Interannual Variability in the Southern Hemisphere Circulation Organized by Stratospheric Final Warming Events

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (8) ◽  
pp. 2968-2974 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert X. Black ◽  
Brent A. McDaniel
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Middle Latitudes ◽  
Stratospheric Final Warming ◽  
Circulation Change ◽  
Large Scale Atmospheric Circulation

A composite observational analysis is presented demonstrating that austral stratospheric final warming (SFW) events provide a substantial organizing influence upon the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere. In particular, the annual weakening of high-latitude westerlies in the upper troposphere and stratosphere is accelerated during SFW onset. This behavior is associated with a coherent annular circulation change with zonal wind decelerations (accelerations) at high (low) latitudes. The high-latitude stratospheric decelerations are induced by the anomalous wave driving of upward-propagating tropospheric waves. Longitudinally asymmetric circulation changes occur in the lower troposphere during SFW onset with regionally localized height increases (decreases) at subpolar (middle) latitudes. Importantly, the tropospheric and stratospheric circulation change patterns identified here are structurally distinct from the Southern Annular Mode. It is concluded that SFW events are linked to interannual atmospheric variability with potential bearing upon weather and climate prediction.

scholarly journals Southern Hemisphere Synoptic Behavior in Extreme Phases of SAM, ENSO, Sea Ice Extent, and Southern Australia Rainfall

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (21) ◽  
pp. 5566-5584 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandre Bernardes Pezza ◽  
Tom Durrant ◽  
Ian Simmonds ◽  
Ian Smith
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Rainfall Anomalies ◽  
Western Side

Abstract The association between Southern Hemisphere cyclones and anticyclones and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), southern annular mode (SAM), Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE), and rainfall in Perth and Melbourne is explored. Those cities are, respectively, located in the southwestern and southeastern corners of Australia, where substantial decreasing rainfall trends have been observed over the last decades. The need for a more unified understanding of large-scale anomalies in storm indicators associated with the climate features itemized above has motivated this study. The main aim is to identify cyclone-anomalous areas that are potentially important in characterizing continental rainfall anomalies from a hemispheric perspective, focusing on midlatitude Australia. The study covers the “satellite era” from 1979 to 2003 and was conducted for the southern winter when midlatitude rainfall is predominantly baroclinic. The results indicate a well-organized hemispheric cyclone pattern associated with ENSO, SAM, SIE, and rainfall anomalies. There is a moderate large-scale, high-latitude resemblance between La Niña, negative SAM, and reduced SIE in some sectors. In particular, there is a suggestion that SIE anomalies over the Indian Ocean and Western Australia sectors are associated with a large-scale pattern of cyclone/anticyclone anomalies that is more pronounced over the longitudes of Australia and New Zealand. Spatial correlation analysis suggests a robust link between cyclone density over the sectors mentioned above and rainfall in Perth and Melbourne. Statistical analyses of rainfall and SIE show modest correlations for Perth and weak correlations for Melbourne, generally corroborating the above. It is proposed that SAM and SIE are part of a complex physical system that is best understood as a coupled mechanism, and that their impacts on the circulation can be seen as partially independent of ENSO. While SAM and SIE have greater influence on the circulation affecting rainfall in the western side of Australia, ENSO is the dominant influence on the eastern half of the country. A contraction of the sea ice seems to be accompanied by a southward shift of high-latitude cyclones, which is also hypothesized to increase downstream cyclone density at midlatitudes via conservation of mass, similarly to what is observed during the extreme positive phase of the SAM. These associations build on previous developments in the literature. They bring a more unified view on high-latitude climate features, and may also help to explain the declining trends in Australian rainfall.

Causes of Late Twentieth-Century Trends in New Zealand Precipitation

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline C. Ummenhofer ◽  
Alexander Sen Gupta ◽  
Matthew H. England
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Climate Modes ◽  
The North ◽  
Late Twentieth ◽  
Late Twentieth Century ◽  
Large Scale Atmospheric Circulation

Abstract Late twentieth-century trends in New Zealand precipitation are examined using observations and reanalysis data for the period 1979–2006. One of the aims of this study is to investigate the link between these trends and recent changes in the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere. The contributions from changes in Southern Hemisphere climate modes, particularly the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the southern annular mode (SAM), are quantified for the austral summer season, December–February (DJF). Increasingly drier conditions over much of New Zealand can be partially explained by the SAM and ENSO. Especially over wide parts of the North Island and western regions of the South Island, the SAM potentially contributes up to 80% and 20%–50% to the overall decline in DJF precipitation, respectively. Over the North Island, the contribution of the SAM and ENSO to precipitation trends is of the same sign. In contrast, over the southwest of the South Island the two climate modes act in the opposite sense, though the effect of the SAM seems to dominate there during austral summer. The leading modes of variability in summertime precipitation over New Zealand are linked to the large-scale atmospheric circulation. The two dominant modes, explaining 64% and 9% of the overall DJF precipitation variability respectively, can be understood as local manifestations of the large-scale climate variability associated with the SAM and ENSO.

