scholarly journals Roles of the Indian Ocean in the Australian Summer Monsoon–ENSO Relationship

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (18) ◽  
pp. 4768-4788 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Ben P. Kirtman
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Negative Correlation ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Term Change ◽  
Australian Summer Monsoon ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
Australian Summer

Abstract A negative correlation is observed between interannual variations of the Australian summer monsoon (ASM) and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This negative relationship is well simulated in the Center for Ocean–Land–Atmosphere (COLA) interactive ensemble coupled general circulation model (CGCM). The present study investigates roles of the Indian Ocean in the ASM–ENSO relationship through controlled numerical experiments with the COLA CGCM. It is found that air–sea coupling in the Indian Ocean plays an important role in maintaining the negative ASM–ENSO relationship. When the Indian Ocean is decoupled from the atmosphere, the ASM–ENSO relationship is significantly weakened or even masked by the internal atmospheric variability. This change in the ASM–ENSO relationship is related to complementary roles of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the ASM variability and feedbacks from the Indian Ocean on ENSO. Without a coupled Indian Ocean, the ENSO amplitude is reduced, leading to a decrease in the ENSO-induced ASM variability, and the constructive impacts of the Indian Ocean SST anomalies on the ASM variability are substantially reduced. This reduces the ASM variability related to ENSO. Consistent with the change in the ASM–ENSO relationship, the local air–sea relationship in the ASM region displays important differences with and without a coupled Indian Ocean. The long-term change in the ASM–ENSO relationship is related to that in ENSO amplitude in the interactive ensemble coupled model. A relatively higher (lower) negative correlation occurs in periods of larger (smaller) ENSO amplitude. This relationship, however, is not clear in the anomaly coupled model with only one atmospheric realization. This difference is attributed to changes in the signal-to-noise ratio in the ASM variability. A comparison is made with observations and the long-term change in the Indian summer monsoon (ISM)–ENSO relationship in the model.

scholarly journals Possible Role of the Indian Ocean in the In-Phase Transition of the Indian-to-Australian Summer Monsoon

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (21) ◽  
pp. 5727-5741 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renguang Wu
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Australian Summer Monsoon ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Numerical Model Experiments ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
Australian Summer

Abstract Analysis of observations shows that in-phase transitions from the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) to the Australian summer monsoon (ASM) have occurred both in El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and non-ENSO years. The present study investigates possible roles of the Indian Ocean in the in-phase ISM-to-ASM transitions. It is shown that an anomalous ISM leads to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean through wind–evaporation effects. The resultant Indian Ocean SST anomalies induce an anomalous ASM of the same sign as the ISM through an anomalous east–west circulation over the eastern Indian Ocean and the Maritime Continent–northern Australia. The results indicate that the in-phase ISM-to-ASM transitions in non-ENSO years can be accomplished through monsoon–Indian Ocean interactions. The results of observational analysis are confirmed with numerical model experiments.

scholarly journals Role of the Indian Ocean in the Biennial Transition of the Indian Summer Monsoon

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 2147-2164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Ben P. Kirtman
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Monsoon ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Biennial Variability ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract The biennial variability is a large component of year-to-year variations in the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). Previous studies have shown that El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays an important role in the biennial variability of the ISM. The present study investigates the role of the Indian Ocean in the biennial transition of the ISM when the Pacific ENSO is absent. The influence of the Indian and Pacific Oceans on the biennial transition between the ISM and the Australian summer monsoon (ASM) is also examined. Controlled numerical experiments with a coupled general circulation model (CGCM) are used to address the above two issues. The CGCM captures the in-phase ISM to ASM transition (i.e., a wet ISM followed by a wet ASM or a dry ISM followed by a dry ASM) and the out-of-phase ASM to ISM transition (i.e., a wet ASM followed by a dry ISM or a dry ASM followed by a wet ISM). These transitions are more frequent than the out-of-phase ISM to ASM transition and the in-phase ASM to ISM transition in the coupled model, consistent with observations. The results of controlled coupled model experiments indicate that both the Indian and Pacific Ocean air–sea coupling are important for properly simulating the biennial transition between the ISM and ASM in the CGCM. The biennial transition of the ISM can occur through local air–sea interactions in the north Indian Ocean when the Pacific ENSO is suppressed. The local sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies induce the Indian monsoon transition through low-level moisture convergence. Surface evaporation anomalies, which are largely controlled by surface wind speed changes, play an important role for SST changes. Different from local air–sea interaction mechanisms proposed in previous studies, the atmospheric feedback is not strong enough to reverse the SST anomalies immediately at the end of the monsoon season. Instead, the reversal of the SST anomalies is accomplished in the spring of the following year, which in turn leads to the Indian monsoon transition.

scholarly journals The Role of Air–Sea Interaction for Prediction of Australian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 1278-1290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry H. Hendon ◽  
Eun-Pa Lim ◽  
Guo Liu
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Intrinsic Property ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Forecast Skill ◽  
Northern Australia ◽  
The North ◽  
Australian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
Australian Summer

