scholarly journals Rapid increase of explosive cyclone activity over the midwinter North Pacific in the late 1980s

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-60
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
East China ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
Reanalysis Dataset ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
North Pacific Storm Track ◽  
Central North Pacific

Abstract Long-term changes in the activity of explosively developing “Bomb” cyclones over the wintertime North Pacific are investigated by using a particular version of a global atmospheric reanalysis dataset into which only conventional observations have been assimilated. Bomb cyclones in January are found to increase rapidly around 1987 in the midlatitude central North Pacific. Some of the increased “Bomb” cyclones formed over the East China Sea and then moved along the southern coast of Japan before developing explosively in the central North Pacific. The enhanced cyclone activity is found to be concomitant with rapid warming and moistening over the subtropical western Pacific, the South and East China Seas under the weakened monsoonal northerlies, leading to the enhancement of lower-tropospheric Eady growth rate and equivalent potential temperature gradient, setting a condition favorable for cyclone formation in the upstream of the North Pacific storm track. Along the storm track, poleward moisture transport in the warm sector of a cyclone and associated precipitation along the warm and cold fronts tended to increase and thereby enhance its explosive development. After the transition around 1987, a Bomb cyclone has become more likely to develop without a strong upper-level cyclonic vortex propagating from Eurasia than in the earlier period. The increased Bomb cyclone activity in January is found to contribute to the diminished midwinter minimum of the North Pacific storm track activity after the mid-1980s.

scholarly journals The North Pacific Storm-Track Suppression Explained From a Cyclone Life-Cycle Perspective

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Schemm ◽  
Heini Wernli ◽  
Hanin Binder
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
East China Sea ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
East China ◽  
The East China Sea ◽  
China Sea ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
North Pacific Storm Track

Abstract. Surface cyclones that feed the part of the North Pacific storm track that experience a midwinter suppression originate from three regions: the East China Sea (~ 30º N), the Kuroshio extension (~ 35º N), and downstream of Kamchatka (~ 53º N). In terms of cyclone numbers, Kuroshio (45 %) and Kamchatka (40 %) cyclones dominate in the region where eddy kinetic energy is suppressed, while the relevance of East China Sea cyclones increases from winter (15 %) to spring (20 %). The equatorward movement during midwinter of the baroclinicity and the associated upper-level jet influences cyclones from the three genesis regions in different ways. In January, Kamchatka cyclones are less numerous, less intense and their lifetime shortens; broadly consistent with the reduced baroclinicity in which they grow. The opposite is found for East China Sea cyclones, which in winter live longer, are more intense, and experience more frequently explosive deepening. The fraction of explosive East China Sea cyclones is particularly high in January when they benefit from the increased baroclinicity in their environment. Again, a different and more complex behavior is found for Kuroshio cyclones. In midwinter, their number increases, but their lifetime decreases; on average they reach higher intensity, in terms of minimum sea-level pressure, but the fraction of explosively deepening cyclones reduces and the latitude where maximum growth occurs shifts equatorward. Therefore, the life cycle of Kuroshio cyclones seems to be accelerated in midwinter with a stronger and earlier but also shorter deepening phase followed by an earlier decay. Once they reach the latitude where eddy kinetic energy is suppressed in midwinter, their baroclinic conversion efficiency is strongly reduced. Together, this detailed cyclone life-cycle analysis reveals that the North Pacific storm-track suppression in midwinter is related to fewer and weaker Kamchatka cyclones and to more equatorward intensifying and then more rapidly decaying Kuroshio cyclones. The less numerous cyclone branch from the East China Sea partially opposes the midwinter suppression.

scholarly journals The asymmetric eddy-background flow interaction in the North Pacific storm track

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan-Bing Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Energy Transfer ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Middle Level ◽  
Background Flow ◽  
The North ◽  
Flow Interaction ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
North Pacific Storm Track ◽  
Canonical Transfer

<p>Using a recently developed methodology, namely, the multiscale window transform (MWT), and the MWT-based theory of canonical transfer and localized multiscale energetics analysis, we investigate in an eddy-following way the nonlinear eddy-background flow interaction in the North Pacific storm track, based on the ERA40 reanalysis data from ECWMF. It is found that more than 50% of the storms occur on the northern flank of the jet stream, about 40% are around the jet center, and very few (less than 5%) happen on the southern flank. For storms near or to the north of the jet center, their interaction with the background flow is asymmetric in latitude. In higher latitudes, strong downscale canonical available potential energy transfer happens, especially in the middle troposphere, which reduces the background baroclinicity and decelerates the jet; in lower latitudes, upscale canonical kinetic energy transfer intensifies at the jet center, accelerating the jet and enhancing the middle-level baroclinicity. The resultant effect is that the jet strengthens but narrows, leading to an anomalous dipolar pattern in the fields of background wind and baroclinicity. For the storms on the southern side of the jet, the baroclinic canonical transfer is rather weak. On average, the local interaction begins from about 3 days before a storm arrives at the site of observation, achieves its maximum as the storm arrives, and then weakens.</p>

Intraseasonal Modulation of the North Pacific Storm Track by Tropical Convection in Boreal Winter

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 1122-1137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Deng ◽  
Tianyu Jiang
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Tropical Convection ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Synoptic Eddy ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
North Pacific Storm Track

Abstract The modulation of the North Pacific storm track by tropical convection on intraseasonal time scales (30–90 days) in boreal winter (December–March) is investigated using the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis and NOAA satellite outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data. Multivariate empirical orthogonal function (MEOF) analysis and case compositing based upon the principal components (PCs) of the EOFs reveal substantial changes in the structure and intensity of the Pacific storm track quantified by vertically (925–200 mb) averaged synoptic eddy kinetic energy (SEKE) during the course of a typical Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) event. The storm-track response is characterized by an amplitude-varying dipole propagating northeastward as the center of the anomalous tropical convection moves eastward across the eastern Indian Ocean and the western-central Pacific. A diagnosis of the SEKE budget indicates that the storm-track anomaly is induced primarily by changes in the convergence of energy flux, baroclinic conversion, and energy generation due to the interaction between synoptic eddies and intraseasonal flow anomalies. This demonstrates the important roles played by eddy–mean flow interaction and eddy–eddy interaction in the development of the extratropical response to MJO variability. The feedback of synoptic eddy to intraseasonal flow anomalies is pronounced: when the center of the enhanced tropical convection is located over the Maritime Continent (western Pacific), the anomalous synoptic eddy forcing partly drives an upper-tropospheric anticyclonic (cyclonic) and, to its south, a cyclonic (anticyclonic) circulation anomaly over the North Pacific. Associated with the storm-track anomaly, a three-band (dry–wet–dry) anomaly in both precipitable water and surface precipitation propagates poleward over the eastern North Pacific and induces intraseasonal variations in the winter hydroclimate over western North America.

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