Barotropic and Baroclinic Annular Variability in the Southern Hemisphere

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (4) ◽  
pp. 1480-1493 ◽  
Author(s):  
David W. J. Thompson ◽  
Jonathan D. Woodworth
Keyword(s):  
Kinetic Energy ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Eddy Kinetic Energy ◽  
Propagating Waves ◽  
Vertically Propagating ◽  
High Degree

Abstract The leading patterns of large-scale climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere are examined in the context of extratropical kinetic energy. It is argued that variability in the Southern Hemisphere extratropical flow can be viewed in the context of two distinct and largely independent structures, both of which exhibit a high degree of annularity: 1) a barotropic structure that dominates the variance in the zonal-mean kinetic energy and 2) a baroclinic structure that dominates the variance in the eddy kinetic energy. The former structure corresponds to the southern annular mode (SAM) and has been extensively examined in the literature. The latter structure emerges as the leading principal component time series of eddy kinetic energy and has received seemingly little attention in previous work. The two structures play very different roles in cycling energy through the extratropical troposphere. The SAM is associated primarily with variability in the meridional propagation of wave activity, has a surprisingly weak signature in the eddy fluxes of heat, and can be modeled as Gaussian red noise with an e-folding time scale of approximately 10 days. The baroclinic annular structure is associated primarily with variations in the amplitude of vertically propagating waves, has a very weak signature in the wave fluxes of momentum, and exhibits marked quasi periodicity on time scales of approximately 25–30 days. Implications for large-scale climate variability are discussed.

scholarly journals Interactions between Antarctic sea ice and large-scale atmospheric modes in CMIP5 models

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serena Schroeter ◽  
Will Hobbs ◽  
Nathaniel L. Bindoff
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Retreat ◽  
Sea Ice Retreat

Abstract. The response of Antarctic sea ice to large-scale patterns of atmospheric variability varies according to sea ice sector and season. In this study, interannual atmosphere-sea ice interactions were explored using observation-based data and compared with simulated interactions by models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. Simulated relationships between atmospheric variability and sea ice variability generally reproduced the observed relationships, though more closely during the season of sea ice advance than the season of sea ice retreat. Atmospheric influence on sea ice is known to be strongest during its advance, with the ocean emerging as a dominant driver of sea ice retreat; therefore, while it appears that models are able to capture the dominance of the atmosphere during advance, simulations of ocean-atmosphere-sea ice interactions during retreat require further investigation. A large proportion of model ensemble members overestimated the relative importance of the Southern Annular Mode compared with other modes on high southern latitude climate, while the influence of tropical forcing was underestimated. This result emerged particularly strongly during the season of sea ice retreat. The amplified zonal patterns of the Southern Annular Mode in many models and its exaggerated influence on sea ice overwhelm the comparatively underestimated meridional influence, suggesting that simulated sea ice variability would become more zonally symmetric as a result. Across the seasons of sea ice advance and retreat, 3 of the 5 sectors did not reveal a strong relationship with a pattern of large-scale atmospheric variability in one or both seasons, indicating that sea ice in these sectors may be influenced more strongly by atmospheric variability unexplained by the major atmospheric modes, or by heat exchange in the ocean.

scholarly journals Cross-Seasonal Influence of the December–February Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode on March–May Meridional Circulation and Precipitation

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (17) ◽  
pp. 6859-6881 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Zheng ◽  
Jianping Li ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
Fei Xie ◽  
Xiaofeng Li
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Meridional Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode ◽  
Middle Latitudes ◽  
Mean Meridional Circulation ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract New evidence suggests that interannual variability in zonal-mean meridional circulation and precipitation can be partially attributed to the Southern Hemisphere annular mode (SAM), the dominant mode of climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) extratropics. A cross-seasonal correlation exists between the December–February (DJF) SAM and March–May (MAM) zonal-mean meridional circulation and precipitation. This correlation is not confined to the SH: it also extends to the Northern Hemisphere (NH) subtropics. When the preceding DJF SAM is positive, counterclockwise, and clockwise meridional cells, accompanied by less and more precipitation, occur alternately between the SH middle latitudes and NH subtropics in MAM. In particular, less precipitation occurs in the SH middle latitudes, the SH tropics, and the NH subtropics, but more precipitation occurs in the SH subtropics and the NH tropics. A framework is built to explain the cross-seasonal impact of SAM-related SST anomalies. Evidence indicates that the DJF SAM tends to lead to dipolelike SST anomalies in the SH extratropics, which are referred to in this study as the SH ocean dipole (SOD). The DJF SOD can persist until the following MAM when it begins to modulate MAM meridional circulation and large-scale precipitation. Atmospheric general circulation model simulations further verify that MAM meridional circulation between the SH middle latitudes and the northern subtropics responds to the MAM SOD.

