Performance of a novel TNM staging system for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors versus the current AJCC staging system.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 156-156
Author(s):  
Motaz Qadan ◽  
Yifei Ma ◽  
Brendan C. Visser ◽  
Jeffrey A. Norton ◽  
George A. Poultsides

156 Background: Adopting a unified staging system for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNET) has been challenging. Currently, the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) recommends the use of the pancreatic adenocarcinoma staging system for PNET. We sought to validate this recommendation on a large administrative population database. Methods: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data were used to identify patients with PNET (excluding patients with large cell, small cell, or mixed endocrine-exocrine carcinoma) who underwent curative-intent surgical resection from 1983 to 2008. The discriminatory ability of the AJCC system (recorded by SEER since 2004) was examined and a new TNM system was devised utilizing extent of disease variables. Results: Of 1,202 patients identified, 51% were female. Median age was 55 years (range, 9-93). Lymph node metastasis (present in 43% of patients) was associated with worse overall survival (OS) after resection (10-year OS, 50% vs 63%, p<.0001), as was the presence of distant metastasis (present in 24% of patients, 10-year OS, 35% vs 63%, p<.0001).The current AJCC system (available in 412 patients) distinguished overall survival adequately only between stages I and II, but not between II and III, or III and IV (Table). By modifying the T stage to be based only on size (0-1 cm, 1-2 cm, 2-4 cm, and > 4 cm) and by revising the grouping allocation, we propose a novel TNM system with improved discriminatory ability (Table). Conclusions: In this study validating the current AJCC staging system for PNET, we found stages II, III, and IV to perform similarly. We propose a simplified TNM system that better discriminates between outcomes. [Table: see text]

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 77-77
Author(s):  
Manali I. Patel ◽  
Kim F Rhoads ◽  
Yifei Ma ◽  
James M. Ford ◽  
Jeffrey A. Norton ◽  
...  

77 Background: The gastric cancer AJCC staging system recently underwent significant modifications of the T and N categories as well as stage groupings. The new system has not been validated on a US population database, but studies on Asian patients have reported no difference in survival between stages IB and IIA, as well as IIB and IIIA. Methods: California Cancer Registry data linked to Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development discharge abstracts were used to identify patients with gastric adenocarcinoma (gastroesophageal junction tumors excluded) who underwent curative-intent surgical resection from 2002 to 2006. AJCC stage was reclassified based on the 7th edition. Disease-specific survival (DSS) probabilities were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log rank test. Results: Of 4,985 patients identified, 2,262 had complete pathologic data and known cause of death. Median age was 70 years and 60% were males. Median number of examined lymph nodes was 12 and 39% of patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. The 7th edition AJCC system did not distinguish outcome adequately between stages IB and IIA (P = .25), or IIB and IIIA (P = .33, Table ). By merging stage II into one category and moving T2N1 to stage IB and T2N2, T1N3 to stage IIIA, we propose a new grouping system which showed improved discriminatory ability ( Table ). Conclusions: In this first study validating the new 7th edition AJCC staging system for gastric cancer on a US population, we found stages IB and IIA, as well as IIB and IIIA to perform similarly. We propose a revised stage grouping for the AJCC system that better discriminates between outcomes. [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol Publish Ahead of Print ◽  
Author(s):  
Xu-Feng Zhang ◽  
Feng Xue ◽  
Zheng Wu ◽  
Alexandra G. Lopez-Aguiar ◽  
George Poultsides ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 8020-8020
Author(s):  
D. G. Coit ◽  
C. Qin Zhou ◽  
A. Patel ◽  
K. Panageas

8020 Background: Recent revisions in the AJCC staging system have increased its complexity without comparable improvement in prognostic accuracy for patients with Stage III melanoma. Furthermore, there remains significant prognostic heterogeneity, even within Stages IIIA, IIIB, and IIIC. The current study was undertaken to develop a model for individual patient risk assessment, both to facilitate patient care, and to help define prognostically homogeneous patient populations for entry into clinical trials. Methods: Patients with AJCC Stage III melanoma were identified from a prospective single institution database. Overall survival was calculated from the date of Stage III to last followup. A multivariate Cox model of independent prognostic factors was developed, and a multivariable individualized patient risk assessment nomogram was built from that model. Results: Among 1,064 patients with Stage III melanoma, 535 have died, at a median followup of 44 months. Independent predictors of overall survival are shown in the table. Individual patient three and five year survival was predicted by incorporating all eight variables into a prognostic nomogram. The nomogram was superior to the AJCC Staging system in predicting outcome in Stage III melanoma patients. Conclusions: Individual patient risk assessment is more accurate than traditional AJCC staging in predicting outcome in Stage III melanoma. This approach, which can be easily incorporated into a handheld computing environment, offers potential advantages for both patient care and clinical research, and should be explored in the next iteration of the AJCC staging system. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 177-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. R. Strosberg ◽  
A. Cheema ◽  
J. Weber ◽  
L. K. Kvols

