scholarly journals Sovereign Credit Ratings and Asian Financial Markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 165-181
Author(s):  
Khansa Pervaiz ◽  
Zuzana Virglerová ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Usman Akbar ◽  
József Popp
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Each region/country seeks to become more efficient to gain the confidence of potential investors. Most of the Asian economies are categorized as emerging markets, where the role of financial markets has even become more intensified to provide financial services to increasing economic and financial activities. Asian financial market has momentously suffered during the Asian, and global financial crisis. The mass destruction was mainly caused due to the mounting uncertainty, which spillover throughout the region, where investors lost their confidence. Considering the pivotal economic role of financial markets, and implications evolve due to sovereign credit rating announcements, this study aims to model the role of sovereign credit rating announcements by Standard and Poor’s, and Moody’s on financial market development of the Asian region. For 24 Asian countries/regions, we perform a regression analysis on sovereign credit rating changes based on financial market development index and its factors. The findings of Driscoll Kraay’s robust estimator reveals that improvement in sovereign credit rating score enhances the financial market development in the region. Moreover, we applied several robustness checks, such as alternative estimators, alternative measures, and three sub-dimensions of financial market development. According to the findings from these robustness checks, the positive impact of sovereign credit ratings on financial market development in the region is robust. Unlike prior literature (which is confined to the event study approach), this study utilizes the historical grades to establish the relationship under the standard error clustering approach. Due to the diversity of investors’ speculations, we propose a micro-level extension of the present model to overcome a difference in country policy.

scholarly journals On the Asymmetries of Sovereign Credit Rating Announcements and Financial Market Development in the European Region

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (23) ◽  
pp. 6636 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunling Li ◽  
Khansa Pervaiz ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Faheem Ur Rehman ◽  
Judit Oláh
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Market Development ◽  
European Region ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

In modeling the impact of sovereign credit rating (CR) on financial markets, a considerable amount of the literature to date has been devoted to examining the short-term impact of CR on financial markets via an event-study methodology. The argument has been established that financial markets are sensitive to CR announcements, and market reactions to such announcements (both upgrading and degrading) are not the same. Using the framework of an autoregressive distributed lag setting, the present study attempted to empirically test the linear and non-linear impacts of CR on financial market development (FMD) in the European region. Nonlinear specification is capable to capture asymmetries (upgrades and downgrades) in the estimation process, which have not been considered to date in financial market literature. Overall findings identified long-term asymmetries, while there was little evidence supporting the existence of short-term asymmetries. Thus, the present study has extended the financial market literature on the subject of the asymmetrical impact of a sovereign CR on European FMD and provides useful input for policy formation taking into account these nonlinearities. Policies solely based upon linear models may be misleading and detrimental.

scholarly journals KEY DETERMINANTS OF LITHUANIA’S SOVEREIGN CREDIT RATING

Ekonomika ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 90 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-84
Author(s):  
Aušra Pačebutaitė
Keyword(s):  
Credit Rating ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Economic Downturn ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings ◽  
The Face ◽  
External Borrowing ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

The topic concerning the determinants affecting sovereign credit ratings of a country became extremely relevant after the recent economic turbulence which brought relentless downgrades, especially for Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries in their sovereign credit ratings. In the face of economic downturn around the world, causing the reduced availability of global capital flows and the appetite for risk, it becomes essential for the countries to secure the high market grade ratings in order to be able to issue foreign debt to ensure the solvency of the country’s finances and to pursue a sound economic growth.The aim of the study was to elucidate the key determinants of the Lithuanian sovereign rating during the financial turbulence of 2008 and to explain their importance and dynamics through external borrowing costs of the country.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Role of Macroeconomic Policies in the Financial Market Development

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Haisheng Hu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
The Status ◽  
Financial Market Development

<p>Macroeconomics and microeconomics are two different categories of national economics, and both play vital roles in stimulating the economy. Especially in financial market development, they are interdependent and complement one another. Therefore, by starting with the status of national macroeconomic policies, this article analyzes the role of macroeconomic policies in the development of financial markets, and analyzes the practical cases, which can provide reference for the applied policies in the current financial market.</p>

scholarly journals Sovereign Credit Rating Mismatches

2018 ◽  
pp. 49-70
Author(s):  
António Afonso ◽  
André Albuquerque
Keyword(s):  
Credit Rating ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings ◽  
Relevant Variables ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Investment Grade ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

We study the factors behind ratings mismatches in sovereign credit ratings from different agencies, for the period 1980‑‑2015. Using random effects ordered and simple probit approaches, we find that structural balances and the existence of a default in the last ten years were the least significant variables. In addition, the level of net debt, budget balances, GDP per capita and the existence of a default in the last five years were found to be the most relevant variables for rating mismatches across agencies. For speculative‑‑grade ratings, a default in the last two or five years decreases the rating difference between S&P and Fitch. For the positive rating difference between S&P and Moody’s, and for investment‑‑grade ratings, an increase in external debt leads to a smaller rating gap between the two agencies.

scholarly journals Sovereign credit ratings and CDS spreads in Emerging Europe

Equilibrium ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 419-438
Author(s):  
Łukasz Dopierała ◽  
Daria Ilczuk ◽  
Liwiusz Wojciechowski
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings ◽  
The Impact

