scholarly journals Prediction of Progression in Polycystic Kidney Disease Using the Kidney Failure Risk Equation and Ultrasound Parameters

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 205435812091127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayub Akbari ◽  
Navdeep Tangri ◽  
Pierre A. Brown ◽  
Mohan Biyani ◽  
Emily Rhodes ◽  
...  

Background: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) is a validated risk algorithm for predicting the risk of kidney failure in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients regardless of etiology. Patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (AD-PCKD) experience long disease trajectories and as such identifying individuals at risk of kidney failure would aid in intervention Objective: To examine the utility of the KFRE in predicting adverse kidney outcomes compared with existing risk factors in a cohort of patients with AD-PCKD. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of AD-PCKD patients referred to a tertiary care center with a baseline kidney ultrasound and a KFRE calculation. Cox proportional hazards were used to examine the association of the KFRE and composite of an eGFR decline of >30% or the need for dialysis/transplantation. Discrimination and calibration of a parsimonious fully adjusted model and a model containing only total kidney volume (TKV) with and without the addition of the KFRE was determined. Results: Of 340 patients with AD-PCKD eligible, 221 (65%) met inclusion criteria. Older age, cardiac disease, cancer, higher systolic blood pressure, albuminuria, lower eGFR and a higher initial TKV were more common in patients with a higher KFRE. A total of 120 events occurred over a median patient follow-up time of 3.2 years. KFRE was independently associated with the composite kidney outcome. Addition of the KFRE significantly improved discrimination and calibration in a TKV only model and a fully adjusted model. Conclusions: In a diverse, referral population with AD-PCKD, the KFRE was associated with adverse kidney outcomes and improved risk prediction.

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 1424-1432
Author(s):  
Gregory L. Hundemer ◽  
Navdeep Tangri ◽  
Manish M. Sood ◽  
Tim Ramsay ◽  
Ann Bugeja ◽  
...  

Background and objectivesThe kidney failure risk equation is a clinical tool commonly used for prediction of progression from CKD to kidney failure. The kidney failure risk equation’s accuracy in advanced CKD and whether this varies by CKD etiology remains unknown. This study examined the kidney failure risk equation’s discrimination and calibration at 2 and 5 years among a large tertiary care population with advanced CKD from heterogeneous etiologies.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsThis retrospective cohort study included 1293 patients with advanced CKD (median eGFR 15 ml/min per 1.73 m2) referred to the Ottawa Hospital Multi-Care Kidney Clinic between 2010 and 2016, with follow-up clinical data available through 2018. Four-variable kidney failure risk equation scores for 2- and 5-year risks of progression to kidney failure (defined as dialysis or kidney transplantation) were calculated upon initial referral and correlated with the subsequent observed kidney failure incidence within these time frames. Receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration plots were used to measure the discrimination and calibration of the kidney failure risk equation both in the overall advanced CKD population and by CKD etiology: diabetic kidney disease, hypertensive nephrosclerosis, GN, polycystic kidney disease, and other. Pairwise comparisons of the receiver operating characteristic curves by CKD etiology were performed to compare kidney failure risk equation discrimination.ResultsThe kidney failure risk equation provided adequate to excellent discrimination in identifying patients with CKD likely to progress to kidney failure at the 2- and 5-year time points both overall (2-year area under the curve, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 0.85; 5-year area under the curve, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.77 to 0.84) and across CKD etiologies. The kidney failure risk equation displayed adequate calibration at the 2- and 5-year time points both overall and across CKD etiologies (Hosmer–Lemeshow P≥0.05); however, the predicted risks of kidney failure were higher than the observed risks across CKD etiologies with the exception of polycystic kidney disease.ConclusionsThe kidney failure risk equation provides adequate discrimination and calibration in advanced CKD and across CKD etiologies.


Kidney360 ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 10.34067/KID.0004292021
Author(s):  
Brian E. Jones ◽  
Yaman G. Mkhaimer ◽  
Laureano J. Rangel ◽  
Maroun Chedid ◽  
Phillip J. Schulte ◽  
...  