177 Background: The AJCC Cancer Staging Manual (7th edition, 2010) has introduced a novel TNM staging classification for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors that is derived from the staging system for exocrine pancreatic adenocarcinomas. This classification has not yet been validated. Methods: Patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors treated at the H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center between 1999 and 2010 were assigned a stage (I-IV) based on the new AJCC classification. Overall survival from time of initial diagnosis was measured and statistical significance calculated using the log-rank test. The prognostic relevance of the AJCC staging classification was compared to the relevance of a staging classification proposed recently by the European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society (ENETS). Results: 425 patients with histologically proven pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors were identified. Both the novel AJCC classification and the ENETS classification were highly prognostic for survival (p<0.00001; Table). Conclusions: The novel AJCC 7th edition TNM classification for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors is highly prognostic for overall survival and should be adopted in clinical practice. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.


Author(s):  
Wei Chen ◽  
Huajun Cai ◽  
Kui Chen ◽  
Xing Liu ◽  
Weizhong Jiang ◽  
...  

While the prognosis of patients with partial SRCC (PSRCC) has been rarely reported, colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) has been associated with poor prognosis. The aim of this study was to analyze the prognosis of patients with different SRC composition and establish a prediction model. A total of 91 patients with SRC component were included in the study. These patients were divided into two groups: SRCC group (SRC composition > 50%; n=41) and partial SRCC (PSRCC) group (SRC composition ≤ 50%; n=50). COX regression model was used to identify independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). A predictive nomogram was established and compared with the 7th AJCC staging system. After a median follow-up of 16 months, no significant difference in OS was observed in either group. Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, pN stage, M stage, preoperative ileus, and adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic risk factors for OS (p<0.05). A nomogram for predicting the overall survival of colorectal SRCC was established with a C-index of 0.800, and it showed better performance than that of the 7th AJCC staging system (p<0.001). In summary, the ratio of SRC component was not an independent prognostic factor of the OS. Those patients with less than 50% of SRC component should be given the same clinical attention. A predictive nomogram for survival based on five independent prognostic factors was developed and showed better performance than the 7th AJCC staging system. This resulted to be helpful for individualized prognosis prediction and risk assessment.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenwen Zheng ◽  
Weiwei Zhu ◽  
Shengqiang Yu ◽  
Kangqi Li ◽  
Yuexia Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Heterogeneity of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) constraints accurate prognosis prediction of the tumor. We therefore aimed at developing a novel nomogram for accurate prediction of overall survival (OS) of patients with metastatic RCC. Methods We extracted 2010 to 2016 data for metastatic RCC patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and randomly stratified them equally into training and validation sets. Prognostic factors for OS were analyzed using Cox regression models, and thereafter integrated into a 1, 3 and 5-year OS predictive nomogram. The nomogram was validated using the training and validation sets. The performance of this model was evaluated by the Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), category-free net reclassification improvement (NRI), index of prediction accuracy (IPA), and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Overall, 2315 metastatic RCC patients in the SEER database who fulfilled our inclusion criteria were utilized in constructing a nomogram for predicting OS of newly diagnosed metastatic RCC patients. The nomogram incorporated eight clinical factors: Fuhrman grade, lymph node status, sarcomatoid feature, cancer-directed surgery and bone, brain, liver, and lung metastases, all significantly associated with OS. The model was superior to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system (7th edition) both in training (C-indices, 0.701 vs. 0.612, P < 0.001) and validation sets (C-indices, 0.676 vs. 0.600, P < 0.001). The calibration plots of the nomogram corresponded well between predicted and observed values. NRI, IDI, and IPA further validated the superior predictive capability of the nomogram relative to the AJCC staging system. The DCA plots revealed reliable clinical application of our model in prognosis prediction of metastatic RCC patients. Conclusions We developed and validated an accurate nomogram for individual OS prediction of metastatic RCC patients. This nomogram can be applied in design of clinical trials, patient counseling, and rationalizing therapeutic modalities.


