scholarly journals A nomogram based on pretreatment levels of serum bilirubin and total bile acid levels predicts survival in colorectal cancer patients

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yinghao Cao ◽  
Shenghe Deng ◽  
Lizhao Yan ◽  
Junnan Gu ◽  
Jia Yang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Serum bilirubin and total bile acid (TBA) levels have been reported to be strongly associated with the risk and prognosis of certain cancers. Here, we aimed to investigate the effects of pretreatment levels of serum bilirubin and bile acids on the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods A retrospective cohort of 1474 patients with CRC who underwent surgical resection between January 2015 and December 2017 was included in the study. Survival analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of pretreatment levels of bilirubin and bile acids. X-Tile software was used to identify optimal cut-off values for total bilirubin (TBIL), direct bilirubin (DBIL) and TBA in terms of overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Results DBIL, TBIL, and TBA were validated as significant prognostic factors by univariate Cox regression analysis for both 3-year OS and DFS. Multivariate Cox regression analyses confirmed that high DBIL, TBIL and TBA levels were independent prognostic factors for both OS (HR: 0.435, 95% CI: 0.299–0.637, P < 0.001; HR: 0.436, 95% CI: 0.329–0.578, P < 0.001; HR: 0.206, 95% CI: 0.124–0.341, P < 0.001, respectively) and DFS (HR: 0.583, 95% CI: 0.391–0.871, P = 0.008; HR:0.437,95% CI: 0.292–0.655, P <0.001; HR: 0.634, 95% CI: 0.465–0.865, P = 0.004, respectively). In addition, nomograms for OS and DFS were established according to all significant factors, and the c-indexes were 0.819 (95% CI: 0.806–0.832) and 0.835 (95% CI: 0.822–0.849), respectively. Conclusions TBIL, DBIL and TBA levels are independent prognostic factors in colorectal cancer patients. The nomograms based on OS and DFS can be used as a practical model for evaluating the prognosis of CRC patients.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Li ◽  
Yuan-Yi Rui ◽  
Bo Song ◽  
Ke Zhang ◽  
Bo Yi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The aim of this study was to find that if the red cell distribution width (RDW) or hemoglobin (Hb) level variations had prognostic value in stage III colorectal cancer patients treated with operation and adjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: One hundred and twenty-two patients were included in this retrospective study. All were diagnosed and re-staged as stage III colorectal cancer in Sichuan Cancer Hospital according to the AJCC Cancer Staging Manual, 8 th edition, 2018. The patients received R0 resection before adjuvant chemotherapy. The baseline information, routine blood examination data, pathological outcome and prognostic stature was retracted from the database. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was utilized to determine the cut-off value, while the survival analyses were performed with Kaplan-Meier curve, the log-rank test and the Cox regression analysis. Results: The chemotherapy-associated hemoglobin change (change between the pre- and post-chemotherapy hemoglobin levels) was identified to be associated with the metastasis (P=0.030). The optimal cut-off point was calculated to be -9.5 by the ROC curve of the hemoglobin change, while the area under the curve was 0.648 (95% CI: 0.524-0.772). The results showed that patients with larger hemoglobin decrease had significantly worse disease free survival (DFS) than those with smaller decrease (P=0.020). Factors associated with DFS in uni-variate COX regression analysis were the number of harvested lymph nodes (P=0.040) and the perineural invasion (P=0.020). The peri-chemotherapy change of hemoglobin level was estimated to have significant effect on patient survival (P=0.010). Conclusions: We concluded that chemotherapy-associated Hb change (change between the pre- and post-chemotherapy) was a DFS prognostic factor for the stage III colorectal cancer patients who underwent operation and adjuvant chemotherapy.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Deckx ◽  
Marjan van den Akker ◽  
Job Metsemakers ◽  
André Knottnerus ◽  
François Schellevis ◽  
...  

Objective. To compare the occurrence of pre-existing and subsequent comorbidity among older cancer patients (≥60years) with older non-cancer patients.Material and Methods. Each cancer patient (n=3835, mean age 72) was matched with four non-cancer patients in terms of age, sex, and practice. The occurrence of chronic diseases was assessed cross-sectionally (lifetime prevalence at time of diagnosis) and longitudinally (incidence after diagnosis) for all cancer patients and for breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer patients separately. Cancer and non-cancer patients were compared using logistic and Cox regression analysis.Results. The occurrence of the most common pre-existing and incident chronic diseases was largely similar in cancer and non-cancer patients, except for pre-existing COPD (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.06–1.37) and subsequent venous thrombosis in the first two years after cancer diagnosis (HR 4.20, 95% CI 2.74–6.44), which were significantly more frequent (P<0.01) among older cancer compared to non-cancer patients.Conclusion. The frequency of multimorbidity in older cancer patients is high. However, apart from COPD and venous thrombosis, the incidence of chronic diseases in older cancer patients is similar compared to non-cancer patients of the same age, sex, and practice.