Background: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) has phenotypic variability only partially explained by established biomarkers that do not readily assess pathologically important factors of inflammation and kidney fibrosis. We evaluated asymptomatic pyuria, a surrogate marker of inflammation, as a biomarker for disease progression. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with ADPKD. Patients were divided into asymptomatic pyuria (AP) and no pyuria (NP) groups. We evaluated the effect of pyuria on kidney function and kidney volume. Longitudinal models evaluating kidney function and kidney volume rate of change with respect to incidences of asymptomatic pyuria were created. Results: There were 687 included patients (347 AP, 340 NP). The AP group had more female (65.1% vs 49.4%). Median age at kidney failure was 86 and 80 years in NP and AP groups, respectively (Log-rank, p=0.49) for patients with Mayo Imaging Class (MIC)1A-1B as compared to 59 and 55 years for patients with MIC1C-1D-1E (Log-rank, p=0.02). Compared to NP group, the rate of kidney function (ml/min/1.73m2/year) decline shifted significantly after detection of asymptomatic pyuria in models including all patients (-1.48, p<0.001), MIC 1A-B patients (-1.79 , p<0.001), MIC 1C-1D-1E patients (-1.18, p<0.001), and PKD1 patients (-1.04, p<0.001). Models evaluating kidney volume rate of growth showed no change after incidence of asymptomatic pyuria as compared to NP group. Conclusions: Asymptomatic pyuria is associated with kidney failure and faster kidney function decline irrespective of the ADPKD gene, cystic burden, and cystic growth. These results support asymptomatic pyuria as an enriching prognostic biomarker for the rate of disease progression.-


Author(s):  
Satoru Muto ◽  
Tadashi Okada ◽  
Yoshiyuki Shibasaki ◽  
Tatsuki Ibuki ◽  
Shigeo Horie

Abstract Background Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a progressive condition that eventually leads to end-stage renal disease. A phase 3 trial of tolvaptan (TEMPO 3:4; NCT00428948) and its open-label extension (TEMPO Extension Japan: TEMPO-EXTJ; NCT01280721) were conducted in patients with ADPKD. In this post hoc analysis, effects on renal function and the safety profile of tolvaptan were assessed over a long-term period that included the 3-year TEMPO 3:4 and the approximately 3-year TEMPO-EXTJ trials. Methods Patients from Japanese trial sites who completed TEMPO 3:4 were offered participation in TEMPO-EXTJ. Patients whose efficacy parameters were measured at year 2 in TEMPO-EXTJ for efficacy evaluation were included. The annual slope of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and growth in total kidney volume (TKV) were analyzed. Results In patients who received tolvaptan in TEMPO 3:4 and TEMPO-EXTJ, the annual slope of eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) was − 3.480 in TEMPO 3:4 and − 3.417 in TEMPO-EXTJ, with no apparent effect of an approximately 3.6-month off-treatment interval between the two trials. In patients who received a placebo in TEMPO 3:4 before initiating tolvaptan in TEMPO-EXTJ, the slope of eGFR was significantly less steep from TEMPO 3:4 (− 4.287) to TEMPO-EXTJ (− 3.364), a difference of 0.923 (P = 0.0441). Conclusion The TEMPO-EXTJ trial supports a sustained beneficial effect of tolvaptan on eGFR. In patients who received a placebo in TEMPO 3:4, initiation of tolvaptan in TEMPO-EXTJ was associated with a significant slowing of eGFR decline.


2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 308-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mónica Furlano ◽  
Irene Loscos ◽  
Teresa Martí ◽  
Gemma Bullich ◽  
Nadia Ayasreh ◽  
...  

Background: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) causes the development of renal cysts and leads to a decline in renal function. Limited guidance exists in clinical practice on the use of tolvaptan. A decision algorithm from the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association (ERA-EDTA) Working Groups of Inherited Kidney Disorders and European Renal Best Practice (WGIKD/ERBP) has been proposed to identify candidates for tolvaptan treatment; however, this algorithm has not been assessed in clinical practice. Methods: Eighteen-month cross-sectional, unicenter, observational study assessing 305 consecutive ADPKD patients. The ERA-EDTA WGIKD/ERBP algorithm with a stepwise approach was used to assess rapid progression (RP). Subsequently, expanded criteria based on the REPRISE trial were applied to evaluate the ­impact of extended age (≤55 years) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; ≥25 mL/min/1.73 m2). Results: Historical eGFR decline, indicative of RP, was fulfilled in 26% of 73 patients who were candidates for RP assessment, mostly aged 31–55 years. Further tests including ultrasound and MRI measurements of kidney volume plus genetic testing enabled the evaluation of the remaining patients. Overall, 15.7% of patients met the criteria for rapid or likely RP using the algorithm, and the percentage increased to 27% when extending age and eGFR. Conclusions: The ERA-EDTA WGIKD/ERBP algorithm provides a valuable means of identifying in routine clinical practice patients who may be eligible for treatment with tolvaptan. The impact of a new threshold for age and eGFR may increase the percentage of patients to be treated.


