scholarly journals North Atlantic Extratropical Rossby Wave Breaking during the Warm Season: Wave Life Cycle and Role of Diabatic Heating

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (3) ◽  
pp. 695-712 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gan Zhang ◽  
Zhuo Wang

This study investigates the life cycle of anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking during the extended warm season (July–October) over the North Atlantic basin. It was found that upper-tropospheric breaking waves are coupled with lower-level perturbations and can be traced back to a wave train that extends from the North Pacific. The overturning of potential vorticity (PV) contours during wave breaking is associated with the rapid development of an upper-level ridge, which occurs along the east coast of North America and over a warm and moist airstream. The ridge development is investigated using the PV budget analysis and trajectory analysis. The PV budget analysis suggests that the horizontal advection of PV by the perturbed flow dictates the movement and the later decay of the ridge. The ridge amplification, opposed by the horizontal advection of PV, is driven by the vertical advection and the diabatic production of PV, both of which are connected to diabatic heating. The vital role of diabatic heating in the ridge amplification is corroborated by the trajectory analysis. The analysis suggests that diabatic heating reduces the static stability near the tropopause and contributes to the ridge-related negative PV anomalies. The role of diabatic heating in anticyclonic and cyclonic wave breaking in other regions is also discussed. The findings suggest that moist diabatic processes, which were often excluded from the earlier studies of wave breaking, are crucial for Rossby wave breaking during the warm season. The updated understanding of wave breaking may benefit weather forecasting and climate predictions.

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (23) ◽  
pp. 9679-9695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiwei Li ◽  
Zhuo Wang ◽  
Gan Zhang ◽  
Melinda S. Peng ◽  
Stanley G. Benjamin ◽  
...  

This study investigates the subseasonal variability of anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking (AWB) and its impacts on atmospheric circulations and tropical cyclones (TCs) over the North Atlantic in the warm season from 1985 to 2013. Significant anomalies in sea level pressure, tropospheric wind, and humidity fields are found over the tropical–subtropical Atlantic within 8 days of an AWB activity peak. Such anomalies may lead to suppressed TC activity on the subseasonal time scale, but a significant negative correlation between the subseasonal variability of AWB and Atlantic basinwide TC activity does not exist every year, likely due to the modulation of TCs by other factors. It is also found that AWB occurrence may be modulated by the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). In particular, AWB occurrence over the tropical–subtropical west Atlantic is reduced in phases 2 and 3 and enhanced in phases 6 and 7 based on the Real-Time Multivariate MJO (RMM) index. The impacts of AWB on the predictive skill of Atlantic TCs are examined using the Global Ensemble Forecasting System (GEFS) reforecasts with a forecast lead time up to 2 weeks. The hit rate of tropical cyclogenesis during active AWB episodes is lower than the long-term-mean hit rate, and the GEFS is less skillful in capturing the variations of weekly TC activity during the years of enhanced AWB activity. The lower predictability of TCs is consistent with the lower predictability of environmental variables (such as vertical wind shear, moisture, and low-level vorticity) under the extratropical influence.


2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (5) ◽  
pp. 954-963 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Woollings ◽  
Joaquim G. Pinto ◽  
João A. Santos

Abstract The development of a particular wintertime atmospheric circulation regime over the North Atlantic, comprising a northward shift of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream and an associated strong and persistent ridge in the subtropics, is investigated. Several different methods of analysis are combined to describe the temporal evolution of the events and relate it to shifts in the phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic pattern. First, the authors identify a close relationship between northward shifts of the eddy-driven jet, the establishment and maintenance of strong and persistent ridges in the subtropics, and the occurrence of upper-tropospheric anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking over Iberia. Clear tropospheric precursors are evident prior to the development of the regime, suggesting a preconditioning of the Atlantic jet stream and an upstream influence via a large-scale Rossby wave train from the North Pacific. Transient (2–6 days) eddy forcing plays a dual role, contributing to both the initiation and then the maintenance of the circulation anomalies. During the regime there is enhanced occurrence of anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking, which may be described as low-latitude blocking-like events over the southeastern North Atlantic. A strong ridge is already established at the time of wave-breaking onset, suggesting that the role of wave-breaking events is to amplify the circulation anomalies rather than to initiate them. Wave breaking also seems to enhance the persistence, since it is unlikely that a persistent ridge event occurs without being also accompanied by wave breaking.


