scholarly journals Examining the Behavior of Credit Rating Agencies Post 2008 Economic Turmoil

2017 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 61-76
Author(s):  
Çağrı L. Uslu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

AbstractThe demand for sovereign ratings has increased throughout last decades. Until the1990’s, credit rating agencies (CRAs) did not rate most of the emerging markets and the focus was almost only on developed countries, however, during this decade the number of sovereigns rated increased dramatically due to addition of emerging markets to the portfolio. The global financial crisis in 2008 led to the loss of credibility of these major credit rating companies. None of these three agencies showed any signal of macroeconomic problems in countries where the financial crisis created devastating macroeconomic results. It is believed that this failure has led credit rating agencies to behave more conservatively. This paper aims to determine whether CRAs tend to behave conservatively after the 2008 global financial crisis. If the downgrading is greater than the worsening of the economic situation in the given economies, then we can infer that CRAs tend to behave more conservatively. The good working model in estimating ratings assigned by CRAs before the crisis failed to estimate the ratings after 2008 crisis. This may have happened due to two reasons. First, as experienced in the aftermath of the former crisis, credit rating agencies may have added new macroeconomic variables in the process of assigning ratings or change the weight assigned to the already existing macroeconomic variables. Second, it is a known fact that ratings emerge from the combination of two distinct information; the quantitative part reflected by macroeconomic indicators and the qualitative judgements of the agency about the sovereign.

scholarly journals A hard nut to crack: Regulatory failure shows how rating really works

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 266-286 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giulia Mennillo ◽  
Timothy J Sinclair
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Private Goods ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Rating Agency ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Credit rating agencies such as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s are key players in the governance of global financial markets. Given the very strong criticism the rating agencies faced in the wake of the global financial crisis 2008, how can we explain the puzzle of their survival? Market and regulatory reliance on ratings continues, despite the shift from a light-touch to a mandatory system of agency regulation and supervision. Drawing on the analysis of rating agency regulation in the US and the EU before and after the financial crisis, we argue that a pervasive, persistent and, in our view, erroneous understanding of rating has supported the never-ending story of rating agency authority. We show how treating ratings as metrics, private goods, and independent and neutral third-party opinions contributes to the ineffectiveness of rating agency regulation and supports the continuing authoritative standing of the credit rating agencies in market and regulatory practices.

scholarly journals Credit rating agencies and moral hazard

2011 ◽  
Vol 58 (2) ◽  
pp. 219-227 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milos Bozovic ◽  
Branko Urosevic ◽  
Bosko Zivkovic
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Moral Hazard ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Structured Products ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Securities

The failure of credit rating agencies to properly assess risks of complex financial securities was instrumental in setting off the global financial crisis. This paper studies the incentives of companies and rating agencies and argues that the way the current rating market is organized may provide agencies with intrinsic disincentives to accurately report credit risk of securities they rate. Informational inefficiency is only enhanced when rating agencies function as an oligopoly or when they rate structured products. We discuss possible market and regulatory solutions to these problems.

scholarly journals Determination of Sovereign Credit Rating Model for European Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isik Akin
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Rating Model ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Credit rating agencies play a key role in financial markets, as they help to reduce asymmetric information among market participants via credit ratings. The credit ratings determined by the credit rating agencies reflect the opinion of whether a country can fulfil the liability or its credit reliability at a particular time. Therefore, credit ratings are a very valuable tool, especially for investors. In addition, the issue that credit rating agencies are generally criticised is that they are unsuccessful in times of financial crisis. Credit rating methodologies of credit rating agencies have been subject to intense criticism, especially after the 2007/08 Global Financial Crisis. Some of the criticised issues are that credit rating agencies’ methodologies are not transparent; they are unable to make ratings on time, and they make incorrect ratings. In order to create a more reliable credit rating methodology, the credit rating industry and the ratings determined by rating agencies need to be critically examined and further investigated in this area. For this reason, in this study credit rating model has been developed for countries. Supervisory and regulatory variables, political indicators and macroeconomic factors were used as independent variables for the sovereign credit rating model. As a result of the study, the new sovereign credit rating calculates exactly the same credit rating with Fitch Rating Agency for developed countries, but there are 1 or 2 points differences for developing countries. In order to better understand the reason for these differences, credit rating agencies need to make their methodologies more transparent and disclose them to the public.

