scholarly journals Antarctic and Southern Ocean Surface Temperatures in CMIP5 Models in the Context of the Surface Energy Budget*

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 1689-1716 ◽  
Author(s):  
David P. Schneider ◽  
David B. Reusch

Abstract This study examines the biases, intermodel spread, and intermodel range of surface air temperature (SAT) across the Antarctic ice sheet and Southern Ocean in 26 structurally different climate models. Over the ocean (40°–60°S), an ensemble-mean warm bias peaks in late austral summer concurrently with the peak in the intermodel range of SAT. This warm bias lags a spring–summer positive bias in net surface radiation due to weak shortwave cloud forcing and is gradually reduced during autumn and winter. For the ice sheet, inconsistencies among reanalyses and observational datasets give low confidence in the ensemble-mean bias of SAT, but a small summer warm bias is suggested in comparison with nonreanalysis SAT data. The ensemble mean hides a large intermodel range of SAT, which peaks during the summer insolation maximum. In summer on the ice sheet, the SAT intermodel spread is largely associated with the surface albedo. In winter, models universally exhibit a too-strong deficit in net surface radiation related to the downward longwave radiation, implying that the lower atmosphere is too stable. This radiation deficit is balanced by the transfer of sensible heat toward the surface (which largely explains the intermodel spread in SAT) and by a subsurface heat flux. The winter bias in downward longwave radiation is due to the longwave cloud radiative effect, which the ensemble mean underestimates by a factor of 2. The implications of these results for improving climate simulations over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean are discussed.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-54
Author(s):  
Joseph P. Clark ◽  
Vivek Shenoy ◽  
Steven B. Feldstein ◽  
Sukyoung Lee ◽  
Michael Goss

AbstractThe wintertime (December – February) 1990 - 2016 Arctic surface air temperature (SAT) trend is examined using self-organizing maps (SOMs). The high dimensional SAT dataset is reduced into nine representative SOM patterns, with each pattern exhibiting a decorrelation time scale about 10 days and having about 85% of its variance coming from intraseasonal timescales. The trend in the frequency of occurrence of each SOM pattern is used to estimate the interdecadal Arctic winter warming trend associated with the SOM patterns. It is found that trends in the SOM patterns explain about one-half of the SAT trend in the Barents and Kara Seas, one-third of the SAT trend around Baffin Bay and two-thirds of the SAT trend in the Chukchi Sea. A composite calculation of each term in the thermodynamic energy equation for each SOM pattern shows that the SAT anomalies grow primarily through the advection of the climatological temperature by the anomalous wind. This implies that a substantial fraction of Arctic amplification is due to horizontal temperature advection that is driven by changes in the atmospheric circulation. An analysis of the surface energy budget indicates that the skin temperature anomalies as well as the trend, although very similar to that of the SAT, are produced primarily by downward longwave radiation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (20) ◽  
pp. 13227-13241 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Nyeki ◽  
Stefan Wacker ◽  
Christine Aebi ◽  
Julian Gröbner ◽  
Giovanni Martucci ◽  
...  

Abstract. The trends of meteorological parameters and surface downward shortwave radiation (DSR) and downward longwave radiation (DLR) were analysed at four stations (between 370 and 3580 m a.s.l.) in Switzerland for the 1996–2015 period. Ground temperature, specific humidity, and atmospheric integrated water vapour (IWV) trends were positive during all-sky and cloud-free conditions. All-sky DSR and DLR trends were in the ranges of 0.6–4.3 W m−2 decade−1 and 0.9–4.3 W m−2 decade−1, respectively, while corresponding cloud-free trends were −2.9–3.3 W m−2 decade−1 and 2.9–5.4 W m−2 decade−1. Most trends were significant at the 90 % and 95 % confidence levels. The cloud radiative effect (CRE) was determined using radiative-transfer calculations for cloud-free DSR and an empirical scheme for cloud-free DLR. The CRE decreased in magnitude by 0.9–3.1 W m−2 decade−1 (only one trend significant at 90 % confidence level), which implies a change in macrophysical and/or microphysical cloud properties. Between 10 % and 70 % of the increase in DLR is explained by factors other than ground temperature and IWV. A more detailed, long-term quantification of cloud changes is crucial and will be possible in the future, as cloud cameras have been measuring reliably at two of the four stations since 2013.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chi-Han Cheng ◽  
Fidelia Nnadi