scholarly journals Highly Significant Responses to Anthropogenic Forcings of the Midlatitude Jet in the Southern Hemisphere

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (9) ◽  
pp. 3463-3470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abraham Solomon ◽  
L. M. Polvani
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Natural Variability ◽  
Forced Response ◽  
Anthropogenic Forcings

Abstract It has been suggested that changes in the atmospheric circulation caused by anthropogenic forcings are highly uncertain, owing to the large natural variability intrinsic to the system. Here, to assess the statistical significance of such changes for the midlatitude, large-scale atmospheric circulation of the Southern Hemisphere, a new 40-member ensemble of integrations, from 1920 to 2080, of the Community Earth System Model, version 5, is analyzed together with a companion 1800-yr-long preindustrial control integration of the same fully coupled model. For simplicity, only the latitudinal position and the strength of the zonal-mean eddy-driven jet are considered. Given the large year-to-year variability of these jet properties, this paper focuses on their decadal averages, which reflect the more slowly varying climate state. The analysis herein reveals that the forced response in such decadal averages easily emerges from the natural variability, with only a few model integrations typically needed to establish statistical significance. In particular, a forced summertime poleward shift of the jet in the latter part of the twentieth century and a strengthening of the jet during the twenty-first century in all seasons of the year are found. Contrasting these with changes in the southern annular mode, this confirms earlier studies demonstrating that such a mode is unable to distinguish different structural changes in the midlatitude jet.

Reconstructions of the southern annular mode (SAM) during the last millennium

2017 ◽  
Vol 41 (6) ◽  
pp. 834-849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy Hessl ◽  
Kathryn J Allen ◽  
Tessa Vance ◽  
Nerilie J Abram ◽  
Krystyna M Saunders
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Climate Forcing ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Indian Ocean Sector ◽  
Ocean Sector ◽  
Proxy Reconstructions ◽  
Frequency Behavior

The leading mode of atmospheric variability in the Southern Hemisphere is the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), which affects the atmosphere and ocean from the mid-latitudes to the Antarctic. However, the short instrumental record of the SAM does not adequately represent its multi-decadal to centennial-scale variability. Long palaeoclimatic reconstructions of the SAM would improve our understanding of its low frequency behavior and its effects on regional temperature, rainfall, sea ice, and ecosystem processes. In this progress report, we review three published palaeoclimatic reconstructions available for understanding multi-decadal to centennial-scale variability of the SAM. Reconstructions reviewed here show similar patterns of decadal SAM variability during the last two centuries, but earlier centuries are less coherent. Reconstructions clearly maintain similar trends towards more positive SAM states since the onset of significant anthropogenic climate forcing from rising greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations and ozone depletion and these excursions appear unprecedented over at least the last 500 years. We describe how new multi-proxy reconstructions of the SAM could further improve our understanding of its long-term variability and effects across all geographic sectors of the Southern Hemisphere. Here, we recommend careful selection and development of proxies in SAM-sensitive regions and seasons. In particular, proxies related to cool-season conditions and from the poorly-sampled Indian Ocean sector would allow for a true circumpolar and year-round reconstruction of past SAM variability.

scholarly journals Interactions between Antarctic sea ice and large-scale atmospheric modes in CMIP5 models

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 789-803 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serena Schroeter ◽  
Will Hobbs ◽  
Nathaniel L. Bindoff
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Retreat ◽  
Sea Ice Retreat

Abstract. The response of Antarctic sea ice to large-scale patterns of atmospheric variability varies according to sea ice sector and season. In this study, interannual atmosphere–sea ice interactions were explored using observations and reanalysis data, and compared with simulated interactions by models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Simulated relationships between atmospheric variability and sea ice variability generally reproduced the observed relationships, though more closely during the season of sea ice advance than the season of sea ice retreat. Atmospheric influence on sea ice is known to be strongest during advance, and it appears that models are able to capture the dominance of the atmosphere during advance. Simulations of ocean–atmosphere–sea ice interactions during retreat, however, require further investigation. A large proportion of model ensemble members overestimated the relative importance of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) compared with other modes of high southern latitude climate, while the influence of tropical forcing was underestimated. This result emerged particularly strongly during the season of sea ice retreat. The zonal patterns of the SAM in many models and its exaggerated influence on sea ice overwhelm the comparatively underestimated meridional influence, suggesting that simulated sea ice variability would become more zonally symmetric as a result. Across the seasons of sea ice advance and retreat, three of the five sectors did not reveal a strong relationship with a pattern of large-scale atmospheric variability in one or both seasons, indicating that sea ice in these sectors may be influenced more strongly by atmospheric variability unexplained by the major atmospheric modes, or by heat exchange in the ocean.

