Association of radical prostate cancer therapy with a survival benefit in the older man.
66 Background: Data from several recent randomised controlled trials have suggested that older men have little to gain from radical prostate cancer therapy. In contrast, observational studies have suggested that older men might be at increased risk of prostate cancer related death than their younger counterparts. Using a national cancer registry, we sought to explore this issue further. Methods: English national mortality records for an 11 year period between 1997 and 2008 were linked to national hospital admission records together with national cancer registration records to generate a working dataset. Complete data were available on 75,735 men. Competing risks regression analysis was employed to identify the effect of age on Prostate Cancer Specific mortality. Results: Older men were more likely to have high-grade prostate cancer (<70 yrs: 20% v’s >79 yrs: 36%) and be staged with locally advanced (<70 yrs: 20% v’s >79 yrs: 35%) or metastatic disease (<70 yrs: 18% v’s >79 yrs: 25%). Older men were less likely to receive radical therapy (<70 yrs: 46% v’s >79 yrs: 4%) although they were more likely to die of their disease. 8-year overall mortality for low, intermediate and high risk disease in men <70 was 8%, 11% and 31% compared to 34%, 36% and 54% for men >79. Comparable figures for 8-year prostate cancer specific mortality were 1%, 5% and 22% for men <70 and 8%, 10% and 32% for men >79.The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) to save one prostate cancer related death for men with low risk disease aged less than 70 was 100 compared to 20 and only 6 for men aged <70 with intermediate and high risk disease respectively. For men aged between 75 and 79, radical prostate cancer therapy was only associated with a survival benefit in men with high risk disease (OR: 0.49, 95% CI 0.36-0.66, p<0.001) for which the NNT was 5. Conclusions: Older men present with more advanced and more aggressive prostate cancer and as such are more likely to die from their disease. Radical therapy was associated with a survival benefit up to the age of 80 providing therapy was targeted to those with higher risk disease.