Reconstructions of the southern annular mode (SAM) during the last millennium

2017 ◽  
Vol 41 (6) ◽  
pp. 834-849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy Hessl ◽  
Kathryn J Allen ◽  
Tessa Vance ◽  
Nerilie J Abram ◽  
Krystyna M Saunders
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Climate Forcing ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Indian Ocean Sector ◽  
Ocean Sector ◽  
Proxy Reconstructions ◽  
Frequency Behavior

The leading mode of atmospheric variability in the Southern Hemisphere is the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), which affects the atmosphere and ocean from the mid-latitudes to the Antarctic. However, the short instrumental record of the SAM does not adequately represent its multi-decadal to centennial-scale variability. Long palaeoclimatic reconstructions of the SAM would improve our understanding of its low frequency behavior and its effects on regional temperature, rainfall, sea ice, and ecosystem processes. In this progress report, we review three published palaeoclimatic reconstructions available for understanding multi-decadal to centennial-scale variability of the SAM. Reconstructions reviewed here show similar patterns of decadal SAM variability during the last two centuries, but earlier centuries are less coherent. Reconstructions clearly maintain similar trends towards more positive SAM states since the onset of significant anthropogenic climate forcing from rising greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations and ozone depletion and these excursions appear unprecedented over at least the last 500 years. We describe how new multi-proxy reconstructions of the SAM could further improve our understanding of its long-term variability and effects across all geographic sectors of the Southern Hemisphere. Here, we recommend careful selection and development of proxies in SAM-sensitive regions and seasons. In particular, proxies related to cool-season conditions and from the poorly-sampled Indian Ocean sector would allow for a true circumpolar and year-round reconstruction of past SAM variability.

scholarly journals Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode Variability and the Role of Optimal Nonmodal Growth

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (6) ◽  
pp. 1947-1961 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harun A. Rashid ◽  
Ian Simmonds
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Positive Feedback ◽  
General Model ◽  
Initial Perturbation ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Feedback Mechanism ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Positive Feedback Mechanism

Abstract The southern annular mode is the leading mode of Southern Hemisphere circulation variability, the temporal evolution of which is characterized by large amplitudes and significant persistence. Previous investigators have suggested a positive feedback mechanism that explains some of this low-frequency variance. Here, a mechanism is proposed, involving transient nonmodal growths of the anomalies, that is at least as effective as the positive feedback mechanism in increasing the low-frequency variance of the southern annular mode. Using the vector autoregressive modeling technique, a number of linear inverse models of southern annular mode variability from National Centers for Environmental Prediction–Department of Energy (NCEP–DOE) Reanalysis 2 is derived. These models are then analyzed applying the ideas of the generalized stability theory. It is found that, as a consequence of the nonnormality of the system matrices, a significant increase in the low-frequency variance of the southern annular mode occurs through optimal nonmodal growth of the zonal wind anomalies. The nonnormality arises mainly from the relative dominance of the eddy forcing, while the nonmodal growth is caused by the interference of the nonorthogonal eigenvectors of the nonnormal system matrix. These results are demonstrated first in a simple model that retains only the two leading modes of the zonally averaged zonal wind and eddy-forcing variability, and then in a more general model that includes all the important modes. Using the more general model the authors have determined, among other things, the optimal initial perturbation and the time scale over which it experiences the maximum nonmodal growth to evolve into the pattern associated with the southern annular mode.

Multiple Timescales of the Southern Annular Mode

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiuyan Zhang ◽  
Yang Zhang ◽  
Zhaohua Wu
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Variability ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Zonal Flow ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Multiple Timescales ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Flow Interactions ◽  
The Cross ◽  
Sst Anomalies

<p>Using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method, this study systematically investigates the multiple timescales of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and identifies their relative contributions to the low-frequency persistence of SAM. Analyses show that the subseasonal sustaining of SAM mainly depends on the contribution of longer-timescale variabilities, especially the cross-seasonal variability. When subtracting the cross-seasonal variability from the SAM, the positive covariance between the eddy and zonal flow, which is suggested the positive eddy feedback in SAM, disappears. Composite analysis shows that only with strong cross-seasonal variability, the meridional shift of zonal wind, eddy momentum forcing and baroclinicity anomalies can be maintained for more than 20 days, mainly resulting from the longer-timescale (especially the cross-seasonal timescale) eddy-zonal flow interactions. This study further suggests that the dipolar sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the mid latitude of Southern Hemisphere (SH) is a possible cause for the cross-seasonal variability. Analysis shows that about half of the strong cross-seasonal timescale events are accompanied by evident dipolar SST anomalies, which mostly occur in austral summer. The cross-seasonal dependence of the eddy-zonal flow interactions suggests the longer-timescale (especially the cross-seasonal timescale) contribution cannot be neglected in subseasonal prediction of SAM.</p>

scholarly journals The impact of the Southern Annular Mode on future changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall

