Interim analysis of survival outcomes in a prospective cohort evaluating a prognostic 31-gene expression profile (GEP) test for melanoma.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9573-9573
Author(s):  
Eddy C. Hsueh ◽  
James R. DeBloom ◽  
Jonathan H. Lee ◽  
Jeffrey J. Sussman ◽  
Craig L. Slingluff ◽  
...  

9573 Background: DecisionDx-Melanoma has been validated as an accurate prognosticator of cutaneous melanoma (CM) metastasis risk. The GEP test classifies CM pts as Class 1 (low risk) or Class 2 (high risk). Interim survival analysis from two clinical registry studies (NCT02355574/NCT02355587) designed to prospectively evaluate outcomes in pts for whom the GEP test was performed is described. Methods: Eleven US dermatologic and surgical centers participated in the IRB-approved protocols. Physicians enrolled CM pts who were ≥16 years old and had successful GEP test results. Endpoints of recurrence-free (RFS), distant metastasis-free (DMFS) and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. As an interim analysis at year 3 of an expected 5-year study, the critical alpha level (p-value) was 0.01. Results: At the time of data extraction, 322 pts were accrued and completed at least one follow-up visit. Median age was 58 years (range 18-87), median Breslow thickness (BT) was 1.2mm, 55% were male, 20% (58/296) were ulcerated, and 15% (36/237 biopsied) had a positive sentinel lymph node (SLN). Median follow-up time was 1.5 years for pts without a recurrence. Of 25 recurrent cases, 80% (20/25) were Class 2 and 40% (10/25) were SLN-positive. Two percent of Class 1 pts had a recurrence compared to 6% (12/201 biopsied) of SLN-negative pts. Of the SLN-negative pts who recurred, 75% (9/12) were called Class 2. Combined GEP and SLN risk prediction identified 88% (21/24) of recurrences. Kaplan-Meier event rates for each class are shown in the table. In Cox multivariate analysis, BT and GEP Class 2 were significant predictors of recurrence (p<0.01 for each). Conclusions: Results of this analysis show that the GEP test provides prognostic information that complements conventional staging and significantly enhances identification of high risk CM pts, consistent with reported validation studies.The results support use of the test for guiding surveillance decisions and enrollment of CM pts in clinical trials. Clinical trial information: NCT02355574, NCT02355587. [Table: see text]

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9519-9519 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eddy C. Hsueh ◽  
James R. DeBloom ◽  
Robert W. Cook ◽  
Kelly McMasters

9519 Background: A 31-GEP test is a validated prognostic tool for predicting the risk of metastasis in CM, classifying patients (pts) as Class 1 (low risk) or Class 2 (high risk). Here we report updated survival analysis from two clinical registry studies (NCT02355574/NCT02355587) designed to prospectively evaluate outcomes in patients for whom the GEP test was part of their clinical care. Methods: Eleven US dermatologic and surgical centers participated using IRB-approved protocols. Participants were CM pts ≥16 years old who had successful 31-GEP test results. Recurrence-free (RFS), distant metastasis-free (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. Results: At data censoring, 340 pts were accrued who had completed at least one follow-up visit. Median age was 58 years (range 18-87), 53.5% were male, median Breslow thickness was 1.2mm (range 0.2-12mm), 18.2% (62/340) were ulcerated, and 11.2% (38/340) had a positive sentinel lymph node (SLN). Median follow-up was 3.2 years for pts without an event. Six percent (16/265) of Class 1 pts had a recurrence compared to 33% (25/75) of Class 2 pts (p < 0.001). Three-year RFS was 96%, 91%, 80%, and 62% for Class 1A, 1B, 2A, and 2B, respectively (p < 0.001). Three-year DMFS was 97%, 93%, 84%, and 80% for Class 1A, 1B, 2A, and 2B, respectively (p < 0.001). Three-year OS was 98%, 90%, 96%, and 74% for Class 1A, 1B, 2A, and 2B, respectively (p < 0.001). Class 2 was an independent predictor of RFS and OS in multivariate analysis (respective HRs: 2.28 and 3.70, p < 0.05). Conclusions: Consistent with results from previous studies, this analysis demonstrates that the GEP test complements conventional staging and improves the ability to identify high-risk CM pts. These results support use of the test for guiding decisions related to follow-up, surveillance, and treatment in CM pts. Clinical trial information: NCT02355574/NCT02355587.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Chen ◽  
Xunshi Ding ◽  
Caiyan Cui ◽  
Tao Ye ◽  
Lin Cai

