scholarly journals Integration Method of Local-global SVR and Parallel Time Variant PSO in Water Level Forecasting for Flood Early Warning System

Author(s):  
Arief Andy Soebroto ◽  
Imam Cholissodin ◽  
Maria Tenika Frestantiya ◽  
Ziya El Arief
2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 230-235
Author(s):  
Novianda Nanda Nanda ◽  
Rizalul Akram ◽  
Liza Fitria

During the rainy season, several regions in Indonesia experienced floods even to the capital of Indonesia also flooded. Some of the causes are the high intensity of continuous rain, clogged or non-smooth drainage, high tides to accommodate the flow of water from rivers, other causes such as forest destruction, shallow and full of garbage and other causes. Every flood disaster comes, often harming the residents who experience it. The late anticipation from the community and the absence of an early warning system or information that indicates that there will be a flood so that the community is not prepared to face floods that cause a lot of losses. Therefore it is necessary to have a detection system to provide early warning if floods will occur, this is very important to prevent material losses from flooded residents. From this problem the researchers designed an internet-based flood detection System of Things (IoT). This tool can later be controlled via a smartphone remotely and can send messages Telegram messenger to citizens if the detector detects a flood will occur.Keywords: Flooding, Smartphone, Telegram messenger, Internet of Thing (IoT).


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 741-749 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Schöne ◽  
W. Pandoe ◽  
I. Mudita ◽  
S. Roemer ◽  
J. Illigner ◽  
...  

Abstract. On Boxing Day 2004, a severe tsunami was generated by a strong earthquake in Northern Sumatra causing a large number of casualties. At this time, neither an offshore buoy network was in place to measure tsunami waves, nor a system to disseminate tsunami warnings to local governmental entities. Since then, buoys have been developed by Indonesia and Germany, complemented by NOAA's Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunamis (DART) buoys, and have been moored offshore Sumatra and Java. The suite of sensors for offshore tsunami detection in Indonesia has been advanced by adding GPS technology for water level measurements. The usage of GPS buoys in tsunami warning systems is a relatively new approach. The concept of the German Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System (GITEWS) (Rudloff et al., 2009) combines GPS technology and ocean bottom pressure (OBP) measurements. Especially for near-field installations where the seismic noise may deteriorate the OBP data, GPS-derived sea level heights provide additional information. The GPS buoy technology is precise enough to detect medium to large tsunamis of amplitudes larger than 10 cm. The analysis presented here suggests that for about 68% of the time, tsunamis larger than 5 cm may be detectable.


ELKHA ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 113
Author(s):  
Hasbi Nur Prasetyo Wisudawan

Disaster occurrence in Indonesia needs attention and role from all parties including the community to reduce the risks.  Disaster mitigation is one of the ways to reduce the disaster risk through awareness, capacity building, and the development of physical facilities, for example by applying disaster mitigation technology (early warning system, EWS). EWS is one of the effective methods to minimize losses due to disasters by providing warning based on certain parameters for disasters which usually occur such as floods. This research promotes a real-time IoT-based EWS flood warning system (Flood Early Warning System, FEWS) using Arduino and Blynk as well as Global System for Mobile Communication network (GSM) as the communication medium. The steps for implementing FEWS system in real locations are also discussed in this paper. Parameters such as water level, temperature, and humidity as well as rain conditions that are read by the EWS sensor can be accessed in real-time by using android based Blynk application that has been created. The result of the measurement of average temperature, humidity, and water level were 28.6 oC, 63.7 %, and 54.5 cm. Based on this analysis, the parameters indicated that the water level is in normal condition and there are no signs indicating that there will be flooding in the 30 days observation.  Based on the data collected by the sensor, FEWS can report four conditions, namely Normal, Waspada Banjir (Advisory), Siaga Banjir (Watch), and Awas Banjir (Warning) that will be sent immediately to the Blynk FEWS application user that has been created.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (8) ◽  
pp. 1414-1419
Author(s):  
Wahyu Sejati ◽  
Ning Adiasih ◽  
Tjhwa Endang Djuana

Cisadane River is the largest river whose overflow often causes flooding in several locations in South Tangerang City. One of them is located in Pesona Serpong Housing, Setu District, South Tangerang City. The Cisadane Environmental Echo Community (GEMALA) is a community that cares about the sustainability of the Cisadane River. This community service aims to improve understanding of river maintenance and socialize the IoT-based Early Warning System (EWS) tool to the GEMALA community as an early flood detection tool. The method used is to use an ultrasonic sensor HC-SR04 which will measure the water level of the river and will send a signal via the Telegram messaging application. At the end of this activity, an IoT-based Early Warning System (EWS) tool was produced that could be utilized by the GEMALA community as an early flood detection tool.


