scholarly journals Sensitivity of a Cumulus Parameterization Scheme to Precipitation Production Representation and Its Impact on a Heavy Rain Event over Korea

2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (6) ◽  
pp. 2125-2135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji-Young Han ◽  
Song-You Hong ◽  
Kyo-Sun Sunny Lim ◽  
Jongil Han

Abstract The sensitivity of a cumulus parameterization scheme (CPS) to a representation of precipitation production is examined. To do this, the parameter that determines the fraction of cloud condensate converted to precipitation in the simplified Arakawa–Schubert (SAS) convection scheme is modified following the results from a cloud-resolving simulation. While the original conversion parameter is assumed to be constant, the revised parameter includes a temperature dependency above the freezing level, which leads to less production of frozen precipitating condensate with height. The revised CPS has been evaluated for a heavy rainfall event over Korea as well as medium-range forecasts using the Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs). The inefficient conversion of cloud condensate to convective precipitation at colder temperatures generally leads to a decrease in precipitation, especially in the category of heavy rainfall. The resultant increase of detrained moisture induces moistening and cooling at the top of clouds. A statistical evaluation of the medium-range forecasts with the revised precipitation conversion parameter shows an overall improvement of the forecast skill in precipitation and large-scale fields, indicating importance of more realistic representation of microphysical processes in CPSs.

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. H. Vaid

The Numerical Simulations of the June 16, 2010, Heavy Rainfall Event over Singapore are highlighted by an unprecedented precipitation which produced widespread, massive flooding in and around Singapore. The objective of this study is to check the ability of Weather Research Forecasting version 3 (WRFV3) model to predict the heavy rain event over Singapore. Results suggest that simulated precipitation amounts are sensitive to the choice of cumulus parameterization. Various model configurations with initial and boundary conditions from the NCEP Final Global Analysis (FNL), convective and microphysical process parameterizations, and nested-grid interactions have been tested with 48-hour (June 15–17, 2010) integrations of the WRFV3. The spatial distributions of large-scale circulation and dynamical and thermodynamical fields have been simulated reasonably well in the model. The model produced maximum precipitation of ~5 cm over Changi airport which is very near to observation (6.4 cm recorded at Changi airport). The model simulated dynamic and thermodynamic features at 00UTC of June 16, 2010, lead to understand the structure of the mesoscale convective system (MCS) that caused the extreme precipitation over Singapore. It is observed that Singapore heavy rain was the result of an interaction of synoptic-scale weather systems with the mesoscale features.


2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (20) ◽  
pp. 7687-7701 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liwei Zou ◽  
Yun Qian ◽  
Tianjun Zhou ◽  
Ben Yang

Abstract In this study, the authors calibrated the performance of the Regional Climate Model, version 3 (RegCM3), with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)–Emanuel cumulus parameterization scheme over the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) East Asia domain by tuning seven selected parameters based on the multiple very fast simulated annealing (MVFSA) approach. The seven parameters were selected based on previous studies using RegCM3 with the MIT–Emanuel convection scheme. The results show the simulated spatial pattern of rainfall, and the probability density function distribution of daily rainfall rates is significantly improved in the optimal simulation. Sensitivity analysis suggests that the parameter relative humidity criteria (RHC) has the largest effect on the model results. Followed by an increase of RHC, an increase of total rainfall is found over the northern equatorial western Pacific, mainly contributed by the increase of explicit rainfall. The increases of the convergence of low-level water vapor transport and the associated increases in cloud water favor the increase of explicit rainfall. The identified optimal parameters constrained by total rainfall have positive effects on the low-level circulation and surface air temperature. Furthermore, the optimized parameters based on the chosen extreme case are transferable to a normal case and the model’s new version with a mixed convection scheme.


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