scholarly journals The role of orographic effects on occurrence of the heavy rainfall event over Central Vietnam in November 1999

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (4B) ◽  
pp. 31-36
Author(s):  
Dang Hong Nhu ◽  
Nguyen Xuan Anh ◽  
Nguyen Binh Phong ◽  
Nguyen Dang Quang ◽  
Hiep Van Nguyen

In this study, the WRF model is used to investigate the role of Central Vietnam terrain on occurrence of the heavy rainfall event in November 1999 over Central Vietnam. Two model experiments with and without terrain were performed to examine the orographic blocking effects during the event. In the terrain experiment, the results from a three-day simulation show that the model reasonably well captures northeast monsoon circulation, tropical cyclones and the occurrence of heavy rainfall in Central Vietnam. The topography causes a high pressure anomaly intensifying northeast monsoon. When the terrain is removed, the three-day accumulated rainfall decreases approximately 75% in comparison with that in the terrain experiment. The terrain blocking and lifting effects in strong wind and moisture laden conditions combined with convergence circulation over open ocean are the main factors for occurrence of the heavy rainfall event.

2016 ◽  
Vol 125 (3) ◽  
pp. 475-498 ◽  
Author(s):  
P V Rajesh ◽  
S Pattnaik ◽  
D Rai ◽  
K K Osuri ◽  
U C Mohanty ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Yuji SUGIHARA ◽  
Sho IMAGAMA ◽  
Yohei OHKUMA ◽  
Nobuhiro MATSUNAGA ◽  
Yukiko HISADA ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 436-447 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuji Sugihara ◽  
◽  
Sho Imagama ◽  
Nobuhiro Matsunaga ◽  
Yukiko Hisada ◽  
...  

It is difficult to forecast hourly rainfall locally even using the latest meteorological models, although hourly rainfall averaged spatially to some extent can be used for calculating practical rainfall. This study conducts numerical experiments with triple nesting on the 2012 heavy rainfall event in northern Kyushu using the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model and examines the features of hourly rainfall averaged spatially. The dependence of rainfall is averaged spatially on a spatial averaging scale and clarified by comparing rainfall calculated by simulation using the WRF model with radar/AMeDAS precipitation analysis data. This study’s findings indicate the effective spatial averaging scale making relative error of calculated values to the observed ones minimum.


Author(s):  
Erma Yulihastin ◽  
Danang Eko Nuryanto ◽  
Robi Muharsyah

The movement direction of propagating convective systems originating from both inland and offshore over the north coast of West Java in Indonesia is determined primarily by the prevailing wind. However, the role of a land-sea contrast and a rugged topography over southern West Java is also expected to affect propagating convective systems by increasing land-sea breezes and enhancing upward motion. These hypotheses are tested using a weather prediction model incorporating convection (up to 3 km height) to simulate the heavy rainfall event during 26–29 January associated with the 2002 Jakarta flood. First, we addressed the influence of land-sea contrast and topography on the local circulation, particularly in the area surrounding Jakarta, by replacing the inland topography over western Indonesia (96°–119°E, 17°S–0°) with a water body with an altitude of 0 m. We then compared the results of model simulations with and without topography. The results show that the main role of the topography here is enhancing the upward motion and generating a deep convective cloud in response to the land-based convective system during 26–27 January 2002, which then continuously and rapidly propagates offshore due to the cold pool mechanism. Furthermore, the land-sea contrast has a significant role in increasing sea breeze under the rapidness of the landward propagation system during 28–29 January 2002, which was strengthened by the gravity waves and resulted in early morning convection over coastal regions.


2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (1) ◽  
pp. 253-277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuan-Chi Tu ◽  
Yi-Leng Chen ◽  
Shu-Ya Chen ◽  
Ying-Hwa Kuo ◽  
Pay-Liam Lin

Abstract A cycling run, which began 36 h before the model forecast, was employed to assimilate special Terrain-influenced Monsoon Rainfall Experiment (TiMREX) soundings, Global Telecommunications System (GTS) data, and Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC) global positioning system (GPS) radio occultation (RO) refractivity profiles to improve the model initial conditions provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Forecast System (GFS) to study a coastal, heavy rainfall event over southwestern Taiwan during 15–16 June 2008. The 36-h cycling run with data assimilation (DA_ALL_DATA run) has a positive impact on the depiction of subsynoptic flow in the model initial conditions at 1200 UTC 15 June, including the warm moist tongue and southwesterly monsoon flow over the open ocean. Furthermore, the cold pool caused by the evaporative cooling of antecedent rains and orographic blocking over southwestern Taiwan are better resolved in the nested high-resolution domain in the DA_ALL_DATA run as compared to the initial conditions provided by the NCEP GFS. As a result, the heavy rainfall along the southwestern coast and afternoon localized heavy rainfall over northern Taiwan are better predicted in the DA_ALL_DATA run. Model sensitivity tests are also performed to diagnose the effects of terrain and rain-evaporative cooling on the intensity and depth of the cold pool and degree of orographic blocking on the southwesterly flow over southwestern Taiwan. It is apparent that including rain-evaporative cooling from antecedent rains and orographic effects in the model initial conditions are important to account for the predicted rainfall distribution of this coastal rainfall event.


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