Abstract Background and aims: This study investigates the long-term prognostic value of homocysteine in patients with acute coronary syndrome complicated with hypertension. Methods:The current work is a multicenter, retrospective, observational cohort study. We consecutively enrolled 1288 ACS patients hospitalized in 11 general hospitals in Chengdu, China, from June 2015 to December 2019. The patients were divided into hypertension and non-hypertension groups, and each was further classified into hyperhomocysteinemia (H-Hcy) and normal homocysteinemia (N-Hcy) groups according to the cut-off value of homocysteine predicting long-term mortality during follow-up. In both groups, we used Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox regression analysis to assess the relationship between homocysteine and long-term prognosis. Results: The median follow-up time was 18 months (range: 13.83-22.37). During this period, 78 (6.05%) death cases were recorded. The hypertension was further divided into H-Hcy (n=245) and N-Hcy (n=543), with an optimal cut-off value of 16.81 µmol/L. Similarly, non-hypertension was further divided into H-Hcy (n=200) and N-Hcy (n=300), with an optimal cut-off value of 14 µmol/L. Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed that H-Hcy had a significantly lower survival probability than N-Hcy, both in hypertension and non-hypertension (P-value<0.01). After adjusting for confounding factors, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that H-Hcy (HR=2.1923, 95% CI: 1.213-3.9625, P<0.01) was an independent predictor of long-term all-cause death in ACS with hypertension, but not in non-hypertension.Conclusion: Elevated homocysteine level predicts risk of all-cause mortality in ACS with hypertension, but not in those without hypertension. it should be considered when determining risk stratification for ACS, particularly those complicating hypertension.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng-Jui Lin ◽  
Chi-Feng Pan ◽  
Chih-Kuang Chuang ◽  
Fang-Ju Sun ◽  
Duen-Jen Wang ◽  
...  

Background/Aims. Previous studies have reported p-cresyl sulfate (PCS) was related to endothelial dysfunction and adverse clinical effect. We investigate the adverse effects of PCS on clinical outcomes in a chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohort study.Methods. 72 predialysis patients were enrolled from a single medical center. Serum biochemistry data and PCS were measured. The clinical outcomes including cardiovascular event, all-cause mortality, and dialysis event were recorded during a 3-year follow-up.Results. After adjusting other independent variables, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed age (HR: 1.12,P=0.01), cardiovascular disease history (HR: 6.28,P=0.02), and PCS (HR: 1.12,P=0.02) were independently associated with cardiovascular event; age (HR: 0.91,P<0.01), serum albumin (HR: 0.03,P<0.01), and PCS level (HR: 1.17,P<0.01) reached significant correlation with dialysis event. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with higher serum p-cresyl sulfate (>6 mg/L) were significantly associated with cardiovascular and dialysis event (log rankP=0.03, log rankP<0.01, resp.).Conclusion. Our study shows serum PCS could be a valuable marker in predicting cardiovascular event and renal function progression in CKD patients without dialysis.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bence Beres ◽  
Maria Yusenko ◽  
Lehel Peterfi ◽  
Gyula Kovacs ◽  
Daniel Banyai

