scholarly journals Predicting Future Ranked Statistics and Recorded Values for Some Statistical Distributions

Webology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (Special Issue 04) ◽  
pp. 364-384
Author(s):  
Nidhal Khaleel Ajeel
Keyword(s):  
Parametric Method ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
The Other ◽  
Hydrological Processes ◽  
Regional Frequency Analysis ◽  
Regional Models ◽  
Technical Problems ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Approximate Bayesian ◽  
Hydrological Variables

Regional frequency analysis (AFR) brings together a variety of statistical methods aimed at predicting the behavior of extreme hydrological variables at ungauged sites. Regression techniques, geostatistical methods and classification are among the statistical tools frequently encountered in the literature. Methodologies based on these tools lead to regional models that offer a simple, but very useful description of the relationship between extreme hydrological variables and physiometeorological characteristics of a site. These regional models then make it possible to predict the behavior of variables of interest at places where no hydrological information is available. These methods are generally based on restrictive theoretical assumptions, including linearity and normality. These do not reflect the reality of natural phenomena. The general objectives of this paper are to identify the methods affected by these hypotheses, evaluate their impacts and propose improvements aimed at obtaining more realistic and fairer representations. Projection pursuit regression is a non-parametric method similar to generalized additive models and artificial neural networks that are considered in AFR to take into account the non-linearity of hydrological processes. In a comparative study, this paper shows that regression with revealing directions makes it possible to obtain more parsimonious models while preserving the same predictive power as the other nonparametric methods. Canonical Correlation Analysis (ACC) is used to create neighborhoods within which a model (e.g. multiple regression) is used to predict hydrologic variables at ungagged sites on the other hand, ACC strongly depends on the assumptions of normality and linearity. A new methodology for delineating neighborhoods is proposed in this paper and uses revealing direction regression to predict a reference point representing hydrological and physiometeorological information that is relevant to these groupings. The results show that the new methodology generalizes that of ACC, improves the homogeneity of neighborhoods and leads to better performance. In AFR, kriging techniques on transformed spaces are suggested in order to predict extreme hydrological variables. However, a transformation is required so that the hydrological variables of interest derive approximately from a multidimensional normal distribution. This transformation introduces a bias and leads to suboptimal predictions. Solutions have been proposed, but have not been tested in AFR. This paper proposes the approach of spatial copulas and shows that this approach provides satisfactory solutions to the problems encountered with kriging techniques. Max-stable processes are a theoretical formalization of spatial extremes and correspond to a more faithful representation of hydrological processes on the other hand; their characterization of extreme dependence poses technical problems which slow down their adoption. In this paper, the approximate Bayesian calculus is examined as a solution. The results of a simulation study show that the approximate Bayesian computation is superior to the standard approach of compound likelihood. In addition, this approach is more appropriate in order to take into account specification errors.

R&D in Support of Repository Implementation Do We Need Any More?

1997 ◽  
Vol 506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Mccombie
Keyword(s):  
Waste Management ◽  
The Other ◽  
Technical Development ◽  
Development Work ◽  
Public Hearing ◽  
Technical Problems ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Deep Boreholes ◽  
Site Characterisation

ABSTRACTIs there any need for further scientific and technical development work in the field of waste management? Radically different views on this provocative question have been put forward by opposing sides in the nuclear debate. P. Slovik [1] quotes various leaders on the nuclear community who for years have been claiming that waste management has no unsolved technical problems. At the recent public hearing in England [2], on the other hand, Greenpeace and others convinced the Inspector that, despite a GBP 200 million site characterisation programme with many deep boreholes, UK-Nirex still knew too little about the deep hydrogeology to justify even the sinking of an exploratory shaft at Sellafield. Where does the truth lie?

A study of cometary eruptions through OH radio-lines

1999 ◽  
Vol 173 ◽  
pp. 249-254
Author(s):  
A.M. Silva ◽  
R.D. Miró
Keyword(s):  
Short Duration ◽  
Growth Curves ◽  
The Other ◽  
Initial Mass ◽  
Radio Lines ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Sudden Rise

AbstractWe have developed a model for theH2OandOHevolution in a comet outburst, assuming that together with the gas, a distribution of icy grains is ejected. With an initial mass of icy grains of 108kg released, theH2OandOHproductions are increased up to a factor two, and the growth curves change drastically in the first two days. The model is applied to eruptions detected in theOHradio monitorings and fits well with the slow variations in the flux. On the other hand, several events of short duration appear, consisting of a sudden rise ofOHflux, followed by a sudden decay on the second day. These apparent short bursts are frequently found as precursors of a more durable eruption. We suggest that both of them are part of a unique eruption, and that the sudden decay is due to collisions that de-excite theOHmaser, when it reaches the Cometopause region located at 1.35 × 105kmfrom the nucleus.

Closing the GAP—A 5Å Scanning Microscope

1969 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 6-7
Author(s):  
A. V. Crewe
Keyword(s):  
Normal Form ◽  
The Other ◽  
Resolving Power ◽  
Scanning Microscope ◽  
Conventional Microscope ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Closing The Gap ◽  
Thermal Sources ◽  
Better Than ◽  
Transmission Microscope

We have become accustomed to differentiating between the scanning microscope and the conventional transmission microscope according to the resolving power which the two instruments offer. The conventional microscope is capable of a point resolution of a few angstroms and line resolutions of periodic objects of about 1Å. On the other hand, the scanning microscope, in its normal form, is not ordinarily capable of a point resolution better than 100Å. Upon examining reasons for the 100Å limitation, it becomes clear that this is based more on tradition than reason, and in particular, it is a condition imposed upon the microscope by adherence to thermal sources of electrons.