2018 ◽  
Vol 172 (2) ◽  
pp. 174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erica Winnicki ◽  
Charles E. McCulloch ◽  
Mark M. Mitsnefes ◽  
Susan L. Furth ◽  
Bradley A. Warady ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo Magistroni ◽  
Cristiana Corsi ◽  
Teresa Martí ◽  
Roser Torra

Background: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the commonest inherited renal disorder; it is defined by progressive renal cyst formation and subsequent renal enlargement that leads to end-stage renal disease. Until recently, only symptomatic treatments for ADPKD existed. However, therapies that address the underlying pathophysiology of ADPKD are now available and accurate identification of the rate of disease progression is essential. Summary: Published data on the different imaging modalities for measuring kidney and cyst volumes in ADPKD are reviewed. The advantages and drawbacks of the different techniques for calculating kidney volume from renal imaging are also examined, including the use of manual planimetry, stereology, and the ellipsoid equation, as well as the prospect of semi- and fully automatic techniques. The translation of these approaches into clinical practice and their role in informing treatment decisions is discussed. Key Messages: These new therapies require the accurate monitoring of disease progression, which along with diagnosis and prognosis, relies on the effective use of renal imaging techniques. There is growing support for the use of total kidney volume as a measure of cyst burden and as a prognostic predictor of renal function in ADPKD, showing promise as a marker of disease progression.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 407-413
Author(s):  
Cheng Xue ◽  
Li-Ming Zhang ◽  
Chenchen Zhou ◽  
Chang-Lin Mei ◽  
Sheng-Qiang Yu

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common hereditary nephropathy with few treatments to slow renal progression. The evidence on the effect of lipid-lowering agents (statins) on ADPKD progression remains inconclusive. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis by searching the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases (up to November 2019). Changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and total kidney volume (TKV) were the primary outcomes. Mean differences (MDs) for continuous outcomes and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by a random-effects model. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Five clinical studies with 648 participants were included. Statins did not show significant benefits in the yearly change in eGFR (4 studies, MD = −0.13 mL/min/m<sup>2</sup>, 95% CI: −0.78 to 0.52, <i>p</i> = 0.70) and the yearly change in TKV (3 studies, MD = −1.17%, 95% CI: −3.40 to 1.05, <i>p</i> = 0.30) compared with the control group. However, statins significantly decreased urinary protein excretion (−0.10 g/day, 95% CI: −0.16 to -0.03, <i>p</i> = 0.004) and serum low-density lipoprotein level (−0.34 mmol/L, 95% CI: −0.58 to −0.10, <i>p</i> = 0.006). <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> Despite these proteinuria and lipid-lowering benefits, the effect of statins on ADPKD progression was uncertain.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Myrto Kostopoulou ◽  
Michaela Louka ◽  
Stavros Fokas ◽  
Eirini Tigka ◽  
Angelos Drakopoulos ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims The identification of possible risk factors for the progression of Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease (ADPKD) is an emerging field especially after the introduction of the first disease-specific treatment. The present study aims to explore the associations between epidemiological, clinical and imagining data in a large cohort of ADPKD patients. Method This study was from a single outpatient clinic following patients with ADPKD. Patients were included in the study if they had a recent Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) for measurement of Total Kidney Volume (TKV), a validated biomarker for disease progression. For all patients, the Mayo Clinic Imagining Category (MCIC) and the respective prediction for End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) were calculated. Patients eligible for tolvaptan treatment (MCIC 1C, 1D, 1E, age &lt; 55 years old and estimated-glomerular filtration rate (e-GFR) ≥ 25 ml/min) were identified. Characteristics including individual medical history, clinical and laboratory data were examined for possible associations with renal and imagining parameters using linear regression models. Results A total of 158 patients were included. Based on measurements of height-adjusted TKV (ht-TKV) and age, 5% of the patients were classified as 1A, 20% as 1B, 34% as 1C, 25% as 1D and 16% as 1E, MCIC. In multivariable analysis, patient’s age (p = 0.01), male sex (p &lt; 0.001), parent’s age at which ESRD was reached (adjusted for patient age) (p &lt; 0.001) and proteinuria (p = 0.04) were associated with ht-TKV. Parent’s age at ESRD differed significantly between the MCICs of the offspring (mean±(SD)), 70.83 (12.90) in 1A, 63.79 (11.39) in 1B, 57.32 (10.42) in 1C, 51.42 (9.18) in 1D and 47.94 (5.73) years old in 1E, (p &lt; 0.001). Similarly, there were significant differences in the presence and the age of hypertension onset (p =0.004 and p = 0.003, respectively). In 104 patients (50 females, 54 males) who were eligible for tolvaptan treatment age at ADPKD diagnosis, age at hypertension onset and parent’s age reaching at ESRD were all significantly lower (p &lt; 0.001 for all) when compared to non-eligible patients. Finally, factors associated with the prediction score of ESRD (e-GFR 10/ml/min) were hypertension, uric acid and the age at ESRD of the affected parent (p = 0.001, 0.02 and 0.01, respectively). Conclusion The age at which an affected parent had reached ESRD, as heritability estimator, was significantly associated with a worst phenotype, prognosis and tolvaptan indication. Early diagnosis of the disease, hypertension and its early onset, proteinuria and male sex are also possible risk factors for the progression of ADPKD.


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