Accurate estimate of the surface longwave radiation is important for the surface radiation budget, which in turn controls evaporation and sensible heat fluxes. Regional land use changes can impact local weather conditions; for example, heterogeneous land use patterns and temporal changes in atmospheric circulation patterns would affect air temperature and water vapor pressure, which are more commonly used as inputs in existing models for estimating downward longwave radiation (LWd). In this study, first, we analyzed the cloud cover and land use covers impacts onLWd. Next,LWdon all-sky conditions were developed by using the existing land use-adapted model and cloud cover data from the region of Saint Johns River Water Management District (SJRWMD), FL. The results show that factors, such as, seasonal effects, cloud cover, and land use, are of importance in the estimation ofLWdand they cannot be ignored when developing a model forLWdprediction. The all-sky land use-adapted model with all factors taken into account performs better than other existing models statistically. The results of the statistical analyses indicated that the BIAS, RMSE, MAE, and PMRE are −0.18 Wm−2, 10.81 Wm−2, 8.00 Wm−2, and 2.30%; −2.61 Wm−2, 14.45 Wm−2, 10.64 Wm−2, and 3.19%; −0.07 Wm−2, 10.53 Wm−2, 8.03 Wm−2, and 2.27%; and −0.62 Wm−2, 13.97 Wm−2, 9.76 Wm−2, and 2.87% for urban, rangeland, agricultural, and wetland areas, respectively.


Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 606 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Zhou ◽  
Pallav Ray ◽  
Kristine Boykin ◽  
Bradford S. Barrett ◽  
Pang-Chi Hsu

The performance of 20 models from the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) was evaluated concerning surface radiation over the tropical oceans (30° S–30° N) from 1979 to 2000. The model ensemble mean of the net surface shortwave radiation (QSW) was underestimated compared to the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) data by 4 W m−2. On the other hand, net longwave radiation (QLW) was overestimated by 4 W m−2, leading to an underestimation of the net surface radiation (Qrad) by 8 W m−2. The most prominent bias in the Qrad appears to be over regions of low-level clouds in the off-equatorial eastern Pacific, eastern Atlantic, and the south-eastern Indian Ocean. The root means squared error of QLW was larger than that of QSW in 17 out of 20 AMIP models. Overestimation of the total cloud cover and atmospheric humidity contributed to the underestimation of Qrad. In general, models with higher horizontal resolutions performed slightly better than those with coarser horizontal resolutions, although some systematic bias persists in all models and in all seasons, in particular, in regions of low-level clouds for QLW, and high-level clouds for QSW. The ensemble mean performed better than most models, but two high-resolution models (GFDL-HIRAM-C180 and GFDL-HIRAM-C360) outperform the model ensemble.


2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (18) ◽  
pp. 4723-4748 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Bodas-Salcedo ◽  
M. A. Ringer ◽  
A. Jones

Abstract The partitioning of the earth radiation budget (ERB) between its atmosphere and surface components is of crucial interest in climate studies as it has a significant role in the oceanic and atmospheric general circulation. An analysis of the present-day climate simulation of the surface radiation budget in the atmospheric component of the new Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 1 (HadGEM1) is presented, and the simulations are assessed by comparing the results with fluxes derived from satellite data from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) and ground measurements from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). Comparisons against radiative fluxes from satellite and ground observations show that the model tends to overestimate the surface incoming solar radiation (Ss,d). The model simulates Ss,d very well over the polar regions. Consistency in the comparisons against BSRN and ISCCP-FD suggests that the ISCCP-FD database is a good test for the performance of the surface downwelling solar radiation in climate model simulations. Overall, the simulation of downward longwave radiation is closer to observations than its shortwave counterpart. The model underestimates the downward longwave radiation with respect to BSRN measurements by 6.0 W m−2. Comparisons of land surface albedo from the model and estimates from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) show that HadGEM1 overestimates the land surface albedo over deserts and over midlatitude landmasses in the Northern Hemisphere in January. Analysis of the seasonal cycle of the land surface albedo in different regions shows that the amplitude and phase of the seasonal cycle are not well represented in the model, although a more extensive validation needs to be carried out. Two decades of coupled model simulations of the twentieth-century climate are used to look into the model’s simulation of global dimming/brightening. The model results are in line with the conclusions of the studies that suggest that global dimming is far from being a uniform phenomenon across the globe.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Nyeki ◽  
Stefan Wacker ◽  
Julian Gröbner ◽  
Wolfgang Finsterle ◽  
Martin Wild