DMSP/SSUSI observations of the high-latitude dayside aurora (HiLDA

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Cai ◽  
Anita Kullen ◽  
Yongliang Zhang ◽  
Tomas Karlsson ◽  
Andris Vaivads
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Current System ◽  
Potential Drop ◽  
Particle Spectrum ◽  
Northern Summer ◽  
Open Field Line ◽  
Polar Rain ◽  
Auroral Emissions

<p>High-latitude dayside aurora (HiLDA) are large-scale discrete arcs or spot-like aurora poleward of the cusp, observed previously in the northern hemisphere by the Viking UV imager [Murphree et al., 1990] and by the IMAGE FUV [Frey et al., 2003]. The particular interest on HiLDA is to understand its formation related to the dayside reconnection and the resulted field-aligned currents (FACs) configuration in the polar cap (open field line region). In addition, the occurrence of HiLDA in the southern hemisphere is not well known.</p><p>In this study, we investigate the properties of HiLDA using DMSP/SSUSI images from the satellites F16, F17, F18, and F19. The combined data with auroral images from DMSP/SSUSI, ion drift velocity from SSIES, magnetic field perturbations from SSM, and energetic particle spectrum from SSJ make it possible to study the electrodynamics in the vicinity of the HiLDA and its connection the dayside cusp. HiLDA is formed due to monoenergetic electron precipitation (inverted-V structures) with the absence of ion precipitation. The field-aligned potential drop can be up to tens of keV. Applying the current-voltage relation, we suggest accelerated polar rain as the source of HiLDA, indirectly controlled by the solar wind/magnetosheath plasma population. The upward field-aligned current associated with the potential drop is a part of the cusp current system, produced by the dayside reconnection. Both lobe reconnection and reconnection on the duskside flanks play a role in the formation of HiLDA.</p><p>The occurrence of HiLDA is highly associated with the sunlit hemisphere and IMF By dominated conditions. Our results agree with previous observations, which show that HiLDA occurs during positive By dominated conditions in the northern summer hemisphere. We also confirmed that HiLDA occurs during negative By dominated conditions in the southern hemisphere. In addition, the fine structures of HiLDA are studied.</p><p>References</p><p><span>Murphree, J. S.</span>, <span>Elphinstone, R. D.</span>, <span>Hearn, D.</span>, and <span>Cogger, L. L.</span> ( <span>1990</span>), <span>Large‐scale high‐latitude dayside auroral emissions</span>, <em>J. Geophys. Res.</em>, <span>95</span>( <span>A3</span>), <span>2345</span>– <span>2354</span>, doi:.</p><p><span>Frey, H. U.</span>, <span>Immel, T. J.</span>, <span>Lu, G.</span>, <span>Bonnell, J.</span>, <span>Fuselier, S. A.</span>, <span>Mende, S. B.</span>, <span>Hubert, B.</span>, <span>Østgaard, N.</span>, and <span>Le, G.</span> ( <span>2003</span>), <span>Properties of localized, high latitude, dayside aurora</span>, <em>J. Geophys. Res.</em>, <span>108</span>, 8008, doi:, <span>A4</span>.</p>

Seasonal climate summary for the southern hemisphere (winter 2017): exceptionally warm days for Australia

2019 ◽  
Vol 69 (1) ◽  
pp. 331
Author(s):  
David J. Martin ◽  
Skie Tobin
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Austral Winter ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation Patterns ◽  
Circulation Patterns ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Hemisphere Winter

This is a summary of the southern hemisphere atmospheric circulation patterns and meteorological indices for austral winter 2017; an account of seasonal rainfall and temperature for the Australian region is also provided. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation was neutral during winter 2017, as was the Indian Ocean Dipole. A positive Southern Annular Mode influenced the climates of southern hemisphere countries at times during winter. Despite the lack of large-scale ocean influences, mean temperatures for the season were very much above average across large areas of Australia, New Zealand, southern Africa and South America. Precipitation during the season was below average across much of Australia, South Africa and western areas of Chile and Argentina, but above average in some southern and eastern areas of South America.

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