sinus syndrome (SSS) and had no previous history of atrial fibrillation were included in the present study. AHREs are defined as events with an atrial frequency of ≥175 bpm and a duration of ≥5 min. The patients were divided into two groups according to whether or not AHREs were detected during the follow-up: group A (AHRE+, n = 91) and group N (AHRE–, n = 198).Results: During the 12-month follow-up period, AHREs were detected in 91 patients (31.5%). The multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that patient age [odds ratio [OR] = 1.041; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.018–1.064; and P &lt; 0.001], pacemaker implantation due to symptomatic SSS (OR = 2.225; 95% CI, 1.227–4.036; and P = 0.008), and the percentage of atrial pacing after pacemaker implantation (OR = 1.010; 95% CI, 1.002–1.017; and P = 0.016) were independent AHRE predictors.Conclusion: The AHRE detection rate in patients with pacemaker implants was 31.5%. Patient age, pacemaker implantation due to symptomatic SSS, and the percentage of atrial pacing after pacemaker implantation were independent AHRE predictors.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew W. Segar ◽  
Kershaw V. Patel ◽  
Muthiah Vaduganathan ◽  
Melissa C. Caughey ◽  
Javed Butler ◽  
...  

<b>Objective</b>: Evaluate the associations between long-term change and variability in glycemia with risk of HF among patients with T2DM. <p><b>Research Design and Methods: </b>Among participants with T2DM enrolled in the ACCORD trial, variability in HbA1c was assessed from stabilization of HbA1c following enrollment (8 months) to 3 years of follow-up as follows: average successive variability (ASV=average absolute difference between successive values), coefficient of variation (CV=standard deviation/mean), and standard deviation. Participants with HF at baseline or within 3 years of enrollment were excluded. Adjusted Cox models were used to evaluate the association of % change (from baseline to 3 years of follow-up) and variability in HbA1c over the first 3 years of enrollment and subsequent risk of HF.</p> <p><b>Results</b>: The study included 8,576 patients. Over a median follow-up of 6.4 years from the end of variability measurements at year 3, 388 patients had an incident HF hospitalization. Substantial changes in HbA1c were significantly associated with higher risk of HF [HR (95% CI) for ≥10% decrease = 1.32 (1.08-1.75), ≥10% increase = 1.55 (1.19-2.04), ref: <10% change in HbA1c]. Higher long-term variability in HbA1c was significantly associated with higher risk of HF [HR (95% CI) per 1 SD of ASV = 1.34 (1.17-1.54)] independent of baseline risk factors and interval changes in cardiometabolic parameters. Consistent patterns of association were observed using alternative measures of glycemic variability.</p> <p><b>Conclusions:</b> Substantial long-term changes and variability in HbA1c were independently associated with risk of HF among patients with T2DM.</p>


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam H de Havenon ◽  
Tanya Turan ◽  
Sharon Yeatts ◽  
Rebecca Gottesman ◽  
Shyam Prabhakaran ◽  
...  

Background: The Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) randomized patients to a goal SBP <120 mm Hg vs. <140 mm Hg . A subset of patients enrolled in SPRINT MIND, which performed a baseline MRI and measured white matter hyperintensity volume (WMHv). We evaluated the association between WMHv and cardiovascular events. Methods: The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, MI, ACS, decompensated CHF, or CVD death. The secondary outcome was stroke. The WMHv was divided into quartiles. We fit Cox models to the outcomes and report adjusted hazard ratios for the quartiles of WMHv, and stratified by SPRINT treatment arm. Results: Among 719 included patients, the mean WMHv in the quartiles was 0.34, 1.09, 2.61, and 10.8 mL. The primary outcome occurred in 51/719 (7.1%) and the secondary outcome in 10/719 (1.4%). The WMHv was associated with both outcomes (Table 1, Figure 1). After stratifying by treatment arm, we found the association persisted in the standard, but not intensive, treatment arm (Table 2). However, the interaction term between WMHv and treatment arm was not significant. Conclusions: We observed that degree of WMH was associated with CVD and stroke risk in SPRINT MIND. The risk may be attenuated in patients randomized to intensive BP lowering. Trials are needed to determine if intensive BP lowering can prospectively reduce the high cardiovascular risk in patients with WMH.


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Cecilia Peterson ◽  
Ka-Ho Wong ◽  
Michael Dela Cruz ◽  
Kirby Taylor ◽  
Jennifer J Majersik ◽  
...  