Abstract Purpose Approximately 15% of clinically localised conventional renal cell carcinomas (cRCC) develop metastases within 5 years of follow-up. Sarcomatous cRCC is a highly malignant cancer of the kidney. The aim of our study was to identify biomarkers for estimating the postoperative progression of cRCCs. Methods Global microarray-based gene expression analysis of RCCs with and without sarcomatous changes revealed that a high MMP12 expression was associated with a sarcomatous histology. Additionally, we analysed MMP12 expression using a multi-tissue array comprising 736 cRCC patients without metastasis at the time of surgery. The median follow-up time was 66 ± 29 months. Results Immunohistochemistry revealed MMP12 expression in 187 of 736 cRCCs with good follow-up data. Subsequent Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that patients with MMP12 positive tumours exhibited a significantly shorter tumour-free survival (p < 0.001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis a weak to strong MMP12 expression indicated a 2.4–2.8 times higher risk of postoperative tumour relapse (p < 0.001; p < 0.003, respectively). Conclusions MMP12 may serve as a biomarker to estimate postoperative cRCC relapse and as a possible target for penfluridol therapy.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xianzhi Zhao ◽  
Yusheng Ye ◽  
Haiyan Yu ◽  
Lingong Jiang ◽  
Chao Cheng ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective To evaluate the efficacy and toxicity of SBRT for localized prostate cancer (PCa). Moreover, it is the largest-to-date pilot study to report 5-year outcomes of SBRT for localized PCa from China. Methods In this retrospective study, 133 PCa patients in our center were treated by SBRT with CyberKnife (Accuray) from October 2012 to July 2019. Follow-up was performed every 3 months for evaluations of efficacy and toxicity. Biochemical progression-free survival (bPFS) and toxicities were assessed using the Phoenix definition and the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) v.5.0 respectively. Factors predictive of bPFS were identified with COX regression analysis. Results 133 patients (10 low-, 21 favorable intermediate-, 31 unfavorable intermediate-, 45 high-, and 26 very high risk cases on the basis of the NCCN risk classification) with a median age of 76 years (range: 54–87 years) received SBRT. The median dose was 36.25Gy (range: 34-37.5Gy) in 5 fractions. Median follow-up time was 57.7 months (3.5–97.2 months). The overall 5-year bPFS rate was 83.6% for all patients. The 5-year bPFS rate of patients with low-, favorable intermediate-, unfavorable intermediate-, high-, and very high risk PCa was 87.5%, 95.2%, 90.5%, 86.3%, and 61.6% respectively. Urinary symptoms were all alleviated after SBRT. All the patients tolerated SBRT with only 1 (0.8%) and 1 (0.8%) patient reporting grade-3 acute and late genitourinary (GU) toxicity, respectively. There were no grade 4 toxicities. Gleason score (P < 0.001, HR = 7.483, 95%CI: 2.686–20.846) was the independent predictor of bPFS rate after multivariate analysis Conclusion SBRT is an efficient and safe treatment modality for localized PCa with high 5-year bPFS rates and acceptable toxicities.


1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 1382-1382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helga B. Salvesen ◽  
Ole Erik Iversen ◽  
Lars A. Akslen

PURPOSE: For endometrial carcinoma patients, there is a need for improved identification of high-risk groups that may benefit from postoperative adjuvant therapy. We therefore studied the prognostic impact of markers for cell proliferation, cell-cycle regulation, and angiogenesis among endometrial carcinoma patients in a population-based setting. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients diagnosed with endometrial carcinoma between 1981 and 1985 in Hordaland County, Norway, were studied. The median follow-up for the survivors was 11.5 years (range, 8 to 15 years), with no patient lost because of insufficient follow-up information. Paraffin-embedded tumor tissue, available in 96% of the cases (n = 142), was studied immunohistochemically for microvessel density (MVD) and expression of Ki-67, p53, and p21 proteins. We used the hot spot method for calculation of MVD, and expression of Ki-67 and p21 protein, because this approach may increase the probability of detecting small aggressive clones of possible prognostic relevance. The importance of these tumor markers was investigated in univariate survival analyses and Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The majority of traditional clinicopathologic variables was significantly associated with the tumor biomarkers. Age, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, histologic type, histologic grade, MVD, as well as Ki-67, p53, and p21 protein expression, all significantly influenced survival in univariate analyses (P ≤ .05). In the Cox regression analysis, age, FIGO stage, MVD, Ki-67 expression, and p53 expression were the only variables with independent prognostic impact (P ≤ .05), whereas histologic type, histologic grade, and p21 expression had no independent influence. A group of high-risk patients with more than one unfavorable marker was identified. CONCLUSION: In addition to age and FIGO stage, MVD, Ki-67, and p53 protein expression showed an independent prognostic impact. Thus, information derived from routine histologic specimens identified a subgroup of high-risk endometrial carcinoma patients in this population-based study.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 3009
Author(s):  
José Antonio Rubio ◽  
Sara Jiménez ◽  
José Luis Lázaro-Martínez