Part VII International Securities, Including Markets and Clearing Systems, 21 Credit Rating Agencies

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eborall Charlotte
Keyword(s):  
Information Asymmetry ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
The United States ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Independent Assessment

This chapter concentrates on credit rating agencies (CRAs), which play a key role in financial markets. It explains how CRAs help reduce information asymmetry between investors and issuers by providing an independent assessment of the relative creditworthiness of countries or companies. It also describes how CRA's role has expanded significantly in recent decades with financial globalization, such as the introduction of references to credit ratings in regulations and the embedding by market participants of ratings in their operating procedures, investment decisions, and contracts. This chapter identifies the heavy reliance on CRAs as one of the main contributors to the global financial crisis in 2008. It also talks about the efficacy of CRAs' credit ratings after 2008, in which regulators in the United States (US) and Europe introduced new regulations intended to address the reliability of CRAs' predictions of probability of default.

CREDIT RATING AGENCIES, THE SUBPRIME MORTGAGE DEBACLE AND GLOBAL GOVERNANCE: THE EU STRIKES BACK

2010 ◽  
Vol 59 (3) ◽  
pp. 701-730 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry McVea
Keyword(s):  
Global Governance ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Poor Quality ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Subprime Mortgage Debacle ◽  
The Eu

AbstractThe global financial crisis has served to highlight serious weaknesses in global governance, revealing fault lines in the international financial architecture and its accompanying regulatory apparatus. Most glaringly, the spotlight has fallen on Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs)—key governance agencies in the pre-crisis domestic and international regulatory structures, and ones directly linked to the subprime mortgage debacle. The aim of this article is to provide a critical appraisal of CRAs as a mechanism of global governance in the light of their role in the subprime mortgage debacle and to evaluate the case for stricter regulation of CRAs. In this respect, special emphasis is placed on the recent EU attempt—by way of a new Regulation on Credit Rating Agencies—to bring rating agencies within the regulatory fold. It is argued that while the EU Regulation has serious implications for the operation of CRAs within the Community, the reform measure is potentially illustrative of a growing dissonance between EU and US responses to global governance issues more generally.‘[Securitisation led to the belief among many that] poor quality assets … assembled as a portfolio … could somehow by alchemy be converted into something stronger than they were’.1‘The crap had become cake.’2‘In January 2008, there were 12 triple A-rated companies in the world. At the same time, there were 64,000 structured finance instruments, like CDO tranches, rated triple A.’3

The Financial Crisis and Corporate Credit Ratings

2017 ◽  
Vol 92 (4) ◽  
pp. 161-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ed deHaan
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Theoretical Models ◽  
Financial Instruments ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Corporate Credit ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

ABSTRACT Credit ratings on many financial instruments failed to accurately portray default risk before the global financial crisis. I find no decline in the performance of corporate credit ratings during or after the crisis, indicating that the failures of ratings on financial instruments were due to conditions unique to the rating agencies' financial instruments divisions. Rather, the preponderance of tests indicate that corporate credit rating performance improves after the crisis, consistent with the rating agencies positively responding to public criticism and regulatory pressures. At the same time, I find evidence of sophisticated market participants decreasing their reliance on corporate credit ratings after the crisis. Consistent with theoretical models of reputation cyclicality, a likely explanation is that the rating agencies suffer spillover reputation damage from their failed ratings on financial instruments. My study informs regulators, practitioners, and academics about the performance of corporate credit ratings during and after the crisis, and provides novel empirical evidence consistent with reputation concerns affecting credit rating usage decisions.

scholarly journals Global Financial Crisis and Corporate Governance Lessons from the Crisis

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cüneyd Ebrar Levent
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Derivative Markets

The mortgage crisis, started in 2007 in USA, turned into global financial crisis at the end of 2008. This crisis is assumed to be the largest crisis after The Great Depression occurred in 1929. Global Financial Crisis spread out from USA to developed countries and eventually other countries. Some financial institutions went bankruptcy and some of rest has been survived with governments’ financial supports. Crisis affected the real economy after financial markets, due to crisis production and employment decreased all over the countries. Excess liquidity, deterioration of the mortgage loans structure, excessive increases in house prices, securitization of subprime mortgages, lack of transparency, expansion of derivative markets, ineffectiveness of credit rating agencies and delay of regulatory agencies’ intervention are assumed as “reasonable reasons of the crisis. Before all these reasons, deregulation in financial market in USA is the main reason of this crisis. Corporate governance is against decontrol and lack of transparency which cause crisis. Corporate governance focuses on four pillars, which are fairness, transparency, accountability and responsibility. These four principles are associated with measurement and development of performance of government and companies. In this study, we looked from corporate governance window to the global financial crisis, and expressed lessons and advices to be determined. With effective corporate governance, it is expected to add value to stakeholders and being responsible to social values.

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