scholarly journals Neural Network Classifiers for Local Wind Prediction

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (5) ◽  
pp. 727-738 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralf Kretzschmar ◽  
Pierre Eckert ◽  
Daniel Cattani ◽  
Fritz Eggimann
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Performance Measure ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Wind Gust ◽  
Model Data ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Classifiers ◽  
Selection Of

Abstract This paper evaluates the quality of neural network classifiers for wind speed and wind gust prediction with prediction lead times between +1 and +24 h. The predictions were realized based on local time series and model data. The selection of appropriate input features was initiated by time series analysis and completed by empirical comparison of neural network classifiers trained on several choices of input features. The selected input features involved day time, yearday, features from a single wind observation device at the site of interest, and features derived from model data. The quality of the resulting classifiers was benchmarked against persistence for two different sites in Switzerland. The neural network classifiers exhibited superior quality when compared with persistence judged on a specific performance measure, hit and false-alarm rates.

scholarly journals Comparative Analysis of Neural Networking and Regression Models for Time Series Forecasting

2019 ◽  
pp. 60-68
Author(s):  
S. V. Sholtanyuk
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Time Series Forecasting ◽  
Neural Nets ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Accuracy And Stability ◽  
Selection Of

Applicability of neural nets in time series forecasting has been considered and researched. For this, training of neural network on various time series with preliminary selection of optimal hyperparameters has been performed. Comparative analysis of received neural networking forecasting model with linear regression has been performed. Conditions, affecting on accuracy and stability of results of the neural network, have been revealed.

scholarly journals Adaptive Control Structure with Neural Data Processing Applied for Electrical Drive with Elastic Shaft

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3389
Author(s):  
Marcin Kamiński ◽  
Krzysztof Szabat
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Adaptive Control ◽  
Dynamic Properties ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Drive System ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimizer ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Control Concept ◽  
Constant Coefficients ◽  
Selection Of

This paper presents issues related to the adaptive control of the drive system with an elastic clutch connecting the main motor and the load machine. Firstly, the problems and the main algorithms often implemented for the mentioned object are analyzed. Then, the control concept based on the RNN (recurrent neural network) for the drive system with the flexible coupling is thoroughly described. For this purpose, an adaptive model inspired by the Elman model is selected, which is related to internal feedback in the neural network. The indicated feature improves the processing of dynamic signals. During the design process, for the selection of constant coefficients of the controller, the PSO (particle swarm optimizer) is applied. Moreover, in order to obtain better dynamic properties and improve work in real conditions, one model based on the ADALINE (adaptive linear neuron) is introduced into the structure. Details of the algorithm used for the weights’ adaptation are presented (including stability analysis) to perform the shaft torque signal filtering. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is examined through simulation and experimental studies.

Selection of Neural Network for Crime Time Series Prediction by Virtual Leave-One-Out Tests

2019 ◽  
pp. 117-133
Author(s):  
Stanisław Jankowski ◽  
Zbigniew Szymański ◽  
Zbigniew Wawrzyniak ◽  
Paweł Cichosz ◽  
Eliza Szczechla ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Virtual Leave One Out ◽  
Leave One Out ◽  
Selection Of

scholarly journals Research on GDP Forecast Analysis Combining BP Neural Network and ARIMA Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Shaobo Lu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Relative Error ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
The Neural Network

Based on the BP neural network and the ARIMA model, this paper predicts the nonlinear residual of GDP and adds the predicted values of the two models to obtain the final predicted value of the model. First, the focus is on the ARMA model in the univariate time series. However, in real life, forecasts are often affected by many factors, so the following introduces the ARIMAX model in the multivariate time series. In the prediction process, the network structure and various parameters of the neural network are not given in a systematic way, so the operation of the neural network is affected by many factors. Each forecasting method has its scope of application and also has its own weaknesses caused by the characteristics of its own model. Secondly, this paper proposes an effective combination method according to the GDP characteristics and builds an improved algorithm BP neural network price prediction model, the research on the combination of GDP prediction model is currently mostly focused on the weighted form, and this article proposes another combination, namely, error correction. According to the price characteristics, we determine the appropriate number of hidden layer nodes and build a BP neural network price prediction model based on the improved algorithm. Validation of examples shows that the error-corrected GDP forecast model is also better than the weighted GDP forecast model, which shows that error correction is also a better combination of forecasting methods. The forecast results of BP neural network have lower errors and monthly prices. The relative error of prediction is about 2.5%. Through comparison with the prediction results of the ARIMA model, in the daily price prediction, the relative error of the BP neural network prediction is 1.5%, which is lower than the relative error of the ARIMA model of 2%.

International Real Estate Review

2004 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-138
Author(s):  
Xin J. Ge ◽  
◽  
G. Runeson ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Hong Kong ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Residential Property ◽  
Neural Network Approach ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Property Price

This paper develops a forecasting model of residential property prices for Hong Kong using an artificial neural network approach. Quarterly time-series data are applied for testing and the empirical results suggest that property price index, lagged one period, rental index, and the number of agreements for sales and purchases of units are the major determinants of the residential property price performance in Hong Kong. The results also suggest that the neural network methodology has the ability to learn, generalize, and converge time series.

scholarly journals Phonetics and Ambiguity Comprehension Gated Attention Network for Humor Recognition

Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaochao Fan ◽  
Hongfei Lin ◽  
Liang Yang ◽  
Yufeng Diao ◽  
Chen Shen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Semantic Information ◽  
Semantic Representation ◽  
Research Attention ◽  
Attention Network ◽  
Phonetic Information ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Ambiguous Words ◽  
Public Datasets

Humor refers to the quality of being amusing. With the development of artificial intelligence, humor recognition is attracting a lot of research attention. Although phonetics and ambiguity have been introduced by previous studies, existing recognition methods still lack suitable feature design for neural networks. In this paper, we illustrate that phonetics structure and ambiguity associated with confusing words need to be learned for their own representations via the neural network. Then, we propose the Phonetics and Ambiguity Comprehension Gated Attention network (PACGA) to learn phonetic structures and semantic representation for humor recognition. The PACGA model can well represent phonetic information and semantic information with ambiguous words, which is of great benefit to humor recognition. Experimental results on two public datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our model.

Fast generic selection of features for neural network classifiers

1992 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 324-328 ◽  
Author(s):  
F.Z. Brill ◽  
D.E. Brown ◽  
W.N. Martin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Classifiers ◽  
Selection Of
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