Swing Pricing for Mutual Funds: Breaking the Feedback Loop Between Fire Sales and Fund Redemptions

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (8) ◽  
pp. 3581-3602 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agostino Capponi ◽  
Paul Glasserman ◽  
Marko Weber

We develop a model of the feedback between mutual fund outflows and asset illiquidity. Following a market shock, alert investors anticipate the impact on a fund’s net asset value (NAV) of other investors’ redemptions and exit first at favorable prices. This first-mover advantage may lead to fund failure through a cycle of falling prices and increasing redemptions. Our analysis shows that (i) the first-mover advantage introduces a nonlinear dependence between a market shock and the aggregate impact of redemptions on the fund’s NAV; (ii) as a consequence, there is a critical magnitude of the shock beyond which redemptions brings down the fund; (iii) properly designed swing pricing transfers liquidation costs from the fund to redeeming investors and, by removing the nonlinearity stemming from the first-mover advantage, it reduces these costs and prevents fund failure. Achieving these objectives requires a larger swing factor at larger levels of outflows. The swing factor for one fund may also depend on policies followed by other funds. This paper was accepted by David Simchi-Levi, finance.

Owner ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 358-367
Author(s):  
Jhon Lismart Benget. P.

The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of inflation, BI-7 day reverses repo rate, exchange rate, the money supply, and composite stock price index on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The population of this study is the stock mutual fund which was listed on the financial services authority in 2017-2020. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously inflation, BI-7 day reverse repo rate, exchange rate, the money supply, and composite stock price index affect the net asset value of the stock mutual fund. Partially, this study show BI-7 day reverse repo rate has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund. The exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The composite stock price index has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The money supply has a negative and significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund while inflation has no significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund.


2015 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 826-829
Author(s):  
Ir. Dewi Tamara ◽  
Shintia Revina

Mutual funds have existed since 1990 as an alternative investment in Indonesia. The objective of this research is to examine the existing classification of mutual funds database. The data of mutual funds is taken from Bloomberg through Portal Reksadana 2013 which covered 690 mutual funds. The existing classification consists of mutual funds fixed income (reksadana pendapatan tetap), equity (reksadana saham), money market (reksadana pasar uang) and structured (reksadana campuran). The existing financial attributes consists of the net asset value, percentage annualized return the last 6 months, 1 year, 3 years, 5 years and year-to-date. This paper uses K-means clustering to propose new classification of Indonesian mutual funds. The result reveals that mutual funds in equity and fixed income belong to its group. However, mutual funds money market is belong to mutual fund fixed income and mutual funds structures are identified to mutual funds equity. Furthermore, we find that in average 43% of Indonesian mutual funds are misclassified in accordance with their attributes. Finally, it is suggested to re-group the mutual funds into smaller classification, which has lower rates of misclassified mutual funds and possibility to achieve better performances in terms of its percentage annualized return.


2019 ◽  
pp. 7-37
Author(s):  
António Afonso ◽  
Pedro Cardoso

We conduct an analysis of Exchange-traded Funds (ETFs), Index and Equity mutual funds and their respective benchmark during the 2010-2015 period for the Portuguese fund industry. For the period 2010-2017, we test ETFs for price inefficiency (existence of deviations between prices and the Net Asset Value) and persistence. We find that the studied ETF does not always outperform index funds in replicating the variations of the PSI 20 index, despite exhibiting better tracking ability when facing downside deviations of the benchmark and a better capacity of smoothing tracking deviations. Regarding ETFs price efficiency and its persistence, the study reveals that the examined ETF is priced at a low average discount with evidence of deviations persistence of at least two days. The investment schemes with the highest ability to track the PSI 20 Index were PSI20 (ETF), BBVA PPA Índice PSI20, and the equity mutual fund BPI Portugal.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sylva Alif Rusmita ◽  
Marhanum Che Mohd Salleh

This study provides evidence that value and stocks’ growth able to explain Net Asset Value of Shariah Mutual Fund. It is important for investment managers and investors to estimate future profit or loss that may happen on their mutual funds prior they venture into the investment platform. This study therefore is conducted to prove that factors including value and growth may affect the future profit of Shariah Mutual Funds. Based on quantitative analysis with secondary data from companies indexed in the Jakarta Islamic Index and Sharia Mutual Fund from year 2013 to 2017, it is found that both growth and value of stock have equally affected the profit of Sharia Mutual Funds. In addition, growth of stock has a larger R-Square than its value which means that the investors or fund managers would need to observe the stock growth more often than its value in order to predict future profitability of Shariah funds.  It is expected that the results of this study can provide additional insight to investment managers when choosing a portfolio for investors. For investors, this information is useful to predict the risk and return that they will receive from the investment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 146
Author(s):  
Khoirunnisa Azzahra ◽  
Baiq Fitri Arianti

