Optimizing Expert-Based Decision-Making of Pavement Maintenance using Artificial Neural Networks with Pattern-Recognition Algorithms

2019 ◽  
Vol 2673 (11) ◽  
pp. 90-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marwan Hafez ◽  
Khaled Ksaibati ◽  
Rebecca A. Atadero
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Pattern Recognition ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Optimal Timing ◽  
Affecting Factors ◽  
Pavement Maintenance ◽  
Recognition Algorithms ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Artificial Neural

Light pavement rehabilitations and low-cost treatments are extensively employed among transportation agencies on roads with relatively low traffic volumes to optimize available resources. One concern with this approach entails the difficulties of determining the optimal timing for treatment application. Making the best use of limited resources requires improvements in maintenance decision-making for selecting treatments considering all affecting factors and previous experience. This paper presents a machine learning approach in the decision-making process for determining the most appropriate pavement maintenance and rehabilitation alternatives for low-volume paved roads at the network level. Based on regional experts’ recommendations and engineering judgments in Colorado, a wide range of 884 cases of pavement-treatment patterns were generated. Then an artificial neural network (ANN) was trained with pattern-recognition algorithms. Two ANN prediction models were developed on the basis of pavement condition data, represented by six condition indices, and road lengths. The objective of training the models is to evaluate the variability of maintenance practices among five engineering regions within the Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT). The outcome of this study describes the implementation gaps of pavement-preservation activities among CDOT regions resulting from limited maintenance funding. The regional maintenance selection can be processed by the developed ANN decision-making tool to recommend alternatives from regional recommendations as well as similar applications statewide to fit pavement management needs and expected performance.

scholarly journals Exploiting Data Analytics and Deep Learning Systems to Support Pavement Maintenance Decisions

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2458
Author(s):  
Ronald Roberts ◽  
Laura Inzerillo ◽  
Gaetano Di Mino
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Road Networks ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Efficient Operation ◽  
Pavement Maintenance ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Maintenance Decisions ◽  
Computational Systems

Road networks are critical infrastructures within any region and it is imperative to maintain their conditions for safe and effective movement of goods and services. Road Management, therefore, plays a key role to ensure consistent efficient operation. However, significant resources are required to perform necessary maintenance activities to achieve and maintain high levels of service. Pavement maintenance can typically be very expensive and decisions are needed concerning planning and prioritizing interventions. Data are key towards enabling adequate maintenance planning but in many instances, there is limited available information especially in small or under-resourced urban road authorities. This study develops a roadmap to help these authorities by using flexible data analysis and deep learning computational systems to highlight important factors within road networks, which are used to construct models that can help predict future intervention timelines. A case study in Palermo, Italy was successfully developed to demonstrate how the techniques could be applied to perform appropriate feature selection and prediction models based on limited data sources. The workflow provides a pathway towards more effective pavement maintenance management practices using techniques that can be readily adapted based on different environments. This takes another step towards automating these practices within the pavement management system.

scholarly journals Statistics and Artificial Intelligence-Based Pavement Performance and Remaining Service Life Prediction Models for Flexible and Composite Pavement Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (10) ◽  
pp. 448-460
Author(s):  
Orhan Kaya ◽  
Halil Ceylan ◽  
Sunghwan Kim ◽  
Danny Waid ◽  
Brian P. Moore
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Pavement Performance ◽  
Management Decision ◽  
Performance Models ◽  
Remaining Service Life ◽  
Management Decision Making ◽  
Decision Making Processes

In their pavement management decision-making processes, U.S. state highway agencies are required to develop performance-based approaches by the Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (MAP-21) federal transportation legislation. One of the performance-based approaches to facilitate pavement management decision-making processes is the use of remaining service life (RSL) models. In this study, a detailed step-by-step methodology for the development of pavement performance and RSL prediction models for flexible and composite (asphalt concrete [AC] over jointed plain concrete pavement [JPCP]) pavement systems in Iowa is described. To develop such RSL models, pavement performance models based on statistics and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques were initially developed. While statistically defined pavement performance models were found to be accurate in predicting pavement performance at project level, AI-based pavement performance models were found to be successful in predicting pavement performance in network level analysis. Network level pavement performance models using both statistics and AI-based approaches were also developed to evaluate the relative success of these two models for network level pavement performance modeling. As part of this study, in the development of pavement RSL prediction models, automation tools for future pavement performance predictions were developed and used along with the threshold limits for various pavement performance indicators specified by the Federal Highway Administration. These RSL models will help engineers in decision-making processes at both network and project levels and for different types of pavement management business decisions.