2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (13) ◽  
pp. 7160-7167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eun-Pa Lim ◽  
Harry H. Hendon ◽  
Julie M. Arblaster ◽  
Francois Delage ◽  
Hanh Nguyen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
The Impact

Interannual Variability in the Southern Hemisphere Circulation Organized by Stratospheric Final Warming Events

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (8) ◽  
pp. 2968-2974 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert X. Black ◽  
Brent A. McDaniel
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Middle Latitudes ◽  
Stratospheric Final Warming ◽  
Circulation Change ◽  
Large Scale Atmospheric Circulation

A composite observational analysis is presented demonstrating that austral stratospheric final warming (SFW) events provide a substantial organizing influence upon the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere. In particular, the annual weakening of high-latitude westerlies in the upper troposphere and stratosphere is accelerated during SFW onset. This behavior is associated with a coherent annular circulation change with zonal wind decelerations (accelerations) at high (low) latitudes. The high-latitude stratospheric decelerations are induced by the anomalous wave driving of upward-propagating tropospheric waves. Longitudinally asymmetric circulation changes occur in the lower troposphere during SFW onset with regionally localized height increases (decreases) at subpolar (middle) latitudes. Importantly, the tropospheric and stratospheric circulation change patterns identified here are structurally distinct from the Southern Annular Mode. It is concluded that SFW events are linked to interannual atmospheric variability with potential bearing upon weather and climate prediction.

scholarly journals Quantifying the Eddy–Jet Feedback Strength of the Annular Mode in an Idealized GCM and Reanalysis Data

2017 ◽  
Vol 74 (2) ◽  
pp. 393-407 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ding Ma ◽  
Pedram Hassanzadeh ◽  
Zhiming Kuang
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Methods ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
New Method ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Feedback Strength ◽  
Low Pass ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean State

Abstract A linear response function (LRF) that relates the temporal tendency of zonal-mean temperature and zonal wind to their anomalies and external forcing is used to accurately quantify the strength of the eddy–jet feedback associated with the annular mode in an idealized GCM. Following a simple feedback model, the results confirm the presence of a positive eddy–jet feedback in the annular mode dynamics, with a feedback strength of 0.137 day−1 in the idealized GCM. Statistical methods proposed by earlier studies to quantify the feedback strength are evaluated against results from the LRF. It is argued that the mean-state-independent eddy forcing reduces the accuracy of these statistical methods because of the quasi-oscillatory nature of the eddy forcing. Assuming the mean-state-independent eddy forcing is sufficiently weak at the low-frequency limit, a new method is proposed to approximate the feedback strength as the regression coefficient of low-pass-filtered eddy forcing onto the low-pass-filtered annular mode index. When time scales longer than 200 days are used for the low-pass filtering, the new method produces accurate results in the idealized GCM compared to the value calculated from the LRF. The estimated feedback strength in the southern annular mode converges to 0.121 day−1 in reanalysis data using the new method. This work also highlights the significant contribution of medium-scale waves, which have periods less than 2 days, to the annular mode dynamics. Such waves are filtered out if eddy forcing is calculated from daily mean data. The present study provides a framework to quantify the eddy–jet feedback strength in GCMs and reanalysis data.

scholarly journals Impacts of a Midlatitude Oceanic Frontal Zone for the Baroclinic Annular Mode in the Southern Hemisphere

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-63
Author(s):  
MORIO NAKAYAMA ◽  
HISASHI NAKAMURA ◽  
FUMIAKI OGAWA
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Frontal Zone ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Internal Dynamics ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Major Mode ◽  
Sst Gradient

AbstractAs a major mode of annular variability in the Southern Hemisphere, the baroclinic annular mode (BAM) represents the pulsing of extratropical eddy activity. Focusing mainly on sub-weekly disturbances, this study assesses the impacts of a midlatitude oceanic frontal zone on the BAM and its dynamics through a set of “aqua-planet” atmospheric general circulation model experiments with zonally uniform sea-surface temperature (SST) profiles prescribed. Though idealized, one experiment with realistic frontal SST gradient reasonably well reproduces observed BAM-associated anomalies as a manifestation of a typical lifecycle of migratory baroclinic disturbances. Qualitatively, these BAM features are also simulated in the other experiment where the frontal SST gradient is removed. However, the BAM-associated variability weakens markedly and shifts equatorward, in association with the corresponding modifications in the climatological-mean stormtrack activity. The midlatitude oceanic frontal zone amplifies and anchors the BAM variability by restoring near-surface baroclinicity through anomalous sensible heat supply from the ocean and moisture supply to cyclones, although the BAM is essentially a manifestation of atmospheric internal dynamics. Those experiments and observations further indicate that the BAM modulates momentum flux associated with transient disturbances to induce a modest but robust meridional shift of the polar-front jet, suggesting that the BAM can help maintain the southern annular mode. They also indicate that the quasi-periodic behavior of the BAM is likely to reflect internal dynamics in which atmospheric disturbances on both sub-weekly and longer time scales are involved.