Abstract Forecast skill for seasonal mean rainfall across northern Australia is lower during the summer monsoon than in the premonsoon transition season based on 25 years of hindcasts using the Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA) coupled model seasonal forecast system. The authors argue that this partly reflects an intrinsic property of the monsoonal system, whereby seasonally varying air–sea interaction in the seas around northern Australia promotes predictability in the premonsoon season and demotes predictability after monsoon onset. Trade easterlies during the premonsoon season support a positive feedback between surface winds, SST, and rainfall, which results in stronger and more persistent SST anomalies to the north of Australia that compliment the remote forcing of Australian rainfall from El Niño in the Pacific. After onset of the Australian summer monsoon, this local feedback is not supported in the monsoonal westerly regime, resulting in weaker SST anomalies to the north of Australia and with lower persistence than in the premonsoon season. Importantly, the seasonality of this air–sea interaction is captured in the POAMA forecast model. Furthermore, analysis of perfect model forecasts and forecasts generated by prescribing observed SST results in largely the same conclusion (i.e., significantly lower actual and potential forecast skill during the monsoon), thereby supporting the notion that air–sea interaction contributes to intrinsically lower predictability of rainfall during the monsoon.

scholarly journals The Indian Ocean SST Link to Solar Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence Over India During Early Summer Monsoon

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roma Varghese ◽  
Swadhin K. Behera ◽  
Mukunda Dev Behera
Keyword(s):  
Chlorophyll Fluorescence ◽  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Terrestrial Vegetation ◽  
Atmospheric Teleconnections ◽  
Monsoon Flow ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract This is a maiden attempt to explore the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) variations in the tropical Indian Ocean on the gross primary productivity (GPP) of the terrestrial vegetation of India during the summer monsoon. We studied the productivity of the vegetation across India using solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) as a proxy. Our results demonstrated a strong negative SST–SIF relationship: the productivity decreases (increases) when the SST of the tropical Indian Ocean is higher (lower) than normal. This SST–SIF coupling observed during June can be explained through the atmospheric teleconnections. Positive SST anomalies weaken the land–ocean thermal gradient during the monsoon onset period, reduce the monsoon flow, and hence decrease the moisture transport from the ocean to the Indian mainland. The resultant water stress, along with the high air temperature, leads to a reduction in the GPP. Conversely, negative SST anomalies strengthen the monsoon and increase the availability of moisture for photosynthesis. There is scope for improving regional GPP forecasting studies using the observed SST–SIF relationships.

scholarly journals Impact of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon on the Indian Ocean Dipole

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (16) ◽  
pp. 6557-6573 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yazhou Zhang ◽  
Jianping Li ◽  
Jiaqing Xue ◽  
Juan Feng ◽  
Qiuyun Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
South China Sea ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
South China ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
The South China Sea ◽  
The South ◽  
China Sea ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Sst Anomalies

This paper investigates the impact of the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) on the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD). The results show that the SCSSM has a significant positive relationship with the IOD over the boreal summer [June–August (JJA)] and fall [September–November (SON)]. When the SCSSM is strong, the enhanced southwesterly winds that bring more water vapor to the western North Pacific (WNP) lead to surplus precipitation in the WNP, inducing anomalous ascending there. Consequently, the anomalous descending branch of the SCSSM Hadley circulation (SCSSMHC) develops over the Maritime Continent (MC), favoring deficit precipitation in situ. The precipitation dipole over the WNP and MC as well as the enhanced SCSSMHC leads to intensification of the southeasterly anomalies off Sumatra and Java, which then contributes to the negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies through the positive wind–evaporation–SST and wind–thermocline–SST (Bjerknes) feedbacks. Consequently, a positive IOD develops because of the increased zonal gradient of the tropical Indian Ocean SST anomalies and vice versa. The SCSSM has a peak correlation with the IOD when the former leads the latter by three months. This implies that a positive IOD can persist from JJA to SON and reach its mature phase within the frame of the positive Bjerknes feedback in SON. In addition, the local and remote SST anomalies in the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans have a slight influence on the relationship between the SCSSM and precipitation dipole over the WNP and MC.

The Influence of Tropical Indian Ocean SST on the Indian Summer Monsoon

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (13) ◽  
pp. 3083-3105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annalisa Cherchi ◽  
Silvio Gualdi ◽  
Swadhin Behera ◽  
Jing Jia Luo ◽  
Sebastien Masson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Tropical Pacific Ocean ◽  
Sst Variability ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract The Indian summer monsoon (ISM) is one of the main components of the Asian summer monsoon. It is well known that one of the starting mechanisms of a summer monsoon is the thermal contrast between land and ocean and that sea surface temperature (SST) and moisture are crucial factors for its evolution and intensity. The Indian Ocean, therefore, may play a very important role in the generation and evolution of the ISM itself. A coupled general circulation model, implemented with a high-resolution atmospheric component, appears to be able to simulate the Indian summer monsoon in a realistic way. In particular, the features of the simulated ISM variability are similar to the observations. In this study, the relationships between the ISM and tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) SST anomalies are investigated, as well as the ability of the coupled model to capture those connections. The recent discovery of the Indian Ocean dipole mode (IODM) may suggest new perspectives in the relationship between ISM and TIO SST. A new statistical technique, the coupled manifold, is used to investigate the TIO SST variability and its relation with the tropical Pacific Ocean (TPO). The analysis shows that the SST variability in the TIO contains a significant portion that is independent from the TPO variability. The same technique is used to estimate the amount of Indian rainfall variability that can be explained by the tropical Indian Ocean SST. Indian Ocean SST anomalies are separated in a part remotely forced from the tropical Pacific Ocean variability and a part independent from that. The relationships between the two SSTA components and the Indian monsoon variability are then investigated in detail.