Life Beyond 1MeV

1980 ◽  
Vol 38 ◽  
pp. 30-33
Author(s):  
K.H. Westmacott
Keyword(s):  
Electron Microscopy ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
The Other ◽  
Good Case ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The U.S

Life beyond 1MeV – like life after 40 – is not too different unless one takes advantage of past experience and is receptive to new opportunities. At first glance, the returns on performing electron microscopy at voltages greater than 1MeV diminish rather rapidly as the curves which describe the well-known advantages of HVEM often tend towards saturation. However, in a country with a significant HVEM capability, a good case can be made for investing in instruments with a range of maximum accelerating voltages. In this regard, the 1.5MeV KRATOS HVEM being installed in Berkeley will complement the other 650KeV, 1MeV, and 1.2MeV instruments currently operating in the U.S. One other consideration suggests that 1.5MeV is an optimum voltage machine – Its additional advantages may be purchased for not much more than a 1MeV instrument. On the other hand, the 3MeV HVEM's which seem to be operated at 2MeV maximum, are much more expensive.

Can the Academic Self-Concept be Positive and Realistic?

2005 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 129-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reimer Kornmann
Keyword(s):  
Academic Performance ◽  
Opposite Effect ◽  
Self Esteem ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
The Other ◽  
Self Concept ◽  
High Ability ◽  
Self Image ◽  
Other Hand

Summary: My comment is basically restricted to the situation in which less-able students find themselves and refers only to literature in German. From this point of view I am basically able to confirm Marsh's results. It must, however, be said that with less-able pupils the opposite effect can be found: Levels of self-esteem in these pupils are raised, at least temporarily, by separate instruction, academic performance however drops; combined instruction, on the other hand, leads to improved academic performance, while levels of self-esteem drop. Apparently, the positive self-image of less-able pupils who receive separate instruction does not bring about the potential enhancement of academic performance one might expect from high-ability pupils receiving separate instruction. To resolve the dilemma, it is proposed that individual progress in learning be accentuated, and that comparisons with others be dispensed with. This fosters a self-image that can in equal measure be realistic and optimistic.

Stories and the Self

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Krause ◽  
Markus Appel
Keyword(s):  
Meta Analysis ◽  
The Self ◽  
The Other ◽  
Lower Degree ◽  
Contrast Effects ◽  
Self Perception ◽  
Self Perceptions ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The One ◽  
Implicit And Explicit

Abstract. Two experiments examined the influence of stories on recipients’ self-perceptions. Extending prior theory and research, our focus was on assimilation effects (i.e., changes in self-perception in line with a protagonist’s traits) as well as on contrast effects (i.e., changes in self-perception in contrast to a protagonist’s traits). In Experiment 1 ( N = 113), implicit and explicit conscientiousness were assessed after participants read a story about either a diligent or a negligent student. Moderation analyses showed that highly transported participants and participants with lower counterarguing scores assimilate the depicted traits of a story protagonist, as indicated by explicit, self-reported conscientiousness ratings. Participants, who were more critical toward a story (i.e., higher counterarguing) and with a lower degree of transportation, showed contrast effects. In Experiment 2 ( N = 103), we manipulated transportation and counterarguing, but we could not identify an effect on participants’ self-ascribed level of conscientiousness. A mini meta-analysis across both experiments revealed significant positive overall associations between transportation and counterarguing on the one hand and story-consistent self-reported conscientiousness on the other hand.

Don’t Put Me in This Group

2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-93
Author(s):  
Jort de Vreeze ◽  
Christina Matschke
Keyword(s):  
Positive Emotions ◽  
Negative Emotions ◽  
Negative Information ◽  
The Self ◽  
The Other ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Group Memberships

Abstract. Not all group memberships are self-chosen. The current research examines whether assignments to non-preferred groups influence our relationship with the group and our preference for information about the ingroup. It was expected and found that, when people are assigned to non-preferred groups, they perceive the group as different to the self, experience negative emotions about the assignment and in turn disidentify with the group. On the other hand, when people are assigned to preferred groups, they perceive the group as similar to the self, experience positive emotions about the assignment and in turn identify with the group. Finally, disidentification increases a preference for negative information about the ingroup.

ON THE OTHER HAND

1961 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 222-223
Author(s):  
Edwin G. Boring
Keyword(s):  
The Other ◽  
Other Hand

Radioimmunotherapy for treatment of acute myeloid leukaemia and myelodysplastic syndrome

2005 ◽  
Vol 44 (03) ◽  
pp. 107-117
Author(s):  
R. G. Meyer ◽  
W. Herr ◽  
A. Helisch ◽  
P. Bartenstein ◽  
I. Buchmann
Keyword(s):  
Acute Myeloid Leukaemia ◽  
Myeloid Leukaemia ◽  
Primary Tumour ◽  
The Other ◽  
Haematopoietic Stem Cell ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Primary Reduction ◽  
The One ◽  
Acute Myeloid

SummaryThe prognosis of patients with acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) has improved considerably by introduction of aggressive consolidation chemotherapy and haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (SCT). Nevertheless, only 20-30% of patients with AML achieve long-term diseasefree survival after SCT. The most common cause of treatment failure is relapse. Additionally, mortality rates are significantly increased by therapy-related causes such as toxicity of chemotherapy and complications of SCT. Including radioimmunotherapies in the treatment of AML and myelodyplastic syndrome (MDS) allows for the achievement of a pronounced antileukaemic effect for the reduction of relapse rates on the one hand. On the other hand, no increase of acute toxicity and later complications should be induced. These effects are important for the primary reduction of tumour cells as well as for the myeloablative conditioning before SCT.This paper provides a systematic and critical review of the currently used radionuclides and immunoconjugates for the treatment of AML and MDS and summarizes the literature on primary tumour cell reductive radioimmunotherapies on the one hand and conditioning radioimmunotherapies before SCT on the other hand.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document