scholarly journals Modelling and simulation of artificial neural networks using software SIMBRAIN

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 71-81
Author(s):  
Yoana Ivanova
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Pattern Recognition ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Morphological Analysis ◽  
Critical Infrastructure ◽  
Modelling And Simulation ◽  
Advanced Technology ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
And Robotics

This paper is considered to be a continuation of a previous publication devoted to tendencies in the applications of advanced technology solutions to strengthen the cybersecurity of critical infrastructure (Yearbook Telecommunications, vol. 6, 2019). The specificity of the research is related to tracing the evolution of artificial neural networks (ANN) from their establishment to their modelling and simulation. The theoretical framework involves a well-supported rationale by some practical examples of advanced methods of design and simulation of ANN using SIMBRAIN. These methods are applicable in Cognitive science and Robotics because of their contribution to scientific researches related to study of perceptions and behaviors, abilities of decision making, pattern recognition and morphological analysis and etc.

scholarly journals The effectiveness of using diversity to select multiple classifier systems with varying classification thresholds

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 187-199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harris K Butler ◽  
Mark A Friend ◽  
Kenneth W Bauer ◽  
Trevor J Bihl
Keyword(s):  
Pattern Recognition ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Multiple Classifier Systems ◽  
Classifier Systems ◽  
Recognition Algorithms ◽  
Classification Score ◽  
Optimal Ensemble ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Multiple Classifier ◽  
Diversity Metrics

In classification applications, the goal of fusion techniques is to exploit complementary approaches and merge the information provided by these methods to provide a solution superior than any single method. Associated with choosing a methodology to fuse pattern recognition algorithms is the choice of algorithm or algorithms to fuse. Historically, classifier ensemble accuracy has been used to select which pattern recognition algorithms are included in a multiple classifier system. More recently, research has focused on creating and evaluating diversity metrics to more effectively select ensemble members. Using a wide range of classification data sets, methodologies, and fusion techniques, current diversity research is extended by expanding classifier domains before employing fusion methodologies. The expansion is made possible with a unique classification score algorithm developed for this purpose. Correlation and linear regression techniques reveal that the relationship between diversity metrics and accuracy is tenuous and optimal ensemble selection should be based on ensemble accuracy. The strengths and weaknesses of popular diversity metrics are examined in the context of the information they provide with respect to changing classification thresholds and accuracies.

scholarly journals How Prediction Accuracy Can Affect the Decision-Making Process in Pavement Management System

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 28
Author(s):  
Seyed Amirhossein Hosseini ◽  
Omar Smadi
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Reduction Rate ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Pavement Management Systems ◽  
Maintenance And Rehabilitation ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
The Cost

One of the most important components of pavement management systems is predicting the deterioration of the network through performance models. The accuracy of the prediction model is important for prioritizing maintenance action. This paper describes how the accuracy of prediction models can have an effect on the decision-making process in terms of the cost of maintenance and rehabilitation activities. The process is simulating the propagation of the error between the actual and predicted values of pavement performance indicators. Different rate of error (10%, 30%, 50%, 70%, and 90%) was added into the result of prediction models. The results showed a strong correlation between the prediction models’ accuracy and the cost of maintenance and rehabilitation activities. The cost of treatment (in millions of dollars) over 20 years for five different scenarios increased from ($54.07–$92.95), ($53.89–$155.48), and ($74.41–$107.77) for asphalt, composite, and concrete pavement types, respectively. Increasing the rate of error also contributed to the prediction model, resulting in a higher benefit reduction rate.

Universal Pavement Distress Evaluator Based on Fuzzy Sets

1997 ◽  
Vol 1592 (1) ◽  
pp. 180-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samir N. Shoukry ◽  
David R. Martinelli ◽  
Jennifer A. Reigle
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Condition Index ◽  
Functional Condition ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Ride Quality ◽  
Membership Functions ◽  
Pavement Condition ◽  
Pavement Maintenance ◽  
Maintenance Policies ◽  
Management Database