Introduction: Antianxiety and antidepressant medications have shown some neuroprotective effects following stroke. However, the effect of premorbid use of these medications remains unclear. Hypothesis: Pre-morbid exposure to antianxiety or antidepressant medications will negatively impact recovery from acute ischemic stroke, measured by modified Rankin scale (mRS) at 90 days after stroke onset. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of the Albumin in Acute Ischemic Stroke (ALIAS) 2 trial. The primary outcome is 90-day mRS 0-1. The exposure is premorbid antidepressant or antianxiety medication. We fit univariate and multivariate logistic regression models to our outcome, with covariates chosen using a stepwise backwards interactive selection. Results: We included 806 patients with a mean (SD) age of 64.4 (12.8) years. The median (IQR) NIH Stroke Scale was 11 (8, 17) and 54.3% were male, 75.6% were Caucasian, 88.8% received tPA, 72.5% had hypertension, and 20.3% had diabetes. A total of 140/806 (17.4%) of patients took either an antidepressant or antianxiety medication, of which 91 took an antidepressant, 34 took an antianxiety medication, and 15 took both. The median (IQR) mRS Scale was one point higher in patients on antidepressant or antianxiety medication pre-stroke (3 vs. 2, p=0.019). The primary outcome of mRS 0-1 was seen in 37.7% of all patients. Taking an antidepressant or antianxiety medication was associated with lower odds of a good outcome in univariate (OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.41-0.91, p=0.015) and multivariate models (aOR 0.62, 95% CI 0.40-0.95, p=0.027) (Table 1). Conclusion: Pre-morbid exposure to antianxiety or antidepressant medications is associated with a worse outcome after acute ischemic stroke. This may be due to a negative impact of pre-stroke anxiety and depression that outweigh any neuroprotective factors of these medications.


Stroke ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Opeolu Adeoye ◽  
Heidi Sucharew ◽  
Jane Khoury ◽  
Pamela Schmit ◽  
Joseph Broderick ◽  
...  

Background: The Phase 2 Combined approach to Lysis utilizing Eptifibatide And Rt-PA in Acute Ischemic Stroke - Full Dose Regimen (CLEAR-FDR) trial was a single arm trial that demonstrated the safety of full dose (0.9mg/kg) rt-PA plus eptifibatide in AIS patients treated with rt-PA within three hours of symptom onset. Interventional Management of Stroke (IMS) III randomized AIS patients to rt-PA plus endovascular therapy versus standard r-tPA. Albumin in Acute Stroke (ALIAS) Part 2 randomized patients to albumin±rt-PA versus saline±rt-PA. We compared outcomes in CLEAR-FDR patients to propensity score-matched rt-PA only subjects in ALIAS Part 2 and IMS. Methods: All datasets were restricted to subjects with baseline modified Rankin score (mRS) of 0 or 1. Controls were selected using propensity score matching of CLEAR-FDR subjects and rt-PA only subjects from both IMS III and ALIAS. Age, gender, race, baseline mRS, baseline NIHSS score, and time from stroke onset to rt-PA were included in the logistic model used to generate a propensity score for each subject. The greedy matching algorithm was then used to match 1:3. The primary outcome was 90-day severity-adjusted mRS dichotomization based on baseline NIHSS. Secondary outcomes were 90-day mRS dichotomized as excellent (mRS 0-1); favorable (mRS 0-2); and, nonparametric analysis of the ordinal mRS. Results: Eighteen CLEAR-FDR subjects were matched with 52 controls. Median age in CLEAR-FDR and control subjects was 67 and 68 years respectively. Median NIHSS in both CLEAR-FDR and control subjects was 11. At 90 days, CLEAR-FDR subjects had a nonsignificant greater proportion of patients with a favorable primary outcome (61% versus 38%; unadjusted RR 1.59; 95%CI 0.96-2.63; P=0.10). Secondary outcomes also favored CLEAR-FDR subjects: excellent outcomes - 67% versus 38% (RR 1.73; 95%CI 1.08-2.79; P=0.04); favorable outcomes - 67% versus 58% (RR 1.16; 95%CI 0.77-1.73; P=0.50); and ordinal Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel, P=0.13. Conclusion: The outcomes for combination of full dose rt-PA plus eptifibatide showed a consistent direction of effect in favor of the combination over rt-PA alone. A trial to establish the efficacy of rt-PA plus eptifibatide for improving AIS outcomes is warranted and in the planning stages.


2009 ◽  
Vol 76 (2) ◽  
pp. 144-149
Author(s):  
E. Palminteri ◽  
E. Berdondini ◽  
S. Maruccia ◽  
M. Poluzzi ◽  
D. Vecchio ◽  
...  

We present our experience with a simplified anastomotic posterior urethroplasty to highlight the necessity and usefulness of ancillary reconstructive maneuvers. We reviewed the records of 46 patients who had undergone anastomotic repair of posterior urethral strictures due to pelvic trauma between 2000 and 2007. Mean patient age at surgery was 43 years. Average stricture length was 2.3 cm. Repair was performed with a progressive perineal anastomotic procedure using flexible cystoscope by means of transcystostomic approach: after mobilization of the bulbo-membranous urethra and the corporal splitting, the prostatic apex is well visualized and the membranous urethra is sectioned proximally; the flexible cystoscope by means of transcystostomic approach facilitates to find the proximal urethral lumen and to perform the bulbo-prostatic anastomosis. Mean follow-up was 32 months. Of 46 cases, 40 (87 %) were successful and 6 (13 %) failed with recurrence of the stricture. Urinary incontinence did not develop in any patients. The operative details and maneuvers facilitate the preparation of the bulbo-membranous urethral tract and prostatic apex, and simplify the performance of the anastomotic repair.


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