Background: This study reviews the mortality of patients with diabetic foot ulcers (DFU) from the first consultation with a Multidisciplinary Diabetic Foot Team (MDFT) and analyzes the main cause of death, as well as the relevant clinical factors associated with survival. Methods: Data of 338 consecutive patients referred to the MDFT center for a new DFU during the 2008–2014 period were analyzed. Follow-up: until death or until 30 April 2020, for up to 12.2 years. Results: Clinical characteristics: median age was 71 years, 92.9% had type 2 diabetes, and about 50% had micro-macrovascular complications. Ulcer characteristics: Wagner grade 1–2 (82.3%), ischemic (49.2%), and infected ulcers (56.2%). During follow-up, 201 patients died (59.5%), 110 (54.7%) due to cardiovascular disease. Kaplan—Meier curves estimated a reduction in survival of 60% with a 95% confidence interval (95% CI), (54.7–65.3) at 5 years. Cox regression analysis adjusted to a multivariate model showed the following associations with mortality, with hazard ratios (HRs) (95% CI): age, 1.07 (1.05–1.08); HbA1c value < 7% (53 mmol/mol), 1.43 (1.02–2.0); active smoking, 1.59 (1.02–2.47); ischemic heart or cerebrovascular disease, 1.55 (1.15–2.11); chronic kidney disease, 1.86 (1.37–2.53); and ulcer severity (SINBAD system) 1.12 (1.02–1.26). Conclusion: Patients with a history of DFU have high mortality. Two less known predictors of mortality were identified: HbA1c value < 7% (53 mmol/mol) and ulcer severity.


2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 233-242
Author(s):  
Raja Ahsan Aftab ◽  
Amer Hayat Khan ◽  
Azreen Syazril Adnan ◽  
Syed Azhar Syed Sulaiman ◽  
Tahir Mehmood Khan

Aims and objective: To estimate the effect of losartan 50 mg on survival of post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive patients. Methodology: A single center, prospective, single-blind randomized trial was conducted to estimate the survival of post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive patients when treated with lorsartan 50 mg every other day. Post-dialysis euvolemic assessment was done by a body composition monitor. Covariate Adaptive Randomization was used for allocation of participants to the standard or intervention arm, and the follow-up duration was twelve months. The primary end point was achieving targeted blood pressure (BP) of <140/90 mm Hg and maintaining for 4 weeks, whereas secondary end point was all cause of mortality. Pre-, intra-, and post-dialysis session BP measurements were recorded, and survival trends were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: Of the total 229 patients, 96 (41.9%) were identified as post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive. Final samples of 88 (40.1%) patients were randomized into standard (n = 44) and intervention arms (n = 44), and 36 (81.8%) patients in each arm completed a follow-up of 12 months. A total of eight patients passed away during the 12-month follow-up period (6 deaths among standard arm and 2 in intervention arm). However, the probability of survival between both arms was not significant (p = 0.13). Cox regression analysis revealed that chances of survival were higher among the patients in the intervention (OR 3.17) arm than the standard arm (OR 0.31); however, the survival was found not statistically significant. Conclusion: There was no statistical significant difference in 1 year survival of post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive patients when treated with losartan 50 mg.