scholarly journals Interactions between Antarctic sea ice and large-scale atmospheric modes in CMIP5 models

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serena Schroeter ◽  
Will Hobbs ◽  
Nathaniel L. Bindoff
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Retreat ◽  
Sea Ice Retreat

Abstract. The response of Antarctic sea ice to large-scale patterns of atmospheric variability varies according to sea ice sector and season. In this study, interannual atmosphere-sea ice interactions were explored using observation-based data and compared with simulated interactions by models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. Simulated relationships between atmospheric variability and sea ice variability generally reproduced the observed relationships, though more closely during the season of sea ice advance than the season of sea ice retreat. Atmospheric influence on sea ice is known to be strongest during its advance, with the ocean emerging as a dominant driver of sea ice retreat; therefore, while it appears that models are able to capture the dominance of the atmosphere during advance, simulations of ocean-atmosphere-sea ice interactions during retreat require further investigation. A large proportion of model ensemble members overestimated the relative importance of the Southern Annular Mode compared with other modes on high southern latitude climate, while the influence of tropical forcing was underestimated. This result emerged particularly strongly during the season of sea ice retreat. The amplified zonal patterns of the Southern Annular Mode in many models and its exaggerated influence on sea ice overwhelm the comparatively underestimated meridional influence, suggesting that simulated sea ice variability would become more zonally symmetric as a result. Across the seasons of sea ice advance and retreat, 3 of the 5 sectors did not reveal a strong relationship with a pattern of large-scale atmospheric variability in one or both seasons, indicating that sea ice in these sectors may be influenced more strongly by atmospheric variability unexplained by the major atmospheric modes, or by heat exchange in the ocean.

scholarly journals Influence of the Tropics on the Southern Annular Mode

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (18) ◽  
pp. 6330-6348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qinghua Ding ◽  
Eric J. Steig ◽  
David S. Battisti ◽  
John M. Wallace
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Rossby Wave ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Indian Ocean Sector ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Ocean Sector ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract Perturbations in the southern annular mode (SAM) are shown to be significantly correlated with SST anomalies in the central tropical Pacific during austral winter and SST anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific during austral summer. The SAM signature in the Pacific sector resembles a tropically forced Rossby wave train, the so-called Pacific–South American pattern, while the signature in the Indian Ocean sector is a zonally elongated meridional dipole. Thus, the SAM contains strong zonally asymmetric variability and tends to behave differently in the Eastern and Western Hemispheres, with internal dynamics prevailing in the Indian Ocean sector and the forced response to tropical SST anomalies exerting a strong influence in the Pacific sector. The tropically forced component of the SAM in the Pacific sector is related to a geographically fixed active Rossby wave source to the east of Australia within the core of the subtropical jet. In addition to the well-documented positive trend in summer, the SAM also exhibits a negative wintertime trend since 1979, characterized by prominent geopotential height increases over the high latitudes. In both seasons, SAM trends are closely linked to long-term trends in tropical Pacific SST that are independent of the canonical eastern Pacific ENSO variability. Although the SAM is an intrinsic pattern of high-latitude variability, the SAM index reflects the superposition of both high-latitude and tropically forced variability.

Extratropical Southern Hemisphere Synchronous Pressure Variability in the Early 20th Century

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-41
Author(s):  
Ryan L. Fogt ◽  
Charlotte J. Connolly
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Early 20Th Century ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Tropical Variability ◽  
Zonal Wavenumber ◽  
Meteorological Observations ◽  
Statistical Relationships

AbstractBecause continuous meteorological observations across Antarctica did not start until the middle of the 20th century, little is known about the full spatial pattern of pressure variability across the extratropical Southern Hemisphere (SH) in the early 20th century, defined here as the period from 1905-1956. To fill this gap, this study analyzes pressure observations across the SH in conjunction with seasonal pressure reconstructions across Antarctica, which are based on observed station-to-station statistical relationships between pressure over Antarctica and the southern midlatitudes. Using this newly generated dataset, it is found that the early 20th century is characterized by synchronous, but opposite signed pressure relationships between Antarctica and the SH midlatitudes, especially in austral summer and autumn. The synchronous pressure relationships are consistent with the Southern Annular Mode, extending its well-known influence on SH extratropical pressure since 1957 into the early 20th century. Apart from connections with the Southern Annular Mode, regional and shorter-duration pressure trends are found to be associated with influences from tropical variability and potentially the zonal wavenumber three pattern. Although the reduced network of SH observations and Antarctic reconstruction capture the Southern Annular Mode in the early 20th century, reanalyses products show varying skill in reproducing trends and variability, especially over the oceans and high southern latitudes prior to 1957, which stresses the importance of continual efforts of historical data rescue in data sparse regions to improve their quality.

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