scholarly journals Parameterizing Unresolved Mesoscale Motions in Atmospheric Dispersion Models

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 645-657 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helen N. Webster ◽  
Thomas Whitehead ◽  
David J. Thomson

AbstractIn atmospheric dispersion models driven by meteorological data from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, it is necessary to include a parameterization for plume spread that is due to unresolved mesoscale motions. These are motions that are not resolved by the input NWP data but are larger in size than the three-dimensional turbulent motions represented by turbulence parameterizations. Neglecting the effect of these quasi-two-dimensional unresolved mesoscale motions has been shown to lead to underprediction of plume spread and overprediction of concentrations within the plume. NWP modeling is conducted at a range of resolutions that resolve different scales of motion. This suggests that any parameterization of unresolved mesoscale motions should depend on the resolution of the input NWP data. Spectral analysis of NWP data and wind observations is used to assess the mesoscale motions unresolved by the NWP model. Appropriate velocity variances and Lagrangian time scales for these motions are found by calculating the missing variance in the energy spectra and analyzing correlation functions. A strong dependence on the resolution of the NWP data is seen, resulting in larger velocity variances and Lagrangian time scales from the lower-resolution models. A parameterization of unresolved mesoscale motions on the basis of the NWP resolution is proposed.

2018 ◽  
Vol 90 (10) ◽  
pp. 1577-1592 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar Björnham ◽  
Håkan Grahn ◽  
Niklas Brännström

AbstractStand-off detection of airborne chemical compounds has proven to be a useful method that is gaining popularity following technical progress. There are obvious advantages compared to in situ measurements when it comes to the security aspect and the ability to measure at locations otherwise hard to reach. However, an inherent limitation in many of the stand-off detection techniques lies in the fact that the measured signal from a chemical depends nonlinearly on the distance to the detector. Furthermore, the measured signal describes the summation of the responses from all chemicals spatially distributed in the line of sight of the instrument. In other words, the three dimensional extension of the chemical plume is converted into a two-dimensional image. Not only is important geometric information per se lost in this process, but the measured signal strength itself depends on the unknown plume distribution which implies that the interpretation of the observation data suffers from significant uncertainty. In this paper we investigate different and novel approaches to reconstruct the original three-dimensional distribution and concentration of the plume by implementation of atmospheric dispersion models and numerical retrieval methods. In particular our method does not require a priori assumptions on the three-dimensional distribution of the plume. We also strongly advocate the use of proper constraints to avoid unphysical solutions being derived (or post-process ‘adjustments’ to correct unphysical solutions). By applying such a reconstruction method, both improved and additional information is obtained from the original observation data, providing important intelligence to the analysts and decision makers.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frances Beckett ◽  
Claire Witham ◽  
Susan Leadbetter ◽  
Ric Crocker ◽  
Helen Webster ◽  
...  

<p>It has been 10 years since the ash cloud from the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull caused chaos to air traffic across Europe. Although disruptive, the longevity of the event afforded the scientific community the opportunity to observe and extensively study the transport and dispersion of a volcanic ash cloud. Here we present the development of the NAME atmospheric dispersion model and modifications to its application in the London VAAC forecasting system since 2010, based on the lessons learned.</p><p>Our ability to represent both the vertical and horizontal transport of ash in the atmosphere and its removal have been improved through the introduction of new schemes to represent the sedimentation and wet deposition of volcanic ash, and updated schemes to represent deep atmospheric convection and parameterizations for plume spread due to unresolved mesoscale motions. A good simulation of the transport and dispersion of a volcanic ash cloud requires an accurate representation of the source and we have introduced more sophisticated approaches to representing the eruption source parameters, and their uncertainties, used to initialize NAME. Further, atmospheric dispersion models are driven by 3-dimensional meteorological data from Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models and the Met Office’s upper air wind field data is now more accurate than it was in 2010. These developments have resulted in a more robust modelling system at the London VAAC, ready to provide forecasts and guidance during the next volcanic ash event affecting their region.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 94 (2) ◽  
pp. 237-249
Author(s):  
Martin Novák

The article includes a summary of basic information about the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) calculation by the numerical weather prediction (NWP) model ALADIN of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute (CHMI). Examples of operational outputs for weather forecasters in the CHMI are shown in the first part of this work. The second part includes results of a comparison of computed UTCI values by ALADIN for selected place with UTCI values computed from real measured meteorological data from the same place.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bonaventure Fontanier ◽  
Pramod Kumar ◽  
Grégoire Broquet ◽  
Christopher Caldow ◽  
Olivier Laurent ◽  
...  

<p>Methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) is a powerful greenhouse gas which plays a major role in climate change. The accurate monitoring of emissions from industrial facilities is needed to ensure efficient emission mitigation strategies. Local-scale atmospheric inversions are increasingly being used to provide estimates of the rates and/or locations of CH<sub>4</sub> sources from industrial sites. They rely on local-scale atmospheric dispersion models, CH<sub>4</sub> measurements and inversion approaches. Gaussian plume models have often been used for local-scale atmospheric dispersion modelling and inversions of emissions, because of their simplicity and good performance when used in a flat terrain and relatively constant mean wind conditions. However, even in such conditions, failure to account for wind and mole fraction variability can limit the ability to exploit the full potential of these measurements at high frequency.</p><p>We study whether the accuracy of inversions can be increased by the use of more complex dispersion models. Our assessments are based on the analysis of 25 to 75-min CH<sub>4 </sub>controlled releases during a one-week campaign in October 2019 at the TOTAL’s TADI operative platform in Lacq, France (in a flat area). During this campaign, for each controlled release, we conducted near-surface in situ measurements of CH<sub>4</sub> mole fraction from both a mobile vehicle and a circle of fixed points around the emission area. Our inversions based on a Gaussian model and either the mobile or fixed-point measurements both provided estimates of the release rates with 20-30% precision.  </p><p>Here we focus on comparisons between modeling and inversion results when using this Gaussian plume model, a Lagrangian model “GRAL” and a Gaussian puff model. The parameters for the three models are based on high-frequency meteorological values from a single stationary 3D sonic anemometer. GRAL should have relatively good skills under low-wind speed conditions. The Gaussian puff is a light implementation of time-dependent modeling and can be driven by high-frequency meteorological data. The performance of these dispersion models is evaluated with various metrics from the observation field that are relevant for the inversion. These analyses lead to the exploration of new types of definitions of the observational constraint for the inversions with the Gaussian puff model, when using the timeseries from fixed measurement points. The definitions explore a range of metrics in the time domain as well as in the frequency domain.</p><p>Eventually, the Lagrangian model does not outperform the Gaussian plume model in these experiments, its application being notably limited by the short scales of the transport characteristics. On the other hand, the Gaussian puff model provides promising results for the inversion, in particular, in terms of comparison between the simulated and observed timeseries for fixed stations. Its performance when driven by a spatially uniform wind field is an incentive to explore the use of meteorological data from several sonic stations to parameterize its configuration. The fixed-point measurements are shown to allow for more robust inversions of the source location than the mobile measurements, with an average source localization error of the order of 10 m.</p>


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