Blood ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 110 (11) ◽  
pp. 522-522
Author(s):  
Stefano Sacchi ◽  
Luigi Marcheselli ◽  
Alessia Bari ◽  
Raffaella Marcheselli ◽  
Samantha Pozzi ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Secondary malignancies have been associated with Non Hodgkin Lymphoma (NHL) treatment. Nevertheless few analyses have addressed this issue focusing on aggressive lymphoma. Aims of this study were to determine the incidence and the risk factors for developing secondary cancer during long term follow up of patients treated for aggressive lymphoma. METHODS For the purpose of this study we identified in the GISL database, 1259 naïve patients with histologically confirmed diagnosis of aggressive NHL. Observed cancer were classified by site. The incidence numbers of second neoplasia was compared to the incidence of malignancies in the Italian population. The standardized incidence ratio was calculated from the ratio between observed and expected number of cancers. Absolute excess risk was calculated by subtracting the expected from the observed cases and dividing by the person-years at risk. The Time Free 2nd Tumour (TF2T) was measured from the end of the first treatment to last follow-up or date of diagnosis. Cumulative incidences were estimated either with a Kaplan-Meier estimate or by Gooley’s method. Effects of potential risk factors on second cancer rates were examined in a Cox proportional-hazard model. RESULTS The cohort consisted of 1259 patients enrolled in GISL trials in the period 1988–2003, accounting for 6180 person-year at risk of second tumor. Median age at diagnosis was 58 years. All patients were treated with chemotherapy either alone or in combination with radiotherapy. During follow up, 44 patients (3.5%) developed a second cancer. Twelve out of 44 patients developed hematological malignancies and 32 solid tumors, including 7 lung cancer, 6 colorectal cancer, 4 prostate cancer and 15 other type of cancers. The median time for developing second tumors was 42 months. The risk of secondary malignancy overall was not increased. The analysis of risk by cohort of age at diagnosis of second cancer showed an excess of risk for the cohort age 20–39 and 40–59 years. Cumulative incidence of second malignancy, estimated by Kaplan Meier and by Gooley’s method at 5, 10 and 15 years was 3.2%, 6.9% and 13.8%, and 2.7%, 5.2% and 9.6%, respectively. By univariate analysis we observed a significant negative impact on TF2T for age at first treatment and only marginally significant for elevated LDH level. Further, we performed a Cox regression analysis with gender, age at 1st treatment and LDH >UNL that showed the prognostic ability of these variables in predicting the risk of second tumour. We divided the log(HR) predicted from multivariate analysis, at the 33° and the 66° percentiles to obtain a score system. We observed three groups with significant difference (p< .0001) in the risk of developing second cancers. CONCLUSIONS Our results showed that the risk of second malignancy overall was not increased in patients treated for aggressive lymphoma. Cancer risk was age-related, as demonstrated by the excess of risk observed in the cohort age 20–39 and 40–59 years. Further, utilizing age, male gender and LDH in a Cox regression analysis, we demonstrated the prognostic value of these variables and we produced a score system able to identify groups with different risk of developing second malignancies.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9-9
Author(s):  
Kazuya Muguruma ◽  
Yukinori Kurokawa ◽  
Toshimasa Tsujinaka ◽  
Junya Fujita ◽  
Takuya Nakai ◽  
...  

9 Background: The Z9001 study revealed adjuvant imatinib for 1 year significantly improved RFS in GIST patients (pts). The SSGXVIII study compared 3 years with 1 year of adjuvant imatinib for high risk GIST pts, but there was no study to evaluate shorter period of imatinib administration than 1 year. We conducted a randomized phase II study to compare 6 months (6-mo) with 12 months (12-mo) adjuvant imatinib for intermediate or high risk GIST pts. Methods: Inclusion criteria included ECOG-PS of 0 or 1, age between 20 and 79 years, and primary KIT-positive GIST with intermediate or high risk according to the Fletcher criteria. Pts were randomized assigned to the 6-mo or 12-mo treatment of imatinib 400 mg/day after complete resection. The primary endpoint was recurrence-free survival (RFS). The study was designed as a randomized screening trial to evaluate non-inferiority with margin of hazard ratio 1.67, 1-sided alpha 0.2 and power 0.8. Results: Ninety-two pts were randomly allocated the 6-mo group (n=45) or the 12-mo group (n=47) between Dec 2007 and Aug 2011, which was well balanced for baseline characteristics. One patient was ineligible due to non-GIST (desmoid) tumor at a central review. The proportions of pts completed their assigned adjuvant treatment were 80% in the 6-mo and 70% in the 12-mo group. The first interim analysis was conducted at Sep 2012 with the median follow-up time of 33 months. The 1- and 2-year RFS were 82% and 65% in the 6-mo group and 96% and 86% in the 12-mo group, respectively. Hazard ratio of recurrence was 1.81 (95%CI: 0.84-3.91), and the 2-sided log-rank p value was 0.12. Adjuvant imatinib was well tolerated, with one patient of Gr. 4 rash and no treatment-related death. Because of the lower efficacy of the 6-mo group than expected, the Data and Safety Monitoring Committee recommended the early release of first interim analysis results. Conclusions: Adjuvant Imatinib for 6-mo was inferior in efficacy to that for 12-mo in terms of RFS. Shortening of the adjuvant imatinib duration is not recommended for intermediate or high risk GIST pts. Clinical trial information: UMIN000000950.


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