Abstract. A large number of radiometers are traceable to the World Standard Group (WSG) for shortwave radiation and the interim World Infra-red Standard Group (WISG) for longwave radiation, hosted by the Physikalisch Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Centre (PMOD/WRC, Davos, Switzerland). The WSG and WISG have recently been found to over- and underestimate radiation values, respectively (Fehlmann et al., 2012; Gröbner et al., 2014), although research is still ongoing. In view of a possible revision of the reference scales of both standard groups, this study discusses the methods involved, and the implications on existing archives of radiation time-series, such as the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). Based on PMOD/WRC calibration archives and BSRN data archives, the downward longwave radiation (DLR) time-series over the 2006–2015 periods were analysed at four stations (polar and mid-latitude locations). DLR was found to increase by up to 3.5 and 5.4 W m−2, respectively, after applying a WISG reference scale correction and a minor correction for the dependence of pyrgeometer sensitivity on atmospheric integrated water vapour content. Similar increases in DLR may be expected at other BSRN stations. Based on our analysis, a number of recommendations are made for future studies.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengqi Liu ◽  
Xiangdong Zheng ◽  
Jinqiang Zhang ◽  
Xiangao Xia

Abstract. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is one of hot spots in the climate research due to its unique geographical location, high altitude, highly sensitive to climate change as well potential effects on climate in East Asia. Downward longwave radiation (DLR), as a key component in the surface energy budget, is of practical implications for many research fields. Several attempts have been made to measure hourly or daily DLR and then model it over the TP. This study uses 1-minute radiation and meteorological measurements at three stations over the TP to parameterize DLR during summer months. Three independent methods are used to discriminate clear-sky observations by making maximal use of collocated measurements of downward shortwave and longwave radiation as well as Lidar backscatter measurements with high temporal resolution. This guarantees a reliable separation of clear-sky and cloudy samples that favors for proper parameterizations of DLR under these two contrast conditions. Clear-sky and cloudy DLR models with original parameters are firstly assessed. These models are then locally calibrated based on 1-minute observations. DLR estimation is notably improved since specific conditions over the TP are accounted for by local calibration, which is indicated by smaller root mean square error (RMSE) and larger coefficient of determination (R2). The best local parametrization can estimate clear-sky DLR with RMSE of 3.8 W⸱m-2. Overestimation of clear-sky DLR by previous study is evident, likely due to potential residue cloud contamination on the clear-sky samples. Cloud base height under overcast conditions is shown to be intimately related to cloudy DLR parameterization, which is considered by this study in the locally calibrated parameterization over the TP for the first time.


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 949
Author(s):  
Haoran Wang ◽  
Andrew R. Klekociuk ◽  
W. John R. French ◽  
Simon P. Alexander ◽  
Tom A. Warner

The surface radiation environment over the Southern Ocean within the region bound by 42.8° S to 78.7° S and 62.6° E to 157.7° W is summarised for three austral summers. This is done using ship-based measurements with the combination of downwelling radiation sensors and a cloud imager. We focus on characterising the cloud radiative effect (CRE) under a variety of conditions, comparing observations in the open ocean with those in the sea ice zone. For comparison with our observed data, we obtained surface data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts fifth reanalysis (ERA5). We found that the daily average cloud fraction was slightly lower in ERA5 compared with the observations (0.71 and 0.75, respectively). ERA5 also showed positive biases in the shortwave radiation effect and a negative bias in the longwave radiation effect. The observed mean surface CRE of −164 ± 100 Wm−2 was more negative than the mean surface CRE for ERA5 of −101 W m−2.


2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 3057-3071 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Nyeki ◽  
Stefan Wacker ◽  
Julian Gröbner ◽  
Wolfgang Finsterle ◽  
Martin Wild

Abstract. A large number of radiometers are traceable to the World Standard Group (WSG) for shortwave radiation and the interim World Infrared Standard Group (WISG) for longwave radiation, hosted by the Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation Centre (PMOD/WRC, Davos, Switzerland). The WSG and WISG have recently been found to over- and underestimate radiation values, respectively (Fehlmann et al., 2012; Gröbner et al., 2014), although research is still ongoing. In view of a possible revision of the reference scales of both standard groups, this study discusses the methods involved and the implications on existing archives of radiation time series, such as the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). Based on PMOD/WRC calibration archives and BSRN data archives, the downward longwave radiation (DLR) time series over the 2006–2015 period were analysed at four stations (polar and mid-latitude locations). DLR was found to increase by up to 3.5 and 5.4 W m−2 for all-sky and clear-sky conditions, respectively, after applying a WISG reference scale correction and a minor correction for the dependence of pyrgeometer sensitivity on atmospheric integrated water vapour content. Similar increases in DLR may be expected at other BSRN stations. Based on our analysis, a number of recommendations are made for future studies.


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