The purpose of this study was to determine and analyze macroeconomic factors such as inflation, exchange rates and Indonesian Sharia bank certificates on Net Asset Value. Sources of data obtained from OJK and BI with 5 years of observation, The sampling technique used in this study is non-probability sampling, that is by using saturated sampling with a total sample of 60 data. The method used in this research is descriptive statistical analysis, classical assumption test, multiple linear regression analysis and hypothesis testing. By using the Statistical Package for the Social Science (SPSS) version 22.0 For Windows. The results of this study indicate that inflation has no effect on the value of net assets, while the exchange rate and SBIS partially affect the value of net assets. Simultaneously inflation, exchange rate and SBIS affect the net asset value. Net asset value (NAV) is important in mutual funds, because net asset value is one of the benchmarks in unifying mutual fund performance, the net asset value of equity/unit development mutual funds has increased, and vice versa decreased the value of initial mutual fund net assets/unit participation has decreased.


2014 ◽  
Vol 571-572 ◽  
pp. 318-325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tsu Hua Huang ◽  
Yung Ho Leu

This paper presents a method to construct a profitable portfolio of mutual funds for investors. This method comprises two stages. In the first stage, the DEA, Sharpe and Treynor indices of mutual funds and the monthly rates of return (ROR) of mutual funds are used to select a mutual fund portfolio. In the second stage, the linear regression model, the Fruit Fly Optimization Algorithm (FOA) and the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) are used to construct a prediction model for the net asset values of each of the constituent mutual funds of the portfolio. The trade decision of a selected mutual fund is then made based on the rise or fall of its net asset value. The empirical results showed that, compared to other combinations, the combination of using Sharpe index for portfolio selection and the GRNN optimized with FOA for net asset value prediction offered the best accumulated return rate for the mutual fund portfolio investment.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Victor Siagian

The are two kinds of stock mutual fund, namely company and collective investment contract of stock mutual fund. Three aspects must be considered by investor in selecting stock mutual<br />fund, (1) how much rate of return, (2) is rate of risk and (3) is performance or professionality of porlfolio management of stock mutual fund. To analyze the performance of stock mutual fund, especially collective investment contract of stock mutual fund in Indonesia, is the objective of this study. Based on theoretical and empirical review, it is able to design hypothesis. Data collections in this study covering IHSG, BI rate and Net Asset Value (NAV) of stock mutual funds. Alfa Jensen's model was used to evaluate the performance of collective investment contract of stock mutual fund. The finding of this study shows that only two of six of stock mutual fund which are observed as sample, have outperform toward market performance and the others are underperfoms condition.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Helmi ◽  
Jumali Jumali

Mutual funds are investment facilities that are used to raise funds from the investor community for further investment in securities portfolios by investment managers, and subsequently invested in stocks, bonds, time deposits, money market, and so on. Mutual fund performance is influenced by the determining factors of whether a mutual fund performs well or poorly, the mutual fund performance factor, namely the first is the age / age of the mutual fund (Fund Age), the second is the comparison between operating costs in one year and the average net asset value in one year (Expense Ratio) and the third is Net Asset Value (NAV). The formulation of the problems in this research are (1) How is the development of the age of equity funds in Mandiri Investasi for the 2014-2019 period? (2) How is the development of the stock mutual fund expense ratio at the Mandiri Investasi period of 2014-2019? net assets (NAV) of equity mutual funds performance at Mandiri Investasi for the 2014-2019 period. This study aims to determine the development of mutual funds age, expense ratio and net asset value (NAV) of the performance of Mandiri Investa Attractive (MITRA) equity funds in Mandiri Investasi for the period 2014-2019. The objects examined in this study are variables in the form of mutual funds age, expense ratio, and mutual fund performance (NAV). Methods of data analysis in this study using descriptive analysis methods. The results of the research conducted were the age development of Mandiri Investa Attraktf (MITRA) equity funds at the Mandiri Investasi company, which experienced an increase in age in 2014-2019. Expense ratio development in 2014-2019 has decreased. And in the development of equity mutual funds performance, namely the net asset value (NAV) in 2014-2019 experienced fluctuations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (11) ◽  
pp. 959
Author(s):  
Anindita Maditiara ◽  
Nafik Hnafik

The objective of this research is to identify whether there is a difference of theperformance of mutual fund shares among Sharpe, Treynor, and Jensen Index (Period 2013- 2016) by analyzing the performance of each sampling stock from Sharia-Protected Mutual Funds. The population of this research is all Sharia-Protected Mutual Funds registered at Bapepam-LK. The data used in this research are monthly Net Asset Value (NAV), Indonesian Sharia Stock index (ISSI), and Sukuk Ijarah. The approach that has been used in this research is quantitative with One-Way Anova analysis technique with three variables Sharpe Index (X1), Treynor Index (X2), Jensen Index (X3), as variables that measure the performance of ShariaProtected Mutual Fund.


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