2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (14) ◽  
pp. 5953-5969 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe P. Papin ◽  
Lance F. Bosart ◽  
Ryan D. Torn

AbstractThis study examines climatological potential vorticity streamer (PVS) activity associated with Rossby wave breaking (RWB), which can impact TC activity in the subtropical North Atlantic (NATL) basin via moisture and wind anomalies. PVSs are identified along the 2-PVU (1 PVU = 10−6 K kg−1 m2 s−1) contour on the 350-K isentropic surface, using a unique identification technique that combines previous methods. In total, 21 149 individual PVS instances are identified from the ERA-Interim (ERAI) climatology during June–November over 1979–2015 with a peak in July–August. The total number of PVSs identified in this study is more than previous PVS climatologies for this region, since the new technique identifies a wider range of cases. Variations in PVS size and intensity prompt the development of a new PVS activity index (PVSI), which provides an integrated measure of PVS activity that can improve comparisons with TC activity. For instance, PVSI has a stronger negative correlation with seasonal TC activity (r = −0.55) relative to PVS frequency, size, or intensity alone. PVSI in June–July is also positively correlated with PVSI in August–November (r = 0.67), suggesting predictive capability. Compared to the ERAI and Japan Meteorological Agency 55-Year Reanalysis (JRA-55) climatology, there are more PVSs in the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) but these have weaker average intensity overall. While no long-term trend in PVSI is observed in the ERAI or JRA-55 climatologies, a negative trend is observed in CFSR, which could be related to differences in near tropopause static stability early in the climatological period (1979–86) between the CFSR and ERAI datasets.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Franziska Aemisegger ◽  
Raphaela Vogel ◽  
Pascal Graf ◽  
Fabienne Dahinden ◽  
Leonie Villiger ◽  
...  

Abstract. The interaction between low-level tropical clouds and the large-scale circulation is a key feedback element in our climate system, but our understanding of it is still fragmentary. In this paper, the role of upper-level extratropical dynamics for the development of contrasting shallow cumulus cloud patterns in the western North Atlantic trade wind region is investigated. Stable water isotopes are used as tracers for the origin of air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer above Barbados, measured continuously in water vapour at the Barbados Cloud Observatory during a 24-day measurement campaign (isoTrades, 25 January to 17 February 2018). This data is combined with a detailed air parcel back-trajectory analysis using hourly ERA5 reanalyses of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts. A climatological investigation of the 10-day air parcel history for January and February in the recent decade shows that 55 % of the air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer have spent at least one day in the extratropics (north of 35° N) before arriving in the eastern Caribbean at about 13° N. In 2018, this share of air parcels with extratropical origin was anomalously large with 88 %. In two detailed case studies during the campaign, two flow regimes with distinct isotope signatures transporting extratropical air into the Caribbean are investigated. In both regimes, the air parcels descend from the lower part of the midlatitude jet stream towards the equator, at the eastern edge of subtropical anticyclones, in the context of Rossby wave breaking events. The zonal location of the wave breaking, and the surface anticyclone, determines the dominant transport regime. The first regime represents the typical trade wind situation with easterly winds bringing moist air from the eastern North Atlantic into the Caribbean, in a deep layer from the surface up to ∼600 hPa. The moisture source of the sub-cloud layer water vapour is located on average 2000 km upstream of Barbados. In this regime, Rossby wave breaking and the descent of air from the extratropics occurs in the eastern North Atlantic, at about 33° W. The second regime is associated with air parcels descending slantwise by on average 300 hPa (6 d)-1 directly from the northeast, i.e., at about 50° W. These originally dry airstreams experience a more rapid moistening than typical trade wind air parcels when interacting with the subtropical oceanic boundary layer, with moisture sources being located on average 1350 km upstream to the northeast of Barbados. The descent of dry air in the second regime can be steered towards the Caribbean by the interplay of a persistent upper-level cutoff low over the central North Atlantic (about 45° W) and the associated surface cyclone underneath. The zonal location of Rossby wave breaking, and consequently, the pathway of extratropical air towards the Caribbean, is shown to be relevant for the sub-cloud layer humidity and shallow cumulus cloud cover properties of the North Atlantic winter trades. Overall, this study highlights the importance of extratropical dynamical processes for the tropical water cycle and reveals that these processes lead to a substantial modulation of stable water isotope signals in the near-surface humidity.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernhard Enz ◽  
David Neubauer ◽  
Michael Sprenger ◽  
Ulrike Lohmann

