scholarly journals Scale-insensitive estimation of speed and distance traveled from animal tracking data

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Noonan ◽  
Christen H. Fleming ◽  
Thomas S. Akre ◽  
Jonathan Drescher-Lehman ◽  
Eliezer Gurarie ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Speed and distance traveled provide quantifiable links between behavior and energetics, and are among the metrics most routinely estimated from animal tracking data. Researchers typically sum over the straight-line displacements (SLDs) between sampled locations to quantify distance traveled, while speed is estimated by dividing these displacements by time. Problematically, this approach is highly sensitive to the measurement scale, with biases subject to the sampling frequency, the tortuosity of the animal’s movement, and the amount of measurement error. Compounding the issue of scale-sensitivity, SLD estimates do not come equipped with confidence intervals to quantify their uncertainty. Methods To overcome the limitations of SLD estimation, we outline a continuous-time speed and distance (CTSD) estimation method. An inherent property of working in continuous-time is the ability to separate the underlying continuous-time movement process from the discrete-time sampling process, making these models less sensitive to the sampling schedule when estimating parameters. The first step of CTSD is to estimate the device’s error parameters to calibrate the measurement error. Once the errors have been calibrated, model selection techniques are employed to identify the best fit continuous-time movement model for the data. A simulation-based approach is then employed to sample from the distribution of trajectories conditional on the data, from which the mean speed estimate and its confidence intervals can be extracted. Results Using simulated data, we demonstrate how CTSD provides accurate, scale-insensitive estimates with reliable confidence intervals. When applied to empirical GPS data, we found that SLD estimates varied substantially with sampling frequency, whereas CTSD provided relatively consistent estimates, with often dramatic improvements over SLD. Conclusions The methods described in this study allow for the computationally efficient, scale-insensitive estimation of speed and distance traveled, without biases due to the sampling frequency, the tortuosity of the animal’s movement, or the amount of measurement error. In addition to being robust to the sampling schedule, the point estimates come equipped with confidence intervals, permitting formal statistical inference. All the methods developed in this study are now freely available in the package or the point-and-click web based graphical user interface.

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2092
Author(s):  
Songbai Song ◽  
Yan Kang ◽  
Xiaoyan Song ◽  
Vijay P. Singh

The choice of a probability distribution function and confidence interval of estimated design values have long been of interest in flood frequency analysis. Although the four-parameter exponential gamma (FPEG) distribution has been developed for application in hydrology, its maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)-based parameter estimation method and asymptotic variance of its quantiles have not been well documented. In this study, the MLE method was used to estimate the parameters and confidence intervals of quantiles of the FPEG distribution. This method entails parameter estimation and asymptotic variances of quantile estimators. The parameter estimation consisted of a set of four equations which, after algebraic simplification, were solved using a three dimensional Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. Based on sample information matrix and Fisher’s expected information matrix, derivatives of the design quantile with respect to the parameters were derived. The method of estimation was applied to annual precipitation data from the Weihe watershed, China and confidence intervals for quantiles were determined. Results showed that the FPEG was a good candidate to model annual precipitation data and can provide guidance for estimating design values


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moritz Mercker ◽  
Philipp Schwemmer ◽  
Verena Peschko ◽  
Leonie Enners ◽  
Stefan Garthe

Abstract Background New wildlife telemetry and tracking technologies have become available in the last decade, leading to a large increase in the volume and resolution of animal tracking data. These technical developments have been accompanied by various statistical tools aimed at analysing the data obtained by these methods. Methods We used simulated habitat and tracking data to compare some of the different statistical methods frequently used to infer local resource selection and large-scale attraction/avoidance from tracking data. Notably, we compared spatial logistic regression models (SLRMs), spatio-temporal point process models (ST-PPMs), step selection models (SSMs), and integrated step selection models (iSSMs) and their interplay with habitat and animal movement properties in terms of statistical hypothesis testing. Results We demonstrated that only iSSMs and ST-PPMs showed nominal type I error rates in all studied cases, whereas SSMs may slightly and SLRMs may frequently and strongly exceed these levels. iSSMs appeared to have on average a more robust and higher statistical power than ST-PPMs. Conclusions Based on our results, we recommend the use of iSSMs to infer habitat selection or large-scale attraction/avoidance from animal tracking data. Further advantages over other approaches include short computation times, predictive capacity, and the possibility of deriving mechanistic movement models.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 459-473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Graeme C. Hays ◽  
Helen Bailey ◽  
Steven J. Bograd ◽  
W. Don Bowen ◽  
Claudio Campagna ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (23) ◽  
pp. 13044-13056
Author(s):  
Ruben Evens ◽  
Greg Conway ◽  
Kirsty Franklin ◽  
Ian Henderson ◽  
Jennifer Stockdale ◽  
...  

Symmetry ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 544
Author(s):  
Yong-An Jung ◽  
Young-Hwan You

The HomePlug Green PHY (HomePlug GP) specification provides an attractive solution to enable smart grid power line communication (PLC) applications by using robust orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (ROBO) mode. This paper proposes a computationally efficient sampling frequency offset (SFO) estimation technique in the HomePlug GP system without relying on pilot symbols. For this purpose, the proposed estimation scheme utilizes the redundant information contained within the repeat coding in the HomePlug GP ROBO mode, thus eliminating the need of dedicated pilots. Computer simulations are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed SFO estimation scheme and to compare it with the conventional decision-directed (DD) estimation schemes. Simulations indicate that the repeat coded ROBO signals are effectively used for the proposed estimation scheme, which provides an affordable estimation accuracy while reducing the complexity compared to the conventional DD estimation schemes.


2017 ◽  
Vol 87 (3) ◽  
pp. 442-456 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guillaume Péron ◽  
Christen H. Fleming ◽  
Rogerio C. de Paula ◽  
Numi Mitchell ◽  
Michael Strohbach ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-182
Author(s):  
Ronald Yurko ◽  
Francesca Matano ◽  
Lee F. Richardson ◽  
Nicholas Granered ◽  
Taylor Pospisil ◽  
...  

AbstractContinuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were recorded at the play-by-play level. While measures such as expected points and win probability are useful for evaluating football plays and game situations, there has been no research into how these values change throughout the course of a play. In this work, we make two main contributions: First, we introduce a general framework for continuous-time within-play valuation in the National Football League using player-tracking data. Our modular framework incorporates several modular sub-models, to easily incorporate recent work involving player tracking data in football. Second, we use a long short-term memory recurrent neural network to construct a ball-carrier model to estimate how many yards the ball-carrier is expected to gain from their current position, conditional on the locations and trajectories of the ball-carrier, their teammates and opponents. Additionally, we demonstrate an extension with conditional density estimation so that the expectation of any measure of play value can be calculated in continuous-time, which was never before possible at such a granular level.


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