Research background: Sovereign credit ratings play an important role in determining any country’s access to the international debt market. During the global financial crisis and the European debt crisis, credit rating agencies were harshly criticized for the timing of their announcements regarding ratings downgrades and the ranges of those downgrades. Therefore, it is worth considering whether the sovereign credit rating is still a useful benchmark for investors. Purpose of the article: This article examines whether credit rating agencies still provide financial markets with new information about the solvency of governments in Emerging Europe countries. In addition, it describes the differences in the effect of particular types of rating events on financial markets and the impact of individual agencies on the market situation. Our study also focuses on evaluating these occurrences at different stages of the business cycle. Methods: This article uses data about ratings events that took place between 2008 and 2018 in 17 Emerging Europe economies. We took into consideration positive, neutral, and negative events related to ratings changes and the outlooks reported by Fitch Ratings, Moody’s, and Standard & Poor’s. We used a methodology based on event studies. In addition, we performed Wilcoxon signed-ranks test and used a logit model to determine the usefulness of cumulative adjusted credit default swap (CDS) spread changes in predicting the direction of ratings changes. Findings & Value added: Our research provides evidence that the CDS market reflects information regarding government issuers up to three months before ratings downgrades are announced. Information reported to the market by ratings agencies is only relevant in the short timeframe surrounding ratings downgrades and upgrades. However, positive credit rating changes convey more information to the market. We also found strong evidence that, in the post-crisis period, credit ratings provide markets with less information.

Financial Market Reform in Pakistan

1997 ◽  
Vol 36 (4II) ◽  
pp. 839-854 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahmood Hasan Khan
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Multiple Roles ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Financial Market Development

The paper argues that the finance dimension of economic development has often been treated as an aftellhought by researchers and politicians alike, because it is considered to be too "sophisticated" to matter for "simple" economies. The role of the financial sector was considered to be primarily for mobilising resources to increase growth. However, expclicnce has also revealed that financial development, including stock market development, is correlated with current and future economic growth, capital accumulation, and productivity improvements. It is suggested that a strategy for financial market development in emerging economies is better evolved from the perspective of the "functions" of financial markets as envisaged in modern financial literature. It is also argued that financial sector policies in emerging economies should focus on enhancing, rather than inhibiting, the multiple roles of financial markets.

The role of local financial market on economic growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 225-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafiu Adewale Aregbeshola
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Social Stress ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Market Development

Purpose – Capital market development has been identified as one of the critical underpinnings of economic growth, in the developed but more essentially in the developing economies. Evidence abounds on the virtues of adequately spanned capital markets to provide requisite capital needed to fund investment activities as well as infrastructural developments. Although, foreign capital may be sourced to supplement inadequate local capital base, the associated costs (both logistics and supervisory) are generally daring to consider as convenient alternatives. Various studies have examined the role of local financial market development on economic growth, but none have strictly generated a combined focus on the three major African groupings – the Southern, the Western and the Northern African regions. In addition, there is no documented study that has compared the economic performance of each of these three major economic groupings in Africa. The purpose of this paper is to fill these voids. Design/methodology/approach – Various econometric techniques that include descriptive statistics, unit root tests, dynamic panel estimations and Granger causality tests. Findings – Using data generated from the African development indicators between 1980 and 2012 in contemporary econometric estimations, this study finds that local financial markets play crucial roles in economic development of each of these groupings, albeit in varying magnitude. The study also observes that local financial market plays very little role in the overall economic development of the three groupings when interacted. Research limitations/implications – A limited dataset, which reduces the time span as well as the number of countries covered in the study. A wider coverage may have altered the result generated, especially for the pooled estimation. Practical implications – That African countries should develop local financial markets in order to improve their level of economic growth. Social implications – Low rate of economic development has created a lot of social stress in Africa. Further, the fact that African leaders have largely not been able to grow their national economies in a meaningful and sustainable manner further unnerves skittish entrepreneurial underdevelopment on the continent, thereby exacerbates incidence and prevalence of poverty, and consequent social uprisings on a number of occasions. Originality/value – This study finds that financial market plays an important role on economic growth, whereas the effects are lower in the Southern African region. More specifically, the effects of financial market development on economic growth are stronger in North and West Africa than in Southern African regions. Given that Southern Africa financial market is more developed than the other two regions, this finding buttresses the fact that financial market development is significantly more important as a growth-driver in less developed financial markets than in developed ones.

scholarly journals Impact of Sovereign Credit Ratings on Capital Markets

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Batuhan Tufaner ◽  
Sıtkı Sönmezer ◽  
Ahmet Alkan Çelik
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Political Situation ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings ◽  
Rating Changes

Sovereign credit ratings are of great importance in terms of country's economy in recent years. Sovereign credit ratings can greatly affect both financial markets and macroeconomic balances. On the other hand, these credit ratings are closely related to the political situation of the countries. Therefore, all factors behind the credit rating announcements operating in global markets needs to be put forward. The content of this paper is to identify policy interest reaction towards sovereign credit ratings and examine of countries that experienced severe rating changes. In this bulletin, big three credit rating agencies are compared and critically assessed various credit rating of Turkey. The analyzed dataset covers sovereign rating announcements released by reputable rating agencies, stock price, Dollar / TL exchange rate, Dollar / Euro exchange rate and benchmark bond.

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