Cancer ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 116 (12) ◽  
pp. 2913-2921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrizia Ferroni ◽  
Mario Roselli ◽  
Antonella Spila ◽  
Roberta D'Alessandro ◽  
Ilaria Portarena ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dakui Luo ◽  
Zezhi Shan ◽  
Zhiqiang Li ◽  
Simin Chen ◽  
Sanjun Cai ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC) patients are heterogeneous with distinctive clinicopathologic features and prognosis. Radical resection of primary tumor and distant metastases is associated with improved survival outcomes in metastatic CRC. The value of palliative primary tumor resection is controversial. The present study explored which subgroups benefited more from primary tumor resection in metastatic CRC. Methods Between 2004 and 2015, patients with metastatic CRC were identified using the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analysis were performed to identify factors associated with decreased cancer-specific mortality. The subgroups were divided based on the independent prognostic factors. Results Age, marital status, race, serum CEA, histologic type, differentiation, tumor location, surgery of primary or metastatic lesion, site of metastases, number of metastatic sites, chemotherapy and radiotherapy were identified as independent prognostic factors. Patients with non-white race, normal serum CEA, non-signet ring cell carcinoma, well or moderate differentiation, surgery of metastases, isolated liver metastasis, single metastasis, receiving chemotherapy or radiotherapy presented more survival benefit from primary tumor resection. Conclusion Subgroup of metastatic CRC optimizes decision-making and selected patients will benefit more from primary tumor resection.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Guang-Chuan Mu ◽  
Yuan Huang ◽  
Zhi-Ming Liu ◽  
Xiang-Hua Wu ◽  
Xin-Gan Qin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic factors and establish a nomogram to predict the long-term survival of gastric cancer patients. Methods The clinicopathological data of 421 gastric cancer patients, who were treated with radical D2 lymphadenectomy by the same surgical team between January 2009 and March 2017, were collected. The analysis of long-term survival was performed using Cox regression analysis. Based on the multivariate analysis results, a prognostic nomogram was formulated to predict the 5-year survival rate probability. Results In the present study, the total overall 3-year and 5-year survival rates were 58.7 and 45.8%, respectively. The results of the univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that tumor staging, tumor location, Borrmann type, the number of lymph nodes dissected, the number of lymph node metastases, positive lymph nodes ratio, lymphocyte count, serum albumin, CEA, CA153, CA199, BMI, tumor size, nerve invasion, and vascular invasion were prognostic factors for gastric cancer (all, P < 0.05). However, merely tumor staging, tumor location, positive lymph node ratio, CA199, BMI, tumor size, nerve invasion, and vascular invasion were independent risk factors, based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis (all, P < 0.05). The nomogram based on eight independent prognostic factors revealed a well-degree of differentiation with a concordance index of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72–0.79, P < 0.001), which was better than the AJCC-7 staging system (concordance index = 0.68). Conclusion The present study established a nomogram based on eight independent prognostic factors to predict long-term survival in gastric cancer patients. The nomogram would be beneficial for more accurately predicting the prognosis of gastric cancer, and provide important basis for making individualized treatment plans following surgery.


1999 ◽  
Vol 23 (7) ◽  
pp. 721-726 ◽  
Author(s):  
Young Jin Park ◽  
Kyu Joo Park ◽  
Jae-Gahb Park ◽  
Kuhn Uk Lee ◽  
Kuk Jin Choe ◽  
...  

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e22217-e22217
Author(s):  
T. Salman ◽  
A. Bilici ◽  
B. O. Ustaalioglu ◽  
M. Seker ◽  
B. Sonmez ◽  
...  

e22217 Background: There are many ongoing researchs for novel prognostic factors in colorectal cancers. Increased thromboembolic events were associated with poor prognosis and survival in cancer patients. Thrombin-activated fibrinolysis inhibitor (TAFI), which has inhibitory effects on fibrinolysis, was proven to play a major role in hypercoagulopathy and was reported to reach high blood levels in cancer patients compared to those in the general population. Methods: TAFI levels were measured. The correlation between those levels and clinicopathologic features were analyzed in 82 patients with advanced stage colorectal cancer receiving treatment in our clinic. Results: Eighty-two patients were evaluated. Patients characteristics included 54 males (65.9%), 28 females (34.1%); median age 56.4 (range:24–76). The mean TAFI levels was 198,36±70,01 Ğer yazali and TAFI levels were found to be high in 70% of patients. High levels of TAFI were more common in rectum cancer patients compared with colon cancer patients. There was no significant correlation between TAFI levels and clinicopathologic factors, such as age, sex, body mass index, performance status, number of metastases, grade, vascular invasion, perineural invasion and CEA levels. The TAFI levels of patients receiving bevacizumab (202.1±66.6) were more higher than those no receiving (191,83±76,21), but this association was not statistically significant (p>0.05). Conclusions: Although the statistical analysis proved insignificant in our study, the effect of thromboembolic events on prognosis and survival is well established. Thus, large scale prospective studies are required to determine prognostic factors. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


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