2016 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. vi141 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Mehrvarz Sarshekeh ◽  
S. Advani ◽  
M.R. Patel ◽  
A. Dasari

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Zhao ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Jun Zhang ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Wenjie Ma ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Both the 7th and 8th editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) had the same definition for T2a and T2b. But the value of this classification as prognostic factor remains unclear. Methods: 178 patients with stage T2a or T2b who underwent curative intent resection for pCCA between Jan 2010 and Dec 2018 were enrolled. Relationships between survival and clinicopathological factors including patient demographics and tumor characteristics were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The overall survival (OS) were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method.Results: There was no significant difference in OS between T2a and T2b groups,and the median OS duration were 37 and 31 months (P=0.354). Both the 7th and 8th edition of the AJCC TNM staging demonstrated a poor prognostic predictive performance. High level of preoperative AST (≥85.0IU/L) and CA19-9 (≥1000 U/mL), vascular resection and lower pathological differentiation of the tumor were the independent predictors for poor survival after resection.Conclusion: The newly released 8th edition of AJCC staging system demonstrated a poor ability to discriminate the prognosis of patients with stage T2a and T2b pCCA after resection.


PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e9535
Author(s):  
Xiaolin Yang ◽  
Hongzhi Sun ◽  
Ying Song ◽  
Li Yang ◽  
Haibo Liu

Background Spindle pole body component 25 (SPC25) plays a vital role in many cellular processes, such as tumorigenesis. However, the clinical significance of SPC25 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not been investigated. This study aimed to explore the expression patterns of SPC25 in HCC and non-neoplastic tissues and to investigate the diagnostic and prognostic values of SPC25. Method The expression of SPC25 was examined in 374 HCC issues and 50 non-neoplastic tissues from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort. The diagnostic and prognostic values of SPC25 were analyzed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and survival analyses, respectively. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify the prognostic factors and to establish a nomogram. The diagnostic and prognostic values were further validated in an external cohort from the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) database. Results The expression of SPC25 in HCC tissues was significantly higher than that in normal tissues in both cohorts (all P < 0.001). The ROC curve analysis indicated that SPC25 expression has high diagnostic value in HCC with area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.969 (95% confidence interval [CI] [0.948–0.984]) and 0.945 (95% CI [0.920–0.965]) for TCGA and ICGC cohorts, respectively. Patients with HCC exhibiting high SPC25 expression were associated with worse prognosis than those exhibiting low SPC25 expression in both cohorts (all P < 0.001). SPC25 was independently associated with overall survival in both cohorts (all P < 0.001). The concordance indices of the nomogram for predicting overall survival in TCGA and ICGC cohorts were 0.647 and 0.805, respectively, which were higher than those of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. Conclusion SPC25 was upregulated in HCC and independently predicted poor overall survival of patients with HCC. Therefore, SPC25 is an effective diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for HCC. An SPC25-based nomogram was more accurate and useful than the AJCC staging system to predict prognosis of HCC.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenwen Zheng ◽  
Weiwei Zhu ◽  
Shengqiang Yu ◽  
Kangqi Li ◽  
Yuexia Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The prognosis of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients vary widely because of clinical and pathological heterogeneity. We aimed to develop a novel nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) for this population. Methods: Metastatic RCC patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2016. These patients were randomly assigned to a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 1:1. Significant prognostic factors of survival were identified through Cox regression models and then integrated to form a nomogram to predict 1-, 3- and 5-year OS. The nomogram was subsequently subjected to validations via the training and the validation sets. The performance of this model was evaluated by using Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: Overall, 2315 eligible metastatic RCC patients were enrolled from the SEER database. A nomogram of survival prediction for patients of newly diagnosed with metastatic RCC was established, in which eight clinical factors significantly associated with OS were involved, including Fuhrman grade, lymph node status, sarcomatoid feature, cancer-directed surgery, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, and lung metastasis. The new model presented better discrimination power than the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system (7th edition) in the training set (C-indexes, 0.701 vs. 0.612, P <0.001) and the validation set (C-indexes, 0.676 vs. 0.600, P <0.001). The calibration plots of the nomogram exhibited optimal agreement between the predicted values and the observed values. The results of NRI and IDI also indicated the superior predictive capability of the nomogram relative to the AJCC staging system. The DCA plots revealed higher clinical use of our model in survival prediction. Conclusions: We developed and validated an effective nomogram to provide individual OS prediction for metastatic RCC patients, which would be beneficial to clinical trial design, patient counseling, and therapeutic modality selection.


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