scholarly journals Estimating the Sensitivity of the Atmospheric Teleconnection Patterns to SST Anomalies Using a Linear Statistical Method

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (24) ◽  
pp. 9065-9081 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Chris E. Forest
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Caribbean Sea ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Teleconnection Patterns ◽  
Nao Index ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
Better Than

Abstract The Pacific–North American (PNA) pattern and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are known to contain a tropical sea surface temperature (SST)-forced component. This study examines the sensitivity of the wintertime NAO and PNA to patterns of tropical SST anomalies using a linear statistical–dynamic method. The NAO index is sensitive to SST anomalies over the tropical Indian Ocean, the central Pacific Ocean, and the Caribbean Sea, and the PNA index is sensitive to SST anomalies over the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans. The NAO and PNA patterns can be reproduced well by combining the linear operator with the consistent SST anomaly over the Indian Ocean and the Niño-4 regions, respectively, suggesting that these are the most efficient ocean basins that force the teleconnection patterns. During the period of 1950–2000, the NAO time series reconstructed by using SST anomalies over the Indian Ocean + Niño-4 region + Caribbean Sea or the Indian Ocean + Niño-4 region is significantly correlated with the observation. Using a cross-spectral analysis, the NAO index is coherent with the SST forcing over the Indian Ocean at a significant 3-yr period and a less significant 10-yr period, with the Indian Ocean SST leading by about a quarter phase. Unsurprisingly, the PNA index is most coherent with the Niño-4 SST at 4–5-yr periods. When compared with the observation, the NAO variability from the linear reconstruction is better reproduced than that of the coupled model, which is better than the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) run, while the PNA variability from the AMIP simulations is better than that of the reconstruction, which is better than the coupled model run.

scholarly journals Role of the Indian Ocean in the ENSO–Indian Summer Monsoon Teleconnection in the NCEP Climate Forecast System

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (7) ◽  
pp. 2490-2508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deepthi Achuthavarier ◽  
V. Krishnamurthy ◽  
Ben P. Kirtman ◽  
Bohua Huang
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Surface Pressure ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Climate Forecast ◽  
Forecast System ◽  
Climate Forecast System ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Ncep Climate Forecast System

Abstract The observed negative correlation between El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon is not simulated by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System (CFS) coupled model. The correlation is partially restored in the simulations where the Indian Ocean (IO) sea surface temperature (SST) is prescribed with the daily mean or climatology. Comparison among the simulations suggests that ENSO-induced SST anomalies form a strong dipole pattern oriented along the zonal direction in the IO in the coupled model, preventing the ENSO signals from reaching the Indian monsoon region. In the model, the dipole develops early in the monsoon season and extends to the central equatorial IO while it is formed at the end of the season in observations. The dipole modifies low-level winds and surface pressure, and grows in a positive feedback loop involving winds, surface pressure, and SST. Examination of the mean state in the model reveals that the thermocline is relatively shallow in the eastern IO. This preconditions the ocean such that the atmospheric fluxes can easily impart fluctuations in the subsurface temperature and thereby in the SST. These results suggest that biases in the IO can adversely affect the ENSO–monsoon teleconnection in a coupled model.

scholarly journals Changes in the in-phase relationship between the Indian and subsequent Australian summer monsoons during the past five decades

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (9) ◽  
pp. 1929-1933 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.-Y. Yu ◽  
M. A. Janiga
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Phase Relationship ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Australian Monsoon ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Australian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
Australian Summer

Abstract. This study examines the decadal changes in the in-phase relationship between Indian summer monsoon and the subsequent Australian summer monsoon using observational data from 1950–2005. The in-phase relationship is the tendency for a strong Indian summer monsoon to be followed by a strong Australian summer monsoon and vice versa. It is found that the in-phase relationship was weak during the late 1950s and early 1960s, strengthened to a maximum in the early 1970s just before the 1976/77 Pacific climate shift, then declined until the late 1990s. Pacific SST anomalies are noticed to have strong persistence from boreal to austral summer, providing the memory to connect the Indian and subsequent Australian summer monsoon. The simultaneous correlation between the Pacific SST anomalies and the Indian summer monsoon is always strong. It is the weakening and strengthening of the simultaneous correlation between the Australian summer monsoon and the Pacific SST anomalies that contributes to the decadal variations of the in-phase monsoon relation. This study suggests that the interaction between the Australian monsoon and the Pacific Ocean is crucial to tropical climate variability and has experienced significant changes over the past five decades.

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