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 209-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. D. Harley ◽  
A. Valentini ◽  
C. Armaroli ◽  
L. Perini ◽  
L. Calabrese ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Emilia-Romagna early-warning system (ER-EWS) is a state-of-the-art coastal forecasting system that comprises a series of numerical models (COSMO, ROMS, SWAN and XBeach) to obtain a daily 3-day forecast of coastal storm hazard at eight key sites along the Emilia-Romagna coastline (northern Italy). On the night of 31 October 2012, a major storm event occurred that resulted in elevated water levels (equivalent to a 1-in-20- to 1-in-50-year event) and widespread erosion and flooding. Since this storm happened just 1 month prior to the roll-out of the ER-EWS, the forecast performance related to this event is unknown. The aim of this study was to therefore reanalyse the ER-EWS as if it had been operating a day before the event and determine to what extent the forecasts may have helped reduce storm impacts. Three different reanalysis modes were undertaken: (1) a default forecast (DF) mode based on 3-day wave and water-level forecasts and default XBeach parameters; (2) a measured offshore (MO) forecast mode using wave and water-level measurements and default XBeach parameters; and (3) a calibrated XBeach (CX) mode using measured boundary conditions and an optimized parameter set obtained through an extensive calibration process. The results indicate that, while a "code-red" alert would have been issued for the DF mode, an underprediction of the extreme water levels of this event limited high-hazard forecasts to only two of the eight ER-EWS sites. Forecasts based on measured offshore conditions (the MO mode) more-accurately indicate high-hazard conditions for all eight sites. Further considerable improvements are observed using an optimized XBeach parameter set (the CX mode) compared to default parameters. A series of what-if scenarios at one of the sites show that artificial dunes, which are a common management strategy along this coastline, could have hypothetically been constructed as an emergency procedure to potentially reduce storm impacts.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 4977
Author(s):  
Shuangshuang Wu ◽  
Xinli Hu ◽  
Wenbo Zheng ◽  
Matteo Berti ◽  
Zhitian Qiao ◽  
...  

The triggering threshold is one of the most important parameters for landslide early warning systems (EWSs) at the slope scale. In the present work, a velocity threshold is recommended for an early warning system of the Gapa landslide in Southwest China, which was reactivated by the impoundment of a large reservoir behind Jinping’s first dam. Based on GNSS monitoring data over the last five years, the velocity threshold is defined by a novel method, which is implemented by the forward and reverse double moving average of time series. As the landslide deformation is strongly related to the fluctuations in reservoir water levels, a crucial water level is also defined to reduce false warnings from the velocity threshold alone. In recognition of the importance of geological evolution, the evolution process of the Gapa landslide from topping to sliding is described in this study to help to understand its behavior and predict its potential trends. Moreover, based on the improved Saito’s three-stage deformation model, the warning level is set as “attention level”, because the current deformation stage of the landslide is considered to be between the initial and constant stages. At present, the early warning system mainly consists of six surface displacement monitoring sites and one water level observation site. If the daily recorded velocity in each monitoring site exceeds 4 mm/d and, meanwhile, the water level is below 1820 m above sea level (asl), a warning of likely landslide deformation accelerations will be released by relevant monitoring sites. The thresholds are always discretely exceeded on about 3% of annual monitoring days, and they are most frequently exceeded in June (especially in mid-June). The thresholds provide an efficient and effective way for judging accelerations of this landslide and are verified by the current application. The work presented provides critical insights into the development of early warning systems for reservoir-induced large-scale landslides.


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