<p><span>Tropical cyclones are a weather phenomenon that can devastate coastlines and cause substantial harm to human life and infrastructure every year. Their seasonal prediction is an effort that has been undertaken for several decades. These predictions are generally useful and have skill. The 2013 season was predicted as above average in activity by all forecasting agencies, but was one of the least active on record. A previously proposed reason for this is the abundance of Rossby wave breaking in the north Atlantic, which dries and cools the tropics by mixing in extratropical air. While the existence of this mechanism is not disputed, other pathways linked to the interactions between tropical and extratropical air masses are suggested and evaluated in this study</span></p><p>The numerical model ICON is used in Limited Area Mode (~13 km horizontal resolution) to simulate the north Atlantic, using ERA5 data for the hurricane season of 2013 to prescribe initial and boundary conditions. To influence Rossby wave breaking, a set of simulations uses 30 day running mean boundary conditions in the northern part of the domain, while a reference set uses regular boundary conditions everywhere along the boundary. Though the results do not falsify the aforementioned hypothesis of the abundance of Rossby wave breaking influencing tropical cyclone activity, they suggest that other mechanisms, such as changes in steering flow, tropopause temperature and wind shear, could also be responsible for changes in tropical cyclone activity. Furthermore, the accumulated cyclone energy seems to be rather closely related to the mean latitude of the 2 potential vorticity unit contour on the 350 K isentropic surface within a small longitudinal window in the western Atlantic.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Franziska Aemisegger ◽  
Raphaela Vogel ◽  
Pascal Graf ◽  
Fabienne Dahinden ◽  
Leonie Villiger ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (2) ◽  
pp. 433-455 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin A. Bowley ◽  
John R. Gyakum ◽  
Eyad H. Atallah

Abstract Zonal available potential energy AZ measures the magnitude of meridional temperature gradients and static stability of a domain. Here, the role of Northern Hemisphere dynamic tropopause (2.0-PVU surface) Rossby wave breaking (RWB) in supporting an environment facilitating buildups of AZ on synoptic time scales (3–10 days) is examined. RWB occurs when the phase speed of a Rossby wave slows to the advective speed of the atmosphere, resulting in a cyclonic or anticyclonic RWB event (CWB and AWB, respectively). These events have robust dynamic and thermodynamic feedbacks through the depth of the troposphere that can modulate AZ. Significant synoptic-scale buildups in AZ and RWB events are identified from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Reanalysis-2 dataset from 1979 to 2011 for 20°–85°N. Anomalies in AWB and CWB are assessed seasonally for buildup periods of AZ. Positive anomalies in AWB and negative anomalies in CWB are found for most AZ buildup periods in the North Pacific and North Atlantic basins and attributed to localized poleward shifts in the jet stream. Less frequent west–east dipoles in wave breaking anomalies for each basin are attributed to elongated and contracted regional jet exit regions. Finally, an analysis of long-duration AWB events for winter AZ buildup periods to an anomalously high AZ state is performed using a quasi-Lagrangian grid-shifting technique. North Pacific AWB events are shown to diabatically intensify the North Pacific jet exit region (increasing Northern Hemisphere AZ) through latent heating equatorward of the jet exit and radiative and evaporative cooling poleward of the jet exit.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 281-309
Author(s):  
Franziska Aemisegger ◽  
Raphaela Vogel ◽  
Pascal Graf ◽  
Fabienne Dahinden ◽  
Leonie Villiger ◽  
...  