Setting priorities for pavement maintenance and rehabilitation depends on the availability of a universal scale for assessing the condition of every element in the network. The condition of a pavement section has traditionally been assessed by several condition indexes. The present serviceability index (PSI) is one common evaluator used to describe the functional condition with respect to ride quality. Pavement condition index is another index commonly used to describe the extent of distress on a pavement section. During the decision-making process, both classes of indexes are needed to evaluate the overall status of a pavement section in comparison to other sections in the network. Traditionally, regression techniques were used for the development of functions that relate condition indexes to the information recorded in the pavement management database. This approach produces mathematical functions that are limited to a particular database. The functions so developed may also suffer from inaccuracies due to errors in data collection and recording. There is a need for a more generalized approach for the evaluation of pavement conditions to enable efficient management of large transportation networks. The development of a universal measure capable of formally assessing the condition of a pavement section within the universe of pavement conditions is described. This is accomplished by the fusion of a set of fuzzy membership functions that describe different parameters in the database with the perception of each parameter’s significance. The model output is the fuzzy distress index (FDI), which combines the extent of structural distress with traditional performance parameters such as roughness to describe the overall status of the pavement section. The behavior of FDI over time is examined for a random sample of pavement sections and is compared with trends in the corresponding PSI values (PSI was used only because it was readily available in the database). The results indicate that the flexible, universal FDI is a consistent and accurate measure of the overall pavement condition. The set of generated membership functions describing the different extents of every distress type can be easily standardized over the 50 states, allowing the model to be implemented on any pavement at any location. Also, the parameter weights used in the assessment may be easily adjusted (increased or decreased) to reflect changes in maintenance policies or budget availability at the local, state, or national decision-making level. Moreover, the concept allows for the omission of any number of parameters that might not be available in a particular pavement management database.

How Prediction Accuracy can Affect the Decision-Making Process in Pavement Management System

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyed Amirhossein Hosseini ◽  
Omar Smadi
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Reduction Rate ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Pavement Management Systems ◽  
Maintenance And Rehabilitation ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
The Cost

One of the most important components of pavement management systems is predicting the deterioration of the network through performance models. The accuracy of the prediction model is important for prioritizing maintenance action. This paper describes how the accuracy of prediction models can have an effect on the decision-making process in terms of the cost of maintenance and rehabilitation activities. The process is simulating the propagation of the error between the actual and predicted values of pavement performance indicators. Different rate of error was added into the result of prediction models. The results showed a strong correlation between the prediction models’ accuracy and the cost of maintenance and rehabilitation activities. Also, increasing the rate of error contribution to the prediction model resulting in a higher benefit reduction rate.

4 Pattern Recognition for Healing Burns to Compute Evidence: Space Syntax and Machine Learning Analysis of Burns Center Karachi

2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Javaria Manzoor Shaikh ◽  
JaeSeung Park
Keyword(s):  
Pattern Recognition ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Uv Light ◽  
Healing Process ◽  
Space Syntax ◽  
Depth Map ◽  
Routine Tasks ◽  
Hyper Plane ◽  
First Time ◽  
Learning Analysis

Usually elongated hospitalization is experienced byBurn patients, and the precise forecast of the placement of patientaccording to the healing acceleration has significant consequenceon healthcare supply administration. Substantial amount ofevidence suggest that sun light is essential to burns healing andcould be exceptionally beneficial for burned patients andworkforce in healthcare building. Satisfactory UV sunlight isfundamental for a calculated amount of burn to heal; this delicaterather complex matrix is achieved by applying patternclassification for the first time on the space syntax map of the floorplan and Browder chart of the burned patient. On the basis of thedata determined from this specific healthcare learning technique,nurse can decide the location of the patient on the floor plan, hencepatient safety first is the priority in the routine tasks by staff inhealthcare settings. Whereas insufficient UV light and vitamin Dcan retard healing process, hence this experiment focuses onmachine learning design in which pattern recognition andtechnology supports patient safety as our primary goal. In thisexperiment we lowered the adverse events from 2012- 2013, andnearly missed errors and prevented medical deaths up to 50%lower, as compared to the data of 2005- 2012 before this techniquewas incorporated.In this research paper, three distinctive phases of clinicalsituations are considered—primarily: admission, secondly: acute,and tertiary: post-treatment according to the burn pattern andhealing rate—and be validated by capable AI- origin forecastingtechniques to hypothesis placement prediction models for eachclinical stage with varying percentage of burn i.e. superficialwound, partial thickness or full thickness deep burn. Conclusivelywe proved that the depth of burn is directly proportionate to thedepth of patient’s placement in terms of window distance. Ourfindings support the hypothesis that the windowed wall is mosthealing wall, here fundamental suggestion is support vectormachines: which is most advantageous hyper plane for linearlydivisible patterns for the burns depth as well as the depth map isused.

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