Abstract. The interaction between low-level tropical clouds and the large-scale circulation is a key feedback element in our climate system, but our understanding of it is still fragmentary. In this paper, the role of upper-level extratropical dynamics for the development of contrasting shallow cumulus cloud patterns in the western North Atlantic trade wind region is investigated. Stable water isotopes are used as tracers for the origin of air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer above Barbados, measured continuously in water vapour at the Barbados Cloud Observatory during a 24 d measurement campaign (isoTrades, 25 January to 17 February 2018). These data are combined with a detailed air parcel back-trajectory analysis using hourly ERA5 reanalyses of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. A climatological investigation of the 10 d air parcel history for January and February in the recent decade shows that 55 % of the air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer have spent at least 1 d in the extratropics (north of 35∘ N) before arriving in the eastern Caribbean at about 13∘ N. In 2018, this share of air parcels with extratropical origin was anomalously large, with 88 %. In two detailed case studies during the campaign, two flow regimes with distinct isotope signatures transporting extratropical air into the Caribbean are investigated. In both regimes, the air parcels descend from the lower part of the midlatitude jet stream towards the Equator, at the eastern edge of subtropical anticyclones, in the context of Rossby wave breaking events. The zonal location of the wave breaking and the surface anticyclone determine the dominant transport regime. The first regime represents the “typical” trade wind situation, with easterly winds bringing moist air from the eastern North Atlantic into the Caribbean, in a deep layer from the surface up to ∼600 hPa. The moisture source of the sub-cloud layer water vapour is located on average 2000 km upstream of Barbados. In this regime, Rossby wave breaking and the descent of air from the extratropics occur in the eastern North Atlantic, at about 33∘ W. The second regime is associated with air parcels descending slantwise by on average 300 hPa (6 d)−1 directly from the north-east, i.e. at about 50∘ W. These originally dry airstreams experience a more rapid moistening than typical trade wind air parcels when interacting with the subtropical oceanic boundary layer, with moisture sources being located on average 1350 km upstream to the north-east of Barbados. The descent of dry air in the second regime can be steered towards the Caribbean by the interplay of a persistent upper-level cut-off low over the central North Atlantic (about 45∘ W) and the associated surface cyclone underneath. The zonal location of Rossby wave breaking and, consequently, the pathway of extratropical air towards the Caribbean are shown to be relevant for the sub-cloud layer humidity and shallow-cumulus-cloud-cover properties of the North Atlantic winter trades. Overall, this study highlights the importance of extratropical dynamical processes for the tropical water cycle and reveals that these processes lead to a substantial modulation of stable water isotope signals in the near-surface humidity.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (13) ◽  
pp. 3777-3801 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gan Zhang ◽  
Zhuo Wang

Abstract This study explores the connection of Rossby wave breaking (RWB) with tropical and extratropical variability during the Atlantic hurricane season. The exploration emphasizes subtropical anticyclonic RWB events over the western North Atlantic, which strongly affect tropical cyclone (TC) activity. The first part of the study investigates the link between RWB and tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variability. Tropical SST variability affects tropical precipitation and modulates the large-scale atmospheric circulation over the subtropical Atlantic, which influences the behaviors of Rossby waves and the frequency of RWB occurrence. Meanwhile, RWB regulates surface heat fluxes and helps to sustain SST anomalies in the western North Atlantic. The second part of the study explores the connections between RWB and extratropical atmosphere variability by leveraging weather regime analysis. The weather regimes over the North Atlantic are closely associated with RWB over the eastern North Atlantic and western Europe, but show weak associations with RWB over the western North Atlantic. Instead, RWB over the western basin is closely related to the weather regimes in the North Pacific–North America sector. The finding helps clarify why the correlation between the Atlantic TC activity and the summertime North Atlantic Oscillation is tenuous. The relations between the extratropical weather regimes and tropical climate modes are also discussed. The findings suggest that both tropical and extratropical variability are important for understanding variations of RWB events and their